Bone Strength and Arterial Stiffness Impact on Cardiovascular Mortality in a General Population

Osteoporosis and increased arterial stiffness independently have been found to be associated with higher cardiovascular events rates in the general population (GP). We examined 558 patients from GP by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and pulse wave velocity (PWV) measurements at baseline, with 36-month follow-up period. DXA assessed bone mineral density of femoral neck (BMD FN) and lumbar spine (BMD LS). Carotid-femoral PWV was assessed by pulsed-Doppler. The aim of our study is to find correlation between bone strength and arterial stiffness and their impact on cardiovascular mortality in GP. The mean ± SD of BMD FN, BMD LS, and PWV was0.852±0.1432 g/cm2,0.934±0.1546 g/cm2, and9.209±1.9815 m/s. In multiple regression analysis we found BMD FN (βst=-6.0094,p<0.0001), hypertension (βst = 1.7340,p<0.0091), and diabetes (βst=0.4595,p<0.0046). With Cox-regression analysis, after 17 cardiovascular events, the significant covariates retained by the backward model were BMD FN (b=-2.4129,p=0.015) and PWV (b=0.2606,p=0.0318). The cut-off values were PWV = 9.4 m/s, BMD FN = 0.783 g/cm2, and BMD LS = 0.992 g/cm2. The results for BMD FN and PWV hazard ratio risk were 1.116 and 1.297, respectively. BMD FN as a measure of bone strength and PWV as a measure of arterial stiffness are strong independent predictors of cardiovascular mortality in GP.

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Evaluation of pulse wave velocity for predicting major advanced cardiovascular events in patients with chronic myocardial infarction

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.2533 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

Z Meiszterics ◽

T Simor ◽

R J Van Der Geest ◽

N Farkas ◽

B Gaszner

Keyword(s):

Myocardial Infarction ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Pulse Wave ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Event Free Survival ◽

Free Survival ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Kaplan Meier

Abstract Introduction Increased aortic pulse wave velocity (PWV) as a strong predictor of major advanced cardiovascular events (MACE) has a prognostic relevance in patients after myocardial infarction (MI). Several non-invasive methods have been proposed for the assessment of arterial stiffness, but the PWV values show significant differences according to the applied techniques. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) provides an accurate method to measure PWV and infarct size in patients after MI. Purpose Calculated PWV values of CMR based phase-contrast (PC) and invasively validated oscillometric methods were compared in this prospective observational study. We aimed to evaluate the cut-off PWV values for each method, while MACE predicted and validated the prognostic value of high PWV in post-infarcted patients in a 6-year follow-up. Methods 3D aortic angiography and PC velocity imaging was performed using a Siemens Avanto 1,5 T CMR device. Oscillometric based Arteriograph (AG) was used to assess PWV using direct body surface distance measurements. The comparison between the two techniques was tested. Patients received follow-up for MACE comprising all-cause death, non-fatal MI, ischemic stroke, hospitalization for heart failure and coronary revascularization. Event-free survival was analysed using Kaplan-Meier plots and log-rank tests. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to identify outcome predictors. Results 75 patients (56 male, 19 female, average age: 56±13 years) referred for CMR were investigated, of whom 50 had coronary artery disease (CAD) including 35 patients with previous MI developing ischaemic late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) pattern. AG and CMR derived PWV values were significantly correlated (rho: 0,343, p<0,05), however absolute PWV values were significantly higher for AG (median (IQR): 10,4 (9,2–11,9) vs. 6,44 (5,64–7,5); p<0,001). Bland Altman analysis showed an acceptable agreement with a mean difference of 3,7 m/s between the two measures. In patients with CAD significantly (p<0,01) higher PWV values were measured by AG and CMR, respectively. During the median follow-up of 6 years, totally 69 MACE events occurred. Optimized PWV cut-off values for MACE prediction were calculated (CMR: 6,47 m/s; AG: 9,625 m/s) by receiver operating characteristic analysis. Kaplan-Meier analysis in both methods showed a significantly lower event-free survival in case of high PWV (p<0,01, respectively). Cox regression analysis revealed PWV for both methods as a predictor of MACE (PWV CMR hazard ratio (HR): 2,6 (confidence interval (CI) 1,3–5,1), PWV AG HR: 3,1 (CI: 1,3–7,1), p<0,005, respectively). Conclusions Our study showed good agreement between the AG and CMR methods for PWV calculation. Both techniques are feasible for MACE prediction in postinfarcted patients. However, different AG and CMR PWV cut-off values were calculated to improve risk stratification. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Agreement between the two methods Kaplan-Meier event curves for MACE

