scholarly journals Incorporating Deep Learning and News Topic Modeling for Forecasting Pork Prices: The Case of South Korea

Agriculture ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 513
Author(s):  
Tserenpurev Chuluunsaikhan ◽  
Ga-Ae Ryu ◽  
Kwan-Hee Yoo ◽  
HyungChul Rah ◽  
Aziz Nasridinov
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Topic Modeling ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Retail Price ◽  
Business Strategies ◽  
Agricultural Commodities ◽  
Statistical Machine Learning ◽  
News Stories ◽  
South Korean

Knowing the prices of agricultural commodities in advance can provide governments, farmers, and consumers with various advantages, including a clearer understanding of the market, planning business strategies, and adjusting personal finances. Thus, there have been many efforts to predict the future prices of agricultural commodities in the past. For example, researchers have attempted to predict prices by extracting price quotes, using sentiment analysis algorithms, through statistical information from news stories, and by other means. In this paper, we propose a methodology that predicts the daily retail price of pork in the South Korean domestic market based on news articles by incorporating deep learning and topic modeling techniques. To do this, we utilized news articles and retail price data from 2010 to 2019. We initially applied a topic modeling technique to obtain relevant keywords that can express price fluctuations. Based on these keywords, we constructed prediction models using statistical, machine learning, and deep learning methods. The experimental results show that there is a strong relationship between the meaning of news articles and the price of pork.

Applying Deep Learning to Audit Procedures: An Illustrative Framework

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 89-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting (Sophia) Sun
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Data Warehouse ◽  
Visual Recognition ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Structured Data ◽  
Text Understanding ◽  
Audit Data ◽  
Learning Functions

SYNOPSIS This paper aims to promote the application of deep learning to audit procedures by illustrating how the capabilities of deep learning for text understanding, speech recognition, visual recognition, and structured data analysis fit into the audit environment. Based on these four capabilities, deep learning serves two major functions in supporting audit decision making: information identification and judgment support. The paper proposes a framework for applying these two deep learning functions to a variety of audit procedures in different audit phases. An audit data warehouse of historical data can be used to construct prediction models, providing suggested actions for various audit procedures. The data warehouse will be updated and enriched with new data instances through the application of deep learning and a human auditor's corrections. Finally, the paper discusses the challenges faced by the accounting profession, regulators, and educators when it comes to applying deep learning.

scholarly journals Exploiting Data Analytics and Deep Learning Systems to Support Pavement Maintenance Decisions

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2458
Author(s):  
Ronald Roberts ◽  
Laura Inzerillo ◽  
Gaetano Di Mino
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Management Practices ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Road Networks ◽  
Pavement Management ◽  
Efficient Operation ◽  
Pavement Maintenance ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Maintenance Decisions ◽  
Computational Systems

Road networks are critical infrastructures within any region and it is imperative to maintain their conditions for safe and effective movement of goods and services. Road Management, therefore, plays a key role to ensure consistent efficient operation. However, significant resources are required to perform necessary maintenance activities to achieve and maintain high levels of service. Pavement maintenance can typically be very expensive and decisions are needed concerning planning and prioritizing interventions. Data are key towards enabling adequate maintenance planning but in many instances, there is limited available information especially in small or under-resourced urban road authorities. This study develops a roadmap to help these authorities by using flexible data analysis and deep learning computational systems to highlight important factors within road networks, which are used to construct models that can help predict future intervention timelines. A case study in Palermo, Italy was successfully developed to demonstrate how the techniques could be applied to perform appropriate feature selection and prediction models based on limited data sources. The workflow provides a pathway towards more effective pavement maintenance management practices using techniques that can be readily adapted based on different environments. This takes another step towards automating these practices within the pavement management system.

scholarly journals A Novel Load Forecasting Approach Based on Smart Meter Data Using Advance Preprocessing and Hybrid Deep Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2742
Author(s):  
Fatih Ünal ◽  
Abdulaziz Almalaq ◽  
Sami Ekici
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Unified Framework ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Planning And Scheduling ◽  
Short Term Load Forecasting

Short-term load forecasting models play a critical role in distribution companies in making effective decisions in their planning and scheduling for production and load balancing. Unlike aggregated load forecasting at the distribution level or substations, forecasting load profiles of many end-users at the customer-level, thanks to smart meters, is a complicated problem due to the high variability and uncertainty of load consumptions as well as customer privacy issues. In terms of customers’ short-term load forecasting, these models include a high level of nonlinearity between input data and output predictions, demanding more robustness, higher prediction accuracy, and generalizability. In this paper, we develop an advanced preprocessing technique coupled with a hybrid sequential learning-based energy forecasting model that employs a convolution neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short-term memory (BLSTM) within a unified framework for accurate energy consumption prediction. The energy consumption outliers and feature clustering are extracted at the advanced preprocessing stage. The novel hybrid deep learning approach based on data features coding and decoding is implemented in the prediction stage. The proposed approach is tested and validated using real-world datasets in Turkey, and the results outperformed the traditional prediction models compared in this paper.

