Abstract 17114: CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc Score is a Poor Predictor of Thromboembolic Events in Heart Failure Patients With and Without Atrial Fibrillation

Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 138 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Harold Rivner ◽  
George R Marzouka ◽  
Fei Tang ◽  
Jeffrey J Goldberger
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Predictive Models ◽  
Retrospective Cohort ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Thromboembolic Events ◽  
Poor Predictor ◽  
Baseline Characteristics ◽  
Event Rates

Introduction: Recent evidence suggests that the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score could be used to predict thromboembolic events (TE) (both CVA and noncerebral thromboembolism) in heart failure (HF) patients without atrial fibrillation (AF). This non-American cohort study had several limitations. We performed a retrospective analysis using the national Veteran Affairs database to externally validate the findings. Hypothesis: The CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score can be used equally to predict TE in HF patients with or without AF. Methods: A retrospective cohort of the national Veteran’s Affairs database was used to identify HF patients discharged between 2002-2010. Rates for TE were calculated at both 1 and 5 years. C-statistics were calculated to test the performance of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc in predicting the rate of TE in HF patients with and without AF. Patients who developed AF during the follow-up period (crossovers) and those on anticoagulation where excluded. Negative predictive value was calculated using cutoff value of 1. Results: A total of 77,601 patients were included in this analysis: 51,667 without AF and 15,630 with AF. 10,294 crossover patients were excluded. Baseline characteristics and medications are listed in Table 1. Event rates are reported in Table 2—there is a small trend towards higher incidence with increasing score in both groups. However, C-statistics were overall poor but similar for predicting TE in both groups (Table 3) Conclusion: Our analysis suggests CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc is a poor predictive model for TE in HF with or without AF. We found that previous conclusions regarding the predictive ability of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc are not generalizable to our large American cohort. Like previously published studies, we show that the predictive ability of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc was similar in both HF patients with or without AF, despite excluding patient receiving anticoagulation. This suggests that AF may not be the main predictor of TE in HF patients. There is a need for better predictive models for TE in HF.

Abstract 14398: African Americans With Transthyretin Cardiac Amyloidosis Have a Lower Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation but Increased Thromboembolic Events Than Caucasians

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lindsey R Mitrani ◽  
Silvia Vilches ◽  
Roberta Mussinelli ◽  
Francesco Salinaro ◽  
Jeffeny De Los Santos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
African Americans ◽  
Cardiac Amyloidosis ◽  
Thromboembolic Events ◽  
Lower Prevalence ◽  
Common Cause ◽  
Major Bleed ◽  
Baseline Characteristics ◽  
Ischemic Attack

Background: African Americans (AA) have a higher rate of stroke and of stroke-related death compared with Caucasians (Cau). Paradoxically, atrial fibrillation (AF), a common cause of stroke, affects twice as many Cau compared with AA. Transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (ATTR-CA) is commonly associated with AF and strokes. We hypothesized that AF race-related patterns in the general population would exist in patients with ATTR-CA with increased thromboembolic events in the AA population. Methods: Patients with ATTR-CA (n=615) at four international centers were retrospectively identified. We compared baseline characteristics, presence of atrial fibrillation, and outcomes of thromboembolic events (stroke, transient ischemic attack, and peripheral embolism) and major bleed between AA and Cau. Results: Of 615 patients, 545 (88.6%) identified as Cau, and 70 (11.4%) as AA. As shown in table 1, Cau patients were diagnosed with AF more often than AA (p <0.01), while AA were younger and more often had ATTRv disease (p <0.01). Both prevalent and incident thromboembolic events were more common in AA than Cau. Major bleeding was more prevalent at baseline for AA with no difference was shown in follow-up, though AA had more often labile INR (p<0.01). AA more frequently had no anticoagulation compared with Cau (p<0.01) Over a median of 26 months, 24 Cau (4.4%) had thromboembolic events compared with 10 (14.3%) AA (p <0.01). Conclusions: These data suggest that while Cau with ATTR-CA more often have AF than AA, thromboembolic events are more common in the AA population. Whether these data relate to mechanism of disease or disparities in healthcare is yet to be determined

scholarly journals Thromboembolic events around the time of cardioversion for atrial fibrillation in patients receiving antiplatelet treatment in the ACTIVE trials

