scholarly journals Predicting the difference in treatment response and survival time of lung adenocarcinoma patients based on a prognostic risk model of glycolysis-related genes

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rongchang Zhao ◽  
Dan Ding ◽  
Yan Ding ◽  
Rongbo Han ◽  
Xiujuan Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Lung Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Survival Time ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Roc Curve ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Significant Difference

Abstract Background Multiple factors affect the survival time of patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). Specifically, the therapeutic effect of medicines and the disease recurrence probability differs among patients with the same stage of LUAD. Thus, effective prognostic predictors need to be identified. Methods Based on the tumor mutation burden (TMB) data obtained by TCGA, LUAD was divided into high and low groups, and the differentially expressed glycolysis-related genes between the two groups were screened out. Cox regression was used to obtain a prognostic model. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve were generated to evaluate the nomogram that was constructed based on clinicopathological characteristics and the risk score. Two datasets (GSE68465 and GSE11969) from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) were used to verify the prognostic performance of the gene. Furthermore, differences in immune cell distribution, immune-related molecules and drug susceptibility were assessed for their relationship with the risk score. Results We confirmed a 5-gene signature (FKBP4, HMMR, B4GALT1, ERO1L, ENO1) capable of dividing patients into two risk groups. There was a significant difference in overall survival (OS) times between the high-risk group and the low-risk group (P = 1.085e-4), with the low-risk group having a better survival outcome. Through multivariate Cox analysis, the risk score was confirmed to be an independent prognostic factor (HR = 1.289, 95% CI = 1.202-1.383, P < 0.001), and the ROC curve and nomogram exhibited accurate prediction performance. Validation of the data obtained in the GEO database yielded similar results. Additionally, there were significant differences in cisplatin, paclitaxel, gemcitabine, docetaxel, gefitiniband erlotinib sensitivity between the low-risk and high-risk groups. Conclusions Our results reveal that glycolysis-related gene are feasible predictors of LUAD patient survival and response to therapeutics.

scholarly journals A Novel Ferroptosis-Related Genes Model for Prognosis Prediction of Lung Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Li ◽  
Dongcen Ge ◽  
Shu-lan Sun
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Lung Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Validation Set

Abstract Background. Ferroptosis is a newly discovered form of cell death characterized by iron-dependent lipid peroxidation. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between ferroptosis and the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).Methods. RNA-seq data was collected from the LUAD dataset of The Cancer Genome Altas (TCGA) database. We used ferroptosis-related genes as the basis, and identify the differential expression genes (DEGs) between cancer and paracancer. The univariate Cox regression analysis were used to screen the prognostic-related genes. We divided the patients into training and validation sets. Then, we screened out key genes and built a 5 genes prognostic prediction model by the applications of the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) 10-fold cross-validation and the multi-variate Cox regression analysis. We divided the cases by the median value of risk score and validated this model in the validation set. Meanwhile, we analyzed the somatic mutations, and estimated the score of immune infiltration in the high- and low-risk groups, as well as performed functional enrichment analysis of DEGs.Results. The result revealed that the high-risk score triggered the worse prognosis. The maximum area under curve (AUC) of the training set and the validation set of in this study was 0.7 and 0.69. Moreover, we integrated the age, gender, and tumor stage to construct the composite nomogram. The charts indicated that the AUC of cases with survival time of 1, 3 and 5 years are 0.698, 0.71 and 0.73. In addition, the mutation frequency of patients in the high-risk group was higher than that in the low-risk group. Simultaneously, DEGs were mainly enriched in ferroptosis-related pathways by analyzing the functional results.Conclusion. This study constructed a novel LUAD prognosis prediction model base on 5 ferroptosis-related genes, which can provide a prognostic evaluation tool for the clinical therapeutic decision.

scholarly journals Immune-Related lncRNA Pairs as Prognostic Signature and Immune-Landscape Predictor in Lung Adenocarcinoma

2022 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhengrong Yin ◽  
Mei Zhou ◽  
Tingting Liao ◽  
Juanjuan Xu ◽  
Jinshuo Fan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Lung Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Roc Curve ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Prognostic Signature ◽  
Chemotherapy Drugs

