scholarly journals SOCIO-ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION IN RUSSIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 89-97
Author(s):  
A.A. Tkachenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Economic Recession ◽  
Economic Assessment ◽  
Well Being ◽  
The State ◽  
State Funding ◽  
First Century ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Demographic Processes

The relevance of the study is associated with the need to study the reasons for the deterioration of the demographic situation in Russia, a significant increase in morbidity and mortality, which caused a decrease in life expectancy. The purpose of the study is to give a socio-economic assessment of measures taken by the state and to develop proposals aimed at revising the state funding priorities of national projects in the field of demography. The author applies methods of graphic, theoretical, and statistical analysis of domestic and international databases. Analysis of changes in the first two decades of the twenty-first century showed a decrease in life expectancy and an increase in mortality in recent years (even without considering diseases and mortality closely associated with COVID-19) and allows us to conclude that negative phenomena in the dynamics of demographic indicators are associated not only with the pandemic but also with the deterioration of the well-being of the population as a result of the economic recession. The modern demographic policy of Russia is experiencing an acute shortage of effective measures that contribute to the growth of birth rates. The institution of maternal capital is far from fully fulfilling its function, since the measure of financial assistance to families with minor children to increase their opportunities to improve the quality of the child's socialization showed a change in the structure of capital expenditures in favor of buying a home as an absolutely dominant orientation. The author notes that a comparative analysis of the demographic forecast up to 2035 and the dynamics of demographic processes showed that most of the socio-demographic goals set for 2030 cannot be achieved without changing the existing approaches.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION OF UKRAINE: NATURAL MOVEMENT AND POPULATION REPRODUCTION

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanna Svydlo ◽  
◽  
Iryna Sierova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Social Studies ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
The State ◽  
National Academy Of Sciences ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Factors Influencing ◽  
Natural Movement ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Academy Of Sciences

Due to the difficult socio-economic situation and worsening of demographic situation, including the consequences of hostilities and ongoing occupation of the part of Ukraine, today the importance of population study and the research on the factors influencing its changes is increasing. During the study of demographic processes on the basis of a thorough analysis, strategic decisions relevant to the use and reproduction of the country's labour potential, stimulation of the birth rate, reduction of mortality, increase of natural population growth, prevention of depopulation processes, providing effective employment and improvement of social protection of the people are made. The demographic factor is one of the determinants for ensuring sustainable and safe development of the country, and the issue of demographic development should be considered as a factor and at the same time as a result of the functioning of the state. The main purpose of the study is to identify trends in the changes of the main indicators characterizing demographic processes in the country. Methodologically and informationally, this paper is based on the scientific works, the materials from reccurent publications and Internet, the laws and regula-tions and the data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine and Ptoukha Institute for Demography and Social Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine. The methods used in the study are structural and dynamic analysis, comparison and generalization of the data collected by the State Statistics Service of Ukraine and Ptoukha Institute for Demography and Social Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine. During a study of a phenomenon or a process, first of all, the categorical apparatus is determined. Based on the purpose of the study, the concept of reproduction and natural movement of the population is defined and their theoretical description is given. This paper considers the reproduction of the population as the historically and socio-economically conditioned process of constant and continuous renewal of hu-man generations. Since the natural movement of the population is a process analysis of the birth and death of people, this paper considers such types of population reproduction as archetype, traditional type, transitional type and modern type. For the analysis of the natural movement of the population as a component of demographic safety, the following indicators were evaluated: average life expectancy at birth; depopulation rate; the overall mortality rate of the country's population; in-fant mortality (child mortality up to the age of 1); total birth rate; net reproduction rate; marriage rate; divorce rate. The findings of the analysis show that the main rea-son of the worsening of demographic situation is decrease in the birth rate and in-crease in the mortality rate. Currently, the birth rate in Ukraine is largely limited by both economic factors (insufficient wages, shortage of jobs) and social factors (changes in reproductive habits and norms expressed in the popularity of single-parent families). The analysis revealed socio-economic factors influencing the demo-graphic situation in Ukraine.

scholarly journals Development of domestic tourism in the context of a pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 128 ◽  
pp. 01004
Author(s):  
E.G. Efimova ◽  
N.A. Levochkina ◽  
B.E. Khabibullina
Keyword(s):  
Quality Of Life ◽  
Life Expectancy ◽  
State Level ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
The State ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Domestic Tourism ◽  
High Level

