scholarly journals A Comparison of Residual Shunts After Two Different Surgical Methods for Isolated Ventricular Septal Defect Closure

Author(s):  
Hongbo Li ◽  
Chun Wu ◽  
Zhengxia Pan ◽  
Linyun Xi

Abstract BackgroundTo examine residual defects(RS) and examined the rate of spontaneous RS closure over time to identify factors associated with the occurrence and spontaneous closure of these defects after two different operation methods.MethodsIn this retrospective analysis, we enrolled only patients with perimembranous VSDs (pmVSDs) and reviewed the clinical records of patients who underwent repair for pmVSDs between January 2016 and January 2019. All patients underwent surgery with either cardiopulmonary bypass (the CPB group) or minimally invasive closure of transthoracic VSDs under the guidance of TEE (the MIC group). There were 189 patients who underwent CPB surgery and 211 patients who underwent MIC surgery. Ultimately, there were 37 patients with RSs in the CPB group (surgical repair via CPB) and 39 patients with RSs in the MIC group (minimally invasive closure of transthoracic VSDs). Postoperatively, all surgical patients were required to return for outpatient follow-up visits, and echocardiography was required to evaluate the RS. Assessments included shunt velocity and RS size.ResultsIn the CPB group, 16 patients had a small RS, and 21 patients had a moderate RS. The comparison between the variables such as weight, preoperative VSD size, and RS size revealed no significant differences except RS size (P=0.000). To compare the spontaneous closure rates of the two sizes of RSs(the moderate group and small size group), Kaplan-Meier plots were used. These plots show that the small size was more likely to undergo spontaneous closure (P=0.034), but the final spontaneous closure rate was not significantly different (P=1.000).In the MIC group, there were 29 patients in the small group and 10 patients in the moderate group, and the variables such as weight, preoperative VSD size, and preoperative VSD size showed no significant differences except RS size and the rate of no spontaneous closure (P=0.000 vs. 0.045). The Kaplan-Meier plots (Figure 2) showed that the small size was RSs were more likely to undergo spontaneous closure (P=0.004), while the final spontaneous closure rate was significantly different between groups (P=0.045).At 2 years post-operation, 7 patients still had RSs, and the overall spontaneous closure rate was 90.8%. The size of the RS on discharge was the only variable identified, on Cox regression, to be predictive of the likelihood of spontaneous closure. The univariate analysis, however, showed that shunt velocity had no association with spontaneous closure. Factors including age, weight, sex, surgical technique, and VSD size had no association with spontaneous closure.ConclusionThe RS incidence and spontaneous closure rates were not significantly different two different operation methods. Small RSs were more likely to undergo spontaneous closure in both groups.

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrés Moreno Roca ◽  
Luciana Armijos Acurio ◽  
Ruth Jimbo Sotomayor ◽  
Carlos Céspedes Rivadeneira ◽  
Carlos Rosero Reyes ◽  
...  

Abstract Objectives Pancreatic cancers in most patients in Ecuador are diagnosed at an advanced stage of the disease, which is associated with lower survival. To determine the characteristics and global survival of pancreatic cancer patients in a social security hospital in Ecuador between 2007 and 2017. Methods A retrospective cohort study and a survival analysis were performed using all the available data in the electronic clinical records of patients with a diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in a Hospital of Specialties of Quito-Ecuador between 2007 and 2017. The included patients were those coded according to the ICD 10 between C25.0 and C25.9. Our univariate analysis calculated frequencies, measures of central tendency and dispersion. Through the Kaplan-Meier method we estimated the median time of survival and analyzed the difference in survival time among the different categories of our included variables. These differences were shown through the log rank test. Results A total of 357 patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer between 2007 and 2017 were included in the study. More than two-thirds (69.9%) of the patients were diagnosed in late stages of the disease. The median survival time for all patients was of 4 months (P25: 2, P75: 8). Conclusions The statistically significant difference of survival time between types of treatment is the most relevant finding in this study, when comparing to all other types of treatments.


EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
TE Graca Rodrigues ◽  
J Brito ◽  
P Silverio-Antonio ◽  
P Couto Pereira ◽  
B Valente Silva ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Cavotricuspid isthmus ablation (CTA) is the 1st line therapy to accomplish rhythm control in typical atrial flutter (AFL). Several studies have shown that AFL is frequently associated with AF, which may be silent, posing the patient at risk of systemic embolism. Nowadays, there are no formal recommendations for OAC after CTA in patients with isolated AFL. Aim To determine the risk of MACE after CTA and compare: 1) the presence of concomitant AF, 2) concomitantly performing PVI and 3) persistence on OAC. Methods Single-center retrospective study of  pts submitted to CTA between 2015 and 2019, comprising 3 groups: I – pts with lone AFL; II – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to CTA only; and III – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to PVI and CTA. Clinical records were analyzed to determine the occurrence of MACE - death (of CV or unknown cause), stroke, clinically relevant bleed or hospitalization due to HF or arrhythmic events. Long-term OAC was defined as its persistence over 18 months after CTA. Kaplan Meier survival curves were used to estimate the risk of events and the groups were compared using uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Results A total of 476 pts (66 ± 12 years, 80% males) underwent CTA: group I – 284 pts (60%), II – 109 pts (23%) and III – 83 pts (17%). Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, except for age with group I pts being older (68 ± 12, 67 ± 11, 61 ± 11, p < 0.03). The mean baseline CHA2DS2VASc was 2.3 ± 1.5 and the median post-CTA follow-up was 2.8 year. The 1-, 3- and 5-years MACE risk was 7%, 21% and 32%, respectively and did not differ significantly between groups. OAC was suspended on the long-term in 105 pts (23%), at a mean of 241 days post-CTA. Suspension of OAC was significantly associated with lower MACE risk (HR: 0.26, 95%CI 0.12-0.56, p = 0.001). This effect was independent of the age and CHA2DS2VASc. The prognostic benefit of OAC suspension was driven by the group I and was not verified in patients with concomitant AF. In group I, withdraw of OAC (56 pts - 27%) was associated with a 70% relative risk reduction in the 5-year MACE risk (16% vs 43%, HR: 0.30, 95%CI 0.13-0.69, p = 0.005). In group I, OAC was suspended in patient who were younger (65 ± 11 vs. 69 ± 12, p = 0.002), had lower CHA2DS2VASc (1.9 ± 1.6 vs. 2.7 ± 1.4, p < 0.001) and less often had cerebral vascular disease (1% vs. 8%, p = 0.036), HF (14% vs. 38%, p = 0.001), ischemic cardiomyopathy (9% vs. 19%, p = 0.04) and HTN(61% vs. 75%, p = 0.019). Conclusions In pts with AFL submitted to CTA, the long-term risk of MACE is frighteningly high, even in the ones without prior documentation of concomitant AF. Pts with prior AF presenting at the electrophysiological procedure in typical AFL and submitted just to CTA were not significantly harmed, from a prognostic perspective. In pts with lone AFL submitted to successful CTA, it may be reasonable to suspend OAC within 18 months provided that the concomitant AF is carefully excluded. Abstract Figure.


2017 ◽  
Vol 83 (10) ◽  
pp. 1174-1178 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas Manguso ◽  
Jeffrey Johnson ◽  
Attiya Harit ◽  
Nicholas Nissen ◽  
James Mirocha ◽  
...  

Small bowel neuroendocrine tumors (SBNET) account for most gastrointestinal neuroendocrine tumors. Patients often present with late-stage disease; however, there is little information regarding factors that contribute to recurrence. Database review identified 301 patients diagnosed with SBNET between 1990 and 2013. Univariate analysis included patients who underwent complete resection. Survival was estimated by the Kaplan–Meier method. A total of 147 patients met study criteria. Average age was 60 years (range 21–91); 49 per cent were male. Thirty-seven (25.3%) patients had laparoscopic resection, and 29 (19.9%) patients had only small bowel disease, whereas 108 (72.6%) had nodal metastasis. Five-year overall and disease-free survival were 97.5 and 73.5 per cent. Forty-seven (32%) patients had recurrence. The recurrence group was more likely to have an open operation (59.6 vs 32%, P < 0.01), mesenteric invasion, or lymphatic metastasis (87.2 vs 67%, P < 0.01) compared with the no-recurrence group. Cox regression analysis showed that variables associated with recurrence included nodal disease (HR 9.06, P = 0.03), lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (3.95, P < 0.01), perineural invasion (PNI) (3.48, P < 0.01), and mesenteric involvement (3.77, P = 0.03). Patients with SBNET presenting with nodal metastasis, mesenteric involvement, LVI, or PNI have a higher risk of recurrence. Closer surveillance should be considered after operative resection.


Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 1613-1613 ◽  
Author(s):  
Megan Othus ◽  
Mikkael A Sekeres ◽  
Sucha Nand ◽  
Guillermo Garcia-Manero ◽  
Frederick R. Appelbaum ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: CR and CR with incomplete count recovery (CRi) are associated with prolonged overall survival (OS) for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients (pts) treated with curative-intent, induction therapy. For AML pts treated with azacitidine (AZA), response (CR, partial response, marrow CR, or hematologic improvement) is also associated with prolonged OS. We evaluate whether patients given AZA for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) or AML had longer OS if they achieved CR. We also compare the effect size of CR on OS between AZA regimens and 7+3. Patients and Methods: We analyzed four SWOG studies: S1117 (n=277) was a randomized Phase II study comparing AZA to AZA+lenalidomide or AZA+vorinostat for higher-risk MDS and CMML pts (median age 70 years, range 28-93); S0703 (n=133) treated AML pts not eligible for curative-intent therapy with AZA+mylotarg (median age 73 years, range 60-88). We analyzed the 7+3 arms of S0106 (n=301 were randomized to 7+3, median age 48 years, range 18-60) and S1203 (n=261 were randomized to 7+3, median age 48 years, range 19-60). CR was defined per 2003 International Working Group criteria. In S1117 CR was assessed every 16 weeks and patients remained on therapy until disease progression. In S0703, S0106, and S1203 CR was assessed following 1-2 induction cycles; patients not achieving CR (S0106) or CRi (S0703 and S1203) were removed from protocol treatment. OS was measured from date of study registration. To avoid survival by response bias, we performed landmark analyses of OS. We present results based on the study-specific landmark date that 75% of pts who eventually achieved a CR had done so (S1117 144 days, S0703 42 days, S0106 44 days, S1203 34 days). Pts who did not achieve CR by this date were analyzed with pts who never achieved CR. Pts who died or were lost to follow-up before this date were excluded from analyses. As a sensitivity analysis we also analyzed based on the 90% date; results were not materially different. Log-rank tests were used to compare survival curves and Cox regression models were used for multivariable modeling including baseline prognostic factors age, sex, performance status, white blood cell count, platelet count, marrow blast percentage, de novo disease (versus antecedent MDS or therapy-related disease), study arm (for S1117 only), and cytogenetic risk (IPSS criteria for S1117, SWOG criteria for S0703, S0106, and S1203). The following analysis considers morphologic CR only. S0106 treated CR with incomplete count recover (CRi) pts as treatment failures (S0703 and S1203 did not) and CRi was not defined for S1117. Hematologic improvement was only defined for S1117 patients. Results: In univariate analysis, CR was significantly associated with prolonged survival among MDS pts treated with azactidine on S1117 (HR=0.55, p=0.017), confirming the results seen in AML pts treated with azacitidine (and mylotarg, S0703, HR=0.60, p=0.054) and 7+3 (S0106 HR=0.44, p<0.001; S1203 HR=0.32, p<0.0001) (Figure 1). For each study this relationship remained significant in multivariable analysis controlling for baseline prognostic factors (S1117 HR=0.25, p<0.001; S0703 HR=0.64, p=0.049; S0106 HR=0.45, p<0.001; S1203 HR=0.41, p<0.001). There was no evidence that the impact of CR varied across the four cohorts (interaction p-value = 0.76). In the full cohort, the effect of CR was associated with a HR of 0.45 (Table 1). Conclusion: Adjusting for pt characteristics, achievement of morphologic CR was associated with a 60% improvement in OS, on average, compared to that seen in pts who don't achieve a CR, regardless of whether pts were treated with 7+3 or AZA containing regimens, and suggesting that value CR is similar of whether pts receive more or less "intensive" therapy for these high grade neoplasms. Support: NIH/NCI grants CA180888 and CA180819 Acknowledgment: The authors wish to gratefully acknowledge the important contributions of the late Dr. Stephen H. Petersdorf to SWOG and to study S0106. Figure 1 Kaplan-Meier plots of landmark survival by response. Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier plots of landmark survival by response. Table 1 Multivariable analysis, N=878 Table 1. Multivariable analysis, N=878 Disclosures Othus: Glycomimetics: Consultancy; Celgene: Consultancy. Sekeres:Celgene: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Erba:Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc.: Research Funding; Amgen: Consultancy, Research Funding; Seattle Genetics: Consultancy, Research Funding; Agios: Research Funding; Gylcomimetics: Other: DSMB; Juno: Research Funding; Daiichi Sankyo: Consultancy; Sunesis: Consultancy; Pfizer: Consultancy; Ariad: Consultancy; Jannsen: Consultancy, Research Funding; Incyte: Consultancy, DSMB, Speakers Bureau; Celator: Research Funding; Astellas: Research Funding; Celgene: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau; Novartis: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau.


