scholarly journals Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi Beras di Provinsi Bali

2018 ◽  
pp. 1589
Author(s):  
I Putu Danendra Putra ◽  
I Gede Wardana
Keyword(s):  
Significant Influence ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
Number Of Visits ◽  
Associative Analysis ◽  
Variable Analysis

Rice is a basic and primary requirement of Balinese people as the main source of carbohydrates. Consumption rice in Bali Province continues to increase every year but not offset by increased rice production. This study aims to determine how the influence of rice prices, the number of residents, the number of visits of domestic tourists and the number of foreign tourists visiting the consumption of rice and bagimana Gross Regional Domestic Product (PDRB) moderate the influence of rice prices and the population of rice consumption. Sources of data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics Bali Province, Bali Provincial Agriculture Office, Bali Provincial Tourism Office and other related offices. The analysis used in this research is descriptive analysis and associative analysis using multiple linear regeresis analysis, moderating variable analysis. The result of analysis shows the number of population, the number of domestic tourist visit and the number of foreign tourist visit have positive and significant influence to the consumption of rice, while the price of rice have negative but insignificant effect to the consumption of Bali Provincial rice in 1983-2016. GRDP significantly strengthens the influence of rice prices and population on rice consumption of Bali Province in 1983-2016.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Produksi dan Konsumsi Terhadap Impor Beras Di Provinsi Jambi Tahun 2010-2016

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 190
Author(s):  
Silvia Rahayu
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
The Other ◽  
Production And Consumption ◽  
Rice Consumption

This study aims to determine the effect of rice production and consumption on rice imports in Jambi Province in 2010-2016 simultaneously and partially and calculate the effect of rice production and consumption on rice imports in Jambi Province in 2010-2016 simultaneously and partially. The data used in this research is secondary data. Data was analyzed using multiple lienear regression analysis. The results showed that: There is a significant influence between the variables of rice production and consumption on rice imports in Jambi Province in 2010-2016 simultaneously, this is evidenced by the calculated F value> F table or significance value> α. The magnitude of the effect of rice production and consumption on rice imports in Jambi Province simultaneously is 82.2%, while the remaining 17.8% is explained by other variables not examined in this study There is a significant influence between the variables of rice production on rice imports in the Province Jambi, this can be seen from the count -t value of <-t table which is -3.206 <-2.132 or the significance value <α is 0.002 <0.05. The magnitude of the effect of the rice production variable on rice imports in Jambi Province is with the value of β1 = -2,940, meaning that if rice production increases by 1 ton, rice imports will decrease by -2,940 assuming the other variables are constant. There is a significant influence between rice consumption variables on rice imports in Jambi Province, this can be seen from the value of t count> t table which is 3.076> 2.132 or a significance value <α that is 0.004 <0.05. The magnitude of the influence of rice consumption variables on rice imports in Jambi Province is with the value of β1 = 3.024, meaning that if rice consumption increases by 1 ton, rice imports will increase by 3.024 assuming the other variables are constant.

UPAYA MEMPERBAIKI EKONOMI BERAS DI PROVINSI NUSA TENGGARA TIMUR ANALISIS DATA SEKUNDER TAHUN 2003-2017)

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-101
Author(s):  
Fransisca Erna Teda ◽  
Fredrik L Benu ◽  
Wiendiyati Wiendiyati
Keyword(s):  
Structural Equation ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Corn Prices ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices

The aim of this research were to review the state of rice industry over the past 15 years (2003-2017) based on the demand and supply situation in East Nusa Tenggara. The development of the price of rice, the factors that influence the demand and supply, and determine the policy impact of rice demand and supply in East Nusa Tenggara Province. This research uses the econometric model, that is a simultant structural equation,which was indentified by the order condition and it was approaches using Two Stage Least Square (2SLS). The data used in this research was the time series of secondary data during 15 years period from 2003-2017 that was provided by Central Startics Office, the National Logistics Authority, the NTT Agricultural Bureau and other publications related to this investigation. The analysis showed that the amount of rice production was really depended on harvest area, rice consumption, rice supply and rice production in the previous year. The retail price of rice was responded to the price of corn and the demand for rice in the long term, while in the short term it only responded to the price of corn. The amount of rice consumption responded to rice production, rice prices and rice demand. Rice imports reacted to rice production, rice prices, corn prices and rice consumption in the long run. Based on the results of the research, it was suggested that the area of irrigation needs to be extended,in each region of East Nusa tenggara Province, particularly technical irrigation in order to increase the rice production, and it es neededto do diversification programs in order to reduce dependency rice. The weakness of this research was it used the inpure simultan model.

