Structural Shifts in the Economy of the Russian Federation and Its Import Intensity in 2014–2019: Analysis of Macroeconomic Statistics.

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (5) ◽  
pp. 5-27
Author(s):  
L. A. Strizhkova ◽  
L. I. Tishina ◽  
M. V. Selivanova

The introductory part of the article formulates its objective – to characterize development conditions in Russia and main structural changes in the Russian economy (according to 2014–2019 data) from the standpoint of their compliance with the tasks of increasing the stability and quality of the country's economic growth during the transition of the world system to a new technological order. Аccording to the authors, this period is of particular interest in assessing and studying the experience associated with structural transformation in a highly unfavorable external condition amid tight monetary policy and restrictive income policy.The article sequentially addresses certain aspects of the structural transformation of the Russian economy. The authors, relying on macroeconomic statistics, assess shifts in production and use of products, investment, import intensity, the balance of payments, and international investment position, considering external and internal conditions.The paper focuses on analyzing the proportions of the economy according to the data of the Rosstat input-output tables (IOTs). The article provides estimates of structural changes in the dependence of the economy and its segments on types of imports, signifcant changes in the direction of the use of fnal products, including considering the dynamics of changes in the total input of intermediate imports. For the frst time, the characteristics of the concentration of gross value added (GVA) and gross domestic product (GDP) by areas of fnal demand are given. A methodological approach is proposed for monitoring shifts in import consumption by compiling annual summary tables with a minimum set of data obtained during the analytical processing of IOT information. Based on the results of testing this approach on data for 2016 and 2018, the authors rated cost product balances by the share of imports in the resources of products. Conclusions were drawn about the change in the import intensity of the economy for the selected types of products, the import intensity of Russian industries, and shifts in the distribution structure of types of imported products. The article formulates proposals for the development of measures necessary to consolidate and expand positive results of this stage in the development of the Russian economy and statistical support of macroeconomic analysis.

2017 ◽  
pp. 40-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Zamaraev ◽  
T. Marshova

The article analyzes investment processes and the resulting structural changes in the production potential of Russian industry and the gross value added of the national economy in 2004-2015. The major tendencies, qualitative and quantitative characteristics of these changes have been estimated. The influence of the 2014-2016 recession on the capacity utilization characteristics has been studied. It has been shown that the formation of the industrial branch structure of industrial capacities, investments and value added depended largely on the Russian economic reproduction model based on raw materials export.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyungsoo Kim ◽  
Wankeun Oh ◽  
E. Young Song

Abstract This study examines the role of international capital mobility in shaping the relation between economic growth and structural transformation. We build a small open economy Ramsey model with two goods, tradables and nontradables. We show that if the long-run autarky interest rate of a small open economy is higher than the world interest rate, the employment and value-added shares of the tradables sector will rise over time. In the opposite case, the shares will fall. Because the autarky interest rate increases with the rate of technological progress, our result suggests that cross-country differences in the rate of technological progress may be a significant factor in accounting for diverse patterns of structural changes among countries.


Author(s):  
Lyubov I. Dorofeeva ◽  
◽  
Olga V. Yermolova ◽  
Vladimir V. Kirsanov ◽  
◽  
...  

Introduction. In managing the competitive advantages of the agri-food complex, the study of the structural modernization of the agri-food complex on the basis of taking into account the levels of risks and the uncertainties of the economic situation that determine the possible boundaries of the use of regulatory measures is of particular importance. An interdisciplinary approach to the analysis and prediction of the structure of the complex opens up new possibilities for research, taking into account the relationships and interactions of all its elements. Theoretical analysis. The quality of the economic dynamics of the complex and its compliance with the long-term development goals of the Russian economy are evaluated. Trends in the interbranch structure, and priorities of state support have been revealed. Empirical analysis. The results of import substitution in the agri-food complex have been analyzed. The factors and structure of its growth have been revealed. The interbranch structure of the participation of various stages of its product chains in the production of total value added has been estimated. The stability of the local production systems of the complex has been characterized. Consumption growth is considered as an independent driver of the economic growth of the complex. The influence of the dynamics and structural parameters of investments has been analyzed. Results. It has been proved that structural balance largely determines the competitive stability of the development of the agri-food complex as a diversified system. Based on the interbranch analysis, new directions of development of the structure of the complex have been identified, directions of its state support have been clarified. Priorities of the foreign trade policy of the complex have been determined.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 102-109
Author(s):  
Olga V. Kozhevina

The management of the transition to sustainable development of the country and territories of the Russian Federation is actively discussed, its current goals and objectives are substantiated. The article discusses the need for structural changes to implement the priorities stated in national and regional programs, strategic documents of socio-economic development. A methodological approach to assessing the trends of sustainable development of regions is proposed. Priority areas for import substitution of the economy have been identified. It is noted that at the federal and regional levels, an organizational and economic mechanism is needed to enhance budgetary efficiency.


