Proposal of Estimation Method for Debris Flow Potential Considering Eruptive Activity

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 126-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masato Iguchi ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Volcanic Ash ◽  
Ground Deformation ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Summit Crater ◽  
Point Load ◽  
Total Weight ◽  
Eruptive Activity ◽  
Flow Potential

An estimation method for debris flow potential is proposed to evaluate the possibility of the occurrence of rain-triggered debris flows. Sakurajima volcano has repeatedly erupted (Vulcanian type) and has continuously emitted volcanic ash at the Minamidake summit crater or Showa crater east of the summit since 1955, and debris flows have frequently occurred at rates of 10 to 111 events per year. Ground deformation associated with debris flows along the Arimura River were analyzed for the period from 2009 to 2016. Downward tilt (10–450 nrad) in the direction of the river and extensional strain (3–138 nstrain) were detected during occurrence of the debris flows. The tilt and strain changes were modeled using a point load caused by debris flow deposition beside a sabo dam. Depositional weights of individual debris flow events were estimated to range from 6 to 276 kt. The total weight of the debris flows was 2,154 kt, which is approximately 5% of the total weight of volcanic ash ejected from the craters during the study period. Debris flow potential (DFP) was defined as the difference in the volcanic ash deposits along the upper stream of the river (5% of the total) and the lower stream of the river, and the temporal change of the debris flow potential was investigated. When the debris flow potential reached a level of 0.4 Mt resulting from an increase in eruptive activity, debris flows frequently occurred or large debris flows were induced during rainy seasons. The concept of debris flow potential was applied to volcanoes in Indonesia as lahar potential. After the 2010 eruption at Merapi volcano, lahar potential, perhaps, quasi-exponentially decays during the dormant period. The lahar potential of Sinabung volcano complicatedly varies because of long-term eruptivity beginning in 2014.

scholarly journals Sedimentology, dynamics and debris flow potential of Champadevi River, southwest Kathmandu, Nepal

1970 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 9-20
Author(s):  
Naresh Kazi Tamrakar ◽  
Achut Prajapati ◽  
Suman Manandhar
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Alluvial Fan ◽  
Shear Stresses ◽  
Stream Power ◽  
Huge Amount ◽  
Sedimentary Characteristics ◽  
Unconsolidated Material ◽  
Flow Potential ◽  
Headward Erosion

Mountainous and hilly regions are potential for debris flows, one of the major forms of natural disasters, which cause serious damage in downstream areas. The southwestern region of the Kathmandu Valley experienced catastrophic flows in the Champadevi River and its two tributaries (the Aitabare and the Raute Rivers) in July 2002. These rivers were investigated for morphologic, hydraulic and sedimentary characteristics to evaluate potential of debris flow in the area. The Raute and the Aitabare Rivers have tendency of headward erosion due to abrupt drop of gradient down the scarp of the alluvial fan deposit composed of unconsolidated matrix-supported gravel and mud. Because of this tendency, the rivers erode their substrate and banks, and contribute slope movements by sheding a huge amount of clasts and matrix. Therefore, instability condition of rivers and unconsolidated material available in the river courses potentially contribute for debris flow. The tractive shear stresses in the Aitabare, the Raute and the Champadevi Rivers (1.27, 1.60 and 0.48 KPa, respectively) exceeds twice the critical shear stresses required to transport 90th-percentile fraction of the riverbed material (0.14, 0.18 and 0.11 KPa). The stream powers (10.8, 17.2 and 5.1 m-kN/s/m2) of these rivers also greatly exceed the critical stream powers (0.21, 0.35 and 0.18 m-kN/s/m2) required to initiate traction transport. Because the tractive shear stresses and the stream powers that are achieved during bankfull flow are several times larger than the corresponding critical values, even the flow having stream power exceeding the critical stream power may potentially generate debris flow.   doi: 10.3126/bdg.v10i0.1416 Bulletin of the Department of Geology, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, Nepal, Vol. 10, 2007, pp. 9-20

scholarly journals Learning Case Study of a Shallow-Water Model to Assess an Early-Warning System for Fast Alpine Muddy-Debris-Flow

