Novel Coronavirus in India Outbreaks around World: A Statistical Analysis of Odisha, India & World

Coronaviruses ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 01 ◽  
Author(s):  
Debabrata Singh ◽  
Suman Sekhar Sarangi ◽  
Milu Acharya ◽  
Surjeet Sahoo ◽  
Shakti Ketan Prusty ◽  
...  

Background: The Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the World Health Organization (WHO) declared novel Coronavirus (nCoV-2019) outbreaks in 2019 and is pandemic. Methods: This research work made an analysis of the nCoV-2019 outbreak in India solely based on a mathematical model. Results: The historical epidemics in the world are plague, AIDS, Swine flu, ebola, zika virus, Black Death and SARS. Considering the model used for SARS 2003, the present research on Covid-2019 estimates characteristics of rate of infectious (I) and rate of recovery(R) which leads to estimation the I and R leads to predict the number of infectious and recovery. Through ruling out the unpredictable, unreasonable data, the model predicts that the number of the cumulative 2019-nCoV cases may reach from 3398458(mid of May) to 15165863, with a peak of the unrecovered infective (2461434-15165863) occurring in late April to late July. In this paper we predicate how the confirmed infected cases would rapidly decrease until late March to July in India. We also focus how the Government of Odisha (a state of India) creates a history in the protective measures of Covid-19. Conclusion: The growing infected cases may get reduced by 70-79% by strong anti-epidemic measures. The enforcement of shutdown, lockdown, awareness, and improvement of medical and health care could also lead to about one-half transmission decrease and constructively abridge the duration of the 2019 n-CoV.

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sammina Mahmood ◽  
Tariq Hussain ◽  
Faiq Mahmood ◽  
Mehmood Ahmad ◽  
Arfa Majeed ◽  
...  

The World Health Organization has acknowledged coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease as a pandemic. Efforts are being made all over the world to raise awareness to prevent the spread of the disease. The goal of this study was to assess the attitude, perception, and knowledge of Pakistani people toward COVID-19 disease. We conducted a cross-sectional survey in which a questionnaire of 17 questions was transformed online on Google forms and was sent to random individuals online. A total of 1,000 questionnaires from individuals throughout Pakistan were evaluated. The results revealed that 42.9% of the participants knew about COVID-19 through social media, the largest source of information. Most of the participants (48.3%) started working from home amid the lockdown; 39.9% of the participants reported that they wash their hands every hour, and 56.9% participants are using a surgical mask. About thermal scanners, 30.5% of the people answered they may be effective, and 46.0% of the people think COVID-19 is a bioweapon; 59% of the participants think everyone is susceptible, whereas 83.9% of the people recognize fever as a primary symptom; 65.2% of the people are practicing social distancing, whereas 85.1% of the people think social gatherings causes spread of the disease. In general, participants had a good knowledge about the disease and a positive attitude toward protective measures. The effective measures are being taken by the government and the public; still, there remains a need for further awareness campaigns and knowledge of safe interventions to combat the spread of disease.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 1458-1464
Author(s):  
Sweta Kamboj ◽  
Rohit Kamboj ◽  
Shikha Kamboj ◽  
Kumar Guarve ◽  
Rohit Dutt

Background: In the 1960s, the human coronavirus was designated, which is responsible for the upper respiratory tract disease in children. Back in 2003, mainly 5 new coronaviruses were recognized. This study directly pursues to govern knowledge, attitude and practice of viral and droplet infection isolation safeguard among the researchers during the outbreak of the COVID-19. Introduction: Coronavirus is a proteinaceous and infectious pathogen. It is an etiological agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS). Coronavirus, appeared in China from the seafood and poultry market last year, which has spread in various countries, and has caused several deaths. Methods: The literature data has been taken from different search platforms like PubMed, Science Direct, Embase, Web of Science, who.int portal and complied. Results: Corona virology study will be more advanced and outstanding in recent years. COVID-19 epidemic is a threatening reminder not solely for one country but all over the universe. Conclusion: In this review article, we encapsulated the pathogenesis, geographical spread of coronavirus worldwide, also discussed the perspective of diagnosis, effective treatment, and primary recommendations by the World Health Organization, and guidelines of the government to slow down the impact of the virus are also optimistic, efficacious and obliging for the public health. However, it will take a prolonged time in the future to overcome this epidemic.


