scholarly journals Effects of the Cold Core Eddy on Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure under Idealized Air–Sea Interaction Conditions

2013 ◽  
Vol 141 (4) ◽  
pp. 1285-1303 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhanhong Ma ◽  
Jianfang Fei ◽  
Lei Liu ◽  
Xiaogang Huang ◽  
Xiaoping Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Vertical Motion ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Warm Core ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
Ocean Coupling ◽  
Negative Impacts ◽  
Core Height ◽  
Water Vapor Mixing Ratio ◽  
Cold Core

Abstract The impacts of ocean feedback on tropical cyclones (TCs) are investigated using a coupled atmosphere–ocean model under idealized TC and cold core eddy (CCE) conditions. Results reveal negative impacts of the ocean coupling on TC development. The cold wake induced by a TC not only weakens the TC intensity but also limits the expansion of the storm circulation. The presence of CCE has boosted the TC-induced sea surface temperature cooling, which conversely inhibits the TC development. The TC appears to be weakened as it encounters the CCE edge. The intensity reduction attains a maximum shortly after the TC passes over the CCE center, and simultaneously the CCE-induced asymmetry of the storm structure is most significant as well. The TC undergoes a period of recovery after departure from the CCE, lasting about 36–48 h. During this time the residual asymmetry caused by the CCE is smoothed gradually by storm axisymmetrization. The CCE has induced smaller TC size throughout the simulation even after the TC intensity has completely recovered, an indication of longer recovery time for the TC size. Notably cooler and moister eye air in the lower troposphere, just under the warm-core height, is found in the experiment with CCE. The water vapor mixing ratio budget analysis indicates that it is primarily attributed to changes in vertical advection that occurred in the eye, that is, the undermined eye subsidence associated with the suppressed eyewall convection. The horizontal patterns of vertical motion in the boundary layer are also distinctly changed by the CCE.

scholarly journals Tropical Transition of an Unnamed, High-Latitude, Tropical Cyclone over the Eastern North Pacific

2016 ◽  
Vol 144 (2) ◽  
pp. 713-736 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alicia M. Bentley ◽  
Nicholas D. Metz
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Cross Sections ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
The West ◽  
Warm Core ◽  
Cold Core ◽  
North Pacific Basin

Abstract In early November 2006, an unnamed tropical cyclone (TC) formed via the tropical transition (TT) process at 42°N over the eastern North Pacific. An extratropical cyclone (EC), developing downstream of a thinning upper-tropospheric trough over the eastern North Pacific, served as the precursor disturbance that would ultimately undergo TT. The TT of the unnamed TC was extremely unusual—occurring over ~16°C sea surface temperatures in a portion of the eastern North Pacific basin historically devoid of TC activity. This paper 1) identifies the upper- and lower-tropospheric features linked to the formation of the EC that transitions into the unnamed TC, 2) provides a synoptic overview of the features and processes associated with the unnamed TC’s TT, and 3) discusses the landfall of the weakening cyclone along the west coast of North America. As observed in previous studies of TT, the precursor EC progresses through the life cycle of a marine extratropical frontal cyclone, developing a bent-back warm front on its northern and western sides and undergoing a warm seclusion process. Backward air parcel trajectories suggest that air parcels isolated in the center of the transitioning cyclone were warmed in the lower troposphere via sensible heating from the underlying sea surface. Vertical cross sections taken through the center of the cyclone during its life cycle reveal its transformation from an asymmetric, cold-core, EC into an axisymmetric, warm-core, TC during TT. Ensemble reforecasts initialized after TT highlight the relatively low forecast skill associated with the landfall of the weakening cyclone.

Moisture and Energy Budget Perspectives on Summer Drought in North China

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (23) ◽  
pp. 10149-10167
Author(s):  
Lan Dai ◽  
Jonathon S. Wright ◽  
Rong Fu
Keyword(s):  
Energy Budget ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
North China ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Summer Drought ◽  
Warm Core ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
Moisture Advection ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
Cold Core

