scholarly journals A Comparative Study of Indonesian Estimated Rice Production and Consumption

2020 ◽  
pp. 101-112
Author(s):  
Tri Anggraeni
Keyword(s):  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Projection Data ◽  
Comparison Result ◽  
Total Consumption ◽  
Production And Consumption ◽  
Consumption Data ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
Per Capita

The permit of two million tons of rice import in 2018 has tickled Indonesia's ability to fulfill its own rice needs. Farmers' anxiety that rice import can affect rice prices proved by its declining. The distribution of imported rice indeed has not been optimal. People say that imports are carried out without proper planning. This study aims to estimate the rice production and consumption data of Indonesia in 2014 to 2019, compare those data, and conclude whether Indonesia needs to import the rice at those years based on the comparison result. Estimating rice production and consumption were carried out using secondary data consisted of paddy production data, per capita rice consumption data, and population projection data which obtained from the website of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and/or the Ministry of Agriculture. Based on the comparison result between rice production and consumption data from 2014 to 2019, it can be concluded that from 7 islands in Indonesia, only 2 islands have the estimated rice consumption which always more than the estimated production, namely Maluku and Papua. The total estimated rice consumption in Indonesia is always lower than the estimated production. A rice surplus on a nearby island, Sulawesi, should be able to cover shortages in Maluku and Papua. If the estimated rice consumption in these three islands is totaled, the amount is always smaller than the estimated rice production in these three islands. This is because the production of rice on the island of Sulawesi is very large. The estimated total consumption of rice in 2019 is only 60% of production.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PRAKIRAAN PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI BERAS INDONESIA

2008 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Apri Andani
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Land Productivity ◽  
Total Consumption ◽  
Forecast Result ◽  
Production And Consumption ◽  
Key Word ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Supply Capacity

The provisions of food in order to fullfil the humankind needs could be examined through the implementation of the process of agriculture production. However the requirement for food could only be fulfilled self-sufficiently if food supplies were higher than the total consumption. An increasingly descended trend of the increase of the Indonesian rice production was the problem that immediately must be overcome. This was caused by continously consumption growth resulting from the population growth. The aim of the research is to forecast the Indonesian Production and Rice Consumption, to estimate the supply capacity of domestic food (not including the import) compared with consumption of food nationally. To answer this aim, then it was carried out by the analysis of the forecast by using the method of Box-Jenkins with the model of ARIMA.The forecast result showed that the production of rice rise every year since the year of 2008-2012. The rise in general as big as 700 thousand ton per year is caused by the increase of the harvesting area as well as the land productivity. On the other hand, national rice consumption in aggregate also increased as big as 450 thousand ton every year. In 2012, consumption of the national rice is estimated tol reach more than 33 million ton. The continuing population growth results in increasing rice consumption per capita, but it shows a declined sign every year from 134 kg/capita in 2005 to only 130 kg/capita in 2012.  However, this result doesnot give any impact anything on total consumption. Key word: forecast, ARIMA, rice, production, and consumption

scholarly journals Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi Beras di Provinsi Bali

2018 ◽  
pp. 1589
Author(s):  
I Putu Danendra Putra ◽  
I Gede Wardana
Keyword(s):  
Significant Influence ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
Number Of Visits ◽  
Associative Analysis ◽  
Variable Analysis

Rice is a basic and primary requirement of Balinese people as the main source of carbohydrates. Consumption rice in Bali Province continues to increase every year but not offset by increased rice production. This study aims to determine how the influence of rice prices, the number of residents, the number of visits of domestic tourists and the number of foreign tourists visiting the consumption of rice and bagimana Gross Regional Domestic Product (PDRB) moderate the influence of rice prices and the population of rice consumption. Sources of data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics Bali Province, Bali Provincial Agriculture Office, Bali Provincial Tourism Office and other related offices. The analysis used in this research is descriptive analysis and associative analysis using multiple linear regeresis analysis, moderating variable analysis. The result of analysis shows the number of population, the number of domestic tourist visit and the number of foreign tourist visit have positive and significant influence to the consumption of rice, while the price of rice have negative but insignificant effect to the consumption of Bali Provincial rice in 1983-2016. GRDP significantly strengthens the influence of rice prices and population on rice consumption of Bali Province in 1983-2016.

scholarly journals Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Produksi, Konsumsi, dan Harga Beras di Provinsi Aceh

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 315-322
Author(s):  
Ade Israwati ◽  
Teuku Makmur ◽  
Zakiah Zakiah
Keyword(s):  
Oryza Sativa ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Oryza Sativa L ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Aceh Province ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
Per Capita

