scholarly journals Bayesian analysis in social sciences

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minh-Hoang Nguyen

Given the reproducibility crisis (or replication crisis), more psychologists and social-cultural scientists are getting involved with Bayesian inference. Therefore, the current article provides a brief overview of programs (or software) and steps to conduct Bayesian data analysis in social sciences.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guilherme D. Garcia ◽  
Ronaldo Mangueira Lima Jr

Neste artigo, apresentamos os conceitos básicos de uma análise estatística bayesiana e demonstramos como rodar um modelo de regressão utilizando a linguagem R. Ao longo do artigo, comparamos estatística bayesiana e estatística frequentista, destacamos as diferentes vantagens apresentadas por uma abordagem bayesiana, e demonstramos como rodar um modelo simples e visualizar efeitos de interesse. Por fim, sugerimos leituras adicionais aos interessados neste tipo de análise.In this paper, we introduce the basics of Bayesian data analysis and demonstrate how to run a regression model in R using linguistic data. Throughout the paper, we compare Bayesian and Frequentist statistics, highlighting the different advantages of a Bayesian approach. We also show how to run a simple model and how to visualize effects of interest. Finally, we suggest additional readings to those interested in Bayesian analysis more generally.


2020 ◽  
Vol 245 ◽  
pp. 06001
Author(s):  
Allen Caldwell ◽  
Cornelius Grunwald ◽  
Vasyl Hafych ◽  
Kevin Kröninger ◽  
Salvatore La Cagnina ◽  
...  

In all but the simplest cases, performing data analysis based on Bayesian reasoning requires the use of advanced algorithms. The Bayesian Analysis Toolkit (BAT) provides a collection of algorithms and methods that facilitate the application of Bayesian statistics to user-defined problems of arbitrary complexity. With BAT.jl, we present a modern rewrite of BAT in the Julia programming language. Through the use of a modular software design that is capable of running parallel and distributed, and by extending the tool with new sampling and integration algorithms, BAT.jl is a high-performance framework for Bayesian inference, meeting the requirements of modern data analysis.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
John K. Kruschke ◽  
Torrin Liddell

This article explains the foundational concepts of Bayesian data analysis using virtually no mathematical notation. Bayesian ideas already match your intuitions from everyday reasoning and from traditional data analysis. Simple examples of Bayesian data analysis are presented, that illustrate how the information delivered by a Bayesian analysis can be directly interpreted.Bayesian approaches to null-value assessment are discussed. The article clarifies misconceptions about Bayesian methods that newcomers might have acquired elsewhere. We discuss prior distributions and explain how they are not a liability but an important asset. We discussthe relation of Bayesian data analysis to Bayesian models of mind, and we briefly discuss what methodological problems Bayesian data analysis is not meant to solve. After you have read this article, you should have a clear sense of how Bayesian data analysis works and the sort of information it delivers, and why that information is so intuitive and useful for drawing conclusions from data.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 405
Author(s):  
Heldaenni Heldaenni

This research is motivated by the learning result of Social Sciences of second grade II students of primary school025 Teluk Binjai Dumai Timur which is still very low. This study aims to improve learning outcomes of SocialSciences students. From the data analysis there is an increase of both teacher activity, student activity, andstudent learning result, that is teacher activity at meeting 1 cycle I the percentage is 64% (enough) and atmeeting 2 increase to 76% (good). In the second cycle of meeting 3 increased again to 88% (very good) and at4th meeting increased to 96% (very good). Judging from the student activity also increased from the 1st cyclemeeting I was 62,5% (enough) and at the 2nd meeting increased to 70.83% (good). In cycle II the 3rd meetingincreased to 83,83% (good) and at the 4th meeting to 91.66% (very good). Judging from student learningoutcomes, the average base score of 60 increased to 70 in the first cycle of increase 10 points later in cycle IIincreased to 90 in cycle II large increase of 20 points. From the data analysis there is an increase both fromteacher activity, student activity, and student learning outcomes. It can be concluded that the advancement of themodel of cooperative learning type make a match can improve the learning result of Social Sciences of secondgrade students of SD Negeri 025 Teluk Binjai Dumai Timur.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 395
Author(s):  
Burhanuddin Burhanuddin