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9545-9545
Author(s):  
C. S. McGuire ◽  
K. L. Cobb ◽  
P. G. Fisher

9545 Background: Supratentorial (SUP) ependymoma in childhood has been reported in studies with limited samples to carry improved overall survival (OS) compared to infratentorial (INF) tumors, with spinal (SPI) ependymoma having the best outcome. Moreover, radiation therapy (XRT) for INF tumors has been considered standard of care, though there have been case reports of children treated successfully without XRT. Thus, we aimed to examine how age, gender, location, XRT and race influence OS in childhood ependymoma by rigorous analysis of a large registry. Methods: We queried the Surveillance Epidemiology End Results (SEER) registry from 1973 to 2003, strictly defining ependymomas by histology (ICD-O-3: 9391–9394). ICD-0–2 site codes, when available, were used to distinguish SUP, INF, and SPI tumors. OS was compared by age, gender, race, location, and XRT, using Kaplan-Meier analysis with logrank tests in SPSS 12.0 (Chicago, IL). Cox regression incorporated all significant covariates from univariate analysis. A similar analysis was conducted to determine whether findings differed in adults. Results: 635 children <18 years at diagnosis were identified (265 females; 510 whites, 77 blacks; 106 SUP, 193 INF, 55 SPI) with 5-year OS 57.1% ± standard error 2.3%. With univariate analysis, OS did not differ by gender or race. For location, 5-year OS did not differ between SUP 59.5% ± 5.4% and INF 57.1% ± 4.1%, but was significantly better for SPI 86.7% ± 5.2%. With multivariate analysis, location and age remained significant predictors for OS, with younger children having worse outcome. A similar multivariate analysis in 1388 adults again showed age and location to be significant. Adults fared better than children (logrank p <0.0001). XRT of INF tumors was associated with significantly improved OS in children (logrank p <0.018), but did not lead to an OS difference among adults. Conclusions: Age and location directly influence OS in childhood ependymoma. SPI tumors are associated with a significantly better prognosis than other ependymomas. This study could not show a difference in OS between SUP and INF tumors, proposed recently to have different stem cell origins. SPI tumors may represent a distinct biological entity. Curiously, XRT is associated with improved OS in pediatric, but not adult, INF ependymomas. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dong-Hui Liu ◽  
Xiu Yang ◽  
Han Meng ◽  
Gui Yun Zhang ◽  
Shanghang Shen

