scholarly journals Characterizing Pediatric Non–Malarial Fever and Identifying the At-Risk Child in Rural Malawi

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 2333794X1775041
Author(s):  
Teresa Bleakly Kortz ◽  
Alden Blair ◽  
Ellen Scarr ◽  
Andrew Masozi Mguntha ◽  
Gama Bandawe ◽  
...  

Objective. To characterize children with non–malarial fever at risk of nonrecovery or worsening in rural Malawi. Methods. This is a subgroup analysis of patients ≤14 years of age from a prospective cohort study in non–malarial fever subjects (temperature ≥37.5°C, or fever within 48 hours, and malaria negative) in southern Malawi cared for at a mobile clinic during the 2016 dry (August to September) or wet (November to December) season. Data collection included chart review and questionnaires; 14-day follow-up was conducted. We conducted univariate descriptive statistics on cohort characteristics, bivariate analyses to examine associations between characteristics and outcomes, and multivariate logistic regressions to explore factors associated with nonrecovery. Results. A total of 2893 patients were screened, 401 were enrolled, 286 of these were children, and 280 children completed follow-up. Eighty-seven percent reported symptom resolution, 12.9% reported no improvement, and there were no deaths or hospitalizations. No improvement was associated with dry season presentation (42.6% vs 75.0%, P < .0003), >2 days of symptoms (51.6% vs 72.2%, P = .03), and food insecurity (62.3% vs 86.1%, P = .007). Dry season subjects had a 4.35 times greater likelihood of nonimprovement (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.96-11.11). Household food insecurity and being >2 hours from a permanent clinic were associated with no improvement (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 4.61, 95% CI = 1.81-14.29; and AOR = 2.38, 95% CI = 1.11-5.36, respectively). Conclusion. Outcomes were generally excellent in this rural, outpatient pediatric cohort, though risk factors for nonrecovery included food insecurity, access to a standing clinic, and seasonality. Ideally, this study will inform clinic- and policy-level changes aimed at ameliorating the modifiable risk factors in Malawi and throughout rural Africa.

2016 ◽  
Vol 53 (6) ◽  
pp. 344-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Diao ◽  
Jinali Patel ◽  
Melanie Snitzer ◽  
Michael Pond ◽  
Michael P. Rabinowitz ◽  
...  

1998 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 159-173 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bonnie W. Camp ◽  
Sarah H. Broman ◽  
Paul L. Nichols ◽  
Marilyn Leff

Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 591-591
Author(s):  
Girindra Raval ◽  
Anuj Mahindra ◽  
Xiaobo Zhong ◽  
Ruta Brazauskas ◽  
Robert Peter Gale ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 591 Background: Survival of patients with MM has improved over the past two decades, in part due to the use of AHCT. Increasingly, second primary malignancies (SPMs) are observed in MM survivors. Determining the baseline incidence and risk factors associated with SPMs after AHCT is important to assess risk and to evaluate the risk-benefit ratio of newer therapies. Methods: We analyzed the incidence of SPMs in 3784 MM patients receiving (“upfront”) AHCT for MM within 18 months of diagnosis between 1990 and 2010 and reported to the CIBMTR. Cumulative incidence rates of SPMs were estimated taking into account the competing risk of death. For each transplant recipient, the number of person-years at risk was calculated from the date of transplantation until date of last contact, death, or diagnosis of SPM, whichever occurred first. Incidence rates for all invasive cancers in the general population were obtained from the SEER database. Age-, sex-, and race- specific incidence rates for overall SPMs and particular anatomical sites were applied to the appropriate person-years at risk to compute the expected numbers of cancers. Observed–to –expected (O/E) ratios were calculated, and Poisson distribution 99% confidence intervals (CIs) were generated. Poisson regression model was used to analyze risk factors for overall SPMs and AML/MDS. Results: Pre-transplant therapy included novel agents in 56% including thalidomide (35%), lenalidomide (9%), bortezomib (16%) or their combinations (11%). Majority (80%) received high dose melphalan conditioning. Post-transplant maintenance therapy included thalidomide (16%), lenalidomide (8%), bortezomib (9%) and interferon (6%). Median follow-up of survivors was 52 months (range 3 to 192 months).With 12707 person years of follow up, 153 new malignancies were reported with a crude rate of 1.2 SPM per 100 person years of follow up. Observed/Expected [O/E] ratio for all SPMs was 0.99 (99% CI, 0.80–1.22). Cumulative incidence of SPM overall was 2.48% (95% CI, 1.96–3.05) at 3 years and 6.0% (95% CI, 4.96–7.10) at 7 years [Figure 1]. Individual SPMs observed significantly more frequently than expected are summarized in Table 1. The cumulative incidence of MDS/AML was 0.5% (95% CI, 0.28–0.78) at 3 years and 1.3 (95% CI, 0.85– 1.9%) at 7 years. Majority had MM progression prior to diagnosis of SPM (65 of 102 patients overall and 15 of 23 patients for MDS/AML). In multivariate analysis, significant risk factors for development of SPMs included: obesity [Hazard ratio = HR 1.89(95%CI, 1.21–2.93), p=0.0047 for BMI>30 vs. BMI<25], older age: [HR10.53 (95%CI, 1.46–75.82), p=0.0195] for 60–69 year olds and HR14.4 (95%CI, 1.89–109.75), p=0.01 for 70+ year olds compared to the 18–39 year old group. Specific conditioning regimens did not correlate with the risk of SPM. The low number of MDS/AML (33 events out of 3784 cases) limited the power of multivariate analysis. Increasing age was significantly associated with development of MDS (HR10.77, (95%CI,92.09–55.51), p=0.004 for 70+ year old vs. 40–49 year olds). Conclusion: In this large cohort of AHCT recipients for MM, the incidence of MDS/AML, melanoma and other skin cancers was significantly higher compared to age and sex matched general population. However the overall risk of SPM was similar to that expected for age and sex matched population. It was also similar to the placebo arms of recent reports by McCarthy Pl et al and Attal M et al (N Engl J Med. 10; 366(19):1770–91). Lenalidomide (8%) or thalidomide maintenance (16%) used in a small subset of patients with comparatively short follow up, was not associated with risk of SPM in the analysis of the overall cohort. Disclosures: Gale: Celgene: Employment. Brandenburg:Celgene: Employment, Equity Ownership. Lonial:Millennium, Celgene, Novartis, BMS, Onyx, Merck all Consultancy. Krishnan:Celgene and Millennium: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau. Dispenzieri:Celgene and Millennium: Research Funding. Hari:Celgene: Consultancy, Honoraria.


Author(s):  
Jinali Patel ◽  
Wei Diao ◽  
Melanie Snitzer ◽  
Michael Pond ◽  
Rachel Weiner ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 349-354 ◽  
Author(s):  
Devon C. Payne-Sturges ◽  
Allison Tjaden ◽  
Kimberly M. Caldeira ◽  
Kathryn B. Vincent ◽  
Amelia M. Arria

Purpose: To estimate the prevalence of food insecurity among students at a large mid-Atlantic publicly funded university; examine the association between food insecurity, demographic characteristics, potential financial risk factors, and self-reported physical and mental health and academic performance; and identify possible risk factors for food insecurity. Design: Cross-sectional survey. Setting: Large, public mid-Atlantic university. Participants: Two hundred thirty-seven undergraduate students. Measures: US Department of Agriculture (USDA) 18-item Household Food Security Survey Module (HFSSM) and questions on demographics, student status, economic factors, housing stability, living arrangements, academic performance, and self-rated physical health and depression symptoms. Analysis: Multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results: Among students surveyed, 15% were food insecure; an additional 16% were at risk of food insecurity. Students who were African American, other race/ethnicity, receiving multiple forms of financial aid, or experiencing housing problems were more likely to be food insecure or at the risk of food insecurity (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR] = 4.00, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.83-8.71, P value < .0001; AOR = 5.26, 95% CI = 1.85-14.98, P value = .002; AOR = 3.43, 95% CI = 1.85-6.37, P value <.001; AOR = 8.00, 95% CI = 3.57-17.93, P value < .0001, respectively). Food secure students were less likely to report depression symptoms than at-risk or food insecure students. Conclusion: Food insecurity among college students is an important public health concern that might have implications for academic performance, retention, and graduation rates. Universities that measure food insecurity among their students will be better positioned to advocate for policy changes at state and federal levels regarding college affordability and student financial assistance.


Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 56-57
Author(s):  
Francoise Bernaudin ◽  
Suzanne Verlhac ◽  
Cécile Arnaud ◽  
Annie Kamdem ◽  
Isabelle Hau ◽  
...  

In children with sickle cell disease (SCD), cerebral vasculopathy is responsible for overt strokes and silent cerebral infarcts (SCI). Transcranial Doppler (TCD) detects children at risk of strokes (intracranial time averaged mean of velocities (TAMV) ≥200cm/s). The extracranial portion of the internal carotid artery (eICA) can also be the site of stenosis or occlusion. eICA assessment requires cervical Doppler using a submandibular approach and cervical MRA (cMRA). We previously reported that eICA TAMV≥160cm/s are highly predictive of eICA stenosis and are a risk factor for SCI independently of acute and chronic anemia. However, the kinetics of eICA arteriopathy are unknown. The aim here was to evaluate and compare the cumulative incidence of intra/extracranial arteriopathy and associated risk factors in a longitudinal SCD cohort. Children born between 01/1988 and 01/ 2018, followed at our center at least until 06/2012 and up to 09/2019, annually assessed by TCD imaging and at least once by cervical Doppler were included, resulting in 493 SCD children (238F-255M) with 398 SCA (385SS,10Sb0,3SDPunjab), and 95 SC/Sb+ children (65SC,30Sb+). Alpha-genes, b-globin haplotypes, G6PD activity, CD36 expression were recorded. The average of baseline biologic parameters recorded between 1 and 3 years of age, a minimum of 3 months away from transfusion, 1 month from a painful episode, and before any intensive therapy was calculated. The median (range) follow-up of the overall cohort was 10.6 years (1.1-22.9), providing 5335 patient-years of follow-up. Six deaths occurred (5 SCA-children at 2, 4, 7, 19 & 20 years and 1 in SB+ patient at 13 years). Three SS patients had an ischemic stroke at 1.5, 3 and 4.3 years. Kaplan-Meier estimates of cumulative incidence (95%CI) are shown (Figure). In SCA-children, abnormal eICA TAMV and/or eICA stenosis were sometimes associated with abnormal intracranial TAMV and/or stenosis, but isolated eICA TAMV≥200cm/s or 160-199cm/s were observed in 19 (4.8%) and 28/398 (7.0%) patients, respectively, and isolated eICA stenoses in 33/294 (11.2%).Thus, risk factors were only analyzed in patients with isolated intra- or extracranial arteriopathy. COX regression analyses are shown (Table). For isolated intracranial TAMV≥200cm/s, multivariate analyses after introducing all significant genetic and biological risk factors retained the number of SEN b-haplotypes [HR=0.547 (95%CI:0.335-0.893); p=0.016], reticulocyte count&gt;400x109/L [HR=1.961 (95%CI:1.119-3.436); p=0.019], and WBC count&gt;20x109/L [HR=2.410 (95%CI:1.340-4.329); p=0.003] as independent risk factors. Isolated eICA TAMV≥160 cm/s were only strongly associated with the presence of tortuosities [HR=8.6 (95%CI :4.3-17.2); p&lt;0.001]. eICA tortuosities were present in 94/284 (33.1%) SCA vs 5/43 (11.6%) SC/Sb+ children (p=0.004), most often seen at the first cMRA but secondarily in 16 patients. Multivariate COX analysis retained genotype [HR/SCA vs SC/Sb+ = 3.6 (95%CI:1.4-9.4); p=0.010], low hemoglobin [HR=1.25 (95%CI:1.04-1.50); p=0.020], and high LDH [HR=1.002 (95%CI:1.001-1.002); p=0.001], as independent risk factors for eICA tortuosities. As expected, the risk of intracranial stenosis was significantly associated with isolated intracranial TAMV≥200 cm/s [HR (95%CI)=4 .255 (2.146-8.475); p&lt;0.001]. After adjustment with isolated intracranial TAMV≥200 cm/s, a-thalassemia, low hemoglobin, high WBC, MCV and LDH remained as significant, but not independent, risk factors for intracranial stenosis. The risk for eICA stenosis was only highly associated with the presence of tortuosities [HR=10.9 (95%CI:4.7-25.0); p&lt;0.001], or a history of eICA≥160cm/s [HR=15.4 (95%CI :7.5-31.2); p&lt;0.001]. This study reports eICA arteriopathy kinetics using a longitudinal cohort of SCD children systematically assessed by Doppler and cMRA. While we confirm that only SCA and not SC/Sb+ children are at risk of intra/extracranial arteriopathy, we show for the first time that extracranial arteriopathy progressively develops as early as 2 years old in SCA-children and reaches a plateau around 10 years of age, as for intracranial arteriopathy. Furthermore, eICA tortuosities, which are the risk factor for eICA arteriopathy, are themselves significantly and independently associated with the SCA genotype and the severity of hemolytic anemia. Figure Disclosures Bernaudin: BlueBirdBio: Consultancy; AddMedica: Honoraria, Other; GBT: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Verlhac:BlueBirdBio: Consultancy; AddMedica: Honoraria.