Abstrak. Beras yang menjadi bagian bulir tanaman padi (Oryza Sativa L.) merupakan salah satu penganan pokok (primer) di Indonesia. Beras menjadi komoditas penting di Indonesia karena negara ini memiliki konsumsi beras per kapita terbesar di dunia. Provinsi Aceh merupakan salah satu provinsi dengan produksi padi tertinggi dan cukup stabil di Indonesia. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor apa saja yang mempengaruhi produksi, konsumsi, dan harga beras di Provinsi Aceh dengan menggunakan metode penelitian kuantitatif. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian adalah metode kualitatif (deskriptif) dan metode kuantitatif. Model yang digunakan adalah modifikasi model ekonometri, yaitu metode 2SLS (two stage least square). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa produksi beras di Provinsi Aceh dipengaruhi oleh harga beras lokal, harga gabah tingkat petani, luas areal panen dan harga pupuk. Konsumsi beras di Provinsi Aceh dipengaruhi oleh harga beras lokal dan pendapatan perkapita penduduk. Dan harga jual beras lokal Provinsi Aceh produksi beras dan konsumsi beras.Factors Affecting Production, Consumption, and Price of Rice In Aceh Province.Abstract. Rice that come from rice plant (Oryza Sativa L.), is one of staple food (primary) in Indonesia. Rice become important commodity in Indonesia because this country being the largest rice consumption per capita in the world. Aceh province is one of province with the highest rice production and stable enough in Indonesia. This study aims to determine what factors that affect production, consumption, and price in Aceh, which is this sudy uses quantitative research method. The method that used in this research is qualitative method (descriptive) and quantitative method. The model that used is modification of econometric model, which is 2SLS method (two stage least square). The result of this study showed that rice production in Aceh Province are affected by local rice prices, grain prices on farmers level, harvest area, and fertilizer prices. Rice consumption in Aceh Province are affected by local rice prices and income per capita. And local rice prices in Aceh Province are affected by rice production and rice consumption.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Produksi dan Konsumsi Terhadap Impor Beras Di Provinsi Jambi Tahun 2010-2016

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 190
Author(s):  
Silvia Rahayu
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
The Other ◽  
Production And Consumption ◽  
Rice Consumption

This study aims to determine the effect of rice production and consumption on rice imports in Jambi Province in 2010-2016 simultaneously and partially and calculate the effect of rice production and consumption on rice imports in Jambi Province in 2010-2016 simultaneously and partially. The data used in this research is secondary data. Data was analyzed using multiple lienear regression analysis. The results showed that: There is a significant influence between the variables of rice production and consumption on rice imports in Jambi Province in 2010-2016 simultaneously, this is evidenced by the calculated F value> F table or significance value> α. The magnitude of the effect of rice production and consumption on rice imports in Jambi Province simultaneously is 82.2%, while the remaining 17.8% is explained by other variables not examined in this study There is a significant influence between the variables of rice production on rice imports in the Province Jambi, this can be seen from the count -t value of <-t table which is -3.206 <-2.132 or the significance value <α is 0.002 <0.05. The magnitude of the effect of the rice production variable on rice imports in Jambi Province is with the value of β1 = -2,940, meaning that if rice production increases by 1 ton, rice imports will decrease by -2,940 assuming the other variables are constant. There is a significant influence between rice consumption variables on rice imports in Jambi Province, this can be seen from the value of t count> t table which is 3.076> 2.132 or a significance value <α that is 0.004 <0.05. The magnitude of the influence of rice consumption variables on rice imports in Jambi Province is with the value of β1 = 3.024, meaning that if rice consumption increases by 1 ton, rice imports will increase by 3.024 assuming the other variables are constant.

scholarly journals Identifying factors influencing rice production and consumption in Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Bashir ◽  
Saadah Yuliana
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Agricultural Policies ◽  
Least Square Estimator ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Production And Consumption ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
The Government

This study analyzes factors affecting rice production and consumption in Indonesia from 1990-2014, the data source is from Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The method used is model of multiple linear regression equation with ordinary least square estimator (OLS). Our findings indicate that rice production can be affected by human capital, labor, wages, wetland, urban population, and rice prices; on the other side, technology has no effect on rice production. Other findings on the rice consumption model were influenced by human capital, per capita income, population, and consumption the previous year, and meanwhile, rice prices has no effect to rice consumption in Indonesia. It’s an important note for the government in making the right program policies such as the development of better irrigation systems, empowering the farmers by providing regular training, subsidizing material inputs to farmers, expanding farmland for farmers. Meanwhile, the government needs to create policy such as food diversification, price stabilization security, the increase of rice stock, and other agricultural policies.

UPAYA MEMPERBAIKI EKONOMI BERAS DI PROVINSI NUSA TENGGARA TIMUR ANALISIS DATA SEKUNDER TAHUN 2003-2017)

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-101
Author(s):  
Fransisca Erna Teda ◽  
Fredrik L Benu ◽  
Wiendiyati Wiendiyati
Keyword(s):  
Structural Equation ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Corn Prices ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices

The aim of this research were to review the state of rice industry over the past 15 years (2003-2017) based on the demand and supply situation in East Nusa Tenggara. The development of the price of rice, the factors that influence the demand and supply, and determine the policy impact of rice demand and supply in East Nusa Tenggara Province. This research uses the econometric model, that is a simultant structural equation,which was indentified by the order condition and it was approaches using Two Stage Least Square (2SLS). The data used in this research was the time series of secondary data during 15 years period from 2003-2017 that was provided by Central Startics Office, the National Logistics Authority, the NTT Agricultural Bureau and other publications related to this investigation. The analysis showed that the amount of rice production was really depended on harvest area, rice consumption, rice supply and rice production in the previous year. The retail price of rice was responded to the price of corn and the demand for rice in the long term, while in the short term it only responded to the price of corn. The amount of rice consumption responded to rice production, rice prices and rice demand. Rice imports reacted to rice production, rice prices, corn prices and rice consumption in the long run. Based on the results of the research, it was suggested that the area of irrigation needs to be extended,in each region of East Nusa tenggara Province, particularly technical irrigation in order to increase the rice production, and it es neededto do diversification programs in order to reduce dependency rice. The weakness of this research was it used the inpure simultan model.

scholarly journals PROYEKSI PRODUKSI BERAS DAN STRATEGI MEWUJUDKAN SWASEMBADA BERAS DI KABUPATEN KETAPANG

2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hendri Sibuea, Erlinda Yurisinthae, Novira Kusrini
Keyword(s):  
Swot Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Population Increase ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
West Kalimantan ◽  
Self Sufficiency ◽  
Production And Consumption ◽  
Rice Consumption

Total rice production in Ketapang District compared with other districts in West Kalimantan is quite high, which is take the the fourth place in rice producing district in West Kalimantan Province. However, based on the development of rice production number is also known that rice production in Ketapang District experienced a significant decline, from a range of more than 100,000 tons per year down to less than 100,000 tons per year starting in 2008 (BPS Ketapang District, 2011) . Based on its development , the rate of change in the availability of rice in Ketapang very volatile and tends to decrease, while the rate of population increase. This needs to be a concern because the population rate will always increase, so it must be balanced with stability increase of rice production, to fulfill the basic needs of the staple food of the community . Based on the problem, this research aims to provide the projection of rice production and consumption in the next seven years and its implications for self-sufficiency in rice and to formulate appropriate strategies that should be implemented in order to achieve self-sufficiency in rice in Ketapang District. Analysis of projected production and consumption of rice in Ketapang calculated using Sofware Analysis of Food Consumption Patterns, with trend analysis approach, by considering the changes of the amount of food production and consumption within the last 5 years to predict the amount of rice production and consumption in the next 7 years. The data used are secondary data from annual data from BPS, namely Ketapang in Numbers 2007-2011. As for formulating strategies in order to achieve self-sufficiency in rice used SWOT analysis . The analysis showed that the district can achieve rice surplus in 2016 if the rice harvested area and productivity can be increased respectively by 3 % and 5 %, while still retaining the decline in rice consumption by 0.75 % per year. Based on the results of the SWOT analysis appropriate strategy to be applied is progressive strategy, by focusing on the strength of Ketapang District. Thus, the formulation of a strategy that gained intensification and extension of land, diversification of food in community and institutional strengthening. Key words : projections of production , self-sufficiency in rice

scholarly journals Analisis Suplai Beras Dan Proyeksinya Di Provinsi Aceh

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 41
Author(s):  
Shafwan Fahmi ◽  
S Safrida ◽  
Suyanti Kasimin
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Grain Production ◽  
Consumption Growth ◽  
Processing Data ◽  
Aceh Province ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices

This study aims to determine the level of availability of grain production to fill the needs for a certain period of time and the continuity of grain supply to the availability of current paddy fields by taking secondary data, processing data analysis for modeling in projected harvest area, grain production, consumption and rice prices and then the rice production projection is carried out for 2018 until 2022. The results show that for the projections during 2018 to 2022 the rice harvest area will grow by 1.8% per year, rice productivity is 1.4% per year so it can be ensured that grain and rice production will grow by 3.2% per year with a predicted rice consumption growth rate of 1.7% per year from grain production of 2,494,613 tons and rice consumption of 594,145 tons in 2017 which indicates that Aceh Province will still experiencing a surplus of sa rice with the next 5 (five) years with a prediction of grain production of 2,923,845 tons, consumption of rice at 646,394 tons so that the surplus of rice is 1,185,693 tons in 2022. This condition will still occur if all variables are considered constant and the Government's efforts in providing and rehabilitation of agricultural facilities and infrastructure optimally

scholarly journals Kinerja Ketahanan Beras Di Indonesia: Komparasi Jawa Dan Luar Jawa Periode 2005-2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 107
Author(s):  
Corryati Wardani ◽  
Jamhari Jamhari ◽  
Suhatmini Hardyastuti ◽  
Ani Suryantini
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
National Level ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Lower Growth ◽  
Consumption Growth ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Per Capita

ABSTRACT The study analyzed rice resiliencei Indonesia using the rice security index indicator to described the performance of rice resilience by comparing Java and Outside Java condition in the period of 2005-2017. The method used was a descriptive approach, based on secondary data in the form of time series data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Ministry of Agriculture (MOA), and Logistics Affairs Agency (Bulog). The data was in the form of rice production, rice consumption, rice stocks, export and import of rice and other relevant data. The study was conducted by compiling a food balance sheet and calculating the ratio of the availability of per capita rice to the consumption of per capita rice, considering the expectation of rice self-sufficiency. The results of the analysis showed that either in Java, Outside Java or at the national level, it indicated that rice production increased due to the increase of productivity, national rice consumption growth -0.0013 percent driven by per capita rice consumption growth -1.35 percent despite population growth of 1.47 percent while rice resilience grew 7.68 percent per year. Condition Outside Java had a better performance of rice resilience than Java with an increase in the relative surplus of rice availability which was 44.54 percent higher than Java. Java achieved a lower increase in rice resilience due to the lower growth in the availability of per capita rice and decreased per capita rice consumption compared to Outside Java.Optimizing of rice production Outside Java and management of community consumption patterns through means to diversified staple foods and increased the nutritional quality of consumption need to be done so that rice resilience in the future will increasedABSTRAKPenelitian mengkaji ketahanan beras di Indonesia menggunakan indikator indeks ketahanan beras untukmengambarkan kinerja ketahanan beras denganmembandingkan Jawa dan luar Jawa periode 2005-2017. Metode yang digunakan adalah pendekatan deskriptif, berdasarkan data sekunder berupa data Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), Kementerian Pertanian (Kementan), dan Badan Urusan Logistik (Bulog), berupadata produksi padi, konsumsi beras, stok beras, ekspor dan impor beras serta data lain yang relevan. Kajian dilakukan dengan menyusun neraca bahan makanan dan menghitung rasio ketersediaan beras per kapitadengan konsumsi beras per kapita, mempertimbangkan harapan kemandirian beras. Hasil analisis regional Jawa dan luar Jawa maupun nasional menunjukkan produksi padi meningkat karena peningkatan produktivitas. Pertumbuhan konsumsi beras nasional -0,0013 persen didorongpertumbuhan konsumsi beras per kapita-1,35 persen meskipun terjadi pertumbuhan penduduk 1,47 persen, sehingga kinerja ketahanan beras tumbuh 7,68 persen per tahun.Kinerja ketahanan beras luar Jawalebih baik daripada Jawa dengan peningkatan surplus relatif ketersediaan beras lebih tinggi 44,54 persen dibanding Jawa.Peningkatan ketahanan berasJawa lebih rendah karena pertumbuhan ketersediaan beras per kapita dan penurunan konsumsi beras per kapita lebih rendah dibanding luar Jawa.Optimasi produksi beras di luar Jawa danpengelolaan pola konsumsi masyarakat melalui upaya diversifikasi pangan pokok maupun peningkatan kualitas gizi konsumsi perlu dilakukan agar ketahanan beras semakin meningkat.

scholarly journals Determination of Rice Prices to the Welfare of Petani in West Sumatra Province

2022 ◽  
Vol 05 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lili Salfina ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Research Method ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Multiple Line ◽  
West Sumatra ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
Per Capita

The study aims to analyze the influence of rice production, crop dry grain prices (GKP), rice consumption, per capita income and the number of people moderated by rice prices that impact on farmers' well-being. This research method uses a quantitative approach with panel data. The study was conducted in West Sumatra Province in 19 districts / cities with secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of West Sumatra Province in 2013 - 2019. Data analysis uses multiple line regression with panel data.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document