Abstract Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most common and deadly tumor in the central nervous system. Recent studies illuminated that long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) serve as competitive endogenous RNAs (ceRNAs) and play an important role in GBM by regulating immune responses. Here, GBM datasets from TCGA database were analyzed to obtain 356 significantly differentially expressed lncRNAs (DE-lncRNAs), 4951 DE-mRNAs, and 34 DE-miRNAs in GBM, respectively. For mRNAs, 369 DE-mRNAs were identified as immune-related genes in Immport database. For DE-lncRNAs, univariate analysis identified 39 DE-lncRNAs with prognostic significance, and 9 DE-lncRNAs are included in ImmLnc database. Then, combined analysis was conducted, by integrating 9 immune related DE-lncRNAs, 369 immune related DE-mRNAs and 34 DE-miRNAs, and generated a ceRNA network composed of 2 upregulated lncRNAs (LINC01268 and CTB-31O20.2), 3 downregulated miRNAs and 5 upregulated mRNAs. Then we focused on LINC01268 and CTB-31O20.2, and Kaplan-Meier survival, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that LINC01268 and CTB-31O20.2 serve as independent protective prognostic markers in GBM. Finally, LINC01268 and CTB-31O20.2 overexpression was conducted in GBM cell U251. CCK8, transwell and scratch healing assay indicated that LINC01268 and CTB-31O20.2 inhibits GBM cell line U251 proliferation, invasion and migration. To sum up, LINC01268 and CTB-31O20.2 are independent prognostic immune related markers, and reduces cancer cell proliferation and metastasis in GBM.


Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 5423-5423
Author(s):  
Sotirios Papageorgiou ◽  
Vasileios Papadopoulos ◽  
Papoutselis Menelaos ◽  
Anthi Bouhla ◽  
Argiris Symeonidis ◽  
...  

Introduction. Myelodysplastic Syndrome (MDS) is a disease of the elderly. Apart from IPSS, IPSS-R and WPSS, several indexes incorporating patient comorbidities (such as the MDS CI index- Della Porta et al Haematologica 2011, the HCT-CI index - Sorror et al Blood 2005) and performance status (the GFM index- Itzykson et al Blood 2011) have been used to predict outcome in MDS patients treated with azacytidine (AZA). We sought to investigate the effect of comorbidities on the outcome after AZA in a large group of patients from the MDS registry of the Hellenic MDS Study Group. Methods. The present study has been conducted as a retrospective observational cohort one. It included high-risk MDS and low blast count AML patients treated with AZA from 26 centers in Greece from 2007 to 2018. T-test and ANOVA were used to compare scale variables between two or more groups respectively. Univariate analysis of nominal and scale survival data was performed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression respectively. All variables achieving p<0.05 at univariate analysis were considered eligible for multivariate analysis; the latter was based on Cox regression method. Results. We analyzed 536 consecutive patients. Patient characteristics are depicted in Table 1. The median follow-up period was 27.5±4.8 months. 371 patients received at least four cycles of AZA and 165 patients received less than 4 cycles of AZA. Patients who received ≥4 cycles of AZA did not differ from those who received <4 cycles regarding gender, age, estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR), cardiovascular, renal, and tumor comorbidities. Significantly higher IPSS-R and GFM scores at baseline were found in the group of patients receiving < 4 cycles of AZA compared to patients who received ≥ 4 cycles of AZA (p=0.042 and 0.05 respectively), while transfusion dependence at baseline occurred more often in patients who received ≥ 4 cycles of AZA (p=0.039). To assess the prognostic significance of risk factors on leukemia free survival (LFS) and overall survival (OS), univariate and multivariate analysis for the whole population was performed, as well as a landmark analysis for patients who were treated with at least 4 cycles of AZA. ECOG performance status and the presence of peripheral blasts were independent prognostic factors for LFS and OS for the whole cohort analysis while response to AZA and the presence of peripheral blasts were independent prognosticators for LFS and OS in the landmark analysis. In addition, prior low dose cytarabine was an independent adverse prognostic factor for LFS in the landmark analysis. As regards comorbidities, neither of MDS-CI, HCT-CI and GFM systems independently predicted LFS or OS in either analysis, but eGFR with a cut-off of 45 ml/min was a strong and independent prognosticator for LFS and OS in both the standard and the landmark analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival curves regarding LFS and OS at AZA initiation and landmark analysis after 4th cycle of AZA in relation with eGFR are shown in Figure 1. Conclusion. This is the first study to demonstrate the importance of eGFR at baseline as a prognostic marker for LFS and OS in high-risk MDS and low-blast AML patients treated with AZA. The role of comorbidities and PS needs to be further evaluated in this patient group. Disclosures Symeonidis: Roche: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Sanofi: Research Funding; Celgene: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Gilead: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Janssen: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; MSD: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Novartis: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Pfizer: Research Funding; Tekeda: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding. Vassilakopoulos:Novartis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Takeda: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; WinMedica: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Abbvie: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Celgene / GenesisPharma: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Roche: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Amgen: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Panayiotidis:Bayer: Other: Support of clinical trial. Pappa:Janssen: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Amgen: Research Funding; Gilead: Honoraria, Research Funding; Novartis: Honoraria, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; Roche: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Celgene / GenesisPharma: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Abbvie: Research Funding; Takeda: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding. Kotsianidis:Celgene: Research Funding.