This research is motivated by the learning result of Social Sciences of Grade VI SD Negeri 022 Jaya Mukti KotaDumai which is still very low. This study aims to improve the learning outcomes of Social Sciences students.From the data analysis there is an increase of both teacher activity, student activity, and student learning result,that is teacher activity at meeting 1 cycle I percentage is 65% (enough) and at meeting 2 increase to 80%(good). In the second cycle of meeting 3 it increases again to 90% (very good) and at meeting 4 increases to95% (very good). Judging from the student activity also increased from the 1st meeting of cycle I was 60%(enough) and at meeting 2 increased to 70% (good). In the second cycle of meeting 3 it increased to 85% (verygood) and at the 4th meeting to 95% (very good). Judging from student learning outcomes, the average basicscore 63 increased to 75 in the first cycle of increase 12 points later in cycle II increased to 95 in cycle II largeincrease of 20 points. From the data analysis there is an increase both from teacher activity, student activity,and student learning outcomes. It can be concluded that the Improved Learning Model concept map can improvethe learning outcomes of IPS students of class VI SD Negeri 022 Jaya Mukti Kota Dumai.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Yunis

Pasambahan a Minangkabau society how to speak, the speech full of philosophy which delivery indirectly. This turned out to be complicated understood by some people who did not understand the pasambahan. In the present study, the authors sought to express the values of the philosophy contained in pasambahan as how to speak the traditional Minang community. As time goes, these traditions are disappearing from everyday society, for it needs a way to preserve it back. Pariaman is one area that has always practiced this tradition. In this study, the authors attempted to peel pasambahan text in a manner which according to the author deconstruction approach is one approach that is very controversial in the social sciences today. The process of data analysis by using some theories of social science (eclectic). Among the pragmatic theory and semiotics. The method used in the form of qualitative observation, the authors go directly spaciousness and interact with competent informants. From the discussion, the authors found ten diplomatic elementscontained in tradition and pasamabahan text. These elements in them, '' opener, apology, positioning/element of certainty, stringsattached, request (permission), receipt, delivery destination, contracts/agreements/agreements, offers, and resolver ''.


1977 ◽  
Vol 72 (360) ◽  
pp. 711 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming-Mei Wang ◽  
Melvin R. Novick ◽  
Gerald L. Isaacs ◽  
Dan Ozenne

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-223
Author(s):  
Ahedi Syukro Sahudi ◽  
I Nyoman Sudapet ◽  
Hamzah Denny Subagyo

This research was conducted with the aim of knowing the relationship between product quality and price with the interest of buying consumer Ole-Ole Futsal Bung Tomo. This type of research uses a quantitative approach. The sample in this study were 30 respondents taken by the snowball effect method. The data analysis technique in this study usedcorrelation test analysis Spearman rank. The calculation process was aided by theapplication program Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (IBM SPSS Statistics 20). The results of this study indicate that a correlation of 0.877 means that it is very strong and based on calculations, the product quality variable with consumer buying interest has a sig value of 0.000 <0.05, so Ho is rejected, the product quality is significantly associated with consumer buying interest. And the price variable shows that there is a correlation of 0.738 which means strong and based on calculations, the price variable with consumer buying interest has a sig value of 0.000 < 0.05 so Ho is rejected, then the price is significantly associated with consumer buying interest.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 88-95
Author(s):  
Marlina Doloksaribu ◽  
Robert Martua Simanjuntak ◽  
Ied Hidayani Parinduri

The use of probiotics is certainly one of the solutions in overcoming the problem of increasing seed in fish farming. One of them is the use of probiotic king catfish, in this study tested on catfish, tilapia and goldfish. This research is an experimental study. The design used in this study was a Completely Randomized Design with 4 treatments 3 replications. Data analysis used Statistical Package for the Social Sciences version 15. The results of the analysis of the highest seed survival rate were obtained on Pangasius pangasius (95%), on Oreochromis niloticus (83,33 %), and Cyprinus carpio (80%). The treatment of Rajalele probiotics has a very significant effect (very significant) Fanalysis (23.01) > Ftable 0.01 (7.59) on the graduation of Pangasius pangasius, Oreochromis niloticus, and Cyprinus carpio. The conclusion of this study shows that the survival rate the highest in Pangasius pangasius


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