scholarly journals Restratification of the Upper Ocean after the Passage of a Tropical Cyclone: A Numerical Study

2012 ◽  
Vol 42 (9) ◽  
pp. 1377-1401 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Mei ◽  
Claudia Pasquero

Abstract The role of baroclinic instability in the restratification of the upper ocean after the passage of a tropical cyclone (TC) is determined by means of numerical simulations. Using a regional ocean model, the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS), a high-resolution three-dimensional simulation that includes the process of baroclinic instability and is initialized with moderate-amplitude eddy structures reproduces the satellite-observed decay rate of the TC-induced sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly and is also in qualitative agreement with published observations after the passage of Hurricane Fabian in 2003 that showed decaying cold and warm anomalies located in the climatological mixed layer (CML) and upper thermocline, respectively. The model ocean is restratified after approximately one month with a net heat gain in the water column due to anomalous air–sea heat fluxes. The model shows, however, that vertical heat fluxes associated with baroclinic instability dominate over air–sea heat fluxes in restoring the CML heat content during the first month. A comparison with two-dimensional simulations that exclude baroclinic adjustment further highlights the importance of baroclinic instability: it can not only input a considerable amount of heat into the CML, but also establish strong stratification there, inhibiting the downward penetration of heat contributed by diabatic heating at the surface; both effects hasten the recovery of the SST. Additional experiments were performed to examine the sensitivity of the model results to changes in Newtonian cooling rate, changes in the magnitude of the eddy structures used to initialize the simulation, and changes in poststorm wind strength; the results indicate that, although some of them may have a significant effect on the recovery time of the SST, their influence on the contribution of baroclinic instability to the recovery of the CML heat content is modest. However, the contribution of baroclinic instability exhibits pronounced positive dependence on the depth of the mixing layer relative to the CML depth and the relative size of the area with unperturbed water. Its dependence on the shape of the spatial variation of the mixing depth is relatively weak but in a more complicated manner. These dependencies are consistent with those predicted by a simple front adjustment model, whereas the latter also suggest that the contribution of baroclinic instability is independent of the prestorm stratification below the CML. Overall, the idealized simulations in this study suggest that, for a typical situation in the real ocean, baroclinic instability can account for approximately 50% of the full recovery of the CML heat content, whereas under specific conditions the contribution can be significantly smaller. Those estimates provide a limit to the maximum net warming of the water column after the initial mixing event and thus have important implications regarding estimating the long-term effect of TCs on the upper-ocean heat budget.

2021 ◽  
Vol 149 (5) ◽  
pp. 1517-1534
Author(s):  
Benjamin Jaimes de la Cruz ◽  
Lynn K. Shay ◽  
Joshua B. Wadler ◽  
Johna E. Rudzin

AbstractSea-to-air heat fluxes are the energy source for tropical cyclone (TC) development and maintenance. In the bulk aerodynamic formulas, these fluxes are a function of surface wind speed U10 and air–sea temperature and moisture disequilibrium (ΔT and Δq, respectively). Although many studies have explained TC intensification through the mutual dependence between increasing U10 and increasing sea-to-air heat fluxes, recent studies have found that TC intensification can occur through deep convective vortex structures that obtain their local buoyancy from sea-to-air moisture fluxes, even under conditions of relatively low wind. Herein, a new perspective on the bulk aerodynamic formulas is introduced to evaluate the relative contribution of wind-driven (U10) and thermodynamically driven (ΔT and Δq) ocean heat uptake. Previously unnoticed salient properties of these formulas, reported here, are as follows: 1) these functions are hyperbolic and 2) increasing Δq is an efficient mechanism for enhancing the fluxes. This new perspective was used to investigate surface heat fluxes in six TCs during phases of steady-state intensity (SS), slow intensification (SI), and rapid intensification (RI). A capping of wind-driven heat uptake was found during periods of SS, SI, and RI. Compensation by larger values of Δq > 5 g kg−1 at moderate values of U10 led to intense inner-core moisture fluxes of greater than 600 W m−2 during RI. Peak values in Δq preferentially occurred over oceanic regimes with higher sea surface temperature (SST) and upper-ocean heat content. Thus, increasing SST and Δq is a very effective way to increase surface heat fluxes—this can easily be achieved as a TC moves over deeper warm oceanic regimes.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diana Iakovleva ◽  
Igor Bashmachnikov