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (36) ◽  
pp. 3026-3032 ◽  
Author(s):  
William F McIntyre ◽  
Stuart J Connolly ◽  
Jia Wang ◽  
Simona Masiero ◽  
Alexander P Benz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Temporal Pattern ◽  
Risk Marker ◽  
Thromboembolic Events ◽  
Antiplatelet Treatment ◽  
Thromboembolic Risk ◽  
Before And After

Abstract Aims It is unknown whether cardioversion of atrial fibrillation causes thromboembolic events or is a risk marker. To assess causality, we examined the temporal pattern of thromboembolism in patients having cardioversion. Methods and results We studied patients randomized to aspirin or aspirin plus clopidogrel in the ACTIVE trials, comparing the thromboembolic rate in the peri-cardioversion period (30 days before until 30 days after) to the rate during follow-up, remote from cardioversion. Among 962 patients, the 30-day thromboembolic rate remote from cardioversion was 0.16%; while it was 0.73% in the peri-cardioversion period [hazard ratio (HR) 4.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.1–7.9]. The 30-day thromboembolic rates in the periods immediately before and after cardioversion were 0.47% and 0.96%, respectively (HR 2.2, 95% CI 0.7–7.1). Heart failure (HF) hospitalization increased in the peri-cardioversion period (HR 11.5, 95% CI 6.8–19.4). Compared to baseline, the thromboembolic rate in the 30 days following cardioversion was increased both in patients who received oral anticoagulation or a transoesophageal echocardiogram prior to cardioversion (HR 7.9, 95% CI 2.8–22.4) and in those who did not (HR 4.8, 95% CI 1.6–14.9) (interaction P = 0.2); the risk was also increased with successful (HR 4.5; 95% CI 2.0–10.5) and unsuccessful (HR 10.2; 95% CI 2.3–44.9) cardioversion. Conclusions Thromboembolic risk increased in the 30 days before cardioversion and persisted until 30 days post-cardioversion, in a pattern similar to HF hospitalization. These data suggest that the increased thromboembolic risk around the time of cardioversion may not be entirely causal, but confounded by the overall clinical deterioration of patients requiring cardioversion.