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 750
Author(s):  
Antonio Pasculli ◽  
Jacopo Cinosi ◽  
Laura Turconi ◽  
Nicola Sciarra
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Shallow Water ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Extreme Weather Events ◽  
Water Model ◽  
Computational Time ◽  
Processing Unit

The current climate change could lead to an intensification of extreme weather events, such as sudden floods and fast flowing debris flows. Accordingly, the availability of an early-warning device system, based on hydrological data and on both accurate and very fast running mathematical-numerical models, would be not only desirable, but also necessary in areas of particular hazard. To this purpose, the 2D Riemann–Godunov shallow-water approach, solved in parallel on a Graphical-Processing-Unit (GPU) (able to drastically reduce calculation time) and implemented with the RiverFlow2D code (version 2017), was selected as a possible tool to be applied within the Alpine contexts. Moreover, it was also necessary to identify a prototype of an actual rainfall monitoring network and an actual debris-flow event, beside the acquisition of an accurate numerical description of the topography. The Marderello’s basin (Alps, Turin, Italy), described by a 5 × 5 m Digital Terrain Model (DTM), equipped with five rain-gauges and one hydrometer and the muddy debris flow event that was monitored on 22 July 2016, were identified as a typical test case, well representative of mountain contexts and the phenomena under study. Several parametric analyses, also including selected infiltration modelling, were carried out in order to individuate the best numerical values fitting the measured data. Different rheological options, such as Coulomb-Turbulent-Yield and others, were tested. Moreover, some useful general suggestions, regarding the improvement of the adopted mathematical modelling, were acquired. The rapidity of the computational time due to the application of the GPU and the comparison between experimental data and numerical results, regarding both the arrival time and the height of the debris wave, clearly show that the selected approaches and methodology can be considered suitable and accurate tools to be included in an early-warning system, based at least on simple acoustic and/or light alarms that can allow rapid evacuation, for fast flowing debris flows.

scholarly journals Numerical Simulation of Non-Homogeneous Viscous Debris-Flows Based on the Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) Method

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 2314 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shu Wang ◽  
Anping Shu ◽  
Matteo Rubinato ◽  
Mengyao Wang ◽  
Jiping Qin
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Water Content ◽  
Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Sph Method ◽  
Particle Hydrodynamics ◽  
Sph Model ◽  
Smoothed Particle ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Kinetic And Potential Energies

Non-homogeneous viscous debris flows are characterized by high density, impact force and destructiveness, and the complexity of the materials they are made of. This has always made these flows challenging to simulate numerically, and to reproduce experimentally debris flow processes. In this study, the formation-movement process of non-homogeneous debris flow under three different soil configurations was simulated numerically by modifying the formulation of collision, friction, and yield stresses for the existing Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) method. The results obtained by applying this modification to the SPH model clearly demonstrated that the configuration where fine and coarse particles are fully mixed, with no specific layering, produces more fluctuations and instability of the debris flow. The kinetic and potential energies of the fluctuating particles calculated for each scenario have been shown to be affected by the water content by focusing on small local areas. Therefore, this study provides a better understanding and new insights regarding intermittent debris flows, and explains the impact of the water content on their formation and movement processes.

The Debris Flow Disaster Faster-Than-Early Forecast System (DFS) with Multi-Sensors Integrated Wireless Sensor Networks

2013 ◽  
Vol 347-350 ◽  
pp. 975-979
Author(s):  
Rong Zhao ◽  
Cai Hong Li ◽  
Yun Jian Tan ◽  
Jun Shi ◽  
Fu Qiang Mu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wireless Sensor Networks ◽  
Sensor Networks ◽  
Debris Flow ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Base Station ◽  
Base Stations ◽  
Wireless Sensor ◽  
Forecast System ◽  
Debris Flow Disaster

This paper presents a Debris Flow Disaster Faster-than-early Forecast System (DFS) with wireless sensor networks. Debris flows carrying saturated solid materials in water flowing downslope often cause severe damage to the lives and properties in their path. Faster-than-early or faster-than-real-time forecasts are imperative to save lives and reduce damage. This paper presents a novel multi-sensor networks for monitoring debris flows. The main idea is to let these sensors drift with the debris flow, to collect flow information as they move along, and to transmit the collected data to base stations in real time. The Raw data are sent to the cloud processing center from the base station. And the processed data and the video of the debris flow are display on the remote PC. The design of the system address many challenging issues, including cost, deployment efforts, and fast reaction.