BackgroundSuppressive tumor microenvironment is closely related to the progression and poor prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). Novel individual and universal immune-related biomarkers to predict the prognosis and immune landscape of LUAD patients are urgently needed. Two-gene pairing patterns could integrate and utilize various gene expression data.MethodsThe RNA-seq and relevant clinicopathological data of the LUAD project from the TCGA and well-known immune-related genes list from the ImmPort database were obtained. Co-expression analysis followed by an analysis of variance was performed to identify differentially expressed immune-related lncRNA (irlncRNA) (DEirlncRNA) between tumor and normal tissues. Two arbitrary DEirlncRNAs (DEirlncRNAs pair) in a tumor sample underwent pairwise comparison to generate a score (0 or 1). Next, Univariate analysis, Lasso regression and Multivariate analysis were used to screen survival-related DEirlncRNAs pairs and construct a prognostic model. The Acak information standard (AIC) values of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for 3 years are calculated to determine the cut-off point for high- or low-risk score. Finally, we evaluated the relationship between the risk score and overall survival, clinicopathological features, immune landscape, and chemotherapy efficacy.ResultsData of 54 normal and 497 tumor samples of LUAD were enrolled. After a strict screening process, 15 survival-independent-related DEirlncRNA pairs were integrated to construct a prognostic model. The AUC value of the 3-year ROC curve was 0.828. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that patients with low risk lived longer than patients with high risk (p &lt;0.001). Univariate and Multivariate Cox analysis suggested that the risk score was an independent factor of survival. The risk score was negatively associated with most tumor-infiltrating immune cells, immune score, and microenvironment scores. The low-risk group was correlated with increased expression of ICOS. The high-risk group had a connection with lower half inhibitory centration (IC50) of most chemotherapy drugs (e.g., etoposide, paclitaxel, vinorelbine, gemcitabine, and docetaxel) and targeted medicine—erlotinib, but with higher IC50 of methotrexate.ConclusionThe established irlncRNA pairs-based model is a promising prognostic signature for LUAD patients. Furthermore, the prognostic signature has great potential in the evaluation of tumor immune landscape and guiding individualized treatment regimens.

scholarly journals Ferroptosis-Related lncRNA Signature Predicts Prognosis and Immunotherapy Efficacy in Cutaneous Melanoma

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yujian Xu ◽  
Youbai Chen ◽  
Zehao Niu ◽  
Zheng Yang ◽  
Jiahua Xing ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
T Cells ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Immune Checkpoint ◽  
Cutaneous Melanoma ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk

Abstract Ferroptosis-related lncRNAs are promising biomarkers for predicting the prognosis of many cancers. However, a ferroptosis-related signature to predict the prognosis of cutaneous melanoma (CM) has not been identified. The purpose of our study was to construct a ferroptosis-related lncRNA signature to predict prognosis and immunotherapy efficacy in CM. Ferroptosis-related differentially expressed genes (FDEGs) and lncRNAs (FDELs) were identified using TCGA, GTEx, and FerrDb datasets. We performed Cox and LASSO regressions to identify key FDELs, and constructed a risk score to stratify patients into high- and low-risk groups. A nomogram was developed for clinical use. We performed gene set enrichment analyses (GSEA) to identify significantly enriched pathways. Differences in the tumor microenvironment (TME) between the 2 groups were assessed using 7 algorithms. To predict the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI), we analyzed the association between PD1 and CTLA4 expression and the risk score. Finally, differences in Tumor Mutational Burden (TMB) and molecular drugs Sensitivity between the 2 groups were performed. Here, we identified 5 lncRNAs (AATBC, AC145423.2, LINC01871, AC125807.2, and AC245041.1) to construct the risk score. The AUC of the lncRNA signature was 0.743 in the training cohort and was validated in the testing and entire cohorts. Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed that the high-risk group had poorer prognosis. Multivariate Cox regression showed that the lncRNA signature was an independent predictor of OS with higher accuracy than traditional clinicopathological features. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival probabilities for CM patients were 92.7%, 57.2%, and 40.2% with an AUC of 0.804, indicating a good accuracy and reliability of the nomogram. GSEA showed that the high-risk group had lower ferroptosis and immune response. TME analyses confirmed that the high-risk group had lower immune cell infiltration (e.g., CD8+ T cells, CD4+ memory-activated T cells, and M1 macrophages) and lower immune functions (e.g., immune checkpoint activation). Low-risk patients whose disease expressed PD1 or CTLA4 were likely to respond better to ICIs. The analysis demonstrated that the TMB had significantly difference between low- and high- risk groups. Chemotherapy drugs, such as sorafenib, Imatinib, ABT.888 (Veliparib), Docetaxel, and Paclitaxel showed Significant differences in the estimated IC50 between the two risk groups. Overall, our novel ferroptosis-related lncRNA signature was able to accurately predict the prognosis and ICI outcomes of CM patients. These ferroptosis-related lncRNAs might be potential biomarkers and therapeutic targets for CM.

