Relative Importance of Various Inflammatory Markers and Their Critical Thresholds for COVID-19 Mortality

Background: Various inflammatory markers are commonly assessed in many patients to help in the management of COVID-19 patients. It is not clear, though, how much risk of mortality their different levels of elevations entail, and which marker signifies more risk than others and how much. This study was undertaken to describe their levels and to answer these questions regarding eight inflammatory markers, namely, CRP, D-dimer, ferritin, IL-6, LDH, CPK, troponin-I. Methods: The data were retrieved from the electronic records of 19852 CoViD-19 patients admitted to a chain of hospitals in north India from March 2020 to July 2021. Levels for most markers were available for more than 10,000 patients. In view of widely different ranges of values of different markers, we divided their values into quintiles (Qs) and studied the pattern of mortality and for running the logistic regression. In addition, logarithm transformation was also tried. The statistical distribution of the values was compared by Mann-Whitney test. Relative importance was judged by the mortality rates, area under the ROC curves (AUROCs), and the odds ratios. Results: Although the mortality increased with decreasing ALC and increasing level of all the other markers, more than 70% survived even with levels in the extreme quintile. The adjusted odds ratio was the highest (7.62) for the Q5 levels of IL-6, closely followed by D-dimer (OR = 6.04). The AUROC was the highest (0.817) for LDH and the least (0.612) for CPK. However, the optimal cut-off for any marker could correctly classify not more than 80% deaths and the multivariable logistic regression could correctly classify patients with mortality in less than 24% cases. Conclusion: Although elevated levels of all the markers and low values of ALC were significant risk factor but no firm evidence was available for any of the eight markers to be a major indicator of the mortality in COVID-19 unless they reach to a critical threshold. Among those studied, D-Dimer (>192 ng/mL) followed by IL-6 (>4.5 pg/mL) had stronger association with mortality even with moderate and higher end of the normal levels and LDH (>433 U/L) and troponin-I (>0.002ng/mL) with only steeply increased levels. Ferritin had modest association, and CPK, CRP and ALC were a relatively poor risk of mortality.

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Epidemiology and outcomes of COVID-19 in HIV-infected individuals: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-85359-3 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Paddy Ssentongo ◽

Emily S. Heilbrunn ◽

Anna E. Ssentongo ◽

Shailesh Advani ◽

Vernon M. Chinchilli ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Systematic Review ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Significant Risk Factor ◽

Cochrane Library ◽

Random Effects Models ◽

Beneficial Effects ◽

Risk Of Mortality ◽

Immunodeficiency Syndrome ◽

Hiv Negative

AbstractSusceptibility to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and the risk of mortality among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) (PLWHA) is largely unknown. PLWHA are unique due to their altered immune system from their history of chronic HIV infection and their use of antiretroviral therapy, some of which have been used experimentally to treat coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the epidemiology of SARS-COV-2/HIV coinfection and estimate associated mortality from COVID-19 (Prospero Registration ID: CRD42020187980). PubMed, SCOPUS, OVID and Cochrane Library databases, and medRxiv preprint repositories were searched from January 1, 2020, to December 12, 2020. Data were extracted from studies reporting COVID-19 attack and mortality rates in PLWHA compared to their HIV-negative counterparts. Pooled attack and mortality risks were quantified using random-effects models. We identified 22 studies that included 20,982,498 participants across North America, Africa, Europe, and Asia. The median age was 56 years, and 50% were male. HIV-positive persons had a significantly higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection [risk ratio (RR) 1.24, 95% CI 1.05–1.46)] and mortality from COVID-19 (RR 1.78, 95% CI 1.21–2.60) than HIV-negative individuals. The beneficial effects of tenofovir and protease-inhibitors in reducing the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and death from COVID-19 in PLWHA remain inconclusive. HIV remains a significant risk factor for acquiring SARS-CoV-2 infection and is associated with a higher risk of mortality from COVID-19. In support of the current Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) guidelines, persons with HIV need priority consideration for the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine.