scholarly journals POSTERS (2)96CONTINUOUS VERSUS INTERMITTENT MONITORING FOR DETECTION OF SUBCLINICAL ATRIAL FIBRILLATION IN HIGH-RISK PATIENTS97HIGH DAY-TO-DAY INTRA-INDIVIDUAL REPRODUCIBILITY OF THE HEART RATE RESPONSE TO EXERCISE IN THE UK BIOBANK DATA98USE OF NOVEL GLOBAL ULTRASOUND IMAGING AND CONTINUEOUS DIPOLE DENSITY MAPPING TO GUIDE ABLATION IN MACRO-REENTRANT TACHYCARDIAS99ANTICOAGULATION AND THE RISK OF COMPLICATIONS IN PATIENTS UNDERGOING VT AND PVC ABLATION100NON-SUSTAINED VENTRICULAR TACHYCARDIA FREQUENTLY PRECEDES CARDIAC ARREST IN PATIENTS WITH BRUGADA SYNDROME101USING HIGH PRECISION HAEMODYNAMIC MEASUREMENTS TO ASSESS DIFFERENCES IN AV OPTIMUM BETWEEN DIFFERENT LEFT VENTRICULAR LEAD POSITIONS IN BIVENTRICULAR PACING102CAN WE PREDICT MEDIUM TERM MORTALITY FROM TRANSVENOUS LEAD EXTRACTION PRE-OPERATIVELY?103PREVENTION OF UNECESSARY ADMISSIONS IN ATRIAL FIBRILLATION104EPICARDIAL CATHETER ABLATION FOR VENTRICULAR TACHYCARDIA ON UNINTERRUPTED WARFARIN: A SAFE APPROACH?105HOW WELL DOES THE NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF CLINICAL EXCELLENCE (NICE) GUIDENCE ON TRANSIENT LOSS OF CONSCIOUSNESS (T-LoC) WORK IN A REAL WORLD? AN AUDIT OF THE SECOND STAGE SPECIALIST CARDIOVASCULAT ASSESSMENT AND DIAGNOSIS106DETECTION OF ATRIAL FIBRILLATION IN COMMUNITY LOCATIONS USING NOVEL TECHNOLOGY'S AS A METHOD OF STROKE PREVENTION IN THE OVER 65'S ASYMPTOMATIC POPULATION - SHOULD IT BECOME STANDARD PRACTISE?107HIGH-DOSE ISOPRENALINE INFUSION AS A METHOD OF INDUCTION OF ATRIAL FIBRILLATION: A MULTI-CENTRE, PLACEBO CONTROLLED CLINICAL TRIAL IN PATIENTS WITH VARYING ARRHYTHMIC RISK108PACEMAKER COMPLICATIONS IN A DISTRICT GENERAL HOSPITAL109CARDIAC RESYNCHRONISATION THERAPY: A TRADE-OFF BETWEEN LEFT VENTRICULAR VOLTAGE OUTPUT AND EJECTION FRACTION?110RAPID DETERIORATION IN LEFT VENTRICULAR FUNCTION AND ACUTE HEART FAILURE AFTER DUAL CHAMBER PACEMAKER INSERTION WITH RESOLUTION FOLLOWING BIVENTRICULAR PACING111LOCALLY PERSONALISED ATRIAL ELECTROPHYSIOLOGY MODELS FROM PENTARAY CATHETER MEASUREMENTS112EVALUATION OF SUBCUTANEOUS ICD VERSUS TRANSVENOUS ICD- A PROPENSITY MATCHED COST-EFFICACY ANALYSIS OF COMPLICATIONS & OUTCOMES113LOCALISING DRIVERS USING ORGANISATIONAL INDEX IN CONTACT MAPPING OF HUMAN PERSISTENT ATRIAL FIBRILLATION114RISK FACTORS FOR SUDDEN CARDIAC DEATH IN PAEDIATRIC HYPERTROPHIC CARDIOMYOPATHY: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS115EFFECT OF CATHETER STABILITY AND CONTACT FORCE ON VISITAG DENSITY DURING PULMONARY VEIN ISOLATION116HEPATIC CAPSULE ENHANCEMENT IS COMMONLY SEEN DURING MR-GUIDED ABLATION OF ATRIAL FLUTTER: A MECHANISTIC INSIGHT INTO PROCEDURAL PAIN117DOES HIGHER CONTACT FORCE IMPAIR LESION FORMATION AT THE CAVOTRICUSPID ISTHMUS? INSIGHTS FROM MR-GUIDED ABLATION OF ATRIAL FLUTTER118CLINICAL CHARACTERISATION OF A MALIGNANT SCN5A MUTATION IN CHILDHOOD119RADIOFREQUENCY ASSOCIATED VENTRICULAR FIBRILLATION120CONTRACTILE RESERVE EXPRESSED AS SYSTOLIC VELOCITY DOES NOT PREDICT RESPONSE TO CRT121DAY-CASE DEVICES - A RETROSPECTIVE STUDY USING PATIENT CODING DATA122PATIENTS UNDERGOING SVT ABLATION HAVE A HIGH INCIDENCE OF SECONDARY ARRHYTHMIA ON FOLLOW UP: IMPLICATIONS FOR PRE-PROCEDURE COUNSELLING123PROGNOSTIC ROLE OF HAEMOGLOBINN AND RED BLOOD CELL DITRIBUTION WIDTH IN PATIENTS WITH HEART FAILURE UNDERGOING CARDIAC RESYNCHRONIZATION THERAPY124REMOTE MONITORING AND FOLLOW UP DEVICES125A 20-YEAR, SINGLE-CENTRE EXPERIENCE OF IMPLANTABLE CARDIOVERTER DEFIBRILLATORS (ICD) IN CHILDREN: TIME TO CONSIDER THE SUBCUTANEOUS ICD?126EXPERIENCE OF MAGNETIC REASONANCE IMAGING (MEI) IN PATIENTS WITH MRI CONDITIONAL DEVICES127THE SINUS BRADYCARDIA SEEN IN ATHLETES IS NOT CAUSED BY ENHANCED VAGAL TONE BUT INSTEAD REFLECTS INTRINSIC CHANGES IN THE SINUS NODE REVEALED BY I (F) BLOCKADE128SUCCESSFUL DAY-CASE PACEMAKER IMPLANTATION - AN EIGHT YEAR SINGLE-CENTRE EXPERIENCE129LEFT VENTRICULAR INDEX MASS ASSOCIATED WITH ESC HYPERTROPHIC CARDIOMYOPATHY RISK SCORE IN PATIENTS WITH ICDs: A TERTIARY CENTRE HCM REGISTRY130A DGH EXPERIENCE OF DAY-CASE CARDIAC PACEMAKER IMPLANTATION131IS PRE-PROCEDURAL FASTING A NECESSITY FOR SAFE PACEMAKER IMPLANTATION?