<p>Interannual variations in the upper ocean heat and freshwater contents in the subpolar North Atlantic has important climatic effect. It affects the intensity of deep convection, which, in turn, forms the link between upper and deep ocean circulation of the global ocean Conveyor Belt.</p><p>The upper ocean heat content is primarily affected by two main process: by the ocean-atmosphere heat exchange and by oceanic heat advection. The intensity of both fluxes in the subpolar gyre is linked to the character of atmospheric circulation, largely determined by the phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).</p><p>To study the interannual variability of the oceanic heat advection (in the upper 500<sup>th</sup> meters layer) we compare the results from four different data-sets: ARMOR-3D (1993-2018), SODA3.4.2 and SODA3.12.2 (1980-2017), and ORAS5 (1958-2017). The ocean-atmosphere heat exchange is accessed as the sum of the latent and the sensible heat fluxes, obtained from OAFlux data-set (1958-2016).</p><p>The oceanic heat advection to the Labrador and to the Irminger seas has high negative correlation (-0.79) with that into the Nordic Seas. During the years with high winter NAO Index (NAOI) the oceanic heat advection into the Subpolar Gyre decreases, while to the Nordic Seas – increases. These variations go in parallel with the intensification of the Norwegian, the West Spitsbergen and the slope East Greenland currents and weakening of the West Greenland and the Irminger Currents. During the years with high NAOI, the ocean heat release (both sensible and latent) over the Labrador and Irminger seas increases, but over the Norwegian Sea it decreases.</p><p>In summary, the results show that, during the positive NAO phase, the observed decrease of the heat content in the upper Labrador and Irminger seas is linked to both, a higher oceanic het release and a lower intensity of advection of warm water from the south. In the Norwegian Sea, the opposite sign of variations of the fluxes above leads to a simultaneous warming of the upper ocean.</p><p>The investigation is supported by the Russian Scientific Foundation (RSF), number of project 17-17-01151.</p><p> </p><p> </p>


2008 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelle Mainelli ◽  
Mark DeMaria ◽  
Lynn K. Shay ◽  
Gustavo Goni

Abstract Research investigating the importance of the subsurface ocean structure on tropical cyclone intensity change has been ongoing for several decades. While the emergence of altimetry-derived sea height observations from satellites dates back to the 1980s, it was difficult and uncertain as to how to utilize these measurements in operations as a result of the limited coverage. As the in situ measurement coverage expanded, it became possible to estimate the upper oceanic heat content (OHC) over most ocean regions. Beginning in 2002, daily OHC analyses have been generated at the National Hurricane Center (NHC). These analyses are used qualitatively for the official NHC intensity forecast, and quantitatively to adjust the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) forecasts. The primary purpose of this paper is to describe how upper-ocean structure information was transitioned from research to operations, and how it is being used to generate NHC’s hurricane intensity forecasts. Examples of the utility of this information for recent category 5 hurricanes (Isabel, Ivan, Emily, Katrina, Rita, and Wilma from the 2003–05 hurricane seasons) are also presented. Results show that for a large sample of Atlantic storms, the OHC variations have a small but positive impact on the intensity forecasts. However, for intense storms, the effect of the OHC is much more significant, suggestive of its importance on rapid intensification. The OHC input improved the average intensity errors of the SHIPS forecasts by up to 5% for all cases from the category 5 storms, and up to 20% for individual storms, with the maximum improvement for the 72–96-h forecasts. The qualitative use of the OHC information on the NHC intensity forecasts is also described. These results show that knowledge of the upper-ocean thermal structure is fundamental to accurately forecasting intensity changes of tropical cyclones, and that this knowledge is making its way into operations. The statistical results obtained here indicate that the OHC only becomes important when it has values much larger than that required to support a tropical cyclone. This result suggests that the OHC is providing a measure of the upper ocean’s influence on the storm and improving the forecast.