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Physiological Exophoria Did Not Increase The Incidence of Myopia in Rural School Children in Taiwan

10.21203/rs.3.rs-701227/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Jui-Hung Hsu ◽

Li-Ju Lai ◽

Tao-Hsin Tung ◽

Wei-Hsiu Hsu

Keyword(s):

Elementary School ◽

Logistic Regression ◽

Elementary School Students ◽

Multinomial Logistic Regression ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Epidemiological Data ◽

Significant Risk Factor ◽

Categorical Variables ◽

School Students

Abstract Purpose:This study evaluated the incidence rate and risk factors for developing myopia in elementary school students in Chiayi, Taiwan.Methods:This prospective cohort study comprised 1816 students without myopia (grades 1 to 5 in Chiayi County). The students underwent a noncycloplegic ocular alignment examinations using an autorefractometer and completed a questionnaires at baseline and at a 1-year follow-up. A univariate logistic regression was used to assess the effects of the categorical variables on new cases of myopia. A multinomial logistic regression was then conducted. A chi-squared test was used to compare new cases of myopia in terms of ocular alignment. A Cox hazard ratio model was then used to validate factors associated with changes in ocular alignment. A P value of <.05 was considered significant.Results: In 370 participants with new cases of myopia out of 1816 participants, a spherical error of −1.51 ± 0.6 diopters was noted at follow-up. The baseline ocular alignment was not a significant risk factor for developing myopia (exophoria vs orthophoria: OR 1.26, 95% CI 0.97-1.62; other vs. orthophoria: OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.73-1.82). However, new cases of myopia (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.14-1.61), and baseline ocular alignment (exophoria vs orthophoria: HR 3.76, 95% CI 3.20-4.42; other vs orthophoria: HR 3.02, 95% CI 2.05-4.45) were associated with exophoria at follow-up.Conclusions: This study provided epidemiological data on the incidence of myopia in elementary school students in Chiayi, Taiwan. It also demonstrated that physiological exophoria does not predispose patients to developing myopia.

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Risk factors for hypertensive crisis in children with acute glomerulonephritis

Paediatrica Indonesiana ◽

10.14238/pi56.2.2016.101-6 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 56 (2) ◽

pp. 101

Author(s):

Sherly Yuniarchan ◽

Risky Vitria Prasetyo ◽

Ninik Asmaningsih Soemyarso ◽

Mohammad Sjaifullah Noer

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Logistic Regression ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Pediatric Population ◽

Hypertensive Crisis ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Significant Risk Factor ◽

P Value ◽

Acute Glomerulonephritis ◽

Female Ratio

Background Hypertensive crisis occurs in 1-4% of the hypertensive pediatric population, mostly due to acute glomerulonephritis (AGN). Some factors have been suggested to affect blood pressure (BP) in children, such as age, sex, race/ethnicity, obesity, and socioeconomic status, but little is known for risk factors for hypertensive crisis in AGN.Objective To analyze the risk factors for hypertensive crisis in children with AGN.Methods Retrospectively, we studied possible risk factors for hypertensive crisis in children with AGN at Dr. Soetomo Hospital from 2007 to 2011. Hypertensive crisis was defined as systolic BP ≥180 mmHg or diastolic BP ≥120 mmHg (for children ≥ 6 years of age); and systolic and/or diastolic BP >50% above the 95th percentile (for children aged <6 years). We evaluated the demographic and clinical characteristics as potential risk factors. Statistical analysis was done with Chi-square, Fisher’s exact, and logistic regression tests. Variables with P <0.25 in the univariable analysis were further analyzed by the multivariable logistic regression model. A P value of < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.Results There were 101 children included (mean age 9.7 (SD 2.17) years), with a male-to-female ratio of 2.7:1. Hypertensive crisis occurred in 42 (41.6%) children, of whom 8 had hypertensive urgency and 34 had hypertensive emergency. Proteinuria was seen in 53 children with AGN (52.5%) and was the significant risk factor for hypertensive crisis in our subjects (OR=2.75; 95%CI 1.16 to 6.52; P=0.021). Gender, clinical profiles, ethnicity, nutritional status, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) were not significant risk factors for hypertensive crisis.Conclusion Proteinuria is the significant risk factor for hypertensive crisis in children with AGN.