Short-term risk stratification using CADILLAC risk score in patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Satou ◽  
H Kitahara ◽  
K Ishikawa ◽  
T Nakayama ◽  
Y Fujimoto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Adverse Events ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Recurrent Myocardial Infarction ◽  
St Elevation

Abstract Background The recent reperfusion therapy for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has made the length of hospital stay shorter without adverse events. CADILLAC risk score is reportedly one of the risk scores predicting the long-term prognosis in STEMI patients. Purpose To invenstigate the usefulness of CADILLAC risk score for predicting short-term outcomes in STEMI patients. Methods Consecutive patients admitted to our university hospital and our medical center with STEMI (excluding shock, arrest case) who underwent primary PCI between January 2012 and April 2018 (n=387) were enrolled in this study. The patients were classified into 3 groups according to the CADILLAC risk score: low risk (n=176), intermediate risk (n=87), and high risk (n=124). Data on adverse events within 30 days after hospitalization, including in-hospital death, sustained ventricular arrhythmia, recurrent myocardial infarction, heart failure requiring intravenous treatment, stroke, or clinical hemorrhage, were collected. Results In the low risk group, adverse events within 30 days were significantly less observed, compared to the intermediate and high risk groups (n=13, 7.4% vs. n=13, 14.9% vs. n=58, 46.8%, p&lt;0.001). In particular, all adverse events occurred within 3 days in the low risk group, although adverse events, such as heart failure (n=4), recurrent myocardial infarction (n=1), stroke (n=1), and gastrointestinal bleeding (n=1), were substantially observed after day 4 of hospitalization in the intermediate and high risk groups. Conclusions In STEMI patients with low CADILLAC risk score, better short-term prognosis was observed compared to the intermediate and high risk groups, and all adverse events occurred within 3 days of hospitalization, suggesting that discharge at day 4 might be safe in this study population. CADILLAC risk score may help stratify patient risk for short-term prognosis and adjust management of STEMI patients. Initial event occurrence timing Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

scholarly journals Development and Verification of the Hypoxia- and Immune-Associated Prognostic Signature for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongjie Chen ◽  
Hui Huang ◽  
Longjun Zang ◽  
Wenzhe Gao ◽  
Hongwei Zhu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Ductal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Prognostic Signature ◽  
Score Model

We aim to construct a hypoxia- and immune-associated risk score model to predict the prognosis of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). By unsupervised consensus clustering algorithms, we generate two different hypoxia clusters. Then, we screened out 682 hypoxia-associated and 528 immune-associated PDAC differentially expressed genes (DEGs) of PDAC using Pearson correlation analysis based on the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Genotype-Tissue Expression project (GTEx) dataset. Seven hypoxia and immune-associated signature genes (S100A16, PPP3CA, SEMA3C, PLAU, IL18, GDF11, and NR0B1) were identified to construct a risk score model using the Univariate Cox regression and the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) Cox regression, which stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups and were further validated in the GEO and ICGC cohort. Patients in the low-risk group showed superior overall survival (OS) to their high-risk counterparts (p &lt; 0.05). Moreover, it was suggested by multivariate Cox regression that our constructed hypoxia-associated and immune-associated prognosis signature might be used as the independent factor for prognosis prediction (p &lt; 0.001). By CIBERSORT and ESTIMATE algorithms, we discovered that patients in high-risk groups had lower immune score, stromal score, and immune checkpoint expression such as PD-L1, and different immunocyte infiltration states compared with those low-risk patients. The mutation spectrum also differs between high- and low-risk groups. To sum up, our hypoxia- and immune-associated prognostic signature can be used as an approach to stratify the risk of PDAC.

scholarly journals Immune‐related Long Noncoding RNA Signature for Patients with Cervical Cancer

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianfeng Zheng ◽  
Jinyi Tong ◽  
Benben Cao ◽  
Xia Zhang ◽  
Zheng Niu
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Gene Set Enrichment Analysis ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Score Model