1992 ◽  
Vol 26 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 1013-1014
Author(s):  
Josef V. Kolář ◽  
Viliam J. Foltán

OBJECTIVE: To determine the ratio represented by essential drugs (EDs) in the total consumption of drugs in Czechoslovakia in 1989. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of the assortment and consumption of EDs in 1989. SETTING: Department of the Organization and Management of Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, Bratislava. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Consumption of drugs and/or pharmacotherapeutic groups, expressed by the number of formulations, number of units, and in financial terms. RESULTS: EDs constitute approximately one-third of the total consumption of drugs in Czechoslovakia (both in terms of volume and finances); almost 60 percent of EDs have dosage forms and concentrations identical to those shown in the World Health Organization Model List of Essential Drugs (Sixth List). CONCLUSIONS: The results obtained indicate that there is need for a regular updating of the drug policy within the public health branch of the government to more effectively regulate the production and import of drugs.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
R Singh ◽  
K Sharma

Abstract Background World Health Organization (WHO) declared that the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) constituted a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) on 30 January 2020 and characterized the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as a pandemic on 11 March 2020. India enacted such measures early on for effective mitigation and suppression to reduce community transmission, including an onerous national lockdown. The impact of the health system governance is quite apparent among all stakeholders including the public in such emergency contexts. Methods We compiled the daily data on the number of COVID-19 cases, recoveries and deaths from January 30th until June 16th, 2020. Different stages were categorized from post PHEIC declaration (pre-lockdown) phase to lockdown phases and unlocking phase as implemented. The several measures adopted by the national government were structured in four broad categories as Governance and socioeconomic, travel restrictions, lockdown and public health measures. These measures were compared during each phase. Results It was revealed that while the cases are rising the phased restrictions has helped in delaying the peak and remarkably interrupted the rate of transmission. The national average doubling rate was 3 days at the beginning which improved to 22 days. The basic reproduction number remained close to 1 during the last week of lockdown. However, the initial interruption of needed aid and technical support had negative social and economic impacts on the affected population. Conclusions As the situation abates following the measures adopted by the government, an articulate strategy of unlocking through increased testing and prompt isolation needs to be developed for more effective reduction and protecting the livelihoods allowing to further relax the lockdown measures. Key messages There is need for the local government to consider a strategic easing of the lockdown for protecting the rights of the most affected population. As the transmission rates are low, the easing of lockdown can be benefited from improved testing and prompt isolation.


Author(s):  
Anjana Jain

According to the latest report of the World Health Organization, 7 lakh 83 thousand people die due to polluted water every year in India. The main challenge of the Government of India is to provide clean water to the public. Therefore, in the study presented, an attempt has been made to know why there is pollution of drinking water, what types of diseases are caused by this polluted water, d. An attempt has been made to know its negative effects and pure drinking water treatment. The data and facts have been compiled on a secondary basis. विष्व स्वास्थ संगठन की ताजा रिपोर्ट के अनुसार भारत में प्रतिवर्ष 7 लाख 83 हजार लोग प्रदूषित जल की वजह से मरते है। जनता को साफ पानी पहुचाना भारत सरकार की मुख्य चुनौति है। अतः प्रस्तुत अध्ययन में यह जानने का प्रयास किया गया है कि पेयजल प्रदुषण क्यों होता है घ् इस प्रदूषित जल से किस प्रकार की बीमारियाँ उत्पन्न होती है घ् इसके नकारात्मक प्रभाव एवं शुध्द पेयजल उपचार को जानने का प्रयास किया गया है। आंकड़ो व तथ्यों का संकलन द्वितीयक आधार पर किया गया है।


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 353-362
Author(s):  
Adita Rianto ◽  
Ahmad Rafie Pratama

COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) due to the virus's uncontrolled spread around the world, including in Indonesia. The Indonesian government has made a number of steps to stop COVID-19 from spreading, one of which is COVID-19 vaccinations. However, not everyone thinks the vaccination is a good idea. Just like in many other countries, Indonesian people responded in different ways to COVID-19 vaccination posts on social media, be it from government officials/agencies or news portals. Their responses can be used to help the government decide on a better vaccination strategy that will help minimize the virus spread and end the pandemic in Indonesia. Using the lexicon method in determining the content sentiment in COVID-19 vaccination posts on Facebook, this research found that unlike news portals that tend to post a more balanced content (36% positive, 20% negative, and 44% neutral out of 23,623 posts with min score = -19, max score = 24, mean score = 0.25, and SD = = 1.43), government accounts posted much more positive content, both in terms of quality (min score = -15, max score = 40, mean score = 4.16, SD = 6.76 ) and quantity (69% classified as positive) than they did the neutral (15%) and the negative content (16%) out of 723 posts. Subsequent analysis with Two-Way ANOVA tests discovered that COVID-19 vaccination posts by the news portal accounts can elicit more varied reactions from the public than government accounts that tended to elicit only positive reactions. It is also confirmed that both the content sentiment of COVID-19 vaccination posts in Indonesia and the account types making the posts as well as their interaction terms do have an impact on how the public responses to them.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rachel Waema Mbogo ◽  
John W. Odhiambo

Abstract As reported by the World Health Organization (WHO), the world is currently facing a devastating pandemic of a novel coronavirus ( COVID -19), which started as an outbreak of pneumonia of unknown cause in the Wuhan city of China in December 2019. Within days and weeks, the COVID -19 pandemic had spread to over 210 countries. By the end of April, COVID -19 had caused over three million confirmed cases of infections and 230,000 fatalities globally. The trend poses a huge threat to global public health. Understanding the early transmission dynamics of the infection and evaluating the effectiveness of control measures is crucial for assessing the potential for sustained transmission to occur in new areas.We employed a SEIHCRD delay differential mathematical transmission model with reported Kenyan data on cases of COVID -19 to estimate how transmission varies over time and which population to target for mass testing. The model is concise in structure, and successfully captures the course of the COVID -19 outbreak, and thus sheds light on understanding the trends of the outbreak and the vulnerable populations. The results from the model gives insights to the government on the population to target for mass testing. The government should target population in the informal settlement for mass testing. People with pre-existing medical and non-medical conditions should be identified and given special medical care. With aggressive effective mass testing and adhering to the government directives and guidelines, we can get rid of COVID -19 epidemic.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aneesh Kumar K V

BACKGROUND The World Health Organization (WHO) declared 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) on 30 January 2020 and pandemic on 11 March 2020. As of today, 17 May 2020 around 3,16,520 death and 47,99,266 coronavirus infected cases are reported worldwide. There is about 26,25,463 active cases are now under treatment and several lakhs of people are under quarantine. Therefore, an attempt has been made to explain briefly about the characteristics of the virus, current review, COVID-19 symptoms, precautions, available vaccines etc. In addition, a case study was also conducted to provide the dangerous picture of drastic growth of infected people around the world during the span of time. OBJECTIVE World Health Organization (WHO) has announced the COVID-19 outbreak as a global public health emergency and pandemic, spreading fast with an increasing number of infected patients worldwide. At present, no vaccines are available for the treatment of patients with COVID_19 disease. A case study was conducted to provide the dangerous picture of exponential growth of infected people around the world to inculcate the awareness of maintaining social distancing and hand hygiene. This effort is made in view of providing awareness to the public effectively to understand and deal with the novel coronavirus situation worldwide. It is also anticipated to provide a reference to future advances in medical anti-virus related studies. METHODS A case study was conducted to provide the dangerous picture of exponential growth of infected people around the globe. For our study, we preferred five most coronavirus effected countries in the world viz., China, Itali, USA, Spain, India in the month of February and March 2020, and later extended to 17 May 2020. Based on the current published evidence, we precisely summarize the disease, characteristics of the virus, current world scenario, available treatment options and preventive measures to be taken against COVID-19. RESULTS Effort is made in view of providing awareness to the public effectively to understand and deal with the novel coronavirus situation worldwide.The medicines like Remdesivir, Chloroquine and Hydroxychloroquine, Ritonavir/Lopinavir and combined with Interferon beta are the experimental treatments currently being researched. Treatment with Lopinavir and Ritonavir or Chloroquine should be recommended in older patients with serious symptoms. The main risk factor of COVID-19 is travel and exposure to the virus. Lockdown, quarantine and thereby maintaining the ‘social distancing’ are the suitable method for controlling the out spread of coronavirus. Moreover, it is individual’s responsibility to take prompt measures to control the fast spreading of this virus disease. CONCLUSIONS The COVID-19 disease is spreading fast uncontrolled with an increasing number of infected patients worldwide. Our case study details the dangerous picture of exponential growth of infected people around the globe. The exact source, characteristics of the virus is unknown and no suitable drugs have been developed as of today. Symptomatic treatments are available and the list is provided, no need to panic. Conclusion is to inculcate the awareness of maintaining social distancing and hand hygiene. Anticipated to provide a reference to future advances in medical antivirus related studies.