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Association between cumulative serum urate and development of diabetes type II: the Kailuan Study

Clinical Rheumatology ◽

10.1007/s10067-019-04790-0 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 39 (2) ◽

pp. 339-346

Author(s):

Yixuan Han ◽

Yanying Liu ◽

Xuejun Liu ◽

Wenhao Yang ◽

Ping Yu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Logistic Regression ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Significant Risk Factor ◽

Serum Urate ◽

Diabetes Type ◽

Cumulative Exposure ◽

Type Ii ◽

Odds Ratios ◽

Diabetes Type Ii

Abstract Objective To explore whether cumulative serum urate (cumSU) is correlated with diabetes type II mellitus incidence. Methods In this study, we recruited individuals participating in all Kailuan health examinations from 2006 to 2013 without stroke, cancer, gestation, myocardial infarction, and diabetes type II diagnosis in the first three examinations. CumSU was calculated by multiplying the average serum urate concentration and the time between the two examinations (umol/L × year). CumSU levels were categorized into five groups: Q1–Q5. The effect of cumSU on diabetes type II incidence was estimated by logistic regression. Results A total of 36,277 individuals (27,077 men and 9200 women) participated in the final analysis. The multivariate logistic regression model showed the odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of diabetes type II from Q1 to Q5 were 1.00 (reference), 1.25 (1.00 to 1.56), 1.43 (1.15 to 1.79), 1.49 (1.18 to 1.87), and 1.80 (1.40 to 2.32), respectively. Multivariable odds ratios per 1-standard deviation increase in cumSU were 1.26 (1.17 to 1.37) in all populations, 1.20 (1.10 to 1.32) for men, and 1.52 (1.27 to 1.81) for women, respectively. Conclusions CumSU is a significant risk factor for diabetes type II. Individuals with higher cumSU, especially women, are at a higher risk of diabetes type II independent of other known risk factors.Key Points• Cumulative exposure to serum urate is a significant risk factor for diabetes type II.• Individuals with higher cumSU, especially women, are at a higher risk of diabetes type II.

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Risk Factors for Silent Cerebral Infarcts in a Pediatric Sickle Cell Anemia (SCA) Cohort

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v112.11.2487.2487 ◽

2008 ◽

Vol 112 (11) ◽

pp. 2487-2487 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Francoise Bernaudin ◽

Suzanne Verlhac ◽

Annie Kamdem ◽

Cécile Arnaud ◽

Lena Coïc ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Logistic Regression ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Logistic Regression Analysis ◽

G6pd Deficiency ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Significant Risk Factor ◽