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Combination of CHARGE AF score and index of 24-hour electrocardiogram to predict incident atrial fibrillation and cardiovascular events

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.0487 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

T Nishimura ◽

K Senoo ◽

I Hibiki ◽

T Okura ◽

T Miki ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Roc Curve ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Holter Ecg ◽

New Onset

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risks of stroke and heart failure. AF risk prediction can facilitate the efficient deployment of diagnosis or interventions to prevent AF. Purpose We sought to assess the combination prediction value of Holter electrocardiogram (Holter ECG) and the CHARGE-AF score (Cohorts for Aging and Research in Genomic Epidemiology-AF) for the new-onset of AF in a single center study. We also investigated the association between clinical findings and the new-onset of cerebral cardiovascular events. Methods From January 2008 and May 2014, 1246 patients with aged≥20 undergoing Holter ECG for palpitations, dizziness, or syncope were recruited. Among them, 350 patients were enrolled in this study after exclusion of 1) AF history at the time of inspection or before, 2) post cardiac device implantation, 3) follow-up duration <1 year, and 4) no 12-lead ECG records within 6 months around Holter ECG. Results During the 5.9-year follow-up, 40 patients (11.4%) developed AF incidence. Multivariate cox regression analysis revealed that CHARGE-AF score (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.13–2.26, P<0.01), BMI (HR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.83–0.99, P=0.03), frequent supraventricular extrasystoles (SVEs) ≥1000 beats/day (HR: 4.87, 95% CI: 2.59–9.13, P<0.001) and first-degree AV block (HR: 3.52, 95% CI: 1.63–7.61, P<0.01) were significant independent predictors for newly AF. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the combination of the CHARGE-AF score and frequent SVEs (≥1000) was greater than the CHARGE-AF score alone (0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.82 vs 0.66, 95% CI: 0.56–0.75, respectively). On the ROC curve, the CHARGE-AF score of 12.9 was optimum cut-off value for newly AF. Patients with both the CHARGE-AF score≥12.9 and SVEs≥1000 developed AF at 129.0/1000 person-years, compared with those with the CHARGE-AF score<12.9 and SVEs≥1000 (48.9), the CHARGE-AF score≥12.9 and SVEs<1000 (40.0) and the CHARGE-AF score<12.9 and SVEs<1000 (7.4), respectively. In multivariate cox regression analysis, age, past history of congestive heart failure and myocardial infarction, and antihypertensive medication were significant predictors of cerebral cardiovascular events (n=43), all of which signifying the components of the CHARGE-AF score. The AUC of the combination of the CHARGE-AF score and frequent SVEs (≥1000) was not different from the CHARGE-AF score alone (0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.81 vs 0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.82, respectively). Conclusion CHARGE-AF score has higher predictive power of both the new incident AF and cerebral cardiovascular events. The combination of CHARGE-AF score and SVEs≥1000 beats/day in Holter ECG can demonstrate the additional effect of prediction ability for the new incident AF, but not for cerebral cardiovascular events. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

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MO159CHA2DS2-VASC SCORE AS A PREDICTOR OF CARDIOVASCULAR MORTALITY IN CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE PATIENTS

Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation ◽

10.1093/ndt/gfab092.0037 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

Nina Vodošek Hojs ◽

Robert Ekart ◽

Sebastjan Bevc ◽

Nejc Piko ◽

Radovan Hojs

Keyword(s):

Chronic Kidney Disease ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Cardiovascular Risk ◽

