Safety Analysis Model of DUCG Based on FMEA/FTA

Author(s):  
Zhenxu Zhou ◽  
Hao Nie ◽  
Chunling Dong ◽  
Qin Zhang

Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) is a useful tool to find possible flaws, to reduce cost and to shorten research cycle in complex industrial systems. Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) has gained credibility over the past years, not only in nuclear industry, but also in other industries like aerospace, petrochemical, and weapon. Both FMEA and FTA are effective techniques in safety analysis, but there are still many uncertain factors in them that are not well addressed until now. This paper combines FMEA and FTA based on Dynamic Uncertain Causality Graph (DUCG) to solve this issue. Firstly, the FMEA model is mapped into a corresponding DUCG graph. Secondly, FTA model is mapped into a corresponding DUCG graph. Thirdly, combine the above DUCG graphs. Finally, users can modify the combined DUCG graph and calculations are made. This paper bridges the gap between FMEA and FTA by combining the two methods using DUCG. And additional modeling power and analytical power can be achieved with the advantages of the combined DUCG safety analysis model and its inference algorithm. This method can also promote the application of DUCG in the system reliability and safety analysis. An example is used to illustrate this method.

Author(s):  
Zhenxu Zhou ◽  
Chunling Dong ◽  
Qin Zhang

Dynamic Fault Tree (DFT) has drawn attention from comprehensive industrial systems in recent years. Many analytical approaches are developed to analyze DFT, such as Markov Chain based method, Inclusion-Exclusion Rule based method, and Sum-of-Disjoint-Product theory based method. Novel methods such as Bayesian Network and Petri Net are also used to solve DFT. However, Basic events are usually assumed unrepairable and are restricted to specific probabilistic distributions. And some methods may suffer from combination explosion. This paper applies Dynamic Uncertain Causality Graph (DUCG) to analyze DFT to overcome the aforementioned issues. DUCG is a newly proposed Probabilistic Graphic Model for large complex industrial systems which allows for dynamics, uncertainties and logic cycles. The DUCG based methodology can be summarized as event mapping, logical mapping, and numerical mapping. This paper studies how to map the PAND, FDEP, SEQ AND SPARE sequential logic gates into equivalent representations in DUCG. With the DUCG representation mode, one can analyze DFT with algorithms in DUCG. Future work will be done on benchmark tests and on software development.


2018 ◽  
Vol 122 (1255) ◽  
pp. 1330-1351 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z. Chen ◽  
J. P. Fielding

ABSTRACTZonal Safety Analysis (ZSA) is a major part of the civil aircraft safety assessment process described in Aerospace Recommended Practice 4761 (ARP4761). It considers safety effects that systems/items installed in the same zone (i.e. a defined area within the aircraft body) may have on each other. Although the ZSA may be conducted at any design stage, it would be most cost-effective to do it during preliminary design, due to the greater opportunity for influence on system and structural designs and architecture. The existing ZSA methodology of ARP4761 was analysed, but it was found to be more suitable for detail design rather than preliminary design. The authors therefore developed a methodology that would be more suitable for preliminary design and named it the Preliminary Zonal Safety Analysis (PZSA). This new methodology was verified by means of the use of a case study, based on the NASA N3-X project. Several lessons were learnt from the case study, leading to refinement of the proposed method. These lessons included focusing on the positional layout of major components for the zonal safety inspection, and using the Functional Hazard Analysis (FHA)/Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) to identify system external failure modes. The resulting PZSA needs further refinement, but should prove to be a useful design tool for the preliminary design process.


Author(s):  
Zhenxu Zhou ◽  
Qin Zhang

Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) has been widely applied to large, complex industrial systems like nuclear power plants, chemical systems, and weapon systems. Events in classical FTA are assumed binary-state and s-independent but multi-state, dependencies and logic cycles may exist within FTs. Moreover, causalities in FTA are assumed deterministic, while sometimes they may be uncertain. This paper applies Dynamic Uncertain Causality Graph (DUCG) in FTA to overcome aforementioned issues. This paper shows that any FT can be mapped into a DUCG graph. And with DUCG representation model and algorithm, additional modeling and analytical power are obtained. Multi-value, dependencies, logic cycles, and non-deterministic causalities in FTA are solved. This paper also depicts how to calculate the importance measurement, predict failure, and diagnose fault. The results reveal the effectiveness and feasibility of this methodology.


Author(s):  
Sofia K. Georgiadis

Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is one of the key safety evaluation techniques used by New York City Transit (NYCT). First developed over 50 years ago, this technique continues to provide valuable insight for failure analysis of systems. Its use is widespread in safety-critical systems analysis across industry boundaries, including defense, nuclear, aerospace, chemical [1], and transportation industries. FTAs provide a systematic, top-down methodology to safety analysis. As such, it complements other safety analysis techniques, such as Failure Modes Effect Analysis (FMEA), which is a bottom-up failure analysis [2]. Formal Methods analyses, including Theorem Proving and Model Checking, are powerful development and analysis methodologies, both used by NYCT, that provide assurance of product’s correctness and safety. With these other safety analysis techniques, the FTA continues to play a key role in the NYCT Safety Program. This paper will examine how NYCT uses FTAs for the safety analysis of microprocessor-based signaling systems. FTAs are used by NYCT throughout the system lifecycle. Initially, during the system development phase, NYCT requires system suppliers to develop Fault Tree Analyses of their systems, as a requirement for NYCT safety certification and deployment. For the system maintenance phase, NYCT uses the outputs of suppliers’ analyses to develop and enforce maintenance and operational procedures. In this manner, NYCT’s use of FTA provides full lifecycle value by providing design, maintenance, and operational insight into the causes of hazardous events. Through the examination of example fault trees and an overview of the FTA process, this paper will present the NYCT’s implementation of this powerful analysis tool, and will describe the benefits gained from using this methodology.


