scholarly journals Indian State or City Covid-19 Cases Outbreak Forecast utilizing Machine Learning Models

Author(s):  
Brijesh Patel ◽  
Dr. Sheshang Degadwala

Several episode expectation models for COVID-19 are being used by officials all over the world to make informed decisions and maintain necessary control steps. AI (ML)-based deciding elements have proven their worth in forecasting perioperative outcomes in order to enhance the dynamic of the predicted course of activities. For a long time, ML models have been used in a variety of application areas that needed identifiable evidence and prioritization of unfavorable factors for a danger. To cope with expecting problems, a few anticipation strategies are commonly used. This study demonstrates the ability of ML models to predict the number of future patients affected by COVID-19, which is now regarded as a potential threat to humanity. In particular, four standard evaluating models, such as Linear Regression, Support Vector Machine, LASSO, Exponential Smoothing, and Decision Tree, were used in this investigation to hypothesis the compromising variables of COVID-19. Any one of the models makes three types of predictions, for example, the number of recently Positive cases after and before preliminary vexing, the amount of passing's after and before preliminary lockdown, and the number of recuperations after and before lockdown. The outcomes demonstrate with parameters like R2 Score, Adjust R2 score, MSE, MAE and RMSE on Indian datasets.

Author(s):  
Aditi Vadhavkar ◽  
Pratiksha Thombare ◽  
Priyanka Bhalerao ◽  
Utkarsha Auti

Forecasting Mechanisms like Machine Learning (ML) models having been proving their significance to anticipate perioperative outcomes in the domain of decision making on the future course of actions. Many application domains have witnessed the use of ML models for identification and prioritization of adverse factors for a threat. The spread of COVID-19 has proven to be a great threat to a mankind announcing it a worldwide pandemic throughout. Many assets throughout the world has faced enormous infectivity and contagiousness of this illness. To look at the figure of undermining components of COVID-19 we’ve specifically used four Machine Learning Models Linear Regression (LR), Least shrinkage and determination administrator (LASSO), Support vector machine (SVM) and Exponential smoothing (ES). The results depict that the ES performs best among the four models employed in this study, followed by LR and LASSO which performs well in forecasting the newly confirmed cases, death rates yet recovery rates, but SVM performs poorly all told the prediction scenarios given the available dataset.


Author(s):  
Pratyush Kaware

In this paper a cost-effective sensor has been implemented to read finger bend signals, by attaching the sensor to a finger, so as to classify them based on the degree of bent as well as the joint about which the finger was being bent. This was done by testing with various machine learning algorithms to get the most accurate and consistent classifier. Finally, we found that Support Vector Machine was the best algorithm suited to classify our data, using we were able predict live state of a finger, i.e., the degree of bent and the joints involved. The live voltage values from the sensor were transmitted using a NodeMCU micro-controller which were converted to digital and uploaded on a database for analysis.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (24) ◽  
pp. 7096
Author(s):  
Julianna P. Kadar ◽  
Monique A. Ladds ◽  
Joanna Day ◽  
Brianne Lyall ◽  
Culum Brown

Movement ecology has traditionally focused on the movements of animals over large time scales, but, with advancements in sensor technology, the focus can become increasingly fine scale. Accelerometers are commonly applied to quantify animal behaviours and can elucidate fine-scale (<2 s) behaviours. Machine learning methods are commonly applied to animal accelerometry data; however, they require the trial of multiple methods to find an ideal solution. We used tri-axial accelerometers (10 Hz) to quantify four behaviours in Port Jackson sharks (Heterodontus portusjacksoni): two fine-scale behaviours (<2 s)—(1) vertical swimming and (2) chewing as proxy for foraging, and two broad-scale behaviours (>2 s–mins)—(3) resting and (4) swimming. We used validated data to calculate 66 summary statistics from tri-axial accelerometry and assessed the most important features that allowed for differentiation between the behaviours. One and two second epoch testing sets were created consisting of 10 and 20 samples from each behaviour event, respectively. We developed eight machine learning models to assess their overall accuracy and behaviour-specific accuracy (one classification tree, five ensemble learners and two neural networks). The support vector machine model classified the four behaviours better when using the longer 2 s time epoch (F-measure 89%; macro-averaged F-measure: 90%). Here, we show that this support vector machine (SVM) model can reliably classify both fine- and broad-scale behaviours in Port Jackson sharks.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (40) ◽  
pp. 8-23
Author(s):  
Pius MARTHIN ◽  
Duygu İÇEN