Kidney Disease ◽

Cardiovascular Mortality ◽

Cox Regression ◽

High Sensitivity ◽

Cardiovascular Death ◽

Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background and Aims Cardiovascular mortality is high in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. Recognizing patients with higher cardiovascular risk might help in their treatment. CHA2DS2-VASc score was originally used to predict cerebral infarction in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is also useful in predicting outcome in different cardiovascular conditions, independent of the presence of AF. Therefore, the aim of our research was to assess the role of CHA2DS2-VASc score in cardiovascular mortality in CKD patients. Method Eighty-seven non-dialysis CKD patients from our outpatient clinic were included. At the time of inclusion, medical history data and standard blood results were collected and CHA2DS2-VASc score was calculated. Patients were followed for assigned time or until their death. Mean follow-up time was 1696.45±564.60 days. Results Descriptive statistics of our patients are presented in table 1. During follow-up 11 patients suffered from cardiovascular death. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that CHA2DS2-VASc score is a significant predictor of cardiovascular mortality (HR: 2.19, CI: 1.42-3.37, p=0.001). In multivariate Cox regression analysis in which CHA2DS2-VASc score, serum creatinine, urinary albumin/creatinine, haemoglobin, high sensitivity CRP and intact PTH were included, CHA2DS2-VASc score was an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality (HR: 2.04, CI: 1.20-3.45, p=0.008) (table 2). Conclusion CHA2DS2-VASc score is a simple and quick way to identify cardiovascular risk in CKD patients.

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Red Blood Cell Indices in Relation to Post-stroke Psychiatric Disorders: A Longitudinal Study in a Follow-up Stroke Clinic

Current Neurovascular Research ◽

10.2174/1567202617666200423090958 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 17 (3) ◽

pp. 218-223

Author(s):

Haichao Wang ◽

Li Gong ◽

Xiaomei Xia ◽

Qiong Dong ◽

Aiping Jin ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Blood Cell ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Depression And Anxiety ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Post Stroke ◽

Rbc Indices ◽

Post Stroke Depression

Background: Depression and anxiety after stroke are common conditions that are likely to be neglected. Abnormal red blood cell (RBC) indices may be associated with neuropsychiatric disorders. However, the association of RBC indices with post-stroke depression (PSD) and poststroke anxiety (PSA) has not been sufficiently investigated. Methods: We aimed to investigate the trajectory of post-stroke depression and anxiety in our follow- up stroke clinic at 1, 3, and 6 months, and the association of RBC indices with these. One hundred and sixty-two patients with a new diagnosis of ischemic stroke were followed up at 1, 3, and 6 months, and underwent Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and the general anxiety disorder 7-item (GAD-7) questionnaire for evaluation of depression and anxiety, respectively. First, we used Kaplan-Meier analysis to investigate the accumulated incidences of post-stroke depression and post-stroke anxiety. Next, to explore the association of RBC indices with psychiatric disorders after an ischemic stroke attack, we adjusted for demographic and vascular risk factors using multivariate Cox regression analysis. Results: Of the 162 patients with new-onset of ischemic stroke, we found the accumulated incidence rates of PSD (1.2%, 17.9%, and 35.8%) and PSA (1.2%, 13.6%, and 15.4%) at 1, 3, and 6 months, respectively. The incident PSD and PSA increased 3 months after a stroke attack. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated independent positive associations between PSD risk and higher mean corpuscular volume (MCV) (OR=1.42, 95% CI=1.16-1.76), older age (OR=2.63, 95% CI=1.16-5.93), and a negative relationship between male sex (OR=0.95, 95% CI=0.91-0.99) and PSA. Conclusion: The risks of PSD and PSA increased substantially 3 months beyond stroke onset. Of the RBC indices, higher MCV, showed an independent positive association with PSD.

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Long-Term Clinical Outcome in Elderly Patients Undergoing Mitral Valve Repair

The Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgeon ◽

10.1055/s-0040-1716324 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Julia Götte ◽

Armin Zittermann ◽

Kavous Hakim-Meibodi ◽

Masatoshi Hata ◽

Rene Schramm ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Mitral Valve ◽

General Population ◽

Elderly Patients ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Functional Class ◽