History Of ◽

Independent Risk Factors

Abstract Background Silent infarcts are associated with impaired cognitive functioning and have been shown to be predictors of stroke (Miller ST J Pediatr 2001). Until now, reported risk factors for silent infarcts were low pain event rate, history of seizures, high leukocyte count and Sen bS haplotype (Kinney TR Pediatrics 1999). Here, we seek to define the prevalence and risk factors of silent infarcts in the Créteil SCA pediatric cohort comprising patients assessed at least yearly by transcranial doppler (TCD) since 1992, and by MRI/MRA. Methods This study retrospectively analyzed data from the Créteil cohort stroke-free SS/Sb0 children (280; 134 F, 146 M), according to institutional review board. Time-averaged mean of maximum velocities higher than 200 cm/sec were considered as abnormal, resulting in initiation of a transfusion program (TP). A switch to hydroxyurea was proposed to patients with normalized velocities (< 170 cm/sec) and normal MRA on TP, although TP was re-initiated in case of abnormal velocities recurrence. Patients with “conditional” velocities (170–199 cm/sec) were assessed by TCD 4 times yearly. Alpha genes and beta-globin haplotypes were determined. Baseline biological parameters (G6PD activity; WBC, PMN, Reticulocytes, Platelets counts; Hemoglobin, Hematocrit, HbF, LDH levels; MCV; SpO2) were obtained a minimum of 3 months away from a transfusion, one month from a painful episode, after 12 months of age, before the first TCD, and always before therapy intensification. Results. Patients were followed for a total of 2139 patient-years. Alpha-Thal was present in 114/254 patients (45%) and 27/241 (11.2%) had G6PD deficiency. Beta genotype, available in 240 patients, was BaBa in 102 (42.5%), BeBe in 54 (22.5%), SeSe in 19 (7.9%) and “other” in 65 (27.1%); TCD was abnormal in 52 of 280 patients (18.6%). MRA showed stenoses in 30 of 226 evaluated patients (13.3%) while MRI demonstrated presence of silent infarcts in 81/280 patients (28.9%). Abnormal TCD (p<0.001), G6PD deficiency (p=0.008), high LDH (p=0.03), and low Hb (p=0.026) were significant risk factors for stenoses by univariate analysis while multivariate analysis retained only abnormal TCD as a significant risk factor for stenoses ([OR= 10.6, 95% CI (4.6–24.4)]; p<0.001). Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that the risk of silent infarcts was not related to alpha-Thal, beta genotype, abnormal TCD, WBC, PMN, platelets, reticulocyte counts, MCV, LDH level, HbF %, pain or ACS rates but was significantly associated with stenoses detected by MRA (p<0.001), gender (male; p=0.04), G6PD deficiency (p=0.05), low Hb (p=0.016) and Hct (p=0.012). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that gender ([OR= 2.1, 95% CI (1.03–4.27)]; p=0.042), low Hb ([OR= 1.4, 95% CI (1.0–1.1)]; p=0.05) and stenoses ([OR= 4.8, 95% CI (1.88–12.28)]; p=0.001) were all significant independent risk factors for silent infarcts. The presence of stenoses was the only significant risk factor for silent infarcts in patients with a history of abnormal TCD ([OR= 5.9, 95% CI (1.6–21.7)]; p=0.008). Conclusion We recently showed that G6PD deficiency, absence of alpha-Thal, and hemolysis are independent significant risk factors for abnormal TCD in stroke-free SCA patients (Bernaudin et al, Blood, 2008, in press). Here, we report that an abnormal TCD is the most significant risk factor for stenoses and, expanding previous studies, we demonstrate that stenoses, low Hb and gender are significant independent risk factors for silent infarcts.

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Incidence and risk factors of thromboembolism (TE) in advanced gastric cancer (AGC) receiving chemotherapy: A prospective observational study (NCT01047618).

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2014.32.3_suppl.31 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 32 (3_suppl) ◽

pp. 31-31

Author(s):

Baek-Yeol Ryoo ◽

Min-Hee Ryu ◽

Sook Ryun Park ◽

Myoung Joo Kang ◽

Kwon-Oh Park ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Gastric Cancer ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Incidence Rate ◽

Univariate Analysis ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Significant Risk Factor ◽