Observations and Analyses of the 9 January 2018 Debris-Flow Disaster, Santa Barbara County, California

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-27
Author(s):  
Jeremy T. Lancaster ◽  
Brian J. Swanson ◽  
Stefani G. Lukashov ◽  
Nina S. Oakley ◽  
Jacob B. Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Santa Barbara ◽  
Debris Removal ◽  
Fire Debris ◽  
Santa Barbara County ◽  
Coastal Land

ABSTRACT The post–Thomas Fire debris flows of 9 January 2018 killed 23 people, damaged 558 structures, and caused severe damage to infrastructure in Montecito and Carpinteria, CA. U.S. Highway 101 was closed for 13 days, significantly impacting transportation and commerce in the region. A narrow cold frontal rain band generated extreme rainfall rates within the western burn area, triggering runoff-driven debris flows that inundated 5.6 km2 of coastal land in eastern Santa Barbara County. Collectively, this series of debris flows is comparable in magnitude to the largest documented post-fire debris flows in the state and cost over a billion dollars in debris removal and damages to homes and infrastructure. This study summarizes observations and analyses on the extent and magnitude of inundation areas, debris-flow velocity and volume, and sources of debris-flow material on the south flank of the Santa Ynez Mountains. Additionally, we describe the atmospheric conditions that generated intense rainfall and use precipitation data to compare debris-flow source areas with spatially associated peak 15 minute rainfall amounts. We then couple the physical characterization of the event with a compilation of debris-flow damages to summarize economic impacts.

Reanalysis of Flash Floods and Debris Flows on two continents and their management strategies

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Daniel Rios-Arboleda
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
South America ◽  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Original Analysis ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Latitudinal Patterns

<p>This research expands the original analysis of Baker and Costa (1987) including data from Europe and South America with the objective to understand if there are emerging latitudinal patterns. In addition, the threshold proposed by Zimmermann et al. (1997) it is evaluated with the data from tropical zones finding that this is a good predictor.</p><p>Mainly, recent Debris Flow occurred in South America are analyzed with the aim of identifying the best risk management strategies and their replicability for developing countries, particularly, the cases that have occurred in Colombia and Venezuela in the last 30 years are analyzed in order to compare management strategies and understand which are the most vulnerable areas to this phenomenon.</p><p>It is concluded that large-scale and multinational projects such as SED ALP are required in South America to better characterize events that have left multiple fatalities (sometimes hundreds of people) and better understand how to manage the risk on densely populated areas.</p><p>Finally, the use of amateur videos is proposed to characterize these events in nations with limited budgets for projects such as SED ALP, methodology that will be described extensively in later works.</p>

Granular effect on debris flow rheology

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taiqiang Yang
Keyword(s):  
Shear Rate ◽  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Shear Thinning ◽  
Dynamical Equations ◽  
Real Rate ◽  
The Real ◽  
Jiangjia Gully ◽  
Material Sources ◽  
Surge Phenomena

