scholarly journals The Effect of Investment, Exports, and Interest Rates on the Gross Domestic Product of the Republic Of Yemen: An Econometric Analysis

Author(s):  
Mohammed Y. AL-Rafik

Purpose: The study aims to examine the effect of investment, exports, and interest rates on the gross domestic product of the Republic of Yemen. Approach/Methodology/Design: This study is based on secondary data. Data on the gross domestic product, interest rate, gross capital formation were obtained and analyzed using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique, Wald test, Serial Correlation LM Test. The data were presented the Findings: The results through the use of the (E-VIEWS) program showed that there is a direct statistically significant relationship at a level of 5% between investment and gross domestic product. This means that if investment increases by 1%, it will lead to an increase in GDP by 28.63%. The result also showed that the dummy variable relationship to the GDP is direct and statistically significant. The level of significance is 5%, that is, by increasing the dummy variable by 1%, it leads to an increase in GDP by 25.13%. As long as the interest rate was on an inverse relationship and statistically significant at a significant level (10%), this means that an increase in interest rates by 1% would lead to a decrease in GDP rates by 19.54%. In addition, there is a positive relationship between exports and GDP and a statistical significance at level 5%. This means that an increase in exports by 1% leads to an increase in GDP by 69.76%. Practical Implications: The investment could be double more than what the results showed in the case of political and economic stability. Improving legislation is also a significant aspect. There is an urgent need to focus on investment in infrastructure. In addition, increasing exports improve the gross domestic product. Based on the results, it is recommended to real invest instead of placing capital in banks as increasing interest rates lead to lower gross domestic output. Originality/value: The analysis indicates that there is a direct statistical and significant relationship between total investment and gross domestic product at a significant level of 5%, as whenever the investment increased by 1%, this led to an increase in the gross domestic product by about 28.63%.

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 226-234
Author(s):  
Annisa Anggreini Siswanto ◽  
Ahmad Albar Tanjung ◽  
Irsad Lubis

This study aims to analyze variable control of macroeconomic stability based on monetary policy transmission through interest rate channels in Indonesia, China, India (ICI). Variables used in the interest rate are rill interest rates, consumption, investment, gross domestic product, and inflation. This study used secondary data from 2000 to 2019. The results of the PVECM analysis through the interest rate channel show that the control of economic stability of the ICI country is carried out by investment variables and gross domestic product in the short term, while in the long run it is carried out by consumption, investment and gross domestic product. The results of the IRF analysis are the response stability of all variables is formed in the medium and long term periods. The results of the FEVD analysis show that there are variables that have the greatest contribution in the variable itself either in the short, medium, long term. The results of the interaction analysis of each variable transmission of monetary policy through interest rates can maintain and control the economic stability of the ICI country. Keywords: Interest Rate Channel, Interest Rate, Consumption, Investment, Gross Domestic Product, Inflation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-22
Author(s):  
Akhris Fuadatis Sholikha

The purpose of this study is to examine the influence of interest rates, the level of profit sharing, liquidity, inflation, the size of the company, and the growth of gross domestic product simultaneously and partially on mudaraba deposits at Islamic Commercial Banking in Indonesia. This study conduct quantitative research with hypothesis testing on secondary data in term of time series on the quartely financial statements starting from the first quarter of 2011 to fourth quarter of 2014. The reserach sample is six Islamic Commercial Banking in Indonesia. The data analysis technique in this study are descriptive analysis, classical assumption test, multiple regression analysis, hypothesis test uses F test, and t test. The result showed that variable of interest rates, the level of profit sharing, liquidity, inflation, the size of the company, and the growth of gross domestic product simultaneously significant influence on mudaraba deposits at Islamic Commercial Banking in Indonesia. while partially variable of the level of profit sharing, and the size of the company positivelly significant influence on mudaraba deposits at Islamic Commercial Banking in Indonesia, but interest rates, liquidity, inflation, and the growth of gross domestic product does not  significant influence on mudaraba deposits at Islamic Commercial Banking in Indonesia.


Author(s):  
Kalu, Uko Kalu ◽  
Anyanwaokoro Mike

This study sought to examine the impact of interest rate on the Nigeria’s economy during the pre and post Regulation periods (1986 – 2013). It also investigated the joint influence of Inflation, Investment, Exchange Rate, Money Supply and Monetary Policy Rate individually on the Gross domestic Product which was used a proxy for output as well as the causality between all the factors combined and gross domestic product. Ex post facto method was adopted In order to test the hypothesis, the researcher adopted Augmented Dickey Fuller, ARDL, Bound Test and Error Correction Model. The result showed that no significant relationship exists between Gross Domestic Product and Investment, Exchange Rate and Money Supply while still affirming that a significant relationship exist between Gross Domestic Product, Monetary Policy Rate and inflation. The eye of the authorities should be on Inflation at all times, Prudent management of our Oil earnings, adequate savings (Foreign Reserve) and investments as these will help stabilize the fluctuating exchange rate  with its consequent influence on interest rate and economic growth.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 101-112
Author(s):  
Gita Wulandari ◽  
Siti Hodijah ◽  
Yohanes Vyn Amzar

