scholarly journals Impact of Economic Sanctions on the Volume and Structure of Russia's Foreign Trade Turnover

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 3904-3919
Author(s):  
Natalya N. Shchebarova ◽  
Nadezhda L. Tropnikova ◽  
Andrey R. Gafurov ◽  
Mariia A. Utkova ◽  
Anna Yu. Fofanova ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Policy Design ◽  
Import Substitution ◽  
Economic Sanctions ◽  
Adaptation Measures ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Trade Turnover ◽  
Expert Assessments ◽  
Foreign Trade Turnover ◽  
The Impact

The goal is to present a comparative analysis of statistical data on the indicators of the foreign trade turnover of the Russian Federation under the conditions of economic sanctions and anti-sanctions, as well as the results of expert assessments on the current import substitution policy. Design/methodology/approach – methods for comparing and grouping indicators that allow comprehensively and dynamically considering the state of Russia's foreign trade turnover, taking into account changes in the country and commodity aspects in the volume of exports and imports in the context of economic sanctions and a counter food embargo. Conclusions – the paper proves that the decline rate in foreign trade turnover in relation to the pre-sanctioned 2013 has slowed down, which indicates the relative adaptation of the Russian economy and the effectiveness of the anti-crisis measures taken. The main recommendations have been formulated that require the concentration of protective adaptation measures on the instruments of selective protectionism with free trade measures. Originality/significance – the paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the impact of economic sanctions on the volume and structure of Russia's foreign trade in the context of growing pressure on foreign trade in a gradual increase in sanctions, and this trend should be timely detected.

scholarly journals Estimating Prospects of Russian Foreign Trade under Crisis: Sanctions and Countersanctions

2019 ◽  
Vol 71 ◽  
pp. 02006
Author(s):  
D.V. Manushin
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
International Organizations ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Trade Turnover ◽  
Negative Role ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Foreign Trade Turnover ◽  
The Impact

Based on econometric modeling, we proved the good relationship between foreign trade turnover and trade balance with the GDP of the Russian Federation. We identified the varying opinions of the Russian and foreign scholars on the impact of sanctions and countersanctions on the Russian economy. Based on the data on the absolute values of the trade turnover, export, import, and trade balance of Russia from 2010 to 2018, we revealed the positive dynamics of these indices, despite their negative values in 2014-2016. This allowed making a conclusion that the overall results of imposing sanctions and countersanctions for the Russian trade turnover and trade balance is rather positive than negative. This refutes the statements of western politicians, representatives of their subordinate international organizations, and some Russian and foreign scholars about the definitely negative role of sanctions and countersanctions. As a result, it is proposed to review the prospects of imposing additional countersanctions on western countries, which would allow developing the non-food sectors of the Russian economy.

scholarly journals FEATURES OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOREIGN TRADE ACTIVITIES OF THE KURSK REGION

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (34) ◽  
Author(s):  
M.N NADZHAFOVA ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Import Substitution ◽  
World Market ◽  
The Past ◽  
Trade Turnover ◽  
Foreign Trade Activity ◽  
Cis Countries ◽  
Foreign Trade Turnover ◽  
Kursk Region

The development of Russia's foreign trade is facing a number of difficulties caused primarily by the instability of the external environment of the world market and its politicization, which negatively affects all participants in relations. Political tensions in 2014 and subsequent counter-restrictive measures had a negative impact on the development of export-import relations in the regions of the country, the Kursk region was no exception. The region has a significant foreign trade potential in accordance with its industrial and agricultural specialization, in connection with which the study of the features of the current development of foreign trade activity is an urgent area of analysis. In the course of the study, the features of the development of foreign trade activities of the Kursk region in 2014-2019 are considered, the prevailing trends and their causes are identified. It has been established that over the past 6 years, the foreign trade turnover of the Kursk region has varied in waves: the period of decline is due to a change in the political situation in 2014, which led to a significant decline in foreign trade activity in the period 2015-2016. However, by 2017, the pace began to recover, and in 2019 it exceeded the pre-crisis level. Since 2016, the region has a stable positive trade balance, which indicates a more active development of exports than imports and emphasizes the export orientation, as well as the implementation of the import substitution strategy. An assessment in the context of the main foreign trade directions showed that over the past 6 years there has been a structural shift: if earlier the main importing countries were the CIS countries, and the exporters were non-CIS countries, today the overwhelming share of foreign trade operations falls on the far abroad.