scholarly journals Analysis Relationship of Imported Rice with Rice Production, Imported and Domestic Rice Prices with VECM

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 337
Author(s):  
Abyan Rai ◽  
Sasmito Hadi Wibowo
Keyword(s):  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship

Rice is the main food for most Indonesians. With much natural resources, Indonesia can naturally fulfill its own rice consumption needs. However, Indonesia actually relies on imports to meet consumption needs. Even Indonesia continues to import while rice production is volatility surplus to maintain domestic rice prices. Based on these problems, this study aims to analyze the relationship of volume of imported rice with rice production, domestic rice prices, and prices of imported rice. The method used is descriptive analysis and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). In the long-term, rice production and domestic rice prices have significant effect on Indonesia's rice import volume. In short-term, rice production and domestic rice prices have significant effect on Indonesian rice import volume. The results of the causality test show that there is a two-way relationship between Indonesian rice import volume and Indonesian production rice. Meanwhile, a one-way relationship occurs when imported rice volumes influenced by prices of domestic rice.

scholarly journals A Comparative Study of Indonesian Estimated Rice Production and Consumption

2020 ◽  
pp. 101-112
Author(s):  
Tri Anggraeni
Keyword(s):  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Projection Data ◽  
Comparison Result ◽  
Total Consumption ◽  
Production And Consumption ◽  
Consumption Data ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
Per Capita

The permit of two million tons of rice import in 2018 has tickled Indonesia's ability to fulfill its own rice needs. Farmers' anxiety that rice import can affect rice prices proved by its declining. The distribution of imported rice indeed has not been optimal. People say that imports are carried out without proper planning. This study aims to estimate the rice production and consumption data of Indonesia in 2014 to 2019, compare those data, and conclude whether Indonesia needs to import the rice at those years based on the comparison result. Estimating rice production and consumption were carried out using secondary data consisted of paddy production data, per capita rice consumption data, and population projection data which obtained from the website of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and/or the Ministry of Agriculture. Based on the comparison result between rice production and consumption data from 2014 to 2019, it can be concluded that from 7 islands in Indonesia, only 2 islands have the estimated rice consumption which always more than the estimated production, namely Maluku and Papua. The total estimated rice consumption in Indonesia is always lower than the estimated production. A rice surplus on a nearby island, Sulawesi, should be able to cover shortages in Maluku and Papua. If the estimated rice consumption in these three islands is totaled, the amount is always smaller than the estimated rice production in these three islands. This is because the production of rice on the island of Sulawesi is very large. The estimated total consumption of rice in 2019 is only 60% of production.

Analisis Ketersediaan Dan Kebutuhan Beras di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80
Author(s):  
Yunita Sari ◽  
Zulkarnain Lubis ◽  
E. Harso Khardinata
Keyword(s):  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Local Production ◽  
Population Number ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
North Sumatra

This study aims to determine and analyze the availability and need of rice in North Sumatra Province and determine the factors that influence it. This type of research is a quantitative analysis using coherent secondary data from 2008-2017 in 33 districts / cities in North Sumatra Province. The data analysis technique used is Descriptive Analysis. To test the factors that influence the availability and need of rice in North Sumatra Province, multiple linear regression analysis is used and to determine the causal relationship between variables, we use Causal Relations Analysis. The results showed that rice production in North Sumatra Province was fluctuating in 2008-2017 and tended to increase by an average of 4.79 percent per year. The availability of this rice comes from local production and has met the needs of the community. This is indicated by the condition of the rice surplus in North Sumatra Province in 2017 which amounted to 1,065,886 tons. The availability of rice in North Sumatra Province on average has increased 5.27 percent per year. Based on the results of the study note that the rice production variable has a positive and significant effect on the availability of rice in North Sumatra Province, while other variables namely the rice harvest area variable and the need for rice consumption have no significant effect. GRDP income variable and rice availability variable significantly influence rice needs in North Sumatra Province, while the population number variable does not significantly influence rice demand.