Limited Information ◽

Vein Thrombosis ◽

Gastric Cancer Patients ◽

D Dimer

31 Background: The incidence of TE in gastric cancer patients (pts) is known to be high. But because the previous reports were retrospectively analyzed in heterogeneous population, they give us only limited information. We therefore conducted a prospective study to investigate the incidence of TE and prognostic factors related with TE in AGC pts receiving chemotherapy. Methods: We checked D-dimer and coagulation battery at the start of chemotherapy and every 3 months thereafter. If there developed symptoms or signs of TE, or if D-dimer elevated 5 μg/mL or more we checked imaging studies to detect TE. The chemotherapy regimen mainly included fluoropyrimidine plus platinum-based for 1st-line, taxane-based for 2nd-line, and irinotecan-based for 3rd-line chemotherapy. Results: Between Nov 2009 and Apr 2012, 241 pts were analyzed. They received median 9 (range 1 - 42) cycles of chemotherapy. During the median observational duration of 16.7 months, 32 events (13.3%, 95% CI; 8.9 - 17.7%) of TE were detected. The types of TE were as follows; deep vein thrombosis (DVT) only in 18 (56.3%), pulmonary embolism (PE) only in 4 (12.5%), DVT and PE in 5 (15.6%), cerebral infarction in 4 (12.5%), and intra-abdominal arterial thrombosis 1 (3.1%) pts. The 1-year and 2-year cumulative incidences of TE were 15.0% (95% CI, 9.6 - 20.0%) and 20.0% (95% CI, 12.1 - 26.9%), respectively. The incidence rate of TE was 14.1 (95% CI, 9.6 - 19.9) events/100 person-years. In univariate analysis, the previous gastrectomy history, baseline CA72-4 level and baseline D-dimer level were statistically significant risk factor related with TE development. But in multivariate analysis, baseline D-dimer level was the only independent risk factor associated with TE development (Hazard ratio 2.46 [95% CI, 1.08 - 5.63], P= 0.033). Among 32 pts with baseline D-dimer 5.0 μg/mL or higher, 8 pts (25.0%) developed TE, while for pts whose baseline D-dimer was lower than 5.0 μg/mL, 24 out of 209 pts (11.5%) developed TE. Conclusions: The incidence rate of TE in AGC pts receiving chemotherapy was 14.1 (95% CI, 9.6 - 19.9) events/100 person-years. D-dimer was an important prognostic factor related with TE development. Clinical trial information: NCT01047618.

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Is Hyperopia an Important Risk Factor for PACG in the Dutch Population?—A Case Control Study

Journal of Ophthalmology ◽

10.1155/2013/630481 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 2013 ◽

pp. 1-6 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Saskia H. M. van Romunde ◽

Gijs Thepass ◽

Hans G. Lemij

Keyword(s):

Logistic Regression ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Refractive Error ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Anterior Chamber Depth ◽

Significant Risk Factor ◽

Angle Closure ◽

Control Group ◽

Dutch Population ◽

Laser Peripheral Iridotomy

Objectives. To determine if hyperopia is a risk factor for primary angle-closure glaucoma (PACG) in the Dutch population and to identify other biometrical parameters as risk factors for PACG including axial length (AL), anterior chamber depth (ACD), andkvalues.Methods. The study population consisted of PACG patients that had undergone a laser peripheral iridotomy (LPI). The control group consisted of age- and gender-matched cataract patients. The main outcome was hyperopia (spherical equivalent ≥+0.5 dioptres) measured with IOL Master or autorefractor. Refractive error, ACD, AL, andkvalues were tested with a Mann-WhitneyUtest and by logistic regression.Results. 117 PACG patients and 234 controls were included (mean age = 80 years ± 3.6). The prevalence of hyperopia in patients and controls was 69.6% and 61.1%, respectively (Fisher’s testP=0.076). Mann-WhitneyUtest showed no statistically significant relation with refractive error (P=0.068) orkvalues (P=0.607). In contrast, ACD and AL were statistically significant (P<0.001). Tested with logistic regression, only ACD was a significant predictor of PACG (P<0.001).Conclusion. There was no statistically significant correlation between refractive error and PACG. ACD was strongly correlated, though, with PACG, whereas AL turned out to be a less significant risk factor.