Crisis Management under Economic Sanctions: Mission Impossible?

2015 ◽  
pp. 20-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Afontsev
Keyword(s):  
Crisis Management ◽  
Import Substitution ◽  
Normal Growth ◽  
Economic Sanctions ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Technology Markets ◽  
Economic Relations ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Wide Scale ◽  
Trade Partners

Economic sanctions against Russia form a completely new context for public and private efforts to cope with crisis trends in Russian economy. With limited access to global goods, capital, and technology markets, it can at best minimize costs of the crisis but not come back to the normal growth path. Strategies to find new trade partners and sources of capital outside the group of countries that have introduced economic sanctions against Russia are welcome, but their potential is rather limited. Under these circumstances, crisis management should be centered neither on the alleged ‘Russia’s pivot to the East’ nor on the wide-scale import substitution but on normalization of economic relations with key country partners, regaining currency stability, and structural reforms aimed at moving national economy away from commodity specialization.

scholarly journals Econometric models for estimating current and forecast values of the level of human capital development in the Russian economy

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 52-67
Author(s):  
Nina Baranova ◽  
Sergey Larin ◽  
Evgeny Khrustalyov
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Import Substitution ◽  
Econometric Models ◽  
Practical Significance ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
The Impact

Studies of factors of sustainable economic development in modern conditions are highly relevant for Russia due to the constant increase and tightening of sanctions restrictions. They have a negative impact on the introduction of innovative developments and economic growth, and reduce the competitiveness of Russian enterprises and their products on world markets. Human capital can become one of the key factors for countering sanctions restrictions, improving the efficiency of economic development and gaining additional competitive advantages for domestic enterprises and the economy as a whole. Assessing the impact of human capital on the sustainable development of the economy is difficult, since it is one of the specific forms of capital. When making appropriate measurements, economic scientists rely on a number of developed theoretical methods and practical tools that support them, which allow us to obtain fairly accurate values of the human capital development index (HDI) based on statistical data. First of all, this is the current UN methodology for calculating the HDI indicator, as well as modern software systems OriginPro-8.6 and Eviews-10.0, which have sufficiently advanced functionality for performing calculations. Russia today has all the necessary prerequisites and opportunities for progressive social and economic development. However, the formation of econometric models will help to timely determine the current and forecast values of the level of human capital development for individual enterprises, industries, and the country’s economy as a whole. This paper shows the practical application of the econometric tools of all the above approaches to obtain the calculated values of the HDI indicator for different time periods and different scenarios for the development of the Russian economy. The results obtained confirmed the high practical significance of the tools used and the acceptable accuracy of the calculations. However, the current and forecast values of the level of human capital development alone will not be able to ensure the effective development of the Russian economy. On the contrary, the effective use of human capital in the implementation of import substitution strategies and national projects will allow our country to become one of the world’s leading economic development countries.