EP Europace ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (suppl 2) ◽  
pp. ii36-ii47
Author(s):  
T. Philippsen ◽  
M. Orini ◽  
C.A. Martin ◽  
E. Volkova ◽  
J.O.M. Ormerod ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ventricular Tachycardia ◽  
Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy ◽  
Pacemaker Implantation ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Day Case ◽  
Single Centre ◽  
Subcutaneous Icd

scholarly journals Plasma natriuretic peptide level is an independent determinant of major clinical outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients without heart failure: the Fushimi AF Registry

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Hamatani ◽  
M Iguchi ◽  
Y Aono ◽  
K Ishigami ◽  
S Ikeda ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Chronic Kidney Disease ◽  
Kidney Disease ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Prognostic Marker ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Systemic Embolism ◽  
The Mean

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of death, stroke/systemic embolism and heart failure (HF). Plasma natriuretic peptide (NP) level is an important prognostic marker in HF patients. However, little is known regarding the prognostic significance of plasma NP level in AF patients without HF. Purpose The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between plasma NP level and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization during follow-up period in AF patients without HF. Methods The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in our city. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of November 2019. From the registry, we excluded 1,220 patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction &lt;40%). Among 3,246 AF patients without HF, we investigated 1,189 patients with the data of plasma BNP (n=401) or N-terminal pro-BNP (n=788) level at the enrollment. We divided the patients according to the quartile of each plasma BNP or NT-pro BNP level and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups stratified by plasma NP level. Results Of 1,189 patients, the mean age was 72.1±10.2 years, 454 (38%) were female and 684 (58%) were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score were 1.6±1.1 and 2.9±1.5, respectively. Oral anticoagulants were prescribed in 671 (56%) at baseline. The median (interquartile range) BNP and N-terminal pro-BNP level were 84 (38, 176) and 500 (155, 984) pg/ml, respectively. Patients with high plasma NP level were older, and demonstrated lower prevalence of paroxysmal AF, higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores and higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulants prescription (all P&lt;0.01). A total of 165 all-cause death, 114 stroke/systemic embolism and 103 HF hospitalization occurred during the median follow-up period of 5.0 years. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that higher plasma NP level was significantly associated with the incidences of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF (Figure 1A). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that plasma NP level could stratify the risk of clinical outcomes even after adjustment by type of AF, CHA2DS2-VASc score, chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulant prescription (Figure 1B). Conclusion Plasma NP level is a significant prognostic marker for all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF, suggesting the importance of measuring plasma NP level in AF patients even without HF. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Long-term impact of new-onset atrial fibrillation complicating acute myocardial infarction on heart failure: insights from the NOAFCAMI-SH registry

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S.L Xu ◽  
J Luo ◽  
H.Q Li ◽  
Z.Q Li ◽  
B.X Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Acute Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Natural Science ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Onset Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
New Onset

