scholarly journals STRESS REACTION OF PUBLIC HEALTH OF THE KAMBARKA REGION (UDMURTIA) TO PLACING OBJECTS OF ECOLOGICAL RISK

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-277
Author(s):  
I.L. Malkova ◽  
P.Yu. Sitnikov
Keyword(s):  
Population Decline ◽  
Chemical Weapons ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Hazardous Waste Management ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Psychological Reaction ◽  
Udmurt Republic ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Technical Complex ◽  
Statistical Indicators

An analysis of the dynamics of medical and statistical indicators of the Kambarka region showed a pronounced negative reaction of demographic processes to the placement and functioning of environmental risk objects: a chemical weapons destruction plant (2003-2009) and its conversion to an industrial and technical complex for processing, utilization and neutralization of wastes of I-II hazard classes (2019). The demographic situation in the Kambarka region over the past decades is characterized as the tensest among the cities and districts of the Udmurt Republic. The forecast for its development for the coming years is extremely unfavorable, which is manifested, first of all, in pronounced depopulation. The psychological reaction of the district’s population to the construction and launch of a chemical weapons destruction facility was reflected in the maximum death rate and natural population decline in Udmurtia. The stress response of demographic indicators to the placement of a complex for hazardous waste management can be more pronounced and more extended in time.

scholarly journals MODERN MIGRATION SITUATION IN KRASNODAR REGION

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (6) ◽  
pp. 291-295
Author(s):  
T.T. Тarasova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Population Change ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Net Migration ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Coronavirus Infection ◽  
Determining Factor ◽  
Total Migration

t. Based on statistical data, the article analyzes the transformation of the migration movement of the population of the Krasnodar Territory in the context of natural decline and a pandemic of coronavirus infection. It is shown that in the region, as well as in Russia as a whole, there is a deterioration in demographic development. Due to the excess of the death rate over the birth rate in the region, the natural population decline resumed in 2017, the volume of which increased 8.5 times by 2020. The demographic indicators worsened especially noticeably in 2020, primarily in relation to the mortality rate of the population, the level of which has sharply increased. Despite the deteriorating demographic situation, the number of residents of the Kuban continued to increase, while in the Russian Federation in recent years the absolute population began to decline. An analysis of the components of population change showed that the determining factor in the increase in the number of Kuban residents was migration gain, which not only compensated for the natural decline in the population, but also ensured an increase in the number of inhabitants of the region. It was revealed that significant changes took place in the migration movement of the Krasnodar Territory in the analyzed period: the intensity of migration processes has noticeably decreased, and in recent years, the volume of net migration has also decreased. The region’s contribution to the total migration gains of the Southern Federal District has significantly decreased - in 2020 the region’s share in the total migration growth of the district amounted to only 31.6% versus 78.9% in 2017. The decrease in the volume of net migration was mainly due to a decrease in the number of arrivals to the region, which is not least due to quarantine measures to combat the pandemic

Multivariate mathematical-cartographic modeling demographic characteristics of Russian and European regions

2019 ◽  
Vol 953 (11) ◽  
pp. 26-36
Author(s):  
A.I Igonin ◽  
V.S. Tikunov
Keyword(s):  
Demographic Characteristics ◽  
Qualitative Assessment ◽  
Joint Analysis ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Current Trends ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Cartographic Modeling ◽  
Gis Environment

The study of modern trends in demographic development in Europe and Russia, in particular the assessment of spatial patterns of changes require updating the database of demographic indicators. To carry out a comparative analysis of current trends in demographic development in Europe and Russia, three sets of indicators characterizing the demographic state of the regions were formed. The calculation of indices of demographic development with different sets of indicators was made. A series of maps of the demographic situation and its dynamics in the GIS environment was developed. The joint analysis of all nine variants of the demographic state enabled developing a single, final index for assessing the demographic development of the territory. Multivariate mathematical-cartographic modeling helped performing a qualitative assessment of demographic processes and their changes. The implicit features and differences in the demographic characteristics of the regions are revealed. The application of classification algorithms to such a vast territory helps decision-making as part of a change in demographic policy.

scholarly journals The influence of criminal deviation on the demographic processes in the Republic of Bashkortostan

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-101
Author(s):  
S. V. Egoryshev
Keyword(s):  
Social Economic ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Social Economic Development

The current demographic situation in most regions of Russia is characterized by a number of negative trends associated with population decline, aging, low birth rate, high mortality, redistribution of migration flows and outflow of population, mainly of its young and working-age part, to the most economically developed regions, cities and abroad. Numerous factors influence the state and trends of demographic processes; this influence is studied and taken into account when the strategies of the demographic and social-economic policies of the country as a whole and its regions are considered. The social-economic development and its specific components including demographic processes are also determined by social deviations of a delinquent and criminal nature. The destructive consequences of criminal deviation for demographic processes are not obvious or critical, but they are manifested both directly (human losses) and indirectly (material and financial costs, increased mortality from alcohol, drugs, suicides, social exclusion of people who are sick or isolated due to deviations). Criminal deviation as a type of destructive social deviations is manifested mainly in crime and in those deviations that are its cause and corpus delicti. Based on the analysis of statistical and sociological data on the Republic of Bashkortostan, the author considers negative consequences of criminal deviation for the demographic situation and insists on the need to find effective measures to reduce them to a socially acceptable level (a criterion of such measures effectiveness).