Abstract Background: Cervical cancer (CC) is a common gynecological malignancy for which prognostic and therapeutic biomarkers are urgently needed. The signature based on immune‐related lncRNAs(IRLs) of CC has never been reported. This study aimed to establish an IRL signature for patients with CC.Methods: The RNA-seq dataset was obtained from the TCGA, GEO, and GTEx database. The immune scores（IS）based on single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) were calculated to identify the IRLs, which were then analyzed using univariate Cox regression analysis to identify significant prognostic IRLs. A risk score model was established to divide patients into low-risk and high-risk groups based on the median risk score of these IRLs. This was then validated by splitting TCGA dataset(n=304) into a training-set(n=152) and a valid-set(n=152). The fraction of 22 immune cell subpopulations was evaluated in each sample to identify the differences between low-risk and high-risk groups. Additionally, a ceRNA network associated with the IRLs was constructed.Results: A cohort of 326 CC and 21 normal tissue samples with corresponding clinical information was included in this study. Twenty-eight IRLs were collected according to the Pearson’s correlation analysis between immune score and lncRNA expression (P < 0.01). Four IRLs (BZRAP1-AS1, EMX2OS, ZNF667-AS1, and CTC-429P9.1) with the most significant prognostic values (P < 0.05) were identified which demonstrated an ability to stratify patients into low-risk and high-risk groups by developing a risk score model. It was observed that patients in the low‐risk group showed longer overall survival (OS) than those in the high‐risk group in the training-set, valid-set, and total-set. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) for the four IRLs signature in predicting the one-, two-, and three-year survival rates were larger than 0.65. In addition, the low-risk and high-risk groups displayed different immune statuses in GSEA. These IRLs were also significantly correlated with immune cell infiltration. Conclusions: Our results showed that the IRL signature had a prognostic value for CC. Meanwhile, the specific mechanisms of the four-IRLs in the development of CC were ascertained preliminarily.

scholarly journals Identification of prognostic gene signature associated with microenvironment of lung adenocarcinoma

PeerJ ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e8128 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng Yue ◽  
Hongtao Ma ◽  
Yubai Zhou
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Lung Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Expression Profiles ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Differentially Expressed ◽  
Lasso Regression

Background Lung cancer has the highest morbidity and mortality worldwide, and lung adenocarcinoma (LADC) is the most common pathological subtype. Accumulating evidence suggests the tumor microenvironment (TME) is correlated with the tumor progress and the patient’s outcome. As the major components of TME, the tumor-infiltrated immune cells and stromal cells have attracted more and more attention. In this study, differentially expressed immune and stromal signature genes were used to construct a TME-related prognostic model for predicting the outcomes of LADC patients. Methods The expression profiles of LADC samples with clinical information were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). The differentially expressed genes (DEGs) related to the TME of LADC were identified using TCGA dataset by Wilcoxon rank sum test. The prognostic effects of TME-related DEGs were analyzed using univariate Cox regression. Then, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was performed to reduce the overfit and the number of genes for further analysis. Next, the prognostic model was constructed by step multivariate Cox regression and risk score of each sample was calculated. Then, survival and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analyses were conducted to validate the model using TCGA and GEO datasets, respectively. The Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analysis of gene signature was performed using Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA). Finally, the overall immune status, tumor purity and the expression profiles of HLA genes of high- and low-risk samples was further analyzed to reveal the potential mechanisms of prognostic effects of the model. Results A total of 93 TME-related DEGs were identified, of which 23 DEGs were up-regulated and 70 DEGs were down-regulated. The univariate cox analysis indicated that 23 DEGs has the prognostic effects, the hazard ratio ranged from 0.65 to 1.25 (p < 0.05). Then, seven genes were screened out from the 23 DEGs by LASSO regression method and were further analyzed by step multivariate Cox regression. Finally, a three-gene (ADAM12, Bruton Tyrosine Kinase (BTK), ERG) signature was constructed, and ADAM12, BTK can be used as independent prognostic factors. The three-gene signature well stratified the LADC patients in both training (TCGA) and testing (GEO) datasets as high-risk and low-risk groups, the 3-year area under curve (AUC) of ROC curves of three GEO sets were 0.718 (GSE3141), 0.646 (GSE30219) and 0.643 (GSE50081). The GSEA analysis indicated that highly expressed ADAM12, BTK, ERG mainly correlated with the activation of pathways involving in focal adhesion, immune regulation. The immune analysis indicated that the low-risk group has more immune activities and higher expression of HLA genes than that of the high-risk group. In sum, we identified and constructed a three TME-related DEGs signature, which could be used to predict the prognosis of LADC patients.