AbstractWe investigate the physical processes behind summer drought in North China by evaluating moisture and energy budget diagnostics and linking them to anomalous large-scale circulation patterns. Moisture budget analysis reveals that summer drought in North China was caused dynamically by reduced vertical moisture advection due to anomalous subsidence and reduced horizontal moisture advection due to anomalous northeasterly winds. Energy budget analysis shows that reduced latent heating was balanced dynamically by decreased dry static energy (DSE) divergence in the middle-to-upper troposphere. Linking these results to previous work, we suggest that summer drought in North China was predicated on co-occurrence of the positive phases of the Eurasian (EU) and Pacific–Japan (PJ) teleconnection patterns, potentially modulated by the circumglobal teleconnection (CGT). In the typical case, the negative phase of the CGT intensified the positive EU-related upper-level cyclone. Resulting upper-level cooling and positive surface feedback imposed a cold-core surface anticyclone that weakened with height. By contrast, when the positive phase of the CGT occurred in tandem with the positive EU and PJ patterns, the anticyclone had a warm core and intensified with height. The two cases were unified by strong subsidence but exhibited opposite meridional advection anomalies. In the cold-core cases, meridional moisture inflow was reduced but meridional DSE export was enhanced, further limiting precipitation while maintaining negative thermal anomalies. In the warm-core case, which only occurred once, enhanced meridional inflow of water vapor supplied moisture for sporadic precipitation while reduced meridional DSE export helped to maintain strong static stability.

scholarly journals Medicanes in an ocean–atmosphere coupled regional climate model

2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 2117-2149 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Akhtar ◽  
J. Brauch ◽  
A. Dobler ◽  
K. Béranger ◽  
B. Ahrens
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Track Length ◽  
Limited Area ◽  
Mediterranean Cyclones ◽  
Warm Core ◽  
Negative Impacts

Abstract. So-called medicanes (Mediterranean hurricanes) are meso-scale, marine, and warm-core Mediterranean cyclones that exhibit some similarities to tropical cyclones. The strong cyclonic winds associated with medicanes threaten the highly populated coastal areas around the Mediterranean basin. To reduce the risk of casualties and overall negative impacts, it is important to improve the understanding of medicanes with the use of numerical models. In this study, we employ an atmospheric limited-area model (COSMO-CLM) coupled with a one-dimensional ocean model (1-D NEMO-MED12) to simulate medicanes. The aim of this study is to assess the robustness of the coupled model in simulating these extreme events. For this purpose, 11 historical medicane events are simulated using the atmosphere-only model, COSMO-CLM, and coupled model, with different setups (horizontal atmospheric grid-spacings of 0.44°, 0.22°, and 0.08°; with/without spectral nudging, and an ocean grid-spacing of 1/12°). The results show that at high-resolution, the coupled model is able to not only simulate most of medicane events but also improve the track length, core temperature, and wind speed of simulated medicanes compared to the atmosphere-only simulations. The results suggest that the coupled model is more proficient for systemic and detailed studies of historical medicane events, and that this model can be an effective tool for future projections.

Development of a Monsoon Depression and Its Interaction with the Large-Scale Background: A Case Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 149 (11) ◽  
pp. 3627-3646
Author(s):  
S. K. Mishra
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Baroclinic Instability ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Monsoon Depression ◽  
Necessary Condition ◽  
Synoptic Scale ◽  
Warm Core ◽  
Barotropic Energy Conversion ◽  
Cold Core

Abstract Structure and time evolution of the large-scale background and an embedded synoptic-scale monsoon depression and their interactions are studied. The depression formation is preceded by a cyclonic circulation around 400 hPa. The Fourier-based scale separation technique is used to isolate large (wavenumbers 0–8) and synoptic-scale (wavenumbers 12–60). The wavelength and depression center is determined objectively. The synoptic-scale depression has an average longitudinal wavelength of around 1900 km and a north–south size of 1100 km; it is most intense with a vorticity of 20.5 × 10 −5 s −1 at 900 hPa. The strongest cold core of −3.0°C below 850 hPa and the above warm core of around 2.0°C are evident. The depression is tilted southwestward in the midtroposphere with no significant vertical tilt in the lower troposphere. The mean maximum intensity and upward motion over the life cycle of depression are in close agreement with the composite values. A strong cyclonic shear zone is developed in the midtroposphere preceding the depression. The necessary condition for barotropic (baroclinic) instability is satisfied in the midtroposphere (boundary layer). Strong northward transport of momentum by the depression against the southward shear is found. The strong growth of the MD in the lower troposphere is due to downward transfer of excess energy gained in the midtroposphere from the barotropic energy conversion and east–west direct thermal circulation as the vertical energy flux. The baroclinic interaction contributes to the maintenance of the cold core in the lower troposphere. The diabatic heating rate is computed and its role in the genesis and growth of MD is investigated.

scholarly journals Medicanes in an ocean–atmosphere coupled regional climate model

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2189-2201 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Akhtar ◽  
J. Brauch ◽  
A. Dobler ◽  
K. Béranger ◽  
B. Ahrens
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Track Length ◽  
Limited Area ◽  
Mediterranean Cyclones ◽  
Warm Core ◽  
Negative Impacts