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Post-Anticoagulation Cessation D-Dimer Testing and VTE Recurrence in Real-World Australian Audit

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood-2018-99-118661 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽

pp. 1227-1227

Author(s):

Julie Wang ◽

Rowena Brook ◽

Alison Slocombe ◽

Lisa Hong ◽

Prahlad Ho

Keyword(s):

Risk Factor ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Significant Risk Factor ◽

Risk Of Recurrence ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Recurrent Vte ◽

Residual Thrombus ◽

Repeat Imaging ◽

D Dimer

Abstract Aim Elevated D-dimer post-anticoagulation cessation is a recognised risk factor for recurrent venous thromboembolic events (VTE). In particular, raised D-dimer post cessation has been associated with increased risk of recurrence in unprovoked major VTE. Currently in Australia, D-dimer has not been widely used in practice to stratify the risk of VTE recurrence. This study aims to retrospectively analyse the effect of routine D-dimer testing and it's association with VTE recurrence. Methods A retrospective evaluation was performed on 1024 patients with a diagnosis of VTE at a tertiary hospital in Australia between January 2013 and December 2016. Data collected included demographics, results and timing of D-dimer testing and serial imaging results. Results 1024 patients were reviewed with a total median follow up of 12 months (range 0-59 months). D-dimer was tested in 189 patients (18.5%) within 90 days after cessation of anticoagulation. Of these patients, median age was 58 (18-92) and 55.3% (n=105) were female. 33.3% (n=63) had isolated distal deep vein thrombosis (IDDVT), 66.3% (n=126) had above knee DVT (AKDVT)/pulmonary embolus (PE), 54.5% (n=103) of VTE were provoked. Abnormal post cessation D-dimer (>500) was found in 72 patients (37.9%). Of these, 25 patients were restarted on anticoagulation; one had recurrent VTE whilst on low dose apixaban 2.5mg BD and one had recurrence after cessation of anticoagulation at a later date. Patients with elevated D-dimer post cessation had a higher rate of recurrence with the highest risk in patients with D-dimer >1000 (RR 7.38, p=<0.01) outlined in Table 1. Of the 164 patients with post cessation D-dimer testing who remained off anticoagulation there were a total of 24 (12.6%) episodes of recurrent VTE. Elevated D-dimer post anticoagulation cessation was a significant risk factor for recurrence in both provoked VTE (RR 4.21, p=0.01) and unprovoked VTE cohorts (RR 4.55, p=0.008) outlined in Table 2. When provoked VTE were sub-categorised, raised D-dimer demonstrated the most statistical significance in VTE provoked by travel (RR 13.5 p=0.06). Of the patients with post anticoagulation cessation D-dimer testing 170 patients (89.9%) had repeat imaging to assess for residual thrombus. In the subgroup of patients with no residual thrombus, elevated D-dimer was a significant risk factor for VTE recurrence (RR 6.4, p=<0.01). Patients with normal D-dimer and no residual thrombus had the lowest rate of recurrence 5.4% (n=4) see Table 3. When stratified by type of VTE, elevated D-dimer post anticoagulation cessation was significantly related to risk for recurrence in the overall IDDVT sub-cohort (RR 4.09, p=0.007). This was not significant for the AKDVT/PE sub cohort (RR 3.24, p=0.079). However, for patients with unprovoked AKDVT or PE, having D-dimer tested post anticoagulation, regardless of result, was associated with lower rates of VTE recurrence RR 0.30 (p=0.02) compared to those who had no D-dimer testing as part of follow-up. Conclusion Post treatment D-dimer testing may have a clinical role in stratifying the risk of VTE recurrence along with repeat imaging to detect residual thrombus. Elevated D-dimer post anticoagulation cessation is associated with increased risk of VTE recurrence for both provoked and unprovoked VTE with highest risk in patients with D-dimer >1000. Patients with no residual thrombus and a negative D-dimer post anticoagulation cessation had the lowest rate of recurrence. In the subgroup of patients with provoked VTE and IDDVT a positive D-dimer post cessation was associated with 4.21 and 4.09 relative risk of recurrence respectively, suggesting that the role of D-dimer testing can be extended to these subpopulations. Interestingly, in patients with unprovoked AKDVT or PE, having post-cessation D-dimer testing performed, regardless of result, was associated with a significantly lower rate of VTE recurrence compared to patients without D-dimer testing, which may be related to specialist review and recommencement of anticoagulation in high-risk patients. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