2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 149-162 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Pasquero ◽  
Kerry Emanuel

Abstract Strong winds affect mixing and heat distribution in the upper ocean. In turn, upper-ocean heat content affects the evolution of tropical cyclones. Here the authors explore the global effects of the interplay between tropical cyclones and upper-ocean heat content. The modeling study suggests that, for given atmospheric thermodynamic conditions, regimes characterized by intense (with deep mixing and large upper-ocean heat content) and by weak (with shallow mixing and small heat content) tropical cyclone activity can be sustained. A global general circulation ocean model is used to study the transient evolution of a heat anomaly that develops following the strong mixing induced by the passage of a tropical cyclone. The results suggest that at least one-third of the anomaly remains in the tropical region for more than one year. A simple atmosphere–ocean model is then used to study the sensitivity of maximum wind speed in a cyclone to the oceanic vertical temperature profile. The feedback between cyclone activity and upper-ocean heat content amplifies the sensitivity of modeled cyclone power dissipation to atmospheric thermodynamic conditions.


2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (7) ◽  
pp. 2576-2591 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. R. Halliwell ◽  
L. K. Shay ◽  
S. D. Jacob ◽  
O. M. Smedstad ◽  
E. W. Uhlhorn

Abstract To simulate tropical cyclone (TC) intensification, coupled ocean–atmosphere prediction models must realistically reproduce the magnitude and pattern of storm-forced sea surface temperature (SST) cooling. The potential for the ocean to support intensification depends on the thermal energy available to the storm, which in turn depends on both the temperature and thickness of the upper-ocean warm layer. The ocean heat content (OHC) is used as an index of this potential. Large differences in available thermal energy associated with energetic boundary currents and ocean eddies require their accurate initialization in ocean models. Two generations of the experimental U.S. Navy ocean nowcast–forecast system based on the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) are evaluated for this purpose in the NW Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico prior to Hurricanes Isidore and Lili (2002), Ivan (2004), and Katrina (2005). Evaluations are conducted by comparison to in situ measurements, the navy’s three-dimensional Modular Ocean Data Assimilation System (MODAS) temperature and salinity analyses, microwave satellite SST, and fields of OHC and 26°C isotherm depth derived from satellite altimetry. Both nowcast–forecast systems represent the position of important oceanographic features with reasonable accuracy. Initial fields provided by the first-generation product had a large upper-ocean cold bias because the nowcast was initialized from a biased older-model run. SST response in a free-running Isidore simulation is improved by using initial and boundary fields with reduced cold bias generated from a HYCOM nowcast that relaxed model fields to MODAS analyses. A new climatological initialization procedure used for the second-generation nowcast system tended to reduce the cold bias, but the nowcast still could not adequately reproduce anomalously warm conditions present before all storms within the first few months following nowcast initialization. The initial cold biases in both nowcast products tended to decrease with time. A realistic free-running HYCOM simulation of the ocean response to Ivan illustrates the critical importance of correctly initializing both warm-core rings and cold-core eddies to correctly simulate the magnitude and pattern of SST cooling.


2019 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 1201-1228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yun Qiu ◽  
Weiqing Han ◽  
Xinyu Lin ◽  
B. Jason West ◽  
Yuanlong Li ◽  
...  

