scholarly journals A regional real-time forecast of marine boundary layers during VOCALS-Rex

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 18419-18466 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Wang ◽  
L. W. O'Neill ◽  
Q. Jiang ◽  
S. P. de Szoeke ◽  
X. Hong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Marine Boundary Layer ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Naval Research ◽  
Strong Wind ◽  
The West

Abstract. This paper presents an evaluation and validation of the Naval Research Laboratory's COAMPS real-time forecasts during the VOCALS-Rex over the area off the west coast of Chile/Peru in the Southeast Pacific during October and November 2008. The analyses focus on the marine boundary layer (MBL) structure. These forecasts are compared with lower troposphere soundings, surface measurements, and satellite observations. The predicted mean MBL cloud and surface wind spatial distributions are in good agreement with the satellite observations. The large-scale longitudinal variation of the MBL structure along 20° S is captured by the forecasts. That is, the MBL heights increase toward the open ocean, the moisture just above the inversion decreases, and the MBL structure becomes more decoupled offshore. The observed strong wind shear across the cloud-top inversion in coastal area at 20° S was correctly predicted by the model. Our results show that the sporadic cloud spatial and temporal distribution in the 15 km grid mesh is caused by grid-scale convection likely due to a lack of a shallow cumulus convection parameterization in the model. Both observations and model forecasts show wind speed maxima near the top of MBL along 20° S, which is consistent with the west-ward upslope of the MBL heights based on the thermal wind relationship. The forecasts produced well-defined diurnal variations in the spatially averaged MBL structure, although the overall signal is weaker than those derived from the in situ measurements and satellite data. The MBL heights are generally underpredicted in the nearshore area. The analysis of the sensitivity simulations with regard to grid resolution suggests that the under-prediction is likely associated with over-prediction of the mesoscale downward motion and cold advection along the coast.

scholarly journals A regional real-time forecast of marine boundary layers during VOCALS-REx

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 421-437 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Wang ◽  
L. W. O'Neill ◽  
Q. Jiang ◽  
S. P. de Szoeke ◽  
X. Hong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Marine Boundary Layer ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Naval Research ◽  
Strong Wind

Abstract. This paper presents an evaluation and validation of the Naval Research Laboratory's COAMPS® real-time forecasts during the VOCALS-REx over the area off the west coast of Chile/Peru in the Southeast Pacific during October and November 2008. The analyses focus on the marine boundary layer (MBL) structure. These forecasts are compared with lower troposphere soundings, in situ surface measurements, and satellite observations. The predicted mean MBL cloud and surface wind spatial distributions are in good agreement with the satellite observations. The large-scale longitudinal variation of the MBL structure along 20° S is captured by the forecasts. That is, the MBL height increases westward toward the open ocean, the moisture just above the inversion decreases, and the MBL structure becomes more decoupled offshore. The observed strong wind shear across the cloud-top inversion near 20° S was correctly predicted by the model. The model's cloud spatial and temporal distribution in the 15 km grid mesh is sporadic compared to satellite observations. Our results suggest that this is caused by grid-scale convection likely due to a lack of a shallow cumulus convection parameterization in the model. Both observations and model forecasts show wind speed maxima near the top of MBL along 20° S, which is consistent with the westward upslope of the MBL heights based on the thermal wind relationship. The forecasts produced well-defined diurnal variations in the spatially-averaged MBL structure, although the overall signal is weaker than those derived from the in situ measurements and satellite data. The MBL heights are generally underpredicted in the nearshore area. An analysis of the sensitivity of the MBL height to horizontal and vertical grid resolution suggests that the underprediction is likely associated with overprediction of the mesoscale downward motion and cold advection near the coast.

scholarly journals Impact of upper-level jet-generated inertia-gravity waves on surface wind and precipitation

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 15873-15909 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Zülicke ◽  
D. H. W. Peters
Keyword(s):  
Baltic Sea ◽  
Gravity Waves ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Synoptic Situation ◽  
Strong Wind ◽  
The Baltic Sea ◽  
The Baltic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Inertia Gravity Waves