This study aims: 1) to analyze the development of wheat import volume, gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, investment credit interest rates, and population of Indonesian wheat imports. 2) to analyze the effect of gross domestic product, inflation, investment interest rates on Indonesian wheat imports. This study is a descriptive study and the types of data used in this study are secondary data in the form of gross domestic product, inflation, investment credit interest rates, and population for the last 18 years (2000-2017). The data obtained were processed using SPSS 20 with multiple linear regression models using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results of this study indicate that the gross domestic product (GDP) obtained a significant level of 0.03, inflation obtained a significant level of 0.598, and the total population obtained a significant level of 0.522. The regression results show that partially only the variable gross domestic product (GDP) and interest rates are Investment credit interest has a significant effect on imports of Indonesian wheat, while inflation and population have no significant effect on imports of Indonesian wheat. Keywords: GDP, Inflation, Interest rates, Population


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayodeji Emmanuel Abiodun ◽  
Adebayo Tunbosun Ogundipe ◽  
Omomen Musa-Agboneni

Abstract The study was carried out to investigate the effects of macroeconomic and banking sector-specific variables on domestic currency deposits in Nigeria within a temporal scope 2000-2018. On the theoretical threshold of Ayodeji-Ajala bank-intermediation (economic value) theorem, the study proxied the dependent variable, domestic currency deposit, by total domestic currency deposit of banks, and the independent variable, deposit determinants, by three macroeconomic variables (interest rate, gross domestic product, inflation) and two banking sector-specific variables (private sector credit and bank size). Secondary data were sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin of various editions, and were estimated using Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach. It was found that, while interest rates exhibited insignificant negative effects on domestic currency deposits in Nigeria, inflation rate exerted significant negative effect on it, and gross domestic product exerted significant positive effect on it. It was, also, found that, private sector credit exerted a significant positive effect on domestic currency deposit while bank size exhibited insignificant positive effect on it. It was, further, found that, a significant long-run relationship existed between deposit determinants and domestic currency deposits in Nigeria. It was, therefore, concluded that macroeconomic and banking sector-specific variables exert significant long-term influence on domestic currency deposits in Nigeria. It was, therefore, recommended that, government should effectively adopt the instruments of monetary and fiscal policies for enhancing the effects of interest rates and curbing the effects of inflation on the Nigerian economy. Also, banks are encouraged to invest more on their assets, as this would help attract more customers of various types while they should increase private sector credits, and channel the same to the productive sector of the economy so that economic growth can be enhanced.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. 2286
Author(s):  
Rosa Kartika Al-Jihadi ◽  
Noven Suprayogi

ABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh pertumbuhan suku bunga, inflasi, Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB), biaya promosi dan tingkat bagi hasil terhadap pertumbuhan dana pihak ketiga (DPK) secara parsial maupun simultan. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan teknik analisis regresi data panel dengan bantuan program Eviews 6. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial, variabel pertumbuhan suku bunga, inflasi dan PDB berpengaruh signifikan negatif terhadap pertumbuhan DPK. Variabel tingkat bagi hasil berpengaruh signifikan positif terhadap pertumbuhan DPK, sedangkan variabel biaya promosi tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan DPK. Secara  simultan, hasil menunjukkan bahwa variabel pertumbuhan suku bunga, inflasi, PDB, biaya promosi dan tingkat bagi hasil berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan DPK bank umum syariah di Indonesia periode 2014-2018. Kata Kunci: Dana Pihak Ketiga, Suku Bunga, Inflasi, Produk Domestik Bruto, Biaya Promosi, Tingkat Bagi Hasil, Pertumbuhan. ABSTRACTThis study aims to determine the effect of growth interest rate, inflation, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), promotional costs and profit-sharing rates on the growth of third party funds (TPF) partially and simultaneously. This study uses a quantitative approach with panel data regression techniques with Eviews 6. The result shows that partially the variables of interest rate growth, inflation growth and GDP growth have a significant negative effect on TPF growth. The profit-sharing rate variable has a significant positive effect on TPF growth, while the promotional cost variable has no significant effect on TPF growth. Simultaneously, the results show that the growth interest rate, inflation, GDP, promotion costs and profit-sharing rates variable significantly influence the growth of TPF sharia commercial banks in Indonesia from 2014 to 2018.Keywords: Third Party Funds, Interest Rates, Inflation, Gross Domestic Product, Promotion Costs, Profit Sharing Rates, Growth.