Abstract Background New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) complicating acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been associated with poor survival, but the clinical implication of NOAF on subsequent heart failure (HF) is still not well studied. We aimed to investigate the relationship between NOAF following AMI and HF hospitalization. Methods This retrospective cohort study was conducted between February 2014 and March 2018, using data from the New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Complicating Acute Myocardial Infarction in ShangHai registry, where all participants did not have a documented AF history. Patients with AMI who discharged alive and had complete echocardiography and follow-up data were analyzed. The primary outcome was HF hospitalization, which was defined as a minimum of an overnight hospital stay of a participant who presented with symptoms and signs of HF or received intravenous diuretics. Results A total of 2075 patients were included, of whom 228 developed NOAF during the index AMI hospitalization. During up to 5 years of follow-up (median: 2.7 years), 205 patients (9.9%) experienced HF hospitalization and 220 patients (10.6%) died. The incidence rate of HF hospitalization among patients with NOAF was 18.4% per year compared with 2.8% per year for those with sinus rhythm. After adjustment for confounders, NOAF was significantly associated with HF hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.14, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.30–4.28; p&lt;0.001). Consistent result was observed after accounting for the competing risk of all-cause death (subdistribution HR: 3.06, 95% CI: 2.18–4.30; p&lt;0.001) or performing a propensity score adjusted multivariable model (HR: 3.28, 95% CI: 2.39–4.50; p&lt;0.001). Furthermore, the risk of HF hospitalization was significantly higher in patients with persistent NOAF (HR: 5.81; 95% CI: 3.59–9.41) compared with that in those with transient NOAF (HR: 2.61; 95% CI: 1.84–3.70; p interaction = 0.008). Conclusion NOAF complicating AMI is strongly associated with an increased long-term risk of heart. Cumulative incidence of outcome Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): 1. National Natural Science Foundation of China, 2. Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai

Catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a systematic review and meta-analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
O.M Aldaas ◽  
F Lupercio ◽  
C.L Malladi ◽  
P.S Mylavarapu ◽  
D Darden ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Systematic Review ◽  
Catheter Ablation ◽  
Ejection Fraction ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Preserved Ejection Fraction ◽  
Patients With Heart Failure ◽  
One Year

Abstract Background Catheter ablation improves clinical outcomes in symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). However, the role of catheter ablation in HF patients with a preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is less clear. Purpose To determine the efficacy of catheter ablation of AF in patients with HFpEF relative to those with HFrEF. Methods We performed an extensive literature search and systematic review of studies that compared AF recurrence at one year after catheter ablation of AF in patients with HFpEF versus those with HFrEF. Risk ratio (RR) 95% confidence intervals were measured using the Mantel-Haenszel method for dichotomous variables, where a RR&lt;1.0 favors the HFpEF group. Results Four studies with a total of 563 patients were included, of which 312 had HFpEF and 251 had HFrEF. All patients included were undergoing first time catheter ablation of AF. Patients with HFpEF experienced similar recurrence of AF one year after ablation on or off antiarrhythmic drugs compared to those with HFrEF (RR 0.87; 95% CI 0.69–1.10, p=0.24), as shown in Figure 1. Recurrence of AF was assessed with electrocardiography, Holter monitoring, and/or event monitoring at scheduled follow-up visits and final follow-up. Conclusion Based on the results of this meta-analysis, catheter ablation of AF in patients with HFpEF appears as efficacious in maintaining sinus rhythm as in those with HFrEF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

B-Type natriuretic peptide predicts major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation: insights from AF frontier ablation registry

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Kato ◽  
K Usuda ◽  
H Tada ◽  
T Tsuda ◽  
K Takeuchi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Catheter Ablation ◽  
Natriuretic Peptide ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Curve Analysis ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Cerebrovascular Events