AbstractThis study investigates the impact of salinity stratification on the upper-ocean response to a category 5 tropical cyclone, Phailin, that crossed the northern Bay of Bengal (BOB) from 8 to 13 October 2013. A drastic increase of up to 5.0 psu in sea surface salinity (SSS) was observed after Phailin’s passage, whereas a weak drop of below 0.5°C was observed in sea surface temperature (SST). Rightward biases were apparent in surface current and SSS but not evident in SST. Phailin-induced SST variations can be divided into the warming and cooling stages, corresponding to the existence of the thick barrier layer (BL) and temperature inversion before and erosion after Phailin’s passage, respectively. During the warming stage, SST increased due to strong entrainment of warmer water from the BL, which overcame the cooling induced by surface heat fluxes and horizontal advection. During the cooling stage, the entrainment and upwelling dominated the SST decrease. The preexistence of the BL, which reduced entrainment cooling by ~1.09°C day−1, significantly weakened the overall Phailin-induced SST cooling. The Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) experiments confirm the crucial roles of entrainment and upwelling in the Phailin-induced dramatic SSS increase and weak SST decrease. Analyses of upper-ocean stratification associated with 16 super TCs that occurred in the BOB during 1980–2015 show that intensifications of 13 TCs were associated with a thick isothermal layer, and 5 out of the 13 were associated with a thick BL. The calculation of TC intensity with and without considering subsurface temperature demonstrates the importance of large upper-ocean heat storage in TC growth.


2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (11) ◽  
pp. 2682-2697 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shenfu Dong ◽  
Susan L. Hautala ◽  
Kathryn A. Kelly

Abstract Subsurface temperature data in the western North Atlantic Ocean are analyzed to study the variations in the heat content above a fixed isotherm and contributions from surface heat fluxes and oceanic processes. The study region is chosen based on the data density; its northern boundary shifts with the Gulf Stream position and its southern boundary shifts to contain constant volume. The temperature profiles are objectively mapped to a uniform grid (0.5° latitude and longitude, 10 m in depth, and 3 months in time). The interannual variations in upper-ocean heat content show good agreement with the changes in the sea surface height from the Ocean Topography Experiment (TOPEX)/Poseidon altimeter; both indicate positive anomalies in 1994 and 1998–99 and negative anomalies in 1996–97. The interannual variations in surface heat fluxes cannot explain the changes in upper-ocean heat storage rate. On the contrary, a positive anomaly in heat released to the atmosphere corresponds to a positive upper-ocean heat content anomaly. The oceanic heat transport, mainly owing to the geostrophic advection, controls the interannual variations in heat storage rate, which suggests that geostrophic advection plays an important role in the air–sea heat exchange. The 18°C isotherm depth and layer thickness also show good correspondence to the upper-ocean heat content; a deep and thin 18°C layer corresponds to a positive heat content anomaly. The oceanic transport in each isotherm layer shows an annual cycle, converging heat in winter, and diverging in summer in a warm layer; it also shows interannual variations with the largest heat convergence occurring in even warmer layers during the period of large ocean-to-atmosphere flux.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riyanka Roy Chowdhury ◽  
S. Prasanna Kumar ◽  
Arun Chakraborty

Abstract. The life cycle of the tropical cyclone Madi in the southwestern Bay of Bengal (BoB) during 6th to 12th December 2013 was studied using a suite of ocean and atmospheric data. Madi formed as a depression on 6th December and intensified into a very severe cyclonic storm by 8th December. What was distinct about Madi was its (1) swift weakening from very severe cyclone to a severe cyclone while moving towards north on 9th, (2) abrupt track reversal close to 180-degree in a southwestward direction on 10th, and (3) rapid decay in the open ocean by 12th December while still moving southwestward. Using both in situ and remote sensing data, we show that oceanic cyclonic eddies played a leading role in the ensuing series of events that followed its genesis. The sudden weakening of the cyclone before its track reversal was facilitated by the oceanic cyclonic (cold-core) eddy, which reduced the ocean heat content and cooled the upper ocean through upward eddy-pumping of subsurface waters. When Madi moved over cyclonic eddy-core, its further northward movement was arrested. Subsequently, the prevailing northeasterly winds assisted the slow moving system to change its track to a southwesterly path. While travelling towards southwestward direction, the system rapidly decayed when it passed over the regions of cyclonic eddies located near the western boundary of the BoB. Though Madi was a category-2 cyclone, it had a profound impact on the physical and biogeochemical state of the upper ocean. Cyclone-induced enhancement in the chlorophyll a ranged from 5 to 7-fold, while increase in the net primary productivity ranged from 2.5 to 8-fold. Similarly, the CO2 out-gassing into the atmosphere showed a 3.7-fold increase compared to the pre-cyclone values. Our study points to the crucial role oceanic eddies play in the life cycle of cyclone in the BoB. Eddies being ubiquitous and tropical cyclones occur twice a year in the BoB, there is an urgent need to incorporate them in the models for the better prediction of the cyclone track and intensity.