scholarly journals Financial Information Asymmetry: Using Deep Learning Algorithms to Predict Financial Distress

Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 443
Author(s):  
Chyan-long Jan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Information Asymmetry ◽  
Error Rate ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
High Accuracy ◽  
Financial Information ◽  
Financial Distress Prediction ◽  
Distress Prediction

Because of the financial information asymmetry, the stakeholders usually do not know a company’s real financial condition until financial distress occurs. Financial distress not only influences a company’s operational sustainability and damages the rights and interests of its stakeholders, it may also harm the national economy and society; hence, it is very important to build high-accuracy financial distress prediction models. The purpose of this study is to build high-accuracy and effective financial distress prediction models by two representative deep learning algorithms: Deep neural networks (DNN) and convolutional neural networks (CNN). In addition, important variables are selected by the chi-squared automatic interaction detector (CHAID). In this study, the data of Taiwan’s listed and OTC sample companies are taken from the Taiwan Economic Journal (TEJ) database during the period from 2000 to 2019, including 86 companies in financial distress and 258 not in financial distress, for a total of 344 companies. According to the empirical results, with the important variables selected by CHAID and modeling by CNN, the CHAID-CNN model has the highest financial distress prediction accuracy rate of 94.23%, and the lowest type I error rate and type II error rate, which are 0.96% and 4.81%, respectively.

scholarly journals Enabling deeper learning on big data for materials informatics applications

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dipendra Jha ◽  
Vishu Gupta ◽  
Logan Ward ◽  
Zijiang Yang ◽  
Christopher Wolverton ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Big Data ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Deep Neural Networks ◽  
Materials Science ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Materials Informatics ◽  
Learning Framework ◽  
Significant Attention

AbstractThe application of machine learning (ML) techniques in materials science has attracted significant attention in recent years, due to their impressive ability to efficiently extract data-driven linkages from various input materials representations to their output properties. While the application of traditional ML techniques has become quite ubiquitous, there have been limited applications of more advanced deep learning (DL) techniques, primarily because big materials datasets are relatively rare. Given the demonstrated potential and advantages of DL and the increasing availability of big materials datasets, it is attractive to go for deeper neural networks in a bid to boost model performance, but in reality, it leads to performance degradation due to the vanishing gradient problem. In this paper, we address the question of how to enable deeper learning for cases where big materials data is available. Here, we present a general deep learning framework based on Individual Residual learning (IRNet) composed of very deep neural networks that can work with any vector-based materials representation as input to build accurate property prediction models. We find that the proposed IRNet models can not only successfully alleviate the vanishing gradient problem and enable deeper learning, but also lead to significantly (up to 47%) better model accuracy as compared to plain deep neural networks and traditional ML techniques for a given input materials representation in the presence of big data.

Beyond Deep Learning: An Econometric Example

2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (Supp01) ◽  
pp. 31-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruofan Liao ◽  
Paravee Maneejuk ◽  
Songsak Sriboonchitta
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Parametric Model ◽  
Parametric Models ◽  
The Past ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Currency Exchange Rate ◽  
Linear And Nonlinear

In the past, in many areas, the best prediction models were linear and nonlinear parametric models. In the last decade, in many application areas, deep learning has shown to lead to more accurate predictions than the parametric models. Deep learning-based predictions are reasonably accurate, but not perfect. How can we achieve better accuracy? To achieve this objective, we propose to combine neural networks with parametric model: namely, to train neural networks not on the original data, but on the differences between the actual data and the predictions of the parametric model. On the example of predicting currency exchange rate, we show that this idea indeed leads to more accurate predictions.

scholarly journals Generalisability through local validation: overcoming barriers due to data disparity in healthcare

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
William Greig Mitchell ◽  
Edward Christopher Dee ◽  
Leo Anthony Celi
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Global Health ◽  
Model Validation ◽  
Health Inequity ◽  
Diverse Populations ◽  
Single Centre ◽  
Model Accuracy ◽  
South Korean ◽  
Deep Learning Model