Abstract Background High plasma B-Type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level is associated with cardiac events or stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is still unknown whether BNP predicts worse clinical outcomes after catheter ablation ofAF. Purpose We aimed to see if plasma BNP level is associated with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) after catheter ablation of AF. Methods We retrospectively analyzed 1,853 participants (73.1% men, mean age 63.3±10.3 years, 60.7% paroxysmal AF) who received first catheter ablation of AF with pre-ablation plasma BNP level measurement and completed follow-up more than 3 months after the procedure from AF Frontier Ablation Registry, a multicenter cohort study in Japan. We evaluated an association between plasma BNP level before catheter ablation and first MACCE in cox-regression hazard models adjusted for known risk factors. MACCE were defined as stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA), cardiovascular events or all-cause death. Results The mean plasma BNP level was 120.2±3.7 pg/mL. During a mean follow-up period of 21.9 months, 57 patients (3.1%) suffered MACCE (ischemic stroke 8 [14.0%], hemorrhagic stroke 5 [8.8%], TIA 5 [8.8%], hospitalization for heart failure 11 [19.2%], acute coronary syndrome 9 [15.8%], hospitalization for other cardiovascular events 8 [14.0%] and all-cause death 11 [19.2%]). Plasma BNP level of patients with MACCE were significantly higher than those without MACCE (291.7±47.0 vs 114.7±3.42 pg/mL, P&lt;0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that plasma BNP level (hazard ratio [HR] per 10 pg/mL increase 1.014; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.005–1.023; P=0.001), baseline age (HR 1.052; 95% CI 1.022–1.084; P=0.001), heart failure (HR 2.698; 95% CI 1.512–4.815; P=0.001), old myocardial infarction (HR 3.593; 95% CI 1.675–7.708; P=0.001) and non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (HR 2.676; 95% CI 1.337 - 5.355; P=0.005) were independently associated with MACCE. At receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis, plasma BNP level before catheter ablation ≥162.7 pg/mL was the best threshold to predict MACCE (area under the curve: 0.71). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis (Figure) showed that the cumulative incidence of MACCE was significantly higher in patients with a BNP ≥162.7 pg/mL than in those with a BNP below 162.7 pg/mL (HR 4.85; 95% CI 2.86–8.21; P&lt;0.001). Conclusions Elevation of plasma BNP level was independently related to the increased risk of MACCE after catheter ablation ofAF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Bristol-Meiers Squibb

Baseline characteristics and follow-up outcomes in routine clinical practice patients categorised by renal function in the ETNA-AF-Europe registry

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
R De Caterina ◽  
M Gwechenberger ◽  
A Bakhai ◽  
P Monteiro ◽  
P Kelly ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Renal Function ◽  
Total Mortality ◽  
Haemorrhagic Stroke ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Private Company ◽  
Group I ◽  
Baseline Characteristics ◽  
Event Rates

Abstract Background Edoxaban is an oral factor Xa inhibitor anticoagulant with 50% renal clearance, and proven efficacy and safety in patients (pts) with atrial fibrillation (AF). The post-authorisation, observational, ETNA-AF-Europe registry (NCT02944019) assessed the risks and benefits of edoxaban in pts with AF from 10 European countries. Purpose Evaluate baseline characteristics and event rates in pts categorised by creatinine clearance (CrCl) at 1-year follow-up of the ETNA-AF-Europe registry. Methods In this analysis, pts were divided into three groups according to CrCl: ≤50 ml/min (I), 50–80 mL/min (II) and ≥80 mL/min (III) (calculated using Cockcroft-Gault). Outcomes were descriptively analysed. Results Pts with the lowest CrCl (Group I) were mostly females, and had a higher mean age, lower body weight, higher stroke and bleeding risk scores and were considered more frail than those with higher CrCl (Groups II and III) (Table). Group I experienced higher rates of stroke or SEE, major or CRNM bleeding, cardiovascular death, and had a higher total mortality (Figure). Rates of intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) and haemorrhagic stroke (intracerebral and subarachnoid haemorrhage) were low and similar in pts across the range of CrCl. Conclusions Those with lower CrCl had more comorbidities and higher event rates than those with higher CrCl, with the exception of ICH and haemorrhagic stroke. A steep rise in the proportion of pts perceived as frail and in overall mortality in the lowest renal function tertile, raises the question whether low renal function is a determinant or a correlate of mortality. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Daiichi Sankyo Europe GmbH, Munich, Germany

Abstract 14344: Prognostic Factors of Atrial Fibrillation Patients With Coronary Artery Disease: The Fushimi Af Registry