Abstract. So-called medicanes (Mediterranean hurricanes) are meso-scale, marine, and warm-core Mediterranean cyclones that exhibit some similarities to tropical cyclones. The strong cyclonic winds associated with medicanes threaten the highly populated coastal areas around the Mediterranean basin. To reduce the risk of casualties and overall negative impacts, it is important to improve the understanding of medicanes with the use of numerical models. In this study, we employ an atmospheric limited-area model (COSMO-CLM) coupled with a one-dimensional ocean model (1-D NEMO-MED12) to simulate medicanes. The aim of this study is to assess the robustness of the coupled model in simulating these extreme events. For this purpose, 11 historical medicane events are simulated using the atmosphere-only model, COSMO-CLM, and coupled model, with different setups (horizontal atmospheric grid spacings of 0.44, 0.22, and 0.08°; with/without spectral nudging, and an ocean grid spacing of 1/12°). The results show that at high resolution, the coupled model is able to not only simulate most of medicane events but also improve the track length, core temperature, and wind speed of simulated medicanes compared to the atmosphere-only simulations. The results suggest that the coupled model is more proficient for systemic and detailed studies of historical medicane events, and that this model can be an effective tool for future projections.

Diagnostic Analysis of the Generative Mechanism of Extratropical Cyclones in the Northwest Pacific and Northwest Atlantic

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 1326
Author(s):  
Qinglong Gong ◽  
Yina Diao ◽  
Ruipeng Sun ◽  
Xuejun Xiong ◽  
Jilin Sun
Keyword(s):  
Early Stage ◽  
Vertical Motion ◽  
Temperature Fields ◽  
Northwest Pacific ◽  
Northwest Atlantic ◽  
Cold Zone ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Warm Core ◽  
Generative Mechanism ◽  
Cold Core

We investigated the early-stage development of cyclones occurring in the strong baroclinic regions in the Northwest Pacific and the Northwest Atlantic based on European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts Re-Analysis-Interim (ERA-Interim) data. The composite background conditions corresponding to the cyclones on the onset day are characterized by upper troposphere divergence of westerly jet ahead of a trough, low troposphere convergence of westerly jet behind a trough, and strong meridional air temperature gradient (baroclinicity) both in the Northwest Pacific and the Northwest Atlantic, but with stronger baroclinicity in the Northwest Pacific. The composite velocity and temperature fields of the cyclone on the onset day show a clear horizontal front and a westward and northward vertical tilting of cyclonic circulation to the cold zone. The composite Northwest Pacific cyclone filed on the onset day has a warm core, whereas the composite Northwest Atlantic cyclone field has a cold core in the low troposphere. The leading adiabatic processes that contribute to the developing of the cold core cyclone in the Northwest Atlantic on the onset day is the temperature advection, while stronger vertical motion induces stronger adiabatic warming in the Northwest Pacific cyclones, which has a significant contribution to the development of warm core cyclones on the onset day.

scholarly journals Application of Adjoint-Derived Forecast Sensitivities to the 24–25 January 2000 U.S. East Coast Snowstorm

2005 ◽  
Vol 133 (11) ◽  
pp. 3148-3175 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daryl T. Kleist ◽  
Michael C. Morgan
Keyword(s):  
Response Function ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Vertical Motion ◽  
Initial Condition ◽  
Response Functions ◽  
Eastern United States ◽  
Surface Cyclone

Abstract The 24–25 January 2000 eastern United States snowstorm was noteworthy as operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) guidance was poor for lead times as short as 36 h. Despite improvements in the forecast of the surface cyclone position and intensity at 1200 UTC 25 January 2000 with decreasing lead time, NWP guidance placed the westward extent of the midtropospheric, frontogenetically forced precipitation shield too far to the east. To assess the influence of initial condition uncertainties on the forecast of this event, an adjoint model is used to evaluate forecast sensitivities for 36- and 48-h forecasts valid at 1200 UTC 25 January 2000 using as response functions the energy-weighted forecast error, lower-tropospheric circulation about a box surrounding the surface cyclone, 750-hPa frontogenesis, and vertical motion. The sensitivities with respect to the initial conditions for these response functions are in general very similar: geographically isolated, maximized in the middle and lower troposphere, and possessing an upshear vertical tilt. The sensitivities are maximized in a region of enhanced low-level baroclinicity in the vicinity of the surface cyclone’s precursor upper trough. However, differences in the phase and structure of the gradients for the four response functions are evident, which suggests that perturbations could be constructed to alter one response function but not necessarily the others. Gradients of the forecast error response function with respect to the initial conditions are used in an iterative procedure to construct initial condition perturbations that reduce the forecast error. These initial condition perturbations were small in terms of both spatial scale and magnitude. Those initial condition perturbations that were confined primarily to the midtroposphere grew rapidly into much larger amplitude upper-and-lower tropospheric perturbations. The perturbed forecasts were not only characterized by reduced final time forecast error, but also had a synoptic evolution that more closely followed analyses and observations.