2014 ◽  
Vol 42 (05) ◽  
pp. 271-277 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. F. Oreiby ◽  
Y. M. Hegazy ◽  
Y. M. Ghanem ◽  
M. H. Al-Gaabary ◽  
S. A. Osman

Summary Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate the distribution of caseous lymphadenitis (CLA) among small ruminants in Egypt, identify risk factors associated with its occurrence and to analyze the efficacy of the vaccine for control of CLA. Material and methods: A total of 1206 sheep and 351 goats were examined clinically for CLA. The prevalence and the risk factors of CLA in small ruminant flocks were estimated and identified. Efficacy of the commercial vaccine Case-Bac (Colorado Serum Company, USA) was determined in a field study trial conducted on 15 CLA-free lambs. Follow-up of vaccination immune response was carried out using indirect ELISA. Results: Prevalence of superficial CLA was 6.7%. Clinically, CLA appeared as abscesses in superficial lymph nodes mostly of the head and neck. On the basis of a multivariate analysis which accounted for clustering at herd level, sheep were at risk of getting superficial CLA 3.5 times more than goats (p < 0.0001). Animals of fixed flocks were at risk of getting the superficial CLA 2 times more than animals in fixed-mobile flocks (p < 0.038). Serological follow-up indicated protective antibody titers for 6 months. In vaccinated animals clinical cases were not observed while they occurred among non-vaccinated sheep. Discussion: Prevalence of CLA varied among studied flocks even between those of the same breeding system due to complex and overlapping factors associated with each flock like introduction or culling rate of animals, care of shepherds or owners to deal with opened abscesses in addition to the average age of the animals within each flock. Breeding systems have observable effects on occurrence of CLA: infected sheep can transmit the infection to a large number of animals in a short period under the conditions of close contact and reduced air flow in covered sheds. Conclusion and clinical relevance: Infected small ruminants in fixed flocks represent a risk factor for CLA for healthy ones. The vaccine used in the study provides an effective protection against new in fections. So mass vaccination of small ruminants against CLA in Egypt has to be considered to minimize the disease prevalence.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-22
Author(s):  
Fredrica Nyqvist ◽  
Marina Näsman ◽  
Jessica Hemberg ◽  
Mikael Nygård