Tricuspid Valve Repair ◽

Valve Repair ◽

Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background Long-term data on patients over 75 years undergoing mitral valve (MV) repair are scarce. At our high-volume institution, we, therefore, aimed to evaluate mortality, stroke risk, and reoperation rates in these patients. Methods We investigated clinical outcomes in 372 patients undergoing MV repair with (n = 115) or without (n = 257) tricuspid valve repair. The primary endpoint was the probability of survival up to a maximum follow-up of 9 years. Secondary clinical endpoints were stroke and reoperation of the MV during follow-up. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to assess independent predictors of mortality. Mortality was also compared with the age- and sex-adjusted general population. Results During a median follow-up period of 37 months (range: 0.1–108 months), 90 patients died. The following parameters were independently associated with mortality: double valve repair (hazard ratio, confidence interval [HR, 95% CI]: 2.15, 1.37–3.36), advanced age (HR: 1.07, CI: 1.01–1.14 per year), diabetes (HR: 1.97, CI: 1.13–3.43), preoperative New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class (HR: 1.41, CI: 1.01–1.97 per class), and operative creatininemax levels (HR: 1.32, CI: 1.13–1.55 per mg/dL). The risk of stroke in the isolated MV and double valve repair groups at postoperative year 5 was 5.0 and 4.1%, respectively (p = 0.65). The corresponding values for the risk of reoperation were 4.0 and 7.0%, respectively (p = 0.36). Nine-year survival was comparable with the general population (53.2 vs. 53.1%). Conclusion Various independent risk factors for mortality in elderly MV repair patients could be identified, but overall survival rates were similar to those of the general population. Consequently, our data indicates that repairing the MV in elderly patients represents a suitable and safe surgical approach.

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The Role of Hydraulic Silicate Cements on Long-Term Properties and Biocompatibility of Partial Pulpotomy in Permanent Teeth

Materials ◽

10.3390/ma14020305 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 14 (2) ◽

pp. 305

Author(s):

Chung-Min Kang ◽

Saemi Seong ◽

Je Seon Song ◽

Yooseok Shin

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Antimicrobial Properties ◽

Permanent Teeth ◽

Success Rates ◽

Pulp Tissue ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Clinical Variables

The use of hydraulic silicate cements (HSCs) for vital pulp therapy has been found to release calcium and hydroxyl ions promoting pulp tissue healing and mineralized tissue formation. The present study investigated whether HSCs such as mineral trioxide aggregate (MTA) affect their biological and antimicrobial properties when used as long-term pulp protection materials. The effect of variables on treatment outcomes of three HSCs (ProRoot MTA, OrthoMTA, and RetroMTA) was evaluated clinically and radiographically over a 48–78 month follow-up period. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan–Meier survival curves. Fisher’s exact test and Cox regression analysis were used to determine hazard ratios of clinical variables. The overall success rate of MTA partial pulpotomy was 89.3%; Cumulative success rates of the three HSCs were not statistically different when analyzed by Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. None of the investigated clinical variables affected success rates significantly. These HSCs showed favorable biocompatibility and antimicrobial properties in partial pulpotomy of permanent teeth in long-term follow-up, with no statistical differences between clinical factors.

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Incremental changes in QRS duration as predictor for cardiovascular disease: a 21-year follow-up of a randomly selected general population

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-93024-y ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Xiaojing Chen ◽

Per-Olof Hansson ◽

Erik Thunström ◽

Zacharias Mandalenakis ◽

Kenneth Caidahl ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

General Population ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Population Sample ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Major Cardiovascular Events ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Qrs Duration ◽

Group 1

AbstractThe QRS complex has been shown to be a prognostic marker in coronary artery disease. However, the changes in QRS duration over time, and its predictive value for cardiovascular disease in the general population is poorly studied. So we aimed to explore if increased QRS duration from the age of 50–60 is associated with increased risk of major cardiovascular events during a further follow-up to age 71. A random population sample of 798 men born in 1943 were examined in 1993 at 50 years of age, and re-examined in 2003 at age 60 and 2014 at age 71. Participants who developed cardiovascular disease before the re-examination in 2003 (n = 86) or missing value of QRS duration in 2003 (n = 127) were excluded. ΔQRS was defined as increase in QRS duration from age 50 to 60. Participants were divided into three groups: group 1: ΔQRS < 4 ms, group 2: 4 ms ≤ ΔQRS < 8 ms, group 3: ΔQRS ≥ 8 ms. Endpoints were major cardiovascular events. And we found compared with men in group 1 (ΔQRS < 4 ms), men with ΔQRS ≥ 8 ms had a 56% increased risk of MACE during follow-up to 71 years of age after adjusted for BMI, systolic blood pressure, smoking, hyperlipidemia, diabetes and heart rate in a multivariable Cox regression analysis (HR 1.56, 95% CI:1.07–2.27, P = 0.022). In conclusion, in this longitudinal follow-up over a decade QRS duration increased in almost two out of three men between age 50 and 60 and the increased QRS duration in middle age is an independent predictor of major cardiovascular events.