Preserving the health of the population occupies a special place at the legislative level, in the socio-economic strategies for the development of regions and the country as a whole. The preservation of human health depends not only on one’s own desire to preserve it, including the current state of the state and the development of the country’s tourism industry. Recreation and recreation for modern people, who mainly live in cities and megacities characterized by a high level of pollution due to the intensity of economic activity, are of particular importance for maintaining health and life expectancy. An increase in people’s life expectancy is considered at the state level as an important indicator of people’s well-being, improving the level and quality of life. Russia has created unique conditions and opportunities for the development of domestic tourism, which, with reasonable organization, investments, including the creation of public-private partnerships, and improving the efficiency of services provided, allow us to carry out our activities in the field of preserving and maintaining public health, increasing the duration and quality of life. Domestic Russian tourism can be considered as the basis for the socio-economic development of territories at any level, as well as as an industry whose contribution to the country’s GDP can be significant.

scholarly journals STRESS REACTION OF PUBLIC HEALTH OF THE KAMBARKA REGION (UDMURTIA) TO PLACING OBJECTS OF ECOLOGICAL RISK

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-277
Author(s):  
I.L. Malkova ◽  
P.Yu. Sitnikov
Keyword(s):  
Population Decline ◽  
Chemical Weapons ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Hazardous Waste Management ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Psychological Reaction ◽  
Udmurt Republic ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Technical Complex ◽  
Statistical Indicators

An analysis of the dynamics of medical and statistical indicators of the Kambarka region showed a pronounced negative reaction of demographic processes to the placement and functioning of environmental risk objects: a chemical weapons destruction plant (2003-2009) and its conversion to an industrial and technical complex for processing, utilization and neutralization of wastes of I-II hazard classes (2019). The demographic situation in the Kambarka region over the past decades is characterized as the tensest among the cities and districts of the Udmurt Republic. The forecast for its development for the coming years is extremely unfavorable, which is manifested, first of all, in pronounced depopulation. The psychological reaction of the district’s population to the construction and launch of a chemical weapons destruction facility was reflected in the maximum death rate and natural population decline in Udmurtia. The stress response of demographic indicators to the placement of a complex for hazardous waste management can be more pronounced and more extended in time.

scholarly journals DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION IN RUSSIA: MEDICAL AND SOCIAL ASPECTS

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 214-220
Author(s):  
Marina A. Shurgaya ◽  
S. S Memetov ◽  
T. A Ivanova ◽  
A. F Karaeva ◽  
I. V Lyalina
Keyword(s):  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Social Protection ◽  
Health Resources ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
The State ◽  
Malignant Neoplasms ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indices ◽  
Working Age

Since the beginning of the 90s of the last century, significant structural changes in the country’s economy, the transition from a planned economy to a market economy, which was accompanied by a deterioration in the socioeconomic status of the population, took place in Russia. This adversely affected the health of citizens. The health of the population has progressively worsened, life expectancy has declined, the population has been shrinking at an alarming rate. Since 2006, the dynamics of the main demographic indices in Russia is favorable. There is a tendency to reduce the natural decline in population. Life expectancy indices reflecting the state of health of the population and the death rate increased, reached 71.9 years in the general population in 2016 (among women - 77.1 years, among men - 66.5 years). The demographic situation in Russia is characterized by an aging population. In 2014, the contingent of the older generation (33.8 million - 23.0%) prevailed over the children population (24.7 million - 17.2%) and this ratio is maintained as of January 1, 2017: the population of children is 36 685 thousand people (18.3%), working age population accounts of 83 224 thousand people, the elderly - 36 685 thousand people (25%). The increase in life expectancy is associated with a gain in the incidence and disability of the population, among which leading positions of the disease are occupied by the circulatory disorders, malignant neoplasms, diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue, and a number of infectious diseases. At the same time, the period of life, living with chronic diseases and restrictions in active activity, lengthens. The indices of the morbidity and disability rate of the population are a reflection of both the level of health and the quality of medical and preventive measures, as well as the state of social protection of a person with a health defect. A differentiated approach to the organization of preventive, curative and rehabilitation measures is important, both at the federal and regional and municipal levels of managing the health and social protection system. Health resources of saving technologies should be aimed at realizing an optimistic demographic scenario - an increase in life expectancy with a parallel increase in the number and proportion of years living in conditions of preserved health and activity.

scholarly journals The Culminating Crisis of American Sociology and Its Role in Social Science and Public Policy: An Autobiographical, Multimethod, Reflexive Perspective

2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
James S. House
Keyword(s):  
Social Sciences ◽  
Public Policy ◽  
Social Science ◽  
Social Life ◽  
Social Scientist ◽  
Well Being ◽  
The State ◽  
First Century ◽  
American Sociology ◽  
Twenty First Century