A Novel Risk Classification Model Predicts Overall Survival and Locoregional Surgery Benefit in Colorectal Patients with Distant Metastasis at the Initial Diagnosis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mo Chen ◽  
Tian-en Li ◽  
Pei-zhun Du ◽  
Junjie Pan ◽  
Zheng Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Distant Metastasis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Risk Classification ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Classification Model ◽  
Intermediate Risk

Abstract Background and aims: In this research, we aimed to construct a risk classification model to predict overall survival (OS) and locoregional surgery benefit in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with distant metastasis.Methods: We selected a cohort consisting of 12741 CRC patients diagnosed with distant metastasis between 2010 and 2014, from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were randomly assigned into training group and validation group at the ratio of 2:1. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression models were applied to screen independent prognostic factors. A nomogram was constructed and assessed by the Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots. A novel risk classification model was further established based on the nomogram.Results: Ultimately 12 independent risk factors including race, age, marriage, tumor site, tumor size, grade, T stage, N stage, bone metastasis, brain metastasis, lung metastasis and liver metastasis were identified and adopted in the nomogram. The C-indexes of training and validation groups were 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.73-0.81) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.72-0.78), respectively. The risk classification model stratified patients into three risk groups (low-, intermediate- and high-risk) with divergent median OS (low-risk: 36.0 months, 95% CI 34.1-37.9; intermediate-risk: 18.0 months, 95% CI 17.4-18.6; high-risk: 6.0 months, 95% CI 5.3-6.7). Locoregional therapies including surgery and radiotherapy could prognostically benefit patients in the low-risk group (surgery: hazard ratio [HR] 0.59, 95% CI 0.50-0.71; radiotherapy: HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.98) and intermediate risk group (surgery: HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.54-0.68; radiotherapy: HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77-0.95), but not in the high-risk group (surgery: HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.82-1.29; radiotherapy: HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.81-1.31). And all risk groups could benefit from systemic therapy (low-risk: HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.80; intermediate-risk: HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.47-0.54; high-risk: HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.40-0.53).Conclusion: A novel risk classification model predicting prognosis and locoregional surgery benefit of CRC patients with distant metastasis was established and validated. This predictive model could be further utilized by physicians and be of great significance for medical practice.

scholarly journals The ferroptosis and iron-metabolism signature robustly predicts clinical diagnosis, prognosis and immune microenvironment for hepatocellular carcinoma

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bufu Tang ◽  
Jinyu Zhu ◽  
Jie Li ◽  
Kai Fan ◽  
Yang Gao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Iron Metabolism ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Prognostic Models ◽  
Integrated Analysis ◽  
Immune Microenvironment ◽  
Diagnostic Models

Abstract Background In this study, we comprehensively analyzed genes related to ferroptosis and iron metabolism to construct diagnostic and prognostic models and explore the relationship with the immune microenvironment in HCC. Methods Integrated analysis, cox regression and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method of 104 ferroptosis- and iron metabolism-related genes and HCC-related RNA sequencing were performed to identify HCC-related ferroptosis and iron metabolism genes. Results Four genes (ABCB6, FLVCR1, SLC48A1 and SLC7A11) were identified to construct prognostic and diagnostic models. Poorer overall survival (OS) was exhibited in the high-risk group than that in the low-risk group in both the training cohort (P < 0.001, HR = 0.27) and test cohort (P < 0.001, HR = 0.27). The diagnostic models successfully distinguished HCC from normal samples and proliferative nodule samples. Compared with low-risk groups, high-risk groups had higher TMB; higher fractions of macrophages, follicular helper T cells, memory B cells, and neutrophils; and exhibited higher expression of CD83, B7H3, OX40 and CD134L. As an inducer of ferroptosis, erastin inhibited HCC cell proliferation and progression, and it was showed to affect Th17 cell differentiation and IL-17 signaling pathway through bioinformatics analysis, indicating it a potential agent of cancer immunotherapy. Conclusions The prognostic and diagnostic models based on the four genes indicated superior diagnostic and predictive performance, indicating new possibilities for individualized treatment of HCC patients. Graphical abstract