Abstract. A meteorological case study for the impact of inertia-gravity waves on surface meteorology is presented. The large-scale environment from 17 to 19 December 1999 was dominated by a poleward breaking Rossby wave transporting subtropical air over the North Atlantic Ocean upward and north-eastward. The synoptic situation was characterized with an upper tropospheric jet streak passing Northern Europe. The unbalanced jet spontaneously radiated inertia-gravity waves from its exit region. Near-inertial waves appeared with a horizontal wavelength of about 200 km and an apparent period of about 12 h. These waves transported energy downwards and interacted with large-scale convection. This configuration is simulated with the nonhydrostatic Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model. Together with simplified runs without orography and moisture it is demonstrated that the imbalance of the jet (detected with the cross-stream ageostrophic wind) and the deep convection (quantified with the latent heat release) are forcing inertia-gravity waves. This interaction is especially pronounced when the upper tropospheric jet is located above a cold front at the surface and supports deep frontal convection. Weak indication was found for triggering post-frontal convection by inertia-gravity waves. The realism of model simulations was studied in an extended validation study for the Baltic Sea region. It included observations from radar (DWDPI, BALTRAD), satellite (GFZGPS), weather stations (DWDMI) and assimilated products (ELDAS, MESAN). The detected spatio-temporal patterns show wind pulsations and precipitation events at scales corresponding to those of inertia-gravity waves. In particular, the robust features of strong wind and enhanced precipitation near the front appeared with nearly the same amplitudes as in the model. In some datasets we found indication for periodic variations in the post-frontal region. These findings demonstrate the impact of upper tropospheric jet-generated inertia-gravity waves on the dynamics of the boundary layer. It also gives confidence to models, observations and assimilation products for covering such processes. In an application for the Gotland Basin in the Baltic Sea, the implications of such mesoscale events on air-sea interaction and energy and water budgets are discussed.

scholarly journals Higher Ocean Wind Speeds During Marine Cold Air Outbreaks

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik W. Kolstad
Keyword(s):  
Case Studies ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Numerical Weather Prediction Model ◽  
Strong Wind ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Cold Air ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Cold Air Outbreaks

Marine cold air outbreaks (MCAOs) are large-scale events in which cold air masses are advected over open ocean. It is well-known that these events are linked to the formation of polar lows and other mesoscale phenomena associated with high wind speeds, and that they therefore in some cases represent a hazard to maritime activities. However, it is still unknown whether MCAOs are generally conducive to higher wind speeds than normal. Here this is investigated by comparing ocean near-surface wind speeds during MCAOs in atmospheric reanalysis products with different horizontal grid spacings, along with two case studies using a convection-permitting numerical weather prediction model. The study regions are the Labrador Sea and the Greenland–Iceland–Norwegian (GIN) Seas, where MCAOs have been shown to be important for air–sea interaction and deep water formation. One of the main findings is that wind speeds during the strongest MCAO events are higher than normal and higher than wind speeds during less severe events. Limited evidence from the case studies suggests that reanalyses with grid spacings of more than 50 km underestimate winds driven by the large ocean–atmosphere energy fluxes during MCAOs. The peak times of MCAO usually occur when baroclinic waves pass over the regions. Therefore, the strong wind episodes during MCAOs generally last for just a few days. However, MCAOs can persist for 50 days or more.

scholarly journals Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Perturbations Associated with Intraseasonal Oscillations of Tropical Convection

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (13) ◽  
pp. 3056-3082 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean Philippe Duvel ◽  
Jérôme Vialard
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Arabian Sea ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Mode Analysis ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Northwest Pacific ◽  
The West ◽  
The Indian Ocean