For over 50 years I have been, and remain, an interdisciplinary social scientist seeking to develop and apply social science to improve the well-being of human individuals and social life. Sociology has been my disciplinary home for 48 of these years. As a researcher/scholar, teacher, administrator, and member of review panels in both sociology and interdisciplinary organizations that include and/or intersect with sociology, I have sought to improve the quality and quantity of sociolog ists and sociolog y. This article offers my assessment as a participant observer of what (largely American) sociology has been over the course of my lifetime, which is virtually coterminous with the history of modern (post–World War II) sociology, and what it might become. I supplement my participant observations with those of others with similarly broad perspectives, and with broader literature and quantitative indicators on the state of sociology, social science, and society over this period. I entered sociology and social science at a time (the 1960s and early 1970s) when they were arguably their most dynamic and impactful, both within themselves and also with respect to intersections with other disciplines and the larger society. Whereas the third quarter of the twentieth century was a golden age of growth and development for sociology and the social sciences, the last quarter of that century saw sociology and much of social science—excepting economics and, to some extent, psychology—decline in size, coherence, and extradisciplinary connections and impact, not returning until the beginning of the twenty-first century, if at all, to levels reached in the early 1970s. Over this latter period, I and numerous other observers have bemoaned sociology's lack of intellectual unity (i.e., coherence and cohesion), along with attendant dissension and problems within the discipline and in its relation to the other social sciences and public policy. The twenty-first century has seen much of the discipline, and its American Sociological Association (ASA), turn toward public and critical sociology, yet this shift has come with no clear indicators of improvement of the state of the discipline and some suggestions of further decline. The reasons for and implications of all of this are complex, reflecting changes within the discipline and in its academic, scientific, and societal environments. This article can only offer initial thoughts and directions for future discussion, research, and action. I do, however, believe that sociology's problems are serious, arguably a crisis, and have been going on for almost a half-century, at the outset of which the future looked much brighter. It is unclear whether the discipline as now constituted can effectively confront, much less resolve, these problems. Sociolog ists continue to do excellent work, arguably in spite of rather than because of their location within the current discipline of sociolog y. They might realize the brighter future that appeared in the offing as of the early 1970s for sociology and its impact on other disciplines and society if they assumed new organizational and/or disciplinary forms, as has been increasingly occurring in other social sciences, the natural sciences, and even the humanities. Society needs more and better sociology. The question is how can we deliver it.

Multivariate mathematical-cartographic modeling demographic characteristics of Russian and European regions

2019 ◽  
Vol 953 (11) ◽  
pp. 26-36
Author(s):  
A.I Igonin ◽  
V.S. Tikunov
Keyword(s):  
Demographic Characteristics ◽  
Qualitative Assessment ◽  
Joint Analysis ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Current Trends ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Cartographic Modeling ◽  
Gis Environment

The study of modern trends in demographic development in Europe and Russia, in particular the assessment of spatial patterns of changes require updating the database of demographic indicators. To carry out a comparative analysis of current trends in demographic development in Europe and Russia, three sets of indicators characterizing the demographic state of the regions were formed. The calculation of indices of demographic development with different sets of indicators was made. A series of maps of the demographic situation and its dynamics in the GIS environment was developed. The joint analysis of all nine variants of the demographic state enabled developing a single, final index for assessing the demographic development of the territory. Multivariate mathematical-cartographic modeling helped performing a qualitative assessment of demographic processes and their changes. The implicit features and differences in the demographic characteristics of the regions are revealed. The application of classification algorithms to such a vast territory helps decision-making as part of a change in demographic policy.

scholarly journals Modern Demographic Processes in Ukraine, Factors of Influence

2021 ◽  
Vol 100 ◽  
pp. 05001
Author(s):  
Victoria Yavorska ◽  
Vitaliy Sych ◽  
Ihor Hevko ◽  
Inna Shorobura ◽  
Olexandra Dolynska
Keyword(s):  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Regional Analysis ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Average Life ◽  
Average Life Expectancy ◽  
Geographical Differences ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Processes