scholarly journals Analisis Suplai Beras Dan Proyeksinya Di Provinsi Aceh

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 41
Author(s):  
Shafwan Fahmi ◽  
S Safrida ◽  
Suyanti Kasimin
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Grain Production ◽  
Consumption Growth ◽  
Processing Data ◽  
Aceh Province ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices

This study aims to determine the level of availability of grain production to fill the needs for a certain period of time and the continuity of grain supply to the availability of current paddy fields by taking secondary data, processing data analysis for modeling in projected harvest area, grain production, consumption and rice prices and then the rice production projection is carried out for 2018 until 2022. The results show that for the projections during 2018 to 2022 the rice harvest area will grow by 1.8% per year, rice productivity is 1.4% per year so it can be ensured that grain and rice production will grow by 3.2% per year with a predicted rice consumption growth rate of 1.7% per year from grain production of 2,494,613 tons and rice consumption of 594,145 tons in 2017 which indicates that Aceh Province will still experiencing a surplus of sa rice with the next 5 (five) years with a prediction of grain production of 2,923,845 tons, consumption of rice at 646,394 tons so that the surplus of rice is 1,185,693 tons in 2022. This condition will still occur if all variables are considered constant and the Government's efforts in providing and rehabilitation of agricultural facilities and infrastructure optimally

scholarly journals Identifikasi Potensi Swasembada Beras di Sumatera Utara

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 180-189
Author(s):  
Ridwan Fadly ◽  
Yusniar Lubis ◽  
Faoeza Hafiz Saragih
Keyword(s):  
Research Method ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Analytical Tool ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Basic Method ◽  
Production Potential ◽  
North Sumatra ◽  
Potential Area

This study aims to determine the potential of districts in North Sumatra Province in an effort to increase rice production in North Sumatra Province. The type of data used in this study is secondary data. The basic method used is descriptive analysis research method. The analytical tool used is Shift Share Analysis (SSA). The results of this study indicate; 1) districts that have potential harvested area in North Sumatra Province are Nias Barat district, Mandailing Natal District, South Tapanuli District, North Padang Lawas Regency, Central Tapanuli Regency, South Nias Regency, Padang Sidempuan Regency, Gunung Sitoli Regency, Tapanuli Regency North, Simalungun Regency, Binjai Regency, Labuhan Batu Regency, Langkat Regency; 2) Districts that have rice production potential in North Sumatra Province are Nias Regency, West Nias Regency, Mandailing Natal Regency, Padang Lawas Utara Regency, South Nias Regency, Padang Sidempuan District Gunung Sitoli, Tapanuli Utara Regency, Toba Samosir Regency, Regency Simalungun, Karo Regency, Batu Bara Regency, Asahan Regency, Binjai Regency; 3) Districts in North Sumatra Province which are the most potential areas, in the harvest area is North Padang Lawas Regency and the most potential area in rice production is Simalungun Regency

scholarly journals Determination of the Achievement of Self Sufficiency Rice in Meeting the Availability of Nation Rice

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lendi Ageng Kurnia ◽  
Deden Dinar Iskandar
Keyword(s):  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Local Production ◽  
Rice Productivity ◽  
Self Sufficiency ◽  
The Future ◽  
Rice Consumption ◽  
Rice Prices