2003 ◽  
Vol 131 (8) ◽  
pp. 1783-1796 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph J. Cione ◽  
Eric W. Uhlhorn

Abstract Scientists at NOAA's Hurricane Research Division recently analyzed the inner-core upper-ocean environment for 23 Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean hurricanes between 1975 and 2002. The interstorm variability of sea surface temperature (SST) change between the hurricane inner-core environment and the ambient ocean environment ahead of the storm is documented using airborne expendable bathythermograph (AXBT) observations and buoy-derived archived SST data. The authors demonstrate that differences between inner-core and ambient SST are much less than poststorm, “cold wake” SST reductions typically observed (i.e., ∼0°–2°C versus 4°–5°C). These findings help define a realistic parameter space for storm-induced SST change within the important high-wind inner-core hurricane environment. Results from a recent observational study yielded estimates of upper-ocean heat content, upper-ocean energy extracted by the storm, and upper-ocean energy utilization for a wide range of tropical systems. Results from this analysis show that, under most circumstances, the energy available to the tropical cyclone is at least an order of magnitude greater than the energy extracted by the storm. This study also highlights the significant impact that changes in inner-core SST have on the magnitude of air–sea fluxes under high-wind conditions. Results from this study illustrate that relatively modest changes in inner-core SST (order 1°C) can effectively alter maximum total enthalpy (sensible plus latent heat) flux by 40% or more. The magnitude of SST change (ambient minus inner core) was statistically linked to subsequent changes in storm intensity for the 23 hurricanes included in this research. These findings suggest a relationship between reduced inner-core SST cooling (i.e., increased inner-core surface enthalpy flux) and tropical cyclone intensification. Similar results were not found when changes in storm intensity were compared with ambient SST or upper-ocean heat content conditions ahead of the storm. Under certain circumstances, the variability associated with inner-core SST change appears to be an important factor directly linked to the intensity change process.


Abstract Upper-ocean heat content and heat fluxes of 10-60-day intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs) were examined using high-resolution currents and hydrographic fields measured at five deep-water moorings in the central Bay of Bengal (BoB) and satellite observations as part of an international effort examining the role of the ocean on monsoon intraseasonal oscillations (MISOs) in the BoB. Currents, temperature and salinity were sampled over the upper 600 to 1200 m from July 2018 -June 2019. The 10-60-day velocity ISOs of magnitudes 20-30 cm s−1 were observed in the upper 200 m, and temperature ISOs as large as 3°C were observed in the thermocline near 100 m. The wavelet co-spectral analysis reveals multiple periods of ISOs carrying heat southward. The meridional heat-flux divergence associated with the 10-60-day band was strongest in the central BoB at depths between 40 and 100 m, where the averaged flux divergence over the observational period is as large as 10−7 ° C s−1. The vertically-integrated heat-flux-divergence in the upper 200 m is about 20-30 Wm−2, which is comparable to the annual-average net surface heat flux in the northern BoB. Correlations between the heat content over the 26° C isotherm and the outgoing longwave radiation indicate that the atmospheric forcing typically leads changes of the oceanic-heat content, but in some instances, during fall-winter months, oceanic-heat content leads the atmospheric convection. Our analyses suggest that ISOs play an important role in the upper-ocean heat balance by transporting heat southward, while aiding the air-sea coupling at ISO time scales.


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