1970 ◽  
Vol 4 (01) ◽  
pp. 63-72
Author(s):  
Ressy Thusda Permala ◽  
Arles P. Ompusunggu

ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of return on investment, earnings per share, interest rate, exchange rate, inflation and gross domestic product on stock returns in Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sample used were 9 issuers registered in the Jakarta Islamic Index during the period of 2008- 2014. The analysis was done by multiple regression test. The results showed that the exchange rate and the gross domestic product had a significant effect on stock return, while return on investment, earnings per share, interest rate, and inflation had no effect. Based on the results of research macroeconomic factors determining stock returns on samples tested are the exchange rate and gross domestic product, but interest rates and inflation have no effect. The same is true in earnings per share and operational performance also does not affect stock returns. ABSTRAK Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh return on investment, earning per share, suku bunga, kurs, inflasi dan product domestic bruto terhadap return saham di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Sampel yang digunakan sebanyak 9 emiten yang terdaftar dalam Jakarta Islamic Index selama periode 2008-2014. Analisis dilakukan dengan uji regresi berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa kurs dan product domestic bruto berpengaruh signifikan terhadap return saham, sedangkan return on investment, earning per share, suku bunga, dan inflasi tidak berpengaruh. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian faktor ekonomi makro penentu return saham pada sampel yang diuji adalah kurs dan product domestic bruto, tetapi suku bunga dan inflasi tidak berpengaruh. Hal yang sama terbukti pada laba per saham dan kinerja operasional juga tidak mempengaruhi return saham. JEL Classification: E44, L16


2017 ◽  
pp. 34-51
Author(s):  
Binsar Sihombing

, His research is conducted to identify and analyze the determinant factors of bank loan in North Sumatera Province. To identify and analyze the determinant factors in bank loan is using the panel model. This model is using to estimate the elasticity of loan interest rate, deposit interest rate, intensity of competition or the numbers of bank office, the nominal Regional Gross Domestic Product [RGDP] and the Regional Gross Domestic Product [RGDP] by sectors towards bank loan. The panel model is choosing the fixed effect model [FEM] with RGDP as cross section specific coefficients. This model using the secondary data that published by BPS and Bank Indonesia Medan


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wily Julitawaty

The purpose of this study was to determine the persistence of inflation in major North Sumatera Province in 2007 until 2012 and value contributed Output Growth  (GDP) of North Sumatera, Exchange Rate, Interest Rate and Error Correction Term about Inflation in North Sumatera. Data is used secondary data from general Consumer Price Index  (CPI) from North Sumatera Province include Medan, Pematangsiantar, Sibolga and Padangsidempuan monthly of January 2007 until December 2012. And secondary data Consumer Price Index  (CPI) of North Sumatera Province, Gross Domestic Product of  Province Sumatera Utara, Exchange Rate and Interest Rate of BI Rate yearly of 1999 until 2012. Model is used model econometric with Autoregressive method and Error Correction Model. Result of this research with estimation of  VAR model concludes that degree of persistence of 4 town from North Sumatera Province is low. Result of estimation of model ECM concludes that Interest Rate significantly affect to inflation rate, while Gross Domestic Product of  North Sumatera Province and Exchange Rate not significantly affect to inflation rate. While ECT becomes significant correction to variable inflation rate. Where the form of error correction in the ECM suggests a long-term relationship between the variables inflation, GDP variable, the variable exchange rate and variable interest rate is comparable.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 409
Author(s):  
Poeja Maura ◽  
Yeniwati Yeniwati

This study aims to determine the effect of reference interest rates on inflation and bad credit working capital and also see how the effect of inflation on bad credit working capital in Indonesia. The type of research used is descriptive and associative research, namely research that describes the research variable and finds the presence or absence of influence between the independent variable and the dependent variable. The type of data in this study are quantitative secondary data and time series from 2016M6-2018M11 with documentation data collection techniques sourced from Bank Indonesia (BI), Financial Services Authority (OJK), Central Statistics Agency (BPS), and other library studies . Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression models with steps: (1) classical assumptions, (2) hypothesis testing, and (3) test coefficient of determination (R2). The results of this study indicate that: (1) The benchmark interest rate has a negative and significant relationship to inflation. (2) The reference interest rate has a positive and significant relationship to non-performing loans of working capital in Indonesia. (3) Inflation has a non-significant and negative relationship to non-performing loans of working capital in Indonesia. This study aims to determine the effect of reference interest rates on inflation and bad credit working capital and also see how the effect of inflation on bad credit working capital in Indonesia. The type of research used is descriptive and associative research, namely research that describes the research variable and finds the presence or absence of influence between the independent variable and the dependent variable. The type of data in this study are quantitative secondary data and time series from 2016M6-2018M11 with documentation data collection techniques sourced from Bank Indonesia (BI), Financial Services Authority (OJK), Central Statistics Agency (BPS), and other library studies . Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression models with steps: (1) classical assumptions, (2) hypothesis testing, and (3) test coefficient of determination (R2). The results of this study indicate that: (1) The benchmark interest rate has a negative and significant relationship to inflation. (2) The reference interest rate has a positive and significant relationship to non-performing loans of working capital in Indonesia. (3) Inflation has a non-significant and negative relationship to non-performing loans of working capital in Indonesia. <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="40" Name="Grid


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