A Risk Score to Predict CMV Viremia within the First 100 Days after Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation Based on Pre-Transplant Parameters

Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 3877-3877
Author(s):  
Feras Alfraih ◽  
John Kuruvilla ◽  
Naheed Alam ◽  
Anna Lambie ◽  
Vikas Gupta ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Stem Cell ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Cmv Infection ◽  
Allogeneic Hsct ◽  
Very High

Abstract Introduction: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) is a major infectious complication following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Risk of CMV infection varies between patients and individualized strategies for monitoring and therapy for CMV are needed. In this study, we attempted to establish a clinical score based on patient and transplant characteristics in order to predict the probability for early CMV viremia (CMV-V) within the first 100 days after HSCT. Methods: A total of 548 patients were evaluated after receiving HSCT between 2005 and 2012 at Princess Margaret Cancer Centre. CMV sero-negative recipients with CMV sero-negative donors (R-D-) were excluded. CMV-V was diagnosed in peripheral blood samples obtained on two occasions either by PCR (>200 IU/ml) or antigenemia testing (>2 positive cells/100000). A total of 378 patients were included into the study. Uni- and multivariable analyses were performed to identify risk factors for CMV-V. A weighted score was assigned to each factor based on the odds ratios determined by the multivariable analysis. A total score was calculated for each patient and used for assignment into one of 4 risk categories, the low risk (score 0-1), the intermediate (score 2-3), the high (score 4-5) and the very high (score 6-8). Median age for all patients was 51 years (range 17-71) and 173 (46%) were female. Matched related donors were used for two hundred fifteen patients (57%). Two hundred forty-three patients (64%) were transplanted for myeloid and 108 (29%) for lymphoid malignancies. One hundred thirteen patients (30%) were CMV sero-positive with a negative donor (R+D-) while 191 (51%) were recipient and donor CMV sero-positivity (R+D+). Graft versus host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis included CSA/MMF (n=200, 52%), and CSA/MTX (n=178, 48%). Myeloablative conditioning regimens were administered to 220 patients (58%), 158 patients (42%) were treated with a reduced intensity regimen. Three hundred-thirty seven patients (89%) received peripheral blood stem cells as a stem cell source. In vivo T cell depletion (TCD) with alemtuzumab was used in 138 (37%). Results: CMV-V occurred in 246 (64%) patients by day 100 post HSCT. The impact of patient and HSCT characteristics on the risk of CMV-V was assessed by multivariable analysis. The significant factors were CMV sero-status R+D- and R+D+, TCD, GVHD prophylaxis with MMF administration of myeloablative preparative regimens (Table 1). Table 1. Multivariate analysis for risk factors of CMV infection following allogeneic HSCT Table 1. Multivariate analysis for risk factors of CMV infection following allogeneic HSCT CMV-V rates on the 4 new risk categories amounted to 93% in the very high-risk, 78% in high-risk, 41% in intermediate-risk and 11% in low-risk group (Fig 1). The risk score was also predictive for the occurrence of multiple CMV-V reactivations with rates of 71%, 45%, 19% and 4% for the very high, high, intermediate and low-risk groups, respectively. The overall survival (OS) rate at 2 years was 33%(n=56) in the very high-risk group compared to 50% in other-risk groups (n=147) (P=0.01) (Fig 2). Non-relapse mortality (NRM) was 53% in the very high-risk versus 33% in other-risk groups (P<0.001). However, there was no difference on cumulative incidence of relapse between the groups (P=0.3). The cumulative incidence of grades 1-4 acute GVHD, grades 2-4, grades 3-4 at day 120 and overall chronic GVHD at 2 years was 68%, 47%, 25% and 39% in very high-risk group versus 65%, 52%, 21% and 52% in other-risk groups, suggesting slightly lower incidence of chronic GVHD in very high-risk vs other-risk groups. Conclusion: We present a new clinical scoring system to stratify the risk of early CMV viremia after allogeneic HSCT based on patients and HSCT characteristics. Identifying the risk for each patient would facilitate decision making with respect to strategies including CMV prophylaxis, pre-emptive treatment or inclusion into clinical trials, as well directing the CMV monitoring policy post-transplant. In addition, the risk score was associated with higher risk of overall mortality and NRM in the very high-risk versus other-risk groups. Figure 1 Figure 1. Figure 2 Figure 2. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

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