Author(s):  
Olga Sokolova

Theoretical and practical aspects of structural changes in the economy are the subject of scientific research by a large number of both foreign and domestic scientists. The theory of three sectors became a new methodological approach to the analysis of the structure of the economy. The process of modeling changes in the sectoral structure of the economy makes it possible to create such conditions that would facilitate Ukraine’s transition to an innovative model of development. The article simulates changes in the sectoral structure of the economy on the basis of the Cobb-Douglas production function. It is emphasized that changes in the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors of Ukraine’s economy should ensure the formation of an innovative model of its development. The evolution of the interpretation of the concept of «Solow balance» is highlighted. It is substantiated that the «Solow balance» contains an innovative component, so it is advisable to take it into account in the process of modeling changes in the sectoral structure. The «Solow balance» is calculated on the basis of initial data on the value of fixed assets, the number of employed population and the amount of value added in terms of primary, secondary and tertiary sectors of the Ukrainian economy. The relationship between the level of the indicator in the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors of the economy is considered. It has been proven that the primary sector of the economy is the starting point for sustainable economic growth, as it is the basis of the supply chain for the secondary sector, and also acts as an intermediate consumer of services in the tertiary sector. At the same time, changes in the «Solow balance» in one sector of the economy will provide a gradual change in the relevant indicators for other sectors not simultaneously, but over a period of time. Given that the «Solow balance» contains an innovative component, its increase involves the use of drivers of innovative development, which launch and intensify the processes of knowledge accumulation, innovation and their commercialization. Based on the developed model, it is substantiated that the increase of the «Solow balance» in the target sector is possible due to the increase in the share of intermediate consumption of services-drivers of innovative development.


2008 ◽  
pp. 25-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Grigoriev ◽  
S. Plaksin ◽  
M. Salikhov

The article develops methodological approach to the analysis of groups of interests’ influence on the choice of Russia’s development strategy. It is possible to pass on to the analysis of specific issues of economic policy by forming several sub-groups in every "analytical" group. The article also considers the structure of Russian economy which was formed as a result of transformational crisis’ influence on Soviet economy, and relevant international comparisons. Main alternative ways of transition to innovational development are the renewal of Soviet "triangle economy" (the scenario "Mobilization") and complex institutional changes (the scenario "Modernization").


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 1476-1496
Author(s):  
V.V. Smirnov

Subject. The article discusses Russia’s economy and analyzes its effectiveness. Objectives. The study attempts to determine to what extent Russia’s economy is effective. Methods. The study is based on the systems approach and the statistical analysis. Results. I discovered significant fluctuations of the structural balance due to changing growth rates of the total gross national debt denominated in the national currency, and the stability of growth rates of governmental revenue. Changes in the RUB exchange rate and an additional growth in GDP are the main stabilizers of the structural balance, as they depend on hydrocarbon export. As a result of the analysis of cash flows, I found that the exports slowed down. Financial resources are strongly centralized, since Moscow and the Moscow Oblast are incrementing their share in the export of mineral resources, oil and refining products and import of electrical machines and equipment. Conclusions and Relevance. The fact that the Russian economy has been effectively organized is proved with the centralization of the economic power and the limits through the cross-regional corporation, such as Moscow and the Moscow Oblast, which is resilient to any regional difficulties ensuring the economic growth and sustainable development. The findings would be valuable for the political and economic community to outline and substantiate actions to keep rates of the economic growth and sustainable development of the Russian economy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (5) ◽  
pp. 909-939
Author(s):  
M.V. Dement'ev

Subject. This article examines the theoretical and practical aspects of the implementation of industrial policy and the structural transformation of the manufacturing industry in St. Petersburg. Objectives. The article aims to justify the priority of the industry-based approach to industrial policy in St. Petersburg and determine its effectiveness by highlighting the factors of structural transformation of the city's manufacturing industry using the Shift-Share Analysis method. Methods. For the study, I used logical, statistical, and factor analyses. Results. Based on shift-share analysis, the study highlights positive results of industrial policy in the development of certain industries in St. Petersburg, as well as those industries that require further development of urban industrial policy. Conclusions. Despite the fact that the industry of St. Petersburg as a whole has become more stable, problems in the development of mechanical engineering and production of computers, electronic and optical products have not yet been solved.


Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (13) ◽  
pp. 3567
Author(s):  
Faiza Faiza ◽  
Abraiz Khattak ◽  
Safi Ullah Butt ◽  
Kashif Imran ◽  
Abasin Ulasyar ◽  
...  

Silicone rubber is a promising insulating material that has been performing well for different insulating and dielectric applications. However, in outdoor applications, environmental stresses cause structural and surface degradations that diminish its insulating properties. This effect of degradation can be reduced with the addition of a suitable filler to the polymer chains. For the investigation of structural changes and hydrophobicity four different systems were fabricated, including neat silicone rubber, a micro composite (with 15% micro-silica filler), and nanocomposites (with 2.5% and 5% nanosilica filler) by subjecting them to various hydrothermal conditions. In general, remarkable results were obtained by the addition of fillers. However, nanocomposites showed the best resistance against the applied stresses. In comparison to neat silicone rubber, the stability of the structure and hydrophobic behavior was better for micro-silica, which was further enhanced in the case of nanocomposites. The inclusion of 5% nanosilica showed the best results before and after applying aging conditions.


Catalysts ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 278
Author(s):  
Katharina Herkendell

Bioelectrochemical systems (BES) employ enzymes, subcellular structures or whole electroactive microorganisms as biocatalysts for energy conversion purposes, such as the electrosynthesis of value-added chemicals and power generation in biofuel cells. From a bioelectrode engineering viewpoint, customizable nanostructured carbonaceous matrices have recently received considerable scientific attention as promising electrode supports due to their unique properties attractive to bioelectronics devices. This review demonstrates the latest advances in the application of nano- and micro-structured carbon electrode assemblies in BES. Specifically, in view of the gradual increase in the commercial applicability of these systems, we aim to address the stability and scalability of different BES designs and to highlight their potential roles in a circular bioeconomy.


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