2020 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 86-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiliang Chen ◽  
Zhiping Xie ◽  
Zou Bin

Abstract Objective Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are important complications for patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The study aimed to explore whether serum leptin is associated with a increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with RA. Methods Two hundred twenty-three patients with RA were followed for a mean of 40 (range = 8-42) months. Serum leptin levels were measured at baseline. Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the association between leptin levels and the risk of CV events. Results The univariate analysis showed that patients with RA with higher serum leptin levels had higher rates of CV events and CV mortality, respectively (P &lt;.001). The logistic regression model showed that leptin was independently related to CVD history (odds ratio = 1.603, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.329–2.195; P =.005) after adjusting for confounding factors in patients with RA at baseline. The multivariate Cox proportional hazard model suggested that leptin was an independent prognostic factor for CV events in patients with RA after adjustments were made for clinical confounding factors (hazard ratio = 2.467, 95% CI, 2.019–4.495; P &lt;.001). The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that compared with patients with RA with leptin levels below the median value (≤15.4 mg/L), patients with leptin above the median value (&gt;15.4 μg/L) had a higher rate of CV events (P &lt;.001). Conclusion Leptin was significantly associated with CV events in patients with RA. Elevated serum leptin levels may be a reliable prognostic factor for predicting CV complications in patients with RA.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 412-412 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guido Giordano ◽  
Vanja Vaccaro ◽  
Eleonora Lucchini ◽  
Paola Bertocchi ◽  
Francesca Bergamo ◽  
...  

412 Background: Nab-P + G combination represents an optimal first line therapeutic option in APDAC. Actually we have no parameters to predict prognosis in pts receiving this regimen. Here we present data of a multicentre retrospective analysis evaluating prognostic impact of clinical or biological factors in a cohort of APDAC pts treated with Nab-P + G first line CT. Methods: Clinical records of 118 APDAC pts receiving first line Nab-P + G were retrospectively reviewed. Overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) were evaluated with Kaplan Meier method with 95% CI and curves were compared with log-rank test. Cox-regression model was applied to the data with univariate and multivariate approach. Variables included in analysis were age, gender, ECOG PS, primary tumor site, liver metastases, multiple metastatic sites, baseline CA19-9, bilirubin levels, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), CA19-9 decrease > 50%, biliary stent and symptomatic disease. Results: Median age was 66 (37 - 83), M/F:65/53, ECOG PS 0/1/2: 51/46/21 respectively. 4 complete and 27 partial responses were observed with 26% response rate (RR). Median OS and PFS were 11 months (95% CI 9.58 – 12.41) and 7 months ( 95% CI 5.96 – 8.03) respectively. When considered at univariate analysis primary tumor location to the head, ECOG PS of 2, bilirubin levels higher than median and NLR ≥ 5 had a bad prognostic impact both on PFS and OS. Differently, CA19-9 decrease > 50% was considered a positive prognostic factor for PFS and OS. Multivariate analysis confirmed the negative role of NLR ≥ 5 respect of PFS (HR 3.21; 95%CI 1.61 – 5.68, p = 0.002) and OS (HR 3.38; 95%CI 1.88 – 5.79, p = 0.001) and positive impact of CA19-9 decrease > 50% on PFS (HR 0.37; 95% CI 0.11 – 0.68, p=0.006) and OS (HR 0.53; 95% CI 0.15 – 0.97, p=0.005), as independent prognostic factors. Conclusions: This analysis suggest that in APDAC pts receiving first line Nab-P + G, high NLR value (≥5) could be considered an easy detectable, independent parameter to predict poor outcomes in terms of PFS and OS. Furthermore CA19-9 reduction > 50% from baseline may be, in absence of other clinical and molecular parameters, an early marker of good prognosis.