Integration of Manufacturing, Science and Education as a Basis for the Re-Industrialization of Russia

2015 ◽  
pp. 94-104
Author(s):  
S. Bodrunov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
Import Substitution ◽  
Domestic Industry ◽  
Technological Basis ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
World Economic ◽  
Science And Education ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Manufacturing Science

The article investigates the problems that Russian industry has encountered during the period of economic reforms. The author explores the reasons for the competitiveness decrease and contradictions that hinder the modernization of the domestic industry. Based on the analysis the principal concept is posed of the need in the implementation of the strategy of re-industrialization in Russia on a new technological basis. The basic directions of re-industrialization, the mechanisms of its implementation, as well as the impact on import substitution are considered. Substantial attention is paid to the risks inherent in a re-industrialization of Russia and the ways to overcome them. In recent years, geo-political and geo-economic challenges to the Russian economy and society greatly exacerbated the contradictions that emerged in the previous decades of economic evolution. During a long period of time the country tried to implement an economic policy intended, in principle, at achieving the strategic goal of creating a modern socially-oriented market economy on the base of modernization. However, the practical tools for implementation of this course – first of all, the ideology of “market fundamentalism” combined with the remaining powerful black market and “hand steering” by the government – caused stagnation and further de-industrialization of the country with inevitably negative implications for the manufacturing, science, education, human capital. Most recently, the Russian economy faced additional problems, namely, the Western sanctions, world economic slump and decline in world oil prices. That is why significant changes in the objectives and tools of economic policy are so urgent.

scholarly journals International Sanctions against Russia: Implicit Benefits

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 82-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. A. Ekimova
Keyword(s):  
Import Substitution ◽  
Industrial Complex ◽  
Technological Breakthrough ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Trade Turnover ◽  
Noticeable Improvement ◽  
International Sanctions ◽  
Structure Of Trade ◽  
Further Development

In this article, the analysis of the influence of international sanctions on the Russian economy is provided to identify and evaluate their positive effects. The author established some economic areas, where the noticeable improvement of the situation has happened and where exists the creative basis of domestic production. Further, the author analysed her findings on the base of some statistical data and some stylized examples. The opportunities of Russia to diversify trade markets, increase of foreign trade cooperation with the new partners. The author also showed improvement of the country’s food security on the example of changes in the geographical and commodity structure of trade turnover. There is an analysis of the positive trends in import substitution in such sectors as agriculture, military-industrial complex, ITindustry. Furthermore, some examples are given to demonstrate the capabilities of Russia in making the technological breakthrough that is necessary for the further development of the country. In conclusion, the author summarised the positive aspects of the influence of the sanctions and the inference about the need to turn towards the internal potential of the country, towards the search for the hidden reserves and opportunities.

scholarly journals Foreign Trade in Goods and Services: Comparing the Data Sources

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 80-87
Author(s):  
A. A. Gnidchenko
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
International Comparisons ◽  
Primary Sources ◽  
Sources Of Information ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Trade Turnover ◽  
User Tasks ◽  
High Quality Result ◽  
Foreign Trade Turnover ◽  
Combine Information

The paper focuses on the primary sources of information on Russia’s foreign trade. The objective of the study is to describe the main sources of data on foreign trade in goods and services, and compare them according to such criteria as time horizon, specification by types of goods and services, the breakdown of data by country and region, and the data format.The methodology tools rely on the possibility of applying databases for various user tasks (such as operative analysis, international comparisons, and studying the structure of foreign trade by types of goods and services and by partner countries).The author shows that none of the databases meets all the criteria. To obtain a high-quality result, it is necessary to combine information from different sources. The paper demonstrates the problems of the incompleteness of the monthly data in the UN Comtrade database and uncertainty with the classifier at the junction of 2016-2017 in the Federal Customs Service TSVT database. The author reveals the data gaps in the UN Comtrade database for Russia for some commodity groups. The article presents a comparison of Bank of Russia, OECD, WTO, and UN publications.The conclusions are given in the form of recommendations on the use of the databases depending on the users’ requirements according to the speed of data publication, availability of data for international comparisons, and the need to reflect the structure of Russia’s foreign trade by type of goods and services.The analysis reveals individual structural components of foreign trade turnover and preferences in the use of information bases. For trade in goods, the author recommends a simultaneous usage of the Federal Customs Service TSVT database and the UN Comtrade database; for trade in services the use of the Bank of Russia, OECD or WTO databases (depending on the user’s task).

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