scholarly journals Systematic Variation in Wintertime Precipitation in East Asia by MJO-Induced Extratropical Vertical Motion

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 788-801 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jee-Hoon Jeong ◽  
Baek-Min Kim ◽  
Chang-Hoi Ho ◽  
Yeon-Hee Noh
Keyword(s):  
East Asia ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Diabatic Heating ◽  
Daily Precipitation ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Vertical Motion ◽  
Mean Value ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Omega Equation

Abstract The variations in the wintertime precipitation over East Asia and the related large-scale circulation associated with the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) are examined. By analyzing the observed daily precipitation for the period 1974–2000, it is found that the MJO significantly modulates the distribution of precipitation over four East Asian countries; the precipitation rate difference between wet and dry periods over East Asia, when the centers of MJO convective activities are located over the Indian Ocean and western Pacific, respectively, reaches 3–4 mm day−1, which corresponds to the climatological winter-mean value. Composite analysis with respect to the MJO suggests that the MJO–precipitation relation is mostly explained by the strong vertical motion anomalies near an entrance region of the East Asia upper-tropospheric jet and moisture supply in the lower troposphere. To elucidate different dynamic origins of the vertical motion generated by the MJO, diagnostic analysis of a generalized omega equation is adopted. It is revealed that about half of the vertical motion anomalies in East Asia are induced by the quasigeostrophic forcings by the MJO, while diabatic heating forcings explain a very small fraction, less than 10% of total anomalies.

scholarly journals Climatological Increased Precipitation from July to August in the Western North Pacific Region Simulated by CMIP6 Models

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 664
Author(s):  
Xiao Dong ◽  
Renping Lin
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Vertical Motion ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Observational Analysis ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
Circulation Change ◽  
Precipitation Increase

In this study, the climatological precipitation increase from July to August over the western North Pacific (WNP) region was investigated through observations and simulations in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), atmospheric model simulations and historical experiments. Firstly, observational analysis showed that the precipitation increase is associated with a decrease in the local sea surface temperature (SST), indicating that the precipitation increase is not driven by the change in SST. In addition, the pattern of precipitation increase is similar to the vertical motion change at 500-hPa, suggesting that the precipitation increase is related to the circulation change. Moisture budget analysis further confirmed this relation. In addition to the observational analysis, the outputs from 26 CMIP6 models were further evaluated. Compared with atmospheric model simulations, air–sea coupled models largely improve the simulation of the climatological precipitation increase from July to August. Furthermore, model simulations confirmed that the bias in the precipitation increase is intimately associated with the circulation change bias. Thus, two factors are responsible for the bias of the precipitation increase from July to August in climate models: air–sea coupling processes and the performance in vertical motion change.

scholarly journals Human Contribution to the Increasing Summer Precipitation in Central Asia from 1961 to 2013

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (19) ◽  
pp. 8005-8021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongdong Peng ◽  
Tianjun Zhou ◽  
Lixia Zhang ◽  
Bo Wu
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Vertical Motion ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Moisture Budget ◽  
Anthropogenic Forcing ◽  
Radiative Forcings ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
Community Atmosphere Model ◽  
Advection Term

The ecosystem and societal development over arid Central Asia, the core connecting region of the Silk Road Economic Belt, are highly sensitive to climate change. The results derived from multiobservational datasets show that summer precipitation over Central Asia has significantly increased by 20.78% from 1961 to 2013. It remains unclear whether anthropogenic forcing has contributed to the summer wetting trend or not. In this study, the corresponding physical processes and contributions of anthropogenic forcing are investigated by comparing reanalysis and experiments of the Community Atmosphere Model, version 5.1 (CAM5.1), from the CLIVAR Climate of the Twentieth Century Plus (C20C+) Project. The observed wetting trend is well reproduced in the simulation driven by all radiative forcings (CAM5-All), but poorly reproduced in the simulation with natural forcings only (CAM5-Nat), confirming the important role of human contribution in the observed wetting trend. Moisture budget analysis shows that the observed wetting trend is dominated by the increasing vertical moisture advection term and results from enhanced vertical motion over nearly all of Central Asia. The observed contributions of moisture budget components to the wetting trend are only captured by CAM5-All experiments. The dynamic contribution is determined by the warm advection anomalies in association with a human-induced meridional uneven warm pattern. Human-induced warming increases the specific humidity over all of Central Asia, increasing (decreasing) the precipitation over the climatological ascent (descent) region in eastern (western) Central Asia.

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