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 828-829
Author(s):  
S. Azevedo ◽  
J. Tavares-Costa ◽  
A. T. Melo ◽  
R. Freitas ◽  
M. Cabral ◽  
...  

Background:Methotrexate (MTX) is the most widely used conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (csDMARD) in the treatment of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).1,2When remission is achieved, questions remain about discontinuing MTX. There is some evidence that a longer period of inactive disease before MTX withdrawal is associated with lower likelihood of relapse, while both rheumatoid factor (RF) positive polyarthritis and extended oligoarthritis categories are associated with higher probability of disease relapse.2,3Objectives:To identify predictive factors of relapse after discontinuation of MTX in JIA patients with inactive disease.Methods:Prospective multicentre cohort study in patients diagnosed with JIA, according to the ILAR classification, using real world data from the Portuguese national register database, Reuma.pt (Fig 1).4We evaluated patients who have reached JADAS27 inactive disease (≤1 and no active extra-articular manifestations) and discontinued MTX before the age of 18 years-old.5Relapse was defined as recurrence (>1 or extra-articular manifestations) or restarting a DMARD.5To identify differences of relapse risk, univariate analyses were performed. Persistence in remission was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Subsequently, Cox regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of relapse.Results:119 JIA patients discontinued MTX due to inactive disease (Fig 1). 69.7% were females and 60.6% had oligoarticular JIA. Sociodemographic and clinical characteristics are shown in Table 1. Relapse has occurred in 32.8%. Table 2 shows the disease characteristics at MTX initiation and discontinuation and at relapse or last visit.In univariate analysis, relapse was associated with the use of NSAIDs at the time of MTX discontinuation (p=.027) and with a period of less than two years in inactive disease before MTX suspension (p=.040). We found no association with gender, race, immunology (RF, antinuclear and cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies), MTX dose, discontinuation modality (tapering and spacing the doses or just tapering the dose), extra-articular manifestations, previous corticotherapy, family history, body mass index, JADAS, CHAQ index, inflammatory parameters, tender and swollen joint counts at MTX initiation or discontinuation nor with age at remission or at MTX suspension. Median persistence in inactive disease was significantly higher in patients with more than two years in remission before MTX discontinuation (p=.034) and in those who did not use NSAIDs at time of MTX discontinuation (p=.026) (Fig 2).After adjustment for age at diagnosis, MTX tapering and JIA category, use of NSAIDs at the time of discontinuation (HR, 1.98 95%CI 1.03-3.82) and less than two years in remission (HR, 3.12 95%CI 1.35-7.13) remained associated with relapse.Conclusion:In this large cohort we found that the use of NSAIDs at the time of MTX discontinuation was associated with two times the likelihood of relapse. Like in other studies we also showed that the time in remission before MTX discontinuation is the main predictor of relapse. We found no association between the JIA category and the risk of relapse.References:[1]Hügle B 2016[2]Klotsche J 2018[3]Guzman J 2014[4]Canhão H 2011[6]Consolaro A 2014Disclosure of Interests:Soraia Azevedo: None declared, José Tavares-Costa: None declared, Ana Teresa Melo: None declared, Raquel Freitas: None declared, Marta Cabral: None declared, Marta Conde: None declared, Francisca Aguiar: None declared, Agna Neto: None declared, Ana Filipa Mourão: None declared, Filipa Oliveira-Ramos: None declared, Maria Jose Santos Speakers bureau: Novartis and Pfizer, Daniela Peixoto: None declared


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