2021 ◽  
pp. 154231662110528
Author(s):  
Serena Clark ◽  
Claudio Alberti

The World Health Organization (WHO) declared the novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2; Covid-19) a pandemic on 11 March 2020. Unlike preceding highly contagious diseases that brought the threat of global instability this century, such as SARS-CoV, Zika virus (ZIKV), Swine flu (H1N1), and Avian flu (H5N1), Covid-19, governments across the world introduced strict measures and interruptions to daily life incomparable in living memory. Overnight, countries closed schools, higher education institutions, workplaces and shut down borders – this left people scrambling to adapt, including those implementing peacebuilding interventions. In this unprecedented situation, peacebuilding organisations have worked, responded, and adapted to the new normal. These new dynamics have created both challenges and opportunities for peacebuilding. This article documents the experiences of peacebuilders during the pandemic, making sense of changing conditions, challenges and opportunities they faced. It explores two key questions. How have peacebuilding organisations adapted during COVID-19? Has COVID-19 contributed to the move to local ownership of peacebuilding or localisation? It addresses these questions by engaging with peacebuilding organisations across different geographical regions through an online survey and key informant interviews. The main results focus on localisation, digital adaptation and funding strategy and administration challenges.


2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (41) ◽  
pp. 66-72
Author(s):  
Augusto Lemos Regis

ResumoA Pandemia do novo coronavírus fez o Mundo parar. O alto grau de contágio da doença colocou a população mundial em quarentena, impedindo a livre circulação de pessoas para lazer, compras e até trabalho. No Brasil, as medidas para evitar o contágio seguiram as orientações da Organização Mundial da Saúde (OMS) e a Administração Pública precisou encontrar maneiras para poder continuar a produzir e oferecer os serviços à população levando em consideração a crise na Saúde Mundial. Em suas demandas, o Governo redigiu a Instrução Normativa nº 44, de 10 de junho de 2020, que modifica o documento anterior sobre teletrabalho no funcionalismo público, a Instrução Normativa nº 1 de agosto de 2018. Este artigo tem como objetivo comparar as duas Instruções Normativas e a CLT, no que se refere à adoção da modalidade de trabalho remoto no serviço público. Para essa análise se utiliza do método comparativo com as bibliografias produzidas no Brasil por pesquisadores da área de Administração Pública e a consulta das leis referentes à regulamentação do teletrabalho no funcionalismo público. O resultado dessas análises encontrará mudanças e melhorias para o servidor em serviço remoto e a manutenção da eficiência dos serviços públicos diante do problema mundial atual. Ao final do trabalho, com grande parte das repartições informatizadas e experiências positivas em diversas instituições do Governo, a Instrução Normativa nº 44 de junho de 2020 mostrará que é possível um processo menos burocrático na implementação do teletrabalho na Administração Pública Federal. Palavras chave: Administração Pública. Setor Público. Teletrabalho. Instrução Normativa. AbstractThe new coronavirus pandemic has stopped the world. The high degree of the disease contagion put the world population in quarantine, preventing the free movement of people for leisure, shopping and even work. In Brazil, measures to avoid contagion followed the WHO guidelines (World Health Organization) and the Public Administration needed to find ways to continue to produce and offer services to the population taking into account the global health crisis. In its demands, the government drafted Normative Instruction No. 44, of June 10th, 2020 which modifies the previous document on teleworking in the public service, Normative Instruction No. 1 of August 2018. This article aims to compare the two Normative Instructions and CLT regarding the adoption of the remote work modality in the public service. For this analysis the comparative method will be used with the bibliographies produced in Brazil by researchers in the public administration area and the laws consultation regarding the telework regulation in the civil service. The result of these analyzes will find changes and improvements for the server in remote service and the maintenance of the public services efficiency before the current global problem. With a large part of the computerized offices and with positive experiences in various government institutions, the Normative Instruction No. 44 of June 2020 will show that a less bureaucratic process in the teleworking implementation in the Federal Public Administration is possible. Keywords: Public Administration, Public Sector, Telework, Normative Instruction.


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