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Tocilizumab improves survival in severe COVID-19 pneumonia with persistent hypoxia: A retrospective cohort study with follow-up from Mumbai, India

10.21203/rs.3.rs-88185/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

YOJANA Gokhale ◽

Rakshita Mehta ◽

Uday Kulkarni ◽

Nitin Karnik ◽

Sushant Gokhale B.Tech ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Retrospective Cohort ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Virus Disease ◽

Care Center ◽

Tertiary Care ◽

Supplemental Oxygen ◽

Cytokine Storm ◽

Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background: Cytokine storm triggered by Severe Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with high mortality. With high ‘Interlukin -6’ (IL-6) levels reported in COVID-19 deaths in China1, IL-6 is considered to be the key player in COVID-19 cytokine storm. Tocilizumab, a monoclonal antibody against IL-6 receptor, is used on compassionate grounds for treatment of COVID-19 cytokine storm. Aim of this study was to assess effect of tocilizumab on mortality due to COVID-19 cytokine storm.Method: This retrospective, observational study included patients of severe COVID-19 pneumonia with persistent hypoxia (defined as saturation 94% or less on supplemental Oxygen of 15 L per minute through non-rebreathing mask or PaO2/FiO2 ratio of less than 200) who were admitted to tertiary care center in Mumbai, India, between 31st March to 5th July 2020. In addition to standard care, single Inj. Tocilizumab 400mg was given intravenously to 151 consecutive COVID-19 patients with persistent hypoxia from 13th May to 5th July 2020. These 151 patients were retrospectively analysed and compared with historic controls i.e consecutive COVID-19 patients with persistent hypoxia, defined as above (N=118, from our first COVID-19 admission on 31st March to 12th May 2020 ie till tocilizumab was available in hospital). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed for identifying predictors of survival. Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS version 26.Results: On multivariate Cox regression analysis, independent predictors of survival were use of tocilizumab (HR 0.621, 95% CI 0.427-0.903, P 0.013) and higher oxygen saturation.Conclusion: Tocilizumab improved survival in severe COVID-19 pneumonia with persistent hypoxia

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Role of Disease Modifying Treatment in the Risk of Alloimmunization in Transfused Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndromes: A Population-Based Study

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood-2019-123357 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. 4253-4253

Author(s):

Hanne Rozema ◽

Robby Kibbelaar ◽

Nic Veeger ◽

Mels Hoogendoorn ◽

Eric van Roon

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Population Based ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Blood Products ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

In The Beginning ◽

Observation Period

The majority of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) require regular red blood cell (RBC) transfusions. Alloimmunization (AI) against blood products is an adverse event, causing time-consuming RBC compatibility testing. The reported incidence of AI in MDS patients varies greatly. Even though different studies on AI in MDS patients have been performed, there are still knowledge gaps. Current literature has not yet fully identified the risk factors and dynamics of AI in individual patients, nor has the influence of disease modifying treatment (DMT) been explored. Therefore, we performed this study to evaluate the effect of DMT on AI. An observational, population-based study, using the HemoBase registry, was performed including all newly diagnosed MDS patients between 2005 and 2017 in Friesland, a province of the Netherlands. All available information about treatment and transfusions, including transfusion dates, types, and treatment regimens, was collected from the electronic health records and laboratory systems. Follow-up occurred through March 2019. For our patient cohort, blood products were matched for AB0 and RhD, and transfused per the 'type and screen' policy (i.e. electronic matching of blood group phenotype between patient and donor). After a positive antibody screening, antibody identification and Rh/K phenotyping was performed and subsequent blood products were (cross)matched accordingly. The observation period was counted from first transfusion until last transfusion or first AI event. Univariate analyses and cumulative frequency distributions were performed to study possible risk factors and dynamics of AI. DMT was defined as hypomethylating agents, lenalidomide, chemotherapy and monoclonal antibodies. The effect of DMT as a temporary risk period on the risk of AI was estimated with incidence rates, relative risks (RR) and hazard ratios (HR) using a cox regression analysis. Follow-up was limited to 24 months for the cox regression analysis to avoid possible bias by survival differences. Statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS 24 and SAS 9.4. Out of 292 MDS patients, 236 patients received transfusions and were included in this study, covering 463 years of follow-up. AI occurred in 24 patients (10%). AI occurred mostly in the beginning of the observation period: Eighteen patients (75%) were alloimmunized after receiving 20 units of RBCs, whereas 22 patients (92%) showed AI after 45 units of RBCs (Figure 1). We found no significant risk factors for AI in MDS patients at baseline. DMT was given to 67 patients (28%) during the observation period. Patients on DMT received more RBC transfusions than patients that did not receive DMT (median of 33 (range: 3-154) and 11 (range: 0-322) RBC units respectively, p<0,001). Four AI events (6%) occurred in patients on DMT and 20 AI events (12%) occurred in patients not on DMT. Cox regression analysis of the first 24 months of follow-up showed an HR of 0.30 (95% CI: 0.07-1.31; p=0.11). The incidence rates per 100 person-years were 3.19 and 5.92 respectively. The corresponding RR was 0.54 (95% CI: 0.16-1.48; p=0.26). Based on our results, we conclude that the incidence of AI in an unselected, real world MDS population receiving RBC transfusions is 10% and predominantly occurred in the beginning of follow-up. Risk factors for AI at baseline could not be identified. Our data showed that patients on DMT received significantly more RBC transfusions but were less susceptible to AI. Therefore, extensive matching of blood products may not be necessary for patients on DMT. Larger studies are needed to confirm the protective effect of DMT on AI. Disclosures Rozema: Celgene: Other: Financial support for visiting MDS Foundation conference.