scholarly journals Natural Reproduction of the Population of Russia during the Coronavirus Pandemic: Risks and Consequences (The Case of the Republic of Tatarstan)

REGIONOLOGY ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 686-708
Author(s):  
Alisa A. Ibragimova ◽  
Chulpan I. Ildarhanova
Keyword(s):  
Natural Population ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Natural Reproduction ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic

Introduction. The study is of relevance due to the decline in the population of the Russian Federation since 2018 and the aggravation of the demographic situation since 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the results of analyses of demographic indicators of natural population growth in the Russian Federation, in the Volga Federal District, and in the Republic of Tatarstan, the article identifies the factors affecting such indicators during the spread of coronavirus infection. Materials and Methods. The study analyzed operational data from the Federal State Statistics Service and the Unified Interdepartmental Information and Statistical System on the demographic indicators (birth rate, mortality, marriage rate, and divorce rate). The comparative, cross-sectional, correlation, and regression methods of analysis were employed, which made it possible to reveal significant factors affecting the demographic situation and identify the general trend of demographic processes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Results. On the basis of the official statistics, an analysis of the demographic situation in terms of natural reproduction of the population of Russia, exemplified by the case of the Republic of Tatarstan has been carried out; the main factors in natural population decline during the COVID-19 pandemic have been identified; the need for the introduction of new measures aimed at improving health and reducing the mortality rate and overcoming the demographic crisis in marriage and family relations has been substantiated. Discussion and Conclusion. Conclusions have been drawn about the possibility of increasing the negative impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the future demographic situation, which is a threat to the national security of Russia. The significance of the research materials consists in a comprehensive analysis of the demographic situation caused by the natural population change. The results of the study can be used by the authorities in the development and adjustment of regional and federal demographic and social policies.

scholarly journals STATISTICAL METHODS FOR FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS IN UKRAINE: APPLICATION CONTEXT

2021 ◽  
pp. 183-204
Author(s):  
Mykhailo LUCHKO ◽  
Mariia SHESTERNIAK
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Methods ◽  
Specific Area ◽  
Statistical Modelling ◽  
Essential Information ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Modelling Methods ◽  
Future Population ◽  
Demographic Forecast

The article examines the demographic processes and indicators of Ukraine over the years of its independence. The essence of the concepts «forecast», «forecasting» and «demographic forecast» is considered. It is demonstrated that the results of the demographic forecast and the subsequent strategic analysis constitute essential information for substantiating the prediction of the main parameters of population indicators, future demographic situation and socioeconomic processes in a given area. The conditions for application of demographic forecasting methods are defined. The statistical methods that are most often used in practice to forecast the future population are grouped into methods of extrapolation, methods of shifting ages, methods of statistical modelling (methods of mathematical modelling), methods of expert evaluations. It is determined that in practice each group of statistical methods of demographic forecasting has its purpose, characterizes a specific demographic phenomenon and is applied to a specific area. Recommendations on using the optimal methods for forecasting and predictive calculations of future demographic indicators of Ukraine are suggested in order to ensure the analytical and predictive component of management.

MEDICAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION IN THE UDMURT REPUBLIC: REPRODUCTIVE POTENTIAL

2021 ◽  
Vol 67 (2) ◽  
pp. 12-12
Author(s):  
N.N. Bushmeleva ◽  
◽  
Yu.N. Vakhrusheva ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Reproductive Potential ◽  
Federal District ◽  
High Morbidity ◽  
Ministry Of Health ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Udmurt Republic ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic

Significance. The demographic crisis in Russia, registered since 2016, has deteriorated again and the forecast remains unfavorable, substantiating the need for reserves to protect the reproductive potential. Assessment of medical and demographic processes and the possibility of managing them is an important scientific and practical task, the solution of which is relevant for the Udmurt Republic against the background of the existing unfavorable trends in the socio-economic situation. Purpose of the study. To evaluate medical and demographic situation in the Udmurt Republic. Material and method. Medical and demographic indicators for 2012-2019 were studied on the basis of the Rosstat official statistics and materials of the Territorial Body of the State Statistics Service of the Udmurt Republic (according to the information support schemes approved by the Ministry of Health of the Udmurt Republic). Data of the federal statistical observation forms No. 13 for the period 2012 - 2019 were used as the research material. To compare the analyzed indicators in the Udmurt Republic, the Volga Federal District and the Russian Federation as a whole, the authors used materials available from the website of the Federal Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (https://mednet.ru). To assess dynamics in the analyzed indicators, the growth rate index (%) was calculated. Results. The study has analyzed and evaluated major health and demographic indicators of the Udmurt Republic and compared them with similar indicators of the Russian Federation and the Volga Federal District. Results of the study include as follows: a steady decline in the Republic population; the reproduction indicators in the Republic are below the replacement level; low level of health across all age groups; the gynecological morbidity among females is 1.5-2-fold higher than in Russia and the Volga Federal District; high morbidity among females during pregnancy, childbirth and the postpartum period.