Abstract Since the ISV of the convection is an intermittent phenomenon, the local mode analysis (LMA) technique is used to detect only the ensemble of intraseasonal events that are well organized at large scale. The LMA technique is further developed in this paper in order to perform multivariate analysis given patterns of SST and surface wind perturbations associated specifically with these intraseasonal events. During boreal winter, the basin-scale eastward propagation of the convective perturbation is present only over the Indian Ocean Basin. The intraseasonal SST response to convective perturbations is large and recurrent over thin mixed layer regions located north of Australia and in the Indian Ocean between 5° and 10°S. By contrast, there is little SST response in the western Pacific basin and no clear eastward propagation of the convective perturbation. During boreal summer, the SST response is large over regions with thin mixed layers located north of the Bay of Bengal, in the Arabian Sea, and in the China Sea. The northeastward propagation of the convective perturbation over the Bay of Bengal is associated with a standing oscillation of the SST and the surface wind between the equator and the northern part of the bay. In fact, many intraseasonal events mostly concern a single basin, suggesting that the interbasin organization is not a necessary condition for the existence of coupled intraseasonal perturbations of the convection. The perturbation of the surface wind tends to be larger to the west of the large-scale convective perturbation (like for a Gill-type dynamical response). For eastward propagating perturbations, the cooling due to the reinforcement of the wind (i.e., surface turbulent heat flux) thus generally lags the radiative cooling due to the reduction of the surface solar flux by the convective cloudiness. This large-scale Gill-type response of the surface wind also cools the surface to the west of the basin (northwest Arabian Sea and northwest Pacific Ocean), even if the convection is locally weak. An intriguing result is a frequently occurring small delay between the maximum surface wind and the minimum SST. Different explanations are invoked, like a rapid surface cooling due to the vanishing of an ocean warm layer (diurnal surface warming due to solar radiation in low wind conditions) as soon as the wind increases.

scholarly journals The representation of winds in the lower troposphere in ECMWF forecasts and reanalyses during the EUREC4A field campaign

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessandro Carlo Maria Savazzi ◽  
Louise Nuijens ◽  
Irina Sandu ◽  
Geet George ◽  
Peter Bechtold
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Meridional Wind ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Strong Wind ◽  
Field Campaign ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Convective Momentum Transport

Abstract. The characterization of systematic forecast errors in lower-tropospheric winds over the ocean is a primary need for reforming models. Winds are among the drivers of convection, thus an accurate representation of winds is essential for better convective parameterizations. We focus on the temporal variability and vertical distribution of lower-tropospheric wind biases in operational medium-range weather forecasts and ERA5 reanalyses produced with the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Thanks to several sensitivity experiments and an unprecedented wealth of measurements from the 2020 EUREC4A field campaign, we show that the wind bias varies greatly from day to day, resulting in RSME's up to 2.5 m s−1, with a mean wind speed bias up to −1 m s−1 near and above the trade-inversion in the forecasts and up to −0.5 m s−1 in reanalyses. The modeled zonal and meridional wind exhibit a too strong diurnal cycle, leading to a weak wind speed bias everywhere up to 5 km during daytime, turning into a too strong wind speed bias below 2 km at nighttime. The biases are fairly insensitive to the assimilation of sondes and likely related to remote convection and large scale pressure gradients. Convective momentum transport acts to distribute biases throughout the lowest 1.5 km, whereas at higher levels, other unresolved or dynamical tendencies play a role in setting the bias. Below 1 km, modelled friction due to unresolved physical processes appears too strong, but is (partially) compensated by dynamical tendencies, making this a challenging coupled problem.

scholarly journals Origin and Route of Severe Dust Storms in West Asia (with Horizontal Visibility Less Than 1000 Meters)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
zainab Mohammadi ◽  
hassan lashkari
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Middle Layer ◽  
Dust Storms ◽  
The West ◽  
Horizontal Visibility ◽  
Northwestern Saudi Arabia ◽  
The North ◽  
South Of Iraq ◽  
Annual Distribution

Abstract Storms are intensified atmospheric phenomena which are sometimes accompanied by heavy rainfall and sometimes by dust. Dust storms, especially storms with horizontal visibility of fewer than 1000 meters, have always been harmful and detrimental to human comfort and health. In recent decades, the worrisome phenomena of conflict, climate change, and droughts have increased the frequency of dust storms in West Asia. Identifying the source and route of dust storms is the first step in limiting the harm they inflict. To investigate this phenomenon, using the daily data of the Meteorological Organization of Iran, storms with horizontal visibility of less than 1000 meters in the southwestern region of Iran, as one of the destination areas of these storms, in a statistical period of 33 years (1987 to 2019) was extracted. First, the monthly, seasonal and annual distribution of dust storms in 13 synoptic stations in this area was investigated. Then, using the site https://www.ready.noaa.gov/HYSPLIT by backward method from the GDAS data system with a step of 0.5 degrees, the origin and path of the storms were identified. Finally, maps of each route were drawn in ArcGIS 10.6. The findings of this study revealed that the biggest number of dust storms occurred in the winter, in terms of temporal distribution (38% