scholarly journals Clinical Significance of and Predictive Risk Factors for the Postoperative Elevation of Carcinoembryonic Antigen in Patients With Non-Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siyu Zhou ◽  
Nengquan Sheng ◽  
Jiazi Ren ◽  
Qian He ◽  
Yaya Zhang ◽  
...  

BackgroundRecently, a few researches focus on the correlation between postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (post-CEA) and the outcome of colorectal cancer (CRC), but none investigates the predictive value of post-CEA in a prognostic model. Besides, current recommendations on the frequency of post-CEA surveillance are not individualized and well followed. There is an absence of identification of patients who are more likely to have abnormal post-CEA levels and need more frequent CEA measurements.MethodsConsecutive CRC patients who underwent curative surgery were enrolled and randomly divided into the discovery (n=352) and testing cohort (n=233). Impacts of preoperative CEA (pre-CEA) and post-CEA on prognosis were assessed. Cox regression model was applied to develop prognostic nomograms, which were validated by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. And prediction improvement of the nomograms was assessed with net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Logistic regression was used to identify predictive risk factors and construct the prediction model for post-CEA elevation.ResultsPost-CEA independently predicted overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), while pre-CEA did not. Post-CEA elevation represented higher risks in patients with normal pre-CEA, compared to those with persistent elevated CEA. The nomograms for OS and DFS were established with body mass index, tumor differentiation, N stage, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and post-CEA. The nomograms showed good calibration and superior discrimination than pTNM stage, with the C-index of 0.783 and 0.759 in the discovery set and 0.712 and 0.774 in the testing set for OS and DFS, respectively. Comparisons between models using IDI and NRI implied that the nomograms performed better than pTNM stage and the predictive power could be improved with the addition of post-CEA. The prediction model for post-CEA elevation was established with age, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, preoperative CA19-9, and pre-CEA. The AUC of the model in the two cohorts was 0.802 and 0.764, respectively.ConclusionsElevated post-CEA was a strong indicator of poor prognosis. The addition of post-CEA significantly enhanced the performance of prognostic nomograms. And the prediction model for post-CEA elevation may help identify patients who ought to reasonably receive more intensive postoperative surveillance of CEA levels.

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 1127-1137
Author(s):  
Tong-Tong Zhang ◽  
Yi-Qing Zhu ◽  
Hong-Qing Cai ◽  
Jun-Wen Zheng ◽  
Jia-Jie Hao ◽  
...  

Aim: This study aimed to develop an effective risk predictor for patients with stage II and III colorectal cancer (CRC). Materials & methods: The prognostic value of p-mTOR (Ser2448) levels was analyzed using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis. Results: The levels of p-mTOR were increased in CRC specimens and significantly correlated with poor prognosis in patients with stage II and III CRC. Notably, the p-mTOR level was an independent poor prognostic factor for disease-free survival and overall survival in stage II CRC. Conclusion: Aberrant mTOR activation was significantly associated with the risk of recurrence or death in patients with stage II and III CRC, thus this activated proteins that may serve as a potential biomarker for high-risk CRC.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michele Sassano ◽  
Marco Mariani ◽  
Gianluigi Quaranta ◽  
Roberta Pastorino ◽  
Stefania Boccia

Abstract Background Risk prediction models incorporating single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) could lead to individualized prevention of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the added value of incorporating SNPs into models with only traditional risk factors is still not clear. Hence, our primary aim was to summarize literature on risk prediction models including genetic variants for CRC, while our secondary aim was to evaluate the improvement of discriminatory accuracy when adding SNPs to a prediction model with only traditional risk factors. Methods We conducted a systematic review on prediction models incorporating multiple SNPs for CRC risk prediction. We tested whether a significant trend in the increase of Area Under Curve (AUC) according to the number of SNPs could be observed, and estimated the correlation between AUC improvement and number of SNPs. We estimated pooled AUC improvement for SNP-enhanced models compared with non-SNP-enhanced models using random effects meta-analysis, and conducted meta-regression to investigate the association of specific factors with AUC improvement. Results We included 33 studies, 78.79% using genetic risk scores to combine genetic data. We found no significant trend in AUC improvement according to the number of SNPs (p for trend = 0.774), and no correlation between the number of SNPs and AUC improvement (p = 0.695). Pooled AUC improvement was 0.040 (95% CI: 0.035, 0.045), and the number of cases in the study and the AUC of the starting model were inversely associated with AUC improvement obtained when adding SNPs to a prediction model. In addition, models constructed in Asian individuals achieved better AUC improvement with the incorporation of SNPs compared with those developed among individuals of European ancestry. Conclusions Though not conclusive, our results provide insights on factors influencing discriminatory accuracy of SNP-enhanced models. Genetic variants might be useful to inform stratified CRC screening in the future, but further research is needed.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Cai ◽  
Zhiqiang Chen ◽  
Xueliang Zuo

Background. Circular RNAs have been implicated in various malignancies and can function as potential biomarkers for cancers. Reportedly, circSMARCA5 was downregulated in hepatocellular carcinoma and glioblastoma multiforme, but upregulated in prostate cancer. The functional roles and clinical significance of circSMARCA5 still remain unknown in the context of gastric cancer (GC). Methods. Expression levels of circSMARCA5 were detected by qRT-PCR. Clinical data including patient basic information, clinicopathological features, and survival data were obtained. The Kaplan-Meier methods, multivariate Cox regression models, and the receiver operating characteristic curve were used to assess the clinical significance of circSMARCA5 in GC. Cell proliferation assays and transwell assays were performed to elucidate the functional roles of circSMARCA5 in GC. Results. The circSMARCA5 level was decreased in GC tissues and cell lines. The low expression level of circSMARCA5 was correlated to poorer overall survival and disease-free survival. Low circSMARCA5 expression was revealed as an independent unfavorable predictive factor for GC. The results indicated that circSMARCA5 had a moderate ability for discrimination between GC patients and controls with an area under the curve of 0.806. Upregulation of circSMARCA5 dampened the proliferation, migration, and invasion of GC cells, whereas circSMARCA5 knockdown promoted GC progression. Discussion. Our results demonstrated that circSMARCA5 was decreased and exerted tumor-suppressive effects in GC. circSMARCA5 can function as a potential biomarker for GC prognosis and diagnosis.


Rheumatology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joeri W van Straalen ◽  
Gabriella Giancane ◽  
Yasmine Amazrhar ◽  
Nikolay Tzaribachev ◽  
Calin Lazar ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective To build a prediction model for uveitis in children with JIA for use in current clinical practice. Methods Data from the international observational Pharmachild registry were used. Adjusted risk factors as well as predictors for JIA-associated uveitis (JIA-U) were determined using multivariable logistic regression models. The prediction model was selected based on the Akaike information criterion. Bootstrap resampling was used to adjust the final prediction model for optimism. Results JIA-U occurred in 1102 of 5529 JIA patients (19.9%). The majority of patients that developed JIA-U were female (74.1%), ANA positive (66.0%) and had oligoarthritis (59.9%). JIA-U was rarely seen in patients with systemic arthritis (0.5%) and RF positive polyarthritis (0.2%). Independent risk factors for JIA-U were ANA positivity [odds ratio (OR): 1.88 (95% CI: 1.54, 2.30)] and HLA-B27 positivity [OR: 1.48 (95% CI: 1.12, 1.95)] while older age at JIA onset was an independent protective factor [OR: 0.84 (9%% CI: 0.81, 0.87)]. On multivariable analysis, the combination of age at JIA onset [OR: 0.84 (95% CI: 0.82, 0.86)], JIA category and ANA positivity [OR: 2.02 (95% CI: 1.73, 2.36)] had the highest discriminative power among the prediction models considered (optimism-adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.75). Conclusion We developed an easy to read model for individual patients with JIA to inform patients/parents on the probability of developing uveitis.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15078-e15078
Author(s):  
Mathias Holsey Gramkow ◽  
Reetta Peltonen ◽  
Christian Dehlendorff ◽  
Pia J. Osterlund ◽  
Julia S. Johansen ◽  
...  

e15078 Background: IL-6 and YKL-40, markers of inflammation and cancer growth, are high in serum in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) and associated with shorter overall survival (OS). We hypothesized that preoperative serum IL-6, YKL-40 and CEA are associated with disease free survival (DFS) and OS in patients with metastatic (mCRC) treated with liver resection. Methods: 457 patients (male/female: 267 (58%)/190 (42%), median age 65 [IQR: 58-71]) diagnosed with mCRC who underwent liver resection were included between March 1998 and February 2013. Preoperative serum samples were collected and stored at -80°C until analysis. Serum IL-6 (R&D Systems, UK) and YKL-40 (Quidel, USA) were determined by ELISA. For DFS and OS we estimated crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) with Cox regression for each biomarker separately. The biomarkers were included as log2-transformed continuous variables and adjustment included mutual adjustment between the biomarkers in addition to adjusting for sex and age. Results: The median (IQR) preoperative biomarker levels were: IL-6 (3.5 pg/ml, 2.1-6.1), YKL-40 (75 ng/ml, 48-127) and CEA (5.2 kU/L, 2.6-18.8). Univariate analysis showed that high serum IL-6 and YKL-40 were associated with shorter DFS (IL-6: HR = 1.18, 1.06-1.31, p < 0.01; YKL-40: HR = 1.19, 1.08-1.32, p < 0.01). Serum CEA was not (p = 0.80). Multivariate analysis (all biomarkers) showed that high IL-6 was associated with shorter DFS (HR = 1.15, 1.02-1.29, p = 0.02), whereas YKL-40 (p = 0.08) and CEA (p = 0.51) were not. Univariate analysis showed that high preoperative serum IL-6 and YKL-40 were associated with shorter OS (IL-6: HR = 1.16, 1.03-1.29, p = 0.01; YKL-40: HR = 1.27, 1.14-1.42, p < 0.01). Serum CEA was not associated with OS (p = 0.16). Multivariate analysis (all biomarkers) showed that high YKL-40 was associated with shorter OS (HR = 1.19, 1.05-1.34, p = 0.01), whereas IL-6 (p = 0.25) and CEA (p = 0.26) were not. Patients with elevated serum levels of all 3 biomarkers had the shortest OS (HR = 2.12; 1.29-3.50, p < 0.01). Conclusions: Serum IL-6 and YKL-40 determined before liver resection may be valuable prognostic biomarkers in patients with metastatic CRC.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 570-570
Author(s):  
Haiping Pei ◽  
Qian Pei ◽  
Hong Zhu ◽  
Fengbo Tan

570 Background: The significance of vascular emboli (VE) in stage III colorectal cancer (CRC), the mechanism of their formation and their therapy strategy remain obscure demanding enhanced research. Methods: Data from 323 consecutive patients (192 non-VE, 131 VE) receiving radical surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy in our institution between Jan. 2009 and Nov. 2014 were retrospectively collected. The follow-up deadline was Feb. 2016. Potential prognostic risk factors were tested using univariate and multivariate survival analyses. mRNAs differentially expressed between VE and non-VE stage III CRC were analyzed using Agilent Gene Expression oligo-microarrays (Version 6.5). Patient-derived xenograft (PDX) nude mouse models were constructed to evaluate the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy plus targeted drugs (cetuximab or bevacizumab) on VE and non-VE stage III CRC. Results: VE was significantly associated with gross tumor morphology (p = 0.001), histologic type (p < 0.001), lymph node status (p < 0.001), sub-class of stage III (p =0.001), and serum CA199 level (p = 0.022). VE and lymph node status were independent risk factors for overall survival (OS) (p < 0.001, p = 0.008) and disease-free survival (DFS) (p < 0.001, p = 0.007). The median OS and DFS in VE stage III CRC patients were 38 months and 24 months, respectively. Compared with pericarcinous tissue, 809 genes (396 up-, 413 down-regulated) were differently expressed in no-VE tissue, and 1513 genes (898 up-, 615 down-regulated) in VE tissue. The top ten up-regulated protein-coding genes in VE stage III CRC were ITGBL1 (p<0.001), PROCR (p<0.001), CENPW (p<0.001), ZNF485 (p<0.001), VEGFA (p<0.001), DSG3 (p<0.001), CYP24A1 (p=0.001), COL10A1 (p=0.001), HIST3H2A (p=0.001)and PSAT1 (p=0.002). Conclusions: VE appears to be an independent risk factor for the prognosis of stage III CRC patients treated with radical surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy. Differently regulated genes seem to be involved in the formation and progress of VE. The therapy scheme should be more individualized taking into account the VE status.


ESMO Open ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. e000302 ◽  
Author(s):  
Janette L Vardy ◽  
Haryana Mary Dhillon ◽  
Gregory R Pond ◽  
Corrinne Renton ◽  
Stephen J Clarke ◽  
...  

BackgroundInflammation promotes the development of malignancy, while a variety of systemic markers of inflammation predict for worse cancer outcomes including recurrence and survival. Here, we evaluate the prognostic impact of cytokine concentrations, full blood count (FBC) differential ratios, cognitive function and fatigue on survival in patients with localised colorectal cancer (CRC).Patients and methodsData are from a prospective longitudinal study comparing cognitive function and fatigue in patients with CRC who did (n=173) and did not (n=116) receive adjuvant/neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Baseline blood results (prior to any chemotherapy) included cytokines and FBC from which neutrophil lymphocyte ratio, lymphocyte monocyte ratio, platelet lymphocyte ratio and platelet monocyte ratio were derived. Fatigue was measured with the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Fatigue subscale and cognitive function by a neuropsychological test battery. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate factors potentially prognostic of outcomes.ResultsAt a median follow-up of 91.2 months, 227 subjects (79%) are still alive, and 212 (73%) have no evidence of a recurrence. Five-year OS and DFS are 86% (95% CI 81% to 90%) and 77% (95% CI 71% to 82%), respectively. None of the cytokines (interleukin (IL-6), IL-1 and tumour necrosis factor) or differential ratios of blood components, fatigue or cognitive function was statistically related to DFS or OS. Patient educational status (P=0.018), stage of disease (P=0.032), alanine transaminase (P=0.003), lactate dehydrogenase (P=0.008) and carcinoembryonic antigen (P=0.002) were significant as prognostic covariates of OS in univariable analyses, with similar results for DFS.ConclusionNone of the a priori selected markers of inflammation, fatigue or cognitive function was associated with OS or DFS in this cohort of patients.Trial registration numberNCT00188331, Post-results.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Jin ◽  
Guohao Xie ◽  
Haihong Wang ◽  
Lielie Jin ◽  
Jun Li ◽  
...  

Purpose. To assess the incidence of postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) in Chinese inpatients, and to develop a brief predictive risk index.Methods. Between August 6, 2012, and August 12, 2012, patients undergoing noncardiac operations in four university hospitals were enrolled. The cohort was divided into two subsamples, cohort 1 to develop a predictive risk index of PPCs and cohort 2 to validate it.Results. 1673 patients were enrolled. PPCs were recorded for 163 patients (9.7%), of whom the hospital length of stay (LOS) was longer (P<0.001). The mortality was 1.84% in patients with PPCs and 0.07% in those without. Logistic Regression modeling in cohort 1 identified nine independent risk factors, including smoking, respiratory infection in the last month, preoperative antibiotic use, preoperative saturation of peripheral oxygen, surgery site, blood lost, postoperative blood glucose, albumin, and ventilation. The model was validated within cohort 2 with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.90 (95% CI 0.86 to 0.94).Conclusions. PPCs are common in noncardiac surgical patients and are associated with prolonged LOS in China. The current study developed a risk index, which can be used to assess individual risk of PPCs and guide individualized perioperative respiratory care.


PeerJ ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e6679 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingzhi Xie ◽  
Kezhi Li ◽  
Jilin Li ◽  
Dongcheng Lu ◽  
Bangli Hu

The role of serum serine peptidase inhibitor, Kazal type 4 (SPINK4), in colorectal cancer (CRC) is largely unknown. This study aimed to explore the association and diagnostic value of serum SPINK4 in CRC. A total of 70 preoperative CRC patients, 30 postoperative CRC patients, 30 gastric cancer patients, and 30 healthy controls were enrolled. Using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays, we found that the serum SPINK4 level was significantly increased in preoperative CRC compared with postoperative CRC patients, gastric cancer patients, and healthy controls (p < 0.05). The serum SPINK4 level was remarkably elevated in colon cancer compared with rectal cancer and was enhanced in the M1 stage compared with the M0 stage (p < 0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of serum SPINK4 level in the diagnosis of CRC was 0.9186, with a sensitivity and specificity of 0.886 and 0.900, respectively, and a cut-off value of 2.065. There was no significant difference between high and low expression of serum SPINK4 regarding the overall survival time and disease-free survival (p > 0.05). This study demonstrated that the serum SPINK4 level increased in CRC and was associated with the location and distant metastasis of CRC. It had a high diagnostic value in CRC but was not associated with the survival of CRC patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. 153303382110458
Author(s):  
Lin Zhou ◽  
Jing Wang ◽  
Shao-cheng Lyu ◽  
Li-chao Pan ◽  
Xian-jie Shi ◽  
...  

Background: This presented study was aimed to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic value of PD-L1+Neutrophils (PD-L1+NEUT) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) based on our previous experience of Foxp3+Treg in transplantation. Methods: the NLR cutoff value of 1.79 was used to include 136 cases from the 204 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) confirmed by clinical pathology, which were divided into highly-moderately and poorly differentiated HCC groups. The expressions of PD-L1+NEUT and Foxp3+Treg in peripheral blood and cancer tissue were detected with flow cytometry, meanwhile, PD-L1 and Foxp3 expressed in carcinoma and para-carcinoma tissues were marked by immunohistochemistry. Survival rates, including overall survival and disease-free survival, were calculated by the Kaplan–Meier curve and evaluated with the log-rank test. Finally, Cox risk regression model was used to analyze the independent risk factors for prognostic survival. Results: The level of PD-L1+NEUT, Foxp3+Treg, and NLR in peripheral blood of patients with poorly differentiated HCC were significantly increased (all P < .001). Both PD-L1+NEUT and NLR were positively correlated with Foxp3+Treg ( r = 0.479, P = .0017; r = 0.58, P < .0001). The level of PD-L1+NEUT and Foxp3+Treg as well as PD-L1 and Foxp3 in cancer tissue and patients with poorly differentiated HCC were obviously increased (all P < .01), respectively. Cox regression analysis indicated that PD-L1+NEUT, NLR, and Foxp3+Treg were independent risk factors for the prognosis ( P = .000, .000, .006) with a RR and 95%CI of 2.704-(2.155-3.393), 3.139-(2.361-4.173), 1.409-(1.105-1.798), respectively. Conclusion: PD-L1+NEUT, NLR, and Foxp3+Treg are independent risk factors for prognosis which maybe new marker of lower survival benefits.


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