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Clinical Characteristics and Predictors of Mortality for Young Adults with Severe COVID-19: A Retrospective Study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-31386/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Yanjiao Lu ◽

Zhenli Huang ◽

Meijia Wang ◽

Kun Tang ◽

Shanshan Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Young Adults ◽

Logistic Regression ◽

Elevated Level ◽

Clinical Characteristics ◽

Troponin I ◽

Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽

Laboratory Findings ◽

Predictors Of Mortality ◽

Hs Crp ◽

D Dimer

Abstract Background and objective: Little is yet known whether pathogenesis of COVID-19 is different between young and elder patients. Our study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and provide predictors of mortality for young adults with severe COVID-19.Methods: A total of 77 young adults with confirmed severe COVID-19 were recruited retrospectively at Tongji Hospital. Clinical characteristics, laboratory findings, treatment and outcomes were obtained from electronic medical records. The prognostic effects of variables were analyzed using logistic regression model.Results: In this retrospective cohort, non-survivors showed higher incidence of dyspnea and co-existing laboratory abnormalities, compared with young survivals in severe COVID-19. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that lymphopenia, elevated level of d-dimer, hypersensitive cardiac troponin I (hs-CTnI) and high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) were independent predictors of mortality in young adults with severe COVID-19. Further analysis showed that severely young adults with two or more factors abnormalities above would be more prone to death. The similar predictive effect of above four factors had been observed in all-age patients with severe COVID-19.Conclusion: Lymphopenia, elevated level of d-dimer, hs-CTnI and hs-CRP predicted clinical outcomes of young adults with severe COVID-19.

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Angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE1, ACE2) gene variants are associated with COVID19 severity depending on the hypertension status

10.1101/2020.06.11.20128033 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Juan Gómez ◽

Guillermo M Albaiceta ◽

Marta García-Clemente ◽

Carlos López-Larrea ◽

Laura Amado-Rodríguez ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Logistic Regression ◽

Respiratory Diseases ◽

Significant Risk ◽

Significant Risk Factor ◽

Male Gender ◽

Hypertension Status ◽

Angiotensin System ◽

Susceptibility To Infection ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Ace2 Gene

AbstractBackgroundThe Angiotensin system is implicated in the pathogenesis of COVID19. First, ACE2 is the cellular receptor for SARS-COv-2, and expression of the ACE2 gene could regulate the individual’s susceptibility to infection. In addition, the balance between ACE1 and ACE activity has been implicated in the pathogenesis of respiratory diseases and could play a role in the severity of COVID19. Functional ACE1/ACE2 gene polymorphisms have been associated with the risk of cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases, and could thus also contribute to the outcome of COVID19.MethodsWe studied 204 COVID19 patients (137 non-severe and 67severe-ICU cases) and 536 age-matched controls. The ACE1 insertion/deletion and ACE2rs2285666 polymorphism were determined. Variables frequencies were compared between the groups by logistic regression. We also sequenced the ACE2 coding nucleotides in a group of patients.ResultsSevere COVID19 was associated with hypertension male gender (p<0.001), hypertension (p=0.006), hypercholesterolaemia (p=0.046), and the ACE1-DD genotype (p=0.049). In the multiple logistic regression hypertension (p=0.02, OR=2.26, 95%CI=1.12-4.63) and male gender (p=0.002; OR=3.15, 95%CI=1.56-6.66) remained as independent significant predictors of severity. The ACE2 polymorphism was not associated with the disease outcome. The ACE2 sequencing showed no coding sequence variants that could explain an increased risk of developing COVID19.ConclusionsAdverse outcome of COVID19 was associated with male gender, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia and the ACE1 genotype. The ACE1-I/D was a significant risk factor for severe COVID19, but the effect was dependent on the hypertensive status.

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