<p>Debris flow is characterized by the multi-disperse grain composition and intergranular collision and friction, but the granular effects on rheology are often reduced to the volumetric concentration of solid (C<sub>v</sub>), almost ignoring the specific grain size distribution (GSD). In this study, small debris flows occurring in a tributary of Jiangjia Gully were taken as the material sources for rheology experiments. From the real flows we selected slurries with different C<sub>v</sub> and maximum grain sizes (D<sub>m</sub>) for rheological tests under shearing rate up to 40 (s<sup>-</sup><sup>1</sup>), which is usually the real rate for debris flows in natural conditions. The results indicate that the flows follow the Herschel-Bulkley (HB) rheology, with randomly changing consistency coefficient and relatively constant exponent of 0.45 on average. Only at high shear rate will the flow exhibit Bingham behavior. The HB rheology also reveals shear thinning behavior in surge phenomena observed in the field. Shear-thinning behavior is revealed by the viscosity-shear rate relationship: η<sub>a</sub>=pγ<sup>q</sup>, with the exponent (thinning index) dependent on shear rate. This greatly concerns the surge phenomena observed in field. Moreover, both the yield stress and the effective viscosity are found to be perfectly related to the scaling GSD parameters in power-law and exponential form, with nearly constant exponents independent of the shear rate(Figure 1). The rheology properties can be calculated from their relationships to GSD parameters (μ, D<sub>c</sub>), which in turn can be used to infer the HB rheology for the concerned flows and then build the dynamical equations(Figure 2). This implies the presence of some interlock between the fine and coarse grains. Finally the rheology model (general in HB form) can be completely determined by the GSD parameters. This study has for the first time proposed quantitative formulas for rheology incorporating GSD parameters, which is helpful for more accurate dynamic analysis of debris flow.</p>

The Effects of Upstream Flexible Barrier on the Debris Flow Entrainment and Impact Dynamics on a Terminal Barrier

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hervé Vicari ◽  
C.W.W. Ng ◽  
Steinar Nordal ◽  
Vikas Thakur ◽  
W.A. Roanga K. De Silva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Impact Force ◽  
Dynamic Pressure ◽  
Pressure Coefficient ◽  
Flexible Barrier ◽  
Impact Forces ◽  
Flexible Barriers ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Bed Entrainment

The destructive nature of debris flows is mainly caused by flow bulking from entrainment of an erodible channel bed. To arrest these flows, multiple flexible barriers are commonly installed along the predicted flow path. Despite the importance of an erodible bed, its effects are generally ignored when designing barriers. In this study, three unique experiments were carried out in a 28 m-long flume to investigate the impact of a debris flow on both single and dual flexible barriers installed in a channel with a 6 m-long erodible soil bed. Initial debris volumes of 2.5 m<sup>3</sup> and 6 m<sup>3</sup> were modelled. For the test setting adopted, a small upstream flexible barrier before the erodible bed separates the flow into several surges via overflow. The smaller surges reduce bed entrainment by 70% and impact force on the terminal barrier by 94% compared to the case without an upstream flexible barrier. However, debris overflowing the deformed flexible upstream barrier induces a centrifugal force that results in a dynamic pressure coefficient that is up to 2.2 times higher than those recommended in guidelines. This suggests that although compact upstream flexible barriers can be effective for controlling bed entrainment, they should be carefully designed to withstand higher impact forces.

scholarly journals The importance of entrainment and bulking on debris flow runout modeling: examples from the Swiss Alps

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (11) ◽  
pp. 2569-2583 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Frank ◽  
B. W. McArdell ◽  
C. Huggel ◽  
A. Vieli
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Field Data ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Maximum Shear Stress ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Swiss Alps ◽  
Field Site ◽  
Practical Applications

Abstract. This study describes an investigation of channel-bed entrainment of sediment by debris flows. An entrainment model, developed using field data from debris flows at the Illgraben catchment, Switzerland, was incorporated into the existing RAMMS debris-flow model, which solves the 2-D shallow-water equations for granular flows. In the entrainment model, an empirical relationship between maximum shear stress and measured erosion is used to determine the maximum potential erosion depth. Additionally, the average rate of erosion, measured at the same field site, is used to constrain the erosion rate. The model predicts plausible erosion values in comparison with field data from highly erosive debris flow events at the Spreitgraben torrent channel, Switzerland in 2010, without any adjustment to the coefficients in the entrainment model. We find that by including bulking due to entrainment (e.g., by channel erosion) in runout models a more realistic flow pattern is produced than in simulations where entrainment is not included. In detail, simulations without entrainment show more lateral outflow from the channel where it has not been observed in the field. Therefore the entrainment model may be especially useful for practical applications such as hazard analysis and mapping, as well as scientific case studies of erosive debris flows.

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