AbstractCho et al. report deep learning model accuracy for tilted myopic disc detection in a South Korean population. Here we explore the importance of generalisability of machine learning (ML) in healthcare, and we emphasise that recurrent underrepresentation of data-poor regions may inadvertently perpetuate global health inequity.Creating meaningful ML systems is contingent on understanding how, when, and why different ML models work in different settings. While we echo the need for the diversification of ML datasets, such a worthy effort would take time and does not obviate uses of presently available datasets if conclusions are validated and re-calibrated for different groups prior to implementation.The importance of external ML model validation on diverse populations should be highlighted where possible – especially for models built with single-centre data.

scholarly journals A review of deep learning applications for genomic selection

BMC Genomics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Osval Antonio Montesinos-López ◽  
Abelardo Montesinos-López ◽  
Paulino Pérez-Rodríguez ◽  
José Alberto Barrón-López ◽  
Johannes W. R. Martini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Plant Breeding ◽  
Genomic Selection ◽  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Mixed Model ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Genetic Effect ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Additive Genetic Effect ◽  
Main Body

Abstract Background Several conventional genomic Bayesian (or no Bayesian) prediction methods have been proposed including the standard additive genetic effect model for which the variance components are estimated with mixed model equations. In recent years, deep learning (DL) methods have been considered in the context of genomic prediction. The DL methods are nonparametric models providing flexibility to adapt to complicated associations between data and output with the ability to adapt to very complex patterns. Main body We review the applications of deep learning (DL) methods in genomic selection (GS) to obtain a meta-picture of GS performance and highlight how these tools can help solve challenging plant breeding problems. We also provide general guidance for the effective use of DL methods including the fundamentals of DL and the requirements for its appropriate use. We discuss the pros and cons of this technique compared to traditional genomic prediction approaches as well as the current trends in DL applications. Conclusions The main requirement for using DL is the quality and sufficiently large training data. Although, based on current literature GS in plant and animal breeding we did not find clear superiority of DL in terms of prediction power compared to conventional genome based prediction models. Nevertheless, there are clear evidences that DL algorithms capture nonlinear patterns more efficiently than conventional genome based. Deep learning algorithms are able to integrate data from different sources as is usually needed in GS assisted breeding and it shows the ability for improving prediction accuracy for large plant breeding data. It is important to apply DL to large training-testing data sets.

Abstract P437: Deep Learning-based Models For Complete Atrioventricular Block Heart Rhythm Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 129 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dahim Choi ◽  
Nam Kyun Kim ◽  
Young H Son ◽  
Yuming Gao ◽  
Christina Sheng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Atrioventricular Block ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Pacemaker Implantation ◽  
Heart Rhythm ◽  
High Sensitivity ◽  
Ventricular Myocardium ◽  
True Positive Rate ◽  
Starting Point

Atrioventricular block (AVB), caused by impairment in the heart conduction system, presents extreme diversity and is associated with other complications. Only half of AVB patients require a permanent pacemaker, and the process determining the pacemaker implantation is associated with an increase in cost and patient morbidity and mortality. Thus, there is a need for models capable of accurately identifying transient or reversible causes for conduction disturbances and predicting the patient risks and the necessity of a pacemaker. Deep learning (DL) is brought to the forefront due to its prediction accuracy, and the DL-based electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis can be a breakthrough to analyze a massive amount of data. However, the current DL models are unsuitable for AVB-ECG, where the P waves are decoupled from the QRS/T waves, and a black-box nature of the DL-based model lowers the credibility of prediction models to physicians. Here, we present a real-time-capable DL-based algorithm that can identify AVB-ECG waves and automate AVB phenotyping for arrhythmogenic risk assessment. Our algorithm can analyze unformatted ECG records with abnormal patterns by integrating the two representative DL algorithms: convolutional neural networks (CNN) and recurrent neural networks (RNN). This hybrid CNN/RNN network can memorize local patterns, spatial hierarchies, and long-range temporal dependencies of ECG signals. Furthermore, by integrating parameters derived from dimension reduction analysis and heart rate variability into the hybrid layers, the algorithm can capture the P/QRS/T-specific morphological and temporal features in ECG waveforms. We evaluated the algorithm using the six AVB porcine models, where TBX18, a pacemaker transcription factor, was transduced into the ventricular myocardium to form a biological pacemaker, and an additional electronic pacemaker was transplanted as a backup pacemaker. We achieved high sensitivity (95% true positive rate) and quantified the potential risks of various pathological ECG patterns. This study may be a starting point in conducting both retrospective and prospective patient studies and will help physicians understand its decision-making workflow and find the incorrect recommendations for AVB patients.

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