Online product reviews have become a valuable source of information which facilitate customer decision with respect to a particular product. With the wealthy information regarding user's satisfaction and experiences about a particular drug, pharmaceutical companies make the use of online drug reviews to improve the quality of their products. Machine learning has enabled scientists to train more efficient models which facilitate decision making in various fields. In this manuscript we applied a drug review dataset used by (Gräβer, Kallumadi, Malberg,& Zaunseder, 2018), available freely from machine learning repository website of the University of California Irvine (UCI) to identify best machine learning model which provide a better prediction of the overall drug performance with respect to users' reviews. Apart from several manipulations done to improve model accuracy, all necessary procedures required for text analysis were followed including text cleaning and transformation of texts to numeric format for easy training machine learning models. Prior to modeling, we obtained overall sentiment scores for the reviews. Customer's reviews were summarized and visualized using a bar plot and word cloud to explore the most frequent terms. Due to scalability issues, we were able to use only the sample of the dataset. We randomly sampled 15000 observations from the 161297 training dataset and 10000 observations were randomly sampled from the 53766 testing dataset. Several machine learning models were trained using 10 folds cross-validation performed under stratified random sampling. The trained models include Classification and Regression Trees (CART), classification tree by C5.0, logistic regression (GLM), Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS), Support vector machine (SVM) with both radial and linear kernels and a classification tree using random forest (Random Forest). Model selection was done through a comparison of accuracies and computational efficiency. Support vector machine (SVM) with linear kernel was significantly best with an accuracy of 83% compared to the rest. Using only a small portion of the dataset, we managed to attain reasonable accuracy in our models by applying the TF-IDF transformation and Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA) technique to our TDM.


Author(s):  
Tsehay Admassu Assegie

Machine-learning approaches have become greatly applicable in disease diagnosis and prediction process. This is because of the accuracy and better precision of the machine learning models in disease prediction. However, different machine learning models have different accuracy and precision on disease prediction. Selecting the better model that would result in better disease prediction accuracy and precision is an open research problem. In this study, we have proposed machine learning model for liver disease prediction using Support Vector Machine (SVM) and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) learning algorithms and we have evaluated the accuracy and precision of the models on liver disease prediction using the Indian liver disease data repository. The analysis of result showed 82.90% accuracy for SVM and 72.64% accuracy for the KNN algorithm. Based on the accuracy score of SVM and KNN on experimental test results, the SVM is better in performance on the liver disease prediction than the KNN algorithm.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Morshedul Bari Antor ◽  
A. H. M. Shafayet Jamil ◽  
Maliha Mamtaz ◽  
Mohammad Monirujjaman Khan ◽  
Sultan Aljahdali ◽  
...  

Alzheimer’s disease has been one of the major concerns recently. Around 45 million people are suffering from this disease. Alzheimer’s is a degenerative brain disease with an unspecified cause and pathogenesis which primarily affects older people. The main cause of Alzheimer’s disease is Dementia, which progressively damages the brain cells. People lost their thinking ability, reading ability, and many more from this disease. A machine learning system can reduce this problem by predicting the disease. The main aim is to recognize Dementia among various patients. This paper represents the result and analysis regarding detecting Dementia from various machine learning models. The Open Access Series of Imaging Studies (OASIS) dataset has been used for the development of the system. The dataset is small, but it has some significant values. The dataset has been analyzed and applied in several machine learning models. Support vector machine, logistic regression, decision tree, and random forest have been used for prediction. First, the system has been run without fine-tuning and then with fine-tuning. Comparing the results, it is found that the support vector machine provides the best results among the models. It has the best accuracy in detecting Dementia among numerous patients. The system is simple and can easily help people by detecting Dementia among them.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. e0257069
Author(s):  
Jae-Geum Shim ◽  
Kyoung-Ho Ryu ◽  
Sung Hyun Lee ◽  
Eun-Ah Cho ◽  
Sungho Lee ◽  
...  

Objective To construct a prediction model for optimal tracheal tube depth in pediatric patients using machine learning. Methods Pediatric patients aged <7 years who received post-operative ventilation after undergoing surgery between January 2015 and December 2018 were investigated in this retrospective study. The optimal location of the tracheal tube was defined as the median of the distance between the upper margin of the first thoracic(T1) vertebral body and the lower margin of the third thoracic(T3) vertebral body. We applied four machine learning models: random forest, elastic net, support vector machine, and artificial neural network and compared their prediction accuracy to three formula-based methods, which were based on age, height, and tracheal tube internal diameter(ID). Results For each method, the percentage with optimal tracheal tube depth predictions in the test set was calculated as follows: 79.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 73.5 to 83.6) for random forest, 77.4 (95% CI, 71.8 to 82.2; P = 0.719) for elastic net, 77.0 (95% CI, 71.4 to 81.8; P = 0.486) for support vector machine, 76.6 (95% CI, 71.0 to 81.5; P = 1.0) for artificial neural network, 66.9 (95% CI, 60.9 to 72.5; P < 0.001) for the age-based formula, 58.5 (95% CI, 52.3 to 64.4; P< 0.001) for the tube ID-based formula, and 44.4 (95% CI, 38.3 to 50.6; P < 0.001) for the height-based formula. Conclusions In this study, the machine learning models predicted the optimal tracheal tube tip location for pediatric patients more accurately than the formula-based methods. Machine learning models using biometric variables may help clinicians make decisions regarding optimal tracheal tube depth in pediatric patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Wenjin Zhu ◽  
Zhiming Chao ◽  
Guotao Ma

In this paper, a database developed from the existing literature about permeability of rock was established. Based on the constructed database, a Support Vector Machine (SVM) model with hyperparameters optimised by Mind Evolutionary Algorithm (MEA) was proposed to predict the permeability of rock. Meanwhile, the Genetic Algorithm- (GA-) and Particle Swarm Algorithm- (PSO-) SVM models were constructed to compare the improving effects of MEA on the foretelling accuracy of machine learning models with those of GA and PSO, respectively. The following conclusions were drawn. MEA can increase the predictive accuracy of the constructed machine learning models remarkably in a few iteration times, which has better optimisation performance than that of GA and PSO. MEA-SVM has the best forecasting performance, followed by PSO-SVM, while the estimating precision of GA-SVM is lower than them. The proposed MEA-SVM model can accurately predict the permeability of rock indicating the model having a satisfactory generalization and extrapolation capacity.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Felestin Yavari Nejad ◽  
Kasturi Dewi Varathan

Abstract Background Dengue fever is a widespread viral disease and one of the world’s major pandemic vector-borne infections, causing serious hazard to humanity. The World Health Organisation (WHO) reported that the incidence of dengue fever has increased dramatically across the world in recent decades. WHO currently estimates an annual incidence of 50–100 million dengue infections worldwide. To date, no tested vaccine or treatment is available to stop or prevent dengue fever. Thus, the importance of predicting dengue outbreaks is significant. The current issue that should be addressed in dengue outbreak prediction is accuracy. A limited number of studies have conducted an in-depth analysis of climate factors in dengue outbreak prediction. Methods The most important climatic factors that contribute to dengue outbreaks were identified in the current work. Correlation analyses were performed in order to determine these factors and these factors were used as input parameters for machine learning models. Top five machine learning classification models (Bayes network (BN) models, support vector machine (SVM), RBF tree, decision table and naive Bayes) were chosen based on past research. The models were then tested and evaluated on the basis of 4-year data (January 2010 to December 2013) collected in Malaysia. Results This research has two major contributions. A new risk factor, called the TempeRain factor (TRF), was identified and used as an input parameter for the model of dengue outbreak prediction. Moreover, TRF was applied to demonstrate its strong impact on dengue outbreaks. Experimental results showed that the Bayes Network model with the new meteorological risk factor identified in this study increased accuracy to 92.35% for predicting dengue outbreaks. Conclusions This research explored the factors used in dengue outbreak prediction systems. The major contribution of this study is identifying new significant factors that contribute to dengue outbreak prediction. From the evaluation result, we obtained a significant improvement in the accuracy of a machine learning model for dengue outbreak prediction.


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