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Abstract 19123: Elevated Growth and Differentiation Factor 15 (GDF15) Levels Predict Outcome in Patients With Severe Aortic Stenosis Undergoing Tavi

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.130.suppl_2.19123 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽

Author(s):

Nora Krau ◽

Sandra Freitag-Wolf ◽

Doreen Brehm ◽

Rainer Petzina ◽

Georg Lutter ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Aortic Valve ◽

Risk Stratification ◽

Transforming Growth Factor ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Severe Aortic Stenosis ◽

Statistical Significance ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Negative Outcome

Background: GDF15 belongs to the transforming growth factor superfamily and has a significant role in regulating inflammatory and apoptotic pathways. GDF15 is an emerging biomarker for risk stratification in cardiovascular disease. Here we analyze its prognostic value in patients with severe symptomatic aortic valve stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Methods and Results: We prospectively enrolled 217 patients undergoing TAVI (using Edwards Sapien XT prostheses) at our institution over a continuous period of 35 month (2/2011-12/2013). All patients were available for complete follow up. Clinical parameters were determined before the procedure, biomarkers (GDF15 & NTproBNP) were measured before, 3 and 7 days after TAVI. The primary endpoint was survival time, all available prognostic factors were studied by Cox regression analysis with backward selection based on the likelihood ratio criteria. At median follow-up of 349 d (Q1-Q3 106-660d), a total of n=66 deaths occurred. 30d mortality was 6.9%. Mean age was 81.8 years (± 6.0 y) and 55.8% were females. Mean log. Euroscore (ES) was 25.4% (± 17.2%). Median preprocedural GDF15 values were 2256 pg/ml (Q1-Q3 1585.5-3082.0). In univariate analyses, increased GDF15 levels (upper quartile compared to lower three quartiles) revealed a HR of 2.4 (CI 1.5-3.9, p<0.001) for adverse outcome. In addition, also log. ES (p= 0.001), log. ES II (p=0.018), STS-Score (p=0.019), NTproBNP (p=0.037) and atrial fibrillation (p=0.02) demonstrated statistical significance for negative outcome. A multivariate Cox regression analysis including these factors and postprocedural aortic regurgitation, demonstrated that elevated GDF15 had a HR of 2.104 (CI 1.3-3.5; p=0.003) for negative outcome in patients undergoing TAVI, while elevated NTproBNP had HR of 1.412 (CI 0.8-2.4; p=0.212). Moreover, this analysis also revealed the log. ES as an independent risk factor (HR of 2.211, CI 1.3-3.7; p= 0.002). Conclusion: Increased GDF15 levels are associated with a poor prognosis in patients undergoing TAVI. Furthermore, GDF15 showed to be superior to the established biomarker NTproBNP in risk stratification of patients undergoing TAVI providing additional prognostic information.

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