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nobutoyo Masunaga ◽  
Hisashi Ogawa ◽  
Yuya Aono ◽  
Syuhei Ikeda ◽  
KOSUKE DOI ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Diabetes Mellitus ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Cardiac Death ◽  
Cardiovascular Events ◽  
Factors Associated ◽  
Artery Disease

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) patients are likely to have concomitant coronary artery disease (CAD). A new strategy of antithrombotic therapy in AF patients with stable CAD was demonstrated in recent randomized clinical trials. Now that antithrombotic therapy for AF patients with CAD has reached a major turning point, it is important to know the prognostic factors in those patients. Purpose: In this study, we investigated clinical characteristics, cardiovascular events and prognostic factors in AF patients with CAD. Methods: The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients who visited the participating medical institutions in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Follow up data including prescription status were available in 4,441 patients from March 2011 to November 2019. Of 4,441 patients, 645 patients had a history of CAD at enrollment. Results: The mean age was 76.4±8.6 and 65.9% were male. Averages of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score and HAS-BLED score were 4.41 and 2.35, respectively. Oral anticoagulant (OAC) was prescribed in 52.9% of those patients and antiplatelet drug (APD) was prescribed in 70.4%. The combination of OAC and APD was prescribed in 36.0%. During follow-up period (median 1,495 days), cardiac death occurred in 51 patients, composite of cardiac death, myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke in 136, and major bleeding in 77 (1.8, 5.1 and 2.9 per 100 person-years, respectively). In multivariate analysis, factors associated with composite of cardiac death, MI and stroke in AF patients with CAD were low body weight (<=50kg) (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]; 1.62 [1.07-2.47]), previous stroke (1.69 [1.13-2.52]), heart failure (1.47 [1.02-2.11]), hypertension (0.60 [0.41-0.87]) and diabetes mellitus (1.62 [1.13-2.32]). Furthermore, factors associated with major bleeding in AF patients with CAD were anemia (male: hemoglobin<12 g/dl, female: hemoglobin<11 g/dl) (1.82 [1.09-3.04]) and thrombocytopenia (<150,000 /μL) (3.02 [1.29-7.03]). Conclusion: In Japanese AF patients with CAD, low body weight, previous stroke, heart failure, hypertension and diabetes mellitus were associated with cardiovascular events, and anemia and thrombocytopenia were associated with major bleeding.

scholarly journals Association between clinical risk scores and mortality in atrial fibrillation: Systematic review and network meta-regression of 669,000 patients

2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
pp. 633-644 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Proietti ◽  
Alessio Farcomeni ◽  
Giulio Francesco Romiti ◽  
Arianna Di Rocco ◽  
Filippo Placentino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Clinical Risk ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
High Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Meta Regression

Aims Many clinical scores for risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation have been proposed, and some have been useful in predicting all-cause mortality. We aim to analyse the relationship between clinical risk score and all-cause death occurrence in atrial fibrillation patients. Methods We performed a systematic search in PubMed and Scopus from inception to 22 July 2017. We considered the following scores: ATRIA-Stroke, ATRIA-Bleeding, CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, HAS-BLED, HATCH and ORBIT. Papers reporting data about scores and all-cause death rates were considered. Results Fifty studies and 71 scores groups were included in the analysis, with 669,217 patients. Data on ATRIA-Bleeding, CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED were available. All the scores were significantly associated with an increased risk for all-cause death. All the scores showed modest predictive ability at five years (c-indexes (95% confidence interval) CHADS2: 0.64 (0.63–0.65), CHA2DS2-VASc: 0.62 (0.61–0.64), HAS-BLED: 0.62 (0.58–0.66)). Network meta-regression found no significant differences in predictive ability. CHA2DS2-VASc score had consistently high negative predictive value (≥94%) at one, three and five years of follow-up; conversely it showed the highest probability of being the best performing score (63% at one year, 60% at three years, 68% at five years). Conclusion In atrial fibrillation patients, contemporary clinical risk scores are associated with an increased risk of all-cause death. Use of these scores for death prediction in atrial fibrillation patients could be considered as part of holistic clinical assessment. The CHA2DS2-VASc score had consistently high negative predictive value during follow-up and the highest probability of being the best performing clinical score.

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