The priority of the Nawacita Program in the agricultural sector is to increase superior production, especially rice. In achieving these objectives, it is necessary to ensure the availability of national rice. The availability of national rice is fulfilled from 3 aspects, namely local rice production, government rice reserves and rice imports. Most of the previous research, the availability of rice only accounted for local rice production and rice imports. In this study, the government’s rice reserves are counted as one of the main indicators. Because local rice production used to meet people’s needs is always reduced in volume to meet the government’s rice reserves. In achieving rice self-sufficiency, this study also observed how the ability of local rice production to be the only one to supply the availability of national rice, without bringing in from outside parties. Research using the LS method with the Minitab 15.1 program shows the results that partially the availability of national rice is positively influenced by indicators, namely local rice production, rice imports, and the government’s rice reserves. Forecasting the ability of self-sufficiency in rice by relying on local production in supplying the availability of national rice in the future, shows a positive trend meaning the value of the trend of forecasting increases with increasing time. The factors that influence the achievement of rice self-sufficiency are partially determined by rice supply, rice productivity, the gap in rice prices to grain prices, and the use of balanced fertilizers. But it is not influenced by the level of rice consumption in the community. The result of this study indicates that the availability of national rice is still very dependent on local and foreign rice products. However, to achieve rice self-sufficiency in the future, where all needs are met from local products is not impossible, so that dependence on imported rice can be reduced. Keywords: availability of rice, self-sufficiency in rice, production

scholarly journals Economic Factors Affecting Rice Price Fluctuation in North Sumatera

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 2277-2285
Author(s):  
Mariana Eva Yanti ◽  
Octasella Ainani As’ad ◽  
Faiz Ahmad Sibuea
Keyword(s):  
Function Analysis ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Research Approach ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
North Sumatra ◽  
Significant Factors

The research approach method is a qualitative approach. The method of data collection is secondary data, secondary data needed is obtained from relevant agencies, namely from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Department of Agriculture as well as other literature related to research. The analytical method used is descriptive analysis and analysis of Vector Auto Regression (VAR). The results showed that: 1) The dominant factors affecting rice prices in North Sumatra are 2, the first is 60% production because the higher the production of rice, the price of rice will decline and the lower the production, the price of rice will increase and the second factor is 38% inflation because if the price of rice continues to increase there will be inflation, but it is different from the fact that rice prices fluctuate due to the stability of rice prices. 2) Factors that affect rice prices in North Sumatra in the short term are significant, namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) ) and inflation (inf). 3) From Impulse Response Function Analysis, it can be seen that the factors that influence rice prices in North Sumatra can be seen as stability, namely the production variable (Prod) reaches stability in the 25th period, the penen variable (Field) reaches stability in the period 28, the consumption variable (Cons) reaches stability in the 25th period, the income (Inc) variable reaches stability in the 20th period, the inflation variable reaches stability in the 27th period. namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) and inflation (inf).

scholarly journals Food independence determinant (Rice) In Supporting The Availability Of National Rice

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Lendi Ageng Kurnia ◽  
Deden Dinar Iskandar
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Research Design ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Appropriate Technology ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Time Series Study ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Series Study

In maintaining the stability of national rice availability, 3 supporting aspects are needed, namely increasing domestic rice production, procuring government rice reserves through Bulog and importing rice. The purpose of this study is 1) to find out the factors that influence the availability of national rice, 2) to find out the factors that influence food independence, especially rice. The data used is secondary data sourced from BPS, FAO statistics and IRRI statistics. The research design used in this study is a time series study from 1970-2016. The model used in the study is Least Square (LS). The results of the analysis show partially the availability of national rice influenced by domestic rice production, government rice reserves and rice imports. While the ability of domestic rice production in supplying the availability of national rice, which is represented in the substance of food independence, is influenced by productivity, rice supply stability, price gap of rice / rice and farmers' welfare. However, it is not influenced by the application of appropriate technology (in this case the use of subsidized fertilizer). The conclusion of this study is that the availability of national rice is not only supplied from within the country but must still be supported by the procurement of imported rice. In increasing food independence, productivity must be increased, ensuring that government rice reserves are always available, monitoring the development of rice / rice prices are always stable, and paying attention to the welfare of farmers as the main actors in rice trading. Whereas the government's policy of providing subsidized fertilizers needs to be refined and monitored in the field because so far only serves as a complement in the provision of rice to the community.

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