scholarly journals SOCIO-ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION IN RUSSIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 89-97
Author(s):  
A.A. Tkachenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Economic Recession ◽  
Economic Assessment ◽  
Well Being ◽  
The State ◽  
State Funding ◽  
First Century ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Demographic Processes

The relevance of the study is associated with the need to study the reasons for the deterioration of the demographic situation in Russia, a significant increase in morbidity and mortality, which caused a decrease in life expectancy. The purpose of the study is to give a socio-economic assessment of measures taken by the state and to develop proposals aimed at revising the state funding priorities of national projects in the field of demography. The author applies methods of graphic, theoretical, and statistical analysis of domestic and international databases. Analysis of changes in the first two decades of the twenty-first century showed a decrease in life expectancy and an increase in mortality in recent years (even without considering diseases and mortality closely associated with COVID-19) and allows us to conclude that negative phenomena in the dynamics of demographic indicators are associated not only with the pandemic but also with the deterioration of the well-being of the population as a result of the economic recession. The modern demographic policy of Russia is experiencing an acute shortage of effective measures that contribute to the growth of birth rates. The institution of maternal capital is far from fully fulfilling its function, since the measure of financial assistance to families with minor children to increase their opportunities to improve the quality of the child's socialization showed a change in the structure of capital expenditures in favor of buying a home as an absolutely dominant orientation. The author notes that a comparative analysis of the demographic forecast up to 2035 and the dynamics of demographic processes showed that most of the socio-demographic goals set for 2030 cannot be achieved without changing the existing approaches.

scholarly journals DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS OF THE NUMBER AND AGE-SEX COMPOSITION OF THE POPULATION OF SAMARA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE XXI CENTURY

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (30(57)) ◽  
pp. 7-11
Author(s):  
Nikolai A. Pervyshin
Keyword(s):  
Demographic Analysis ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Industrial Complexes ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Depth Study ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The City

Priority for the analysis of General trends in the dynamics of demographic processes in the Russian Federation is the study of medical and demographic indicators in territories that are important for the effective functioning and development of territorial industrial complexes (productions). An in-depth study of the demographic situation in the city of Samara for the period 1990 to 2018 allows us to identify factors that affect the morbidity and mortality of the working-age population in the region, as well as to determine the current directions for improving and developing medical services.

scholarly journals The Impact of the Demographic Policy on the Economic Security of Russia

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 31-39
Author(s):  
V. N. Mironova
Keyword(s):  
Low Income ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Low Income Families ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Demographic Policy

The subject of the research is demographic processes reflected in the population dynamics and fertility and mortality indices as well as the state of migration that might compensate for the natural population decline. The purposes of the research were to reveal the main threats to the economic security of the country due to ill-timed resolution of demographic problems and propose measures to overcome the negative trends. The research was based on studying the demographic processes in Russia and a number of other countries to make sure the country is in the mainstream of the changes taking place in developed economies. However, there are certain deviations in a number of indices demonstrating a demographic crisis that has not been overcome and tends to aggravate. The research makes it clear that the demographic situation in Russia has been gradually deteriorating alternating with short periods of improvement of demographic indicators. It has been established that the state demographic policy is the most important mechanism to combat the demographic crisis, providing other relevant conditions are observed. In furtherance of the above-mentioned, the Concept of the Demographic Policy developed under the Presidential Decree of May 2018 was examined. It is noted that based on political decisions, tools are being developed to mitigate the emerging threats to the national economic security. It is concluded that the importance of numerous measures taken periodically by the government including substantial financial injections to support fertility and overcome high mortality rates cannot be overestimated. Along with that, current demographic problems cannot be solved only by financial support of low-income families, hence a well-thoughtout system approach is required. Fragmentary measures to improve the demographic situation in the country can yield a temporary positive effect but are unable to change the situation totally.

scholarly journals Demographics, Migration and Brain Drain in The Danube Region

2016 ◽  
Vol 54 (4) ◽  
pp. 469-483
Author(s):  
Mirko Savić ◽  
Stojanka Dakić
Keyword(s):  
Labour Market ◽  
Brain Drain ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Working Life ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Active Labour ◽  
Danube Region ◽  
Migration Flows ◽  
Market Variables

AbstractIn the last two decades we have been witnessing the decrease of population in many countries of the Danube Region. All demographic indicators are unfavourable. Current demographic situation and labour market in the countries of the Danube Region is presented. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effects of demographic decline in the countries of the Danube Region on the key labour market variables and to model their behaviour. Also, the purpose of this paper is to analyse and discuss the possible consequences of demographic decline and the roles of migration and brain drain in the region. The main conclusion is that drop in the population growth is compensated with migration flows and prolongation of working life when it comes to the active labour force in the Danube Region, although population is still a main source of working force.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document