Abstract The aim of this study was to examine the prevalence of loneliness among older people and to identify risk factors for loneliness in a Nordic regional context over a six-year period. Longitudinal data from the Gerontological Regional Database (GERDA) study of 4,269 older adults living in northern Sweden and western Finland, aged 65, 70, 75 and 80 at baseline in 2010, were analysed. Logistic regressions were used to analyse socio-demographic, social and health-related risk factors at baseline and changes in these for experiences of loneliness at follow-up. The results showed that most older adults (85%) did not experience loneliness at baseline or at follow-up in our study region. However, 3 per cent of the sample reported loneliness in both study years, indicating enduring and chronic loneliness. Analyses revealed that being widowed and becoming a widow/er as well as poor self-rated health at baseline and the onset of depression were risk factors for loneliness. Finally, the risk of loneliness was higher in older people living in Sweden. Further work is needed to explore changes and stability in loneliness as well as to increase our understanding of between-country differences in loneliness.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Schiavone ◽  
S A Gonzalez ◽  
B Cipriani ◽  
R Melchiori ◽  
P Kempny ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction The screening of carotid and/or ileo-femoral subclinical atherosclerosis using vascular ultrasound could be a cost-effective tool in the reclassification of cardiovascular risk in primary cardiovascular prevention. But until today we don't have evidence indicating which atherosclerotic load indicator variable (such as plaque area, number of atherosclerotic plaques or affected territories) has the most predictive power for future cardiovascular events. Objectives a. Evaluate the prevalence of carotid and ileo-femoral subclinical atherosclerosis (SubAth). b. Evaluate the predictive power of each atherosclerotic load indicator variable for cardiovascular events (CVE). c. to compare those methods with Framingham Score for prediction of CVE. Material and methods We retrospectively evaluated patients from our registry called CARFARE (CARDIOMETABOLIC RISK FACTORS REGISTRY) conducted in the context of a cardiovascular primary prevention program (n=6108). In this analysis we included only those patients who completed a follow up ≥24 months from the first vascular evaluation. Exclusion criteria: <40 or >65 years old, BMI>40 kg/m2, previous cardiovascular and/or cerebrovascular event, chronic stable angina. We used Framingham score for the cardiovascular risk assessment. We evaluated the following atherosclerotic load variables using high resolution vascular ultrasonography (Mannheim Consensus): carotid plaques area (AR-C), ileo-femoral plaques area (AR-IF), and total (carotid+ileo-femoral, AR-TOT), number of affected territories (N-TER). Primary composite endpoints (P-CVE): myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization due to angina or acute heart failure. For prediction power analysis we used ROC curves and logistic regressions (unadjusted and adjusted by age, sex, BMI, major cardiovascular risk factors and treatment). Results We included 1431 patients (55.0±9.78 y.o., 38% women, follow-up period of 789±23 days). The total P-CVE rate was 3.77% during this period (54 events). The overall prevalence of atherosclerosis in this population was 60.7%. The AUC of the ROC curves for P-CVE prediction was 0.648, for Framingham 0.706, for AR-C 0.726, for AR-IF 0.746, for AR-TOT and 0.79 for N-TER (graph). The AUC of AR-TOT and N-TER were significantly higher than the AUC of the Framingham score (p=0.017 and p=0.0004, respectively) for prediction of P-CVE. The dichotomization criteria according to ROC were: AR-C>5.80 mm2, AR-IF>23.0 mm2, AR-TOT>43.9 mm2, and N-TER>1. In the logistic regressions adjusted for prediction of P-CVE the OR were: Framingham 1.05 (95% CI: 1.02–1.07), AR-C 4.00 (95% CI: 1.89–8.47), AR-IF 4.01 (95% CI: 2.02–8.32), AR-TOT 4.35 (95% CI: 2.13- 8.91) and N-TER 6.95 (95% CI: 3.05–15.8). Comparison of ROC curves for CVE Conclusions The carotid/ileo-femoral SubAth scan was a more potent predictor of cardiovascular events than the Framingham score, particularly those variables that indicate extension of multiterritorial affection like AR-TOT or N-TER.


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