10.29007/1lp8 ◽  
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Grigoleit ◽  
Sebastian Holei ◽  
Andreas Pleuss ◽  
Robert Reiser ◽  
Julian Rhein ◽  
...  

Functional safety analysis (FSA), that is checking whether a designed artifact will perform safely even under the presence of failing components, has gained significant importance in different areas, including aeronautic and automotive systems. The same applies to failure-modes-and-effects analysis (FMEA) and fault-tree analysis (FTA) as the major contributing processes. FSA is labor- and time-consuming as well as error- prone, and would benefit from computer-based tool-support. Work on qualitative model-based systems has developed principled solutions, particularly to FMEA, but did not achieve the step to industrial practice. Rather than novel technical contributions, this paper discusses reasons for this fact and describes the qSafe* project, which aims at overcoming the obstacles and at making a major step towards producing tools that can support current practice.


Author(s):  
Ihsan Sanusi

This article in principle wants to examine the history of the emergence of the conflict of Islamic revival in Minangkabau starting from the Paderi Movement to the Youth in Minangkabau. Especially in the initial period, namely the Padri movement, there was a tragedy of violence (radicalism) that accompanied it. This study becomes important, because after all the reformation of Islam began to be realized by reforming human life in the world. Both in terms of thought with the effort to restore the correct understanding of religion as it should, from the side of the practice of religion, namely by reforming deviant practices and adapted to the instructions of the religious texts (al-Qur'an and sunnah), and also from the side of strengthening power religion. In this case the research will be directed to the efforts of renewal by the Padri to the Youth towards the Islamic community in Minangkabau. To discuss this problem used historical research methods. Through this method, it is tested and analyzed critically the records and relics of the past. In analyzing the data in this research basically used approach or interactive analysis model by Miles and Huberman. In this analysis model, the three components of the analysis are data reduction, data presentation, and conclusion drawing or verification, the activity is carried out in an interactive form with the process of collecting data as a process that continues, repeats, and continues to form acycle.


1990 ◽  
Vol 27 (04) ◽  
pp. 237-249
Author(s):  
Anastassios N. Perakis ◽  
Bahadir Inozu

Some essential steps for the application of reliability, availability, and maintainability (RAM) techniques to marine diesel engines are presented. The paper begins with a summary of the basic concepts of reliability engineering, followed by a survey of the relevant literature on RAM applications to the marine industry and to marine diesel engines in particular. Next, the results of an informal survey of the reliability, maintenance, and replacement practices of Great Lakes operators are presented. Finally, the first two steps for a RAM application, failure modes and effects analysis and fault tree analysis, are introduced and applied for a prototype Colt-Pielstick marine diesel engine.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Mainçon ◽  
Vegard Longva

Abstract Over the past 10 years, SINTEF has investigated, or been informed about, a range of torsion failures in cables, umbilicals or flexible pipes. These failures have occurred while the flexible products were being transported along a route during production, loadout, installation. One failure occured during operation. There are no guidelines on how to minimize the risk of such failures. This may be attributed to a lack of knowledge in the industry about the mechanisms that cause torsional moments to appear. Further, some buckling patterns of the components of a flexible product under excessive torsion, closely resemble patterns caused by excessive bending or compressive load, so that some torsion-induced failures are wrongly attributed. Hence, there is a need to increase the knowledge and awareness of torsion failures in the industry. Previous papers by the authors have considered some of the mechanisms that lead to the appearance of torque in handling operations. The present paper is a continuation which focuses on torque-induced failure modes. It begins by providing a systematic nomenclature for the description of torsion kinematics. It then provides a qualitative description of known torque-induced failure modes. The literature provides some models for torque-induced failures, as well as models of component failures due to excessive bending or compression of the flexible product, which are also relevant for the study of torsion. These are reviewed, and their relevance to torsion-induced failures are discussed. Knowledge gaps and challenges are highlighted.


2017 ◽  
Vol 70 (4) ◽  
pp. 887-906 ◽  
Author(s):  
Busyairah Syd Ali ◽  
Washington Yotto Ochieng ◽  
Arnab Majumdar

In the effort to quantify Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) system safety, the authors have identified potential ADS-B failure modes in Syd Ali et al. (2014). Based on the findings, six potential hazards of ADS-B are identified in this paper. The authors then applied the Probabilistic Safety Assessment approach which includes Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Importance Analysis methods to quantify the system safety. FTA is applied to measure ADS-B system availability for each identified hazard while Importance Analysis is conducted to identify the most significant failure modes that may lead to the occurrence of the hazards. In addition, risk significance and safety significance of each failure mode are also identified. The result shows that the availability for the ADS-B system as a sole surveillance means is low at 0·898 in comparison to the availability of ADS-B system as supplemental or as primary means of surveillance at 0·95 and 0·999 respectively. The latter availability values are obtained from Minimum Aviation System Performance Standards (MASPS) for Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (DO-242A).


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