The presented article gives the analysis of the modern demographic indicators such as life expectancy, age structure and fertility rate of the population in Ukraine and their geographical differences. The aim of the research is a spatial analysis of the demographic situation to determine the development trends of the population of the regions of Ukraine. In the conditions of depopulation and gradual aging of labor force in Ukraine requirements to its qualitative characteristics, first of all a state of health and average life expectancy grow. Ukraine belongs to the countries with high intensity of depopulation processes that is caused by a number of various factors of economic, socio-cultural, institutional character. Large-scale and protracted depopulation is now a component and one of the most pronounced manifestations of the general crisis demographic situation in Ukraine. The tendencies of influence of average life expectancy on indicators of population aging are investigated in the work. The regional analysis is carried out and territorial differences in indicators of average life expectancy and indicators of population aging are defined. The reasons for such a tense situation have been identified. The paper emphasizes that the development of really effective measures aimed at bringing the oblasts out of the deep demographic crisis and slowing down the progressive depopulation should focus not only on reducing mortality, but mainly on improving the health of the population, which can correct high mortality. These demographic trends increase global demographic asymmetry, give a special sharpness and new "sound" to the demographic problem in the global context, and, in addition, have long-term socio-economic consequences for countries with depopulation and deepening aging. In view of this, there is now a need for a comprehensive scientific understanding of the phenomenon of depopulation and assessment of its possible prospects, the development of a strategy to influence depopulation processes by means of sociodemographic policy. In our country, the study of depopulation factors, its nature and origins, analysis of the peculiarities of the deployment of depopulation and assessment of its consequences have become particularly relevant.

scholarly journals STATISTICAL METHODS FOR FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS IN UKRAINE: APPLICATION CONTEXT

2021 ◽  
pp. 183-204
Author(s):  
Mykhailo LUCHKO ◽  
Mariia SHESTERNIAK
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Methods ◽  
Specific Area ◽  
Statistical Modelling ◽  
Essential Information ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Modelling Methods ◽  
Future Population ◽  
Demographic Forecast

The article examines the demographic processes and indicators of Ukraine over the years of its independence. The essence of the concepts «forecast», «forecasting» and «demographic forecast» is considered. It is demonstrated that the results of the demographic forecast and the subsequent strategic analysis constitute essential information for substantiating the prediction of the main parameters of population indicators, future demographic situation and socioeconomic processes in a given area. The conditions for application of demographic forecasting methods are defined. The statistical methods that are most often used in practice to forecast the future population are grouped into methods of extrapolation, methods of shifting ages, methods of statistical modelling (methods of mathematical modelling), methods of expert evaluations. It is determined that in practice each group of statistical methods of demographic forecasting has its purpose, characterizes a specific demographic phenomenon and is applied to a specific area. Recommendations on using the optimal methods for forecasting and predictive calculations of future demographic indicators of Ukraine are suggested in order to ensure the analytical and predictive component of management.

Evaluation of the state of the health system in Ukraine in the context of the quality of provision of medical aid

2020 ◽  
pp. 37-41
Author(s):  
Lyubov Kvasniy ◽  
Oresta Shcherban ◽  
Taras Khoma
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Health System ◽  
Health Care System ◽  
Well Being ◽  
The State ◽  
Average Life Expectancy ◽  
Standards Of Living ◽  
Care System

In the process of implementation of the reform of the health care system and implementation of priority directions of socio-economic development of Ukraine, which is closely intertwined with the requirements of the time regarding the preservation and improvement of the health of population, attention was paid to the quality management of health care. The purpose of the article is to study the indicators of health care in the dynamics, which determine the state of health system and characterize the quality of medical and service provision. The article outlines the peculiarities of the concept of health protection in Ukraine. It proves that the domestic health care system is outdated, since it is based on the Soviet model of Semashko against the backdrop of high levels of corruption, the lack of proper modernization, non-compliance with the needs of the population, which in general have led to its ineffectiveness. The main indicators of the health system in dynamics are estimated and the periods of expected life expectancy are highlighted. The low average life expectancy in Ukraine is established to be caused mainly by the fundamental difference between the European and Ukrainian standards of living, the level of well-being of the population and the quality of medical services. In order to improve the quality of the provision of medical care in health care institutions in the current conditions of medical reform, it is proposed to transfer to the financing of medicine on an insurance basis, which will allow distributing the risks of illness and expenses for treatment between insured persons, and direct the collected funds to pay for the insured event in case of illness. This can be considered the only way to provide high-quality medical protection without financial stress for Ukrainian citizens.

scholarly journals STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS OF THE ROSTOV REGION

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-20
Author(s):  
Vera Shumilina ◽  
Anatoliy Kolesnikov ◽  
Aleksandra Lukiyanova
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
The State ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Rostov Region ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Integral Indicator

The prospects for the sustainable development of Russia in general and the Russian regions in particular are directly or indirectly related to demographic processes. The demographic state of the territories is an integral indicator of all spheres of life, and the level of demographic security reflects the state of stability of the territory to various adverse factors. The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of demographic processes and the level of demographic security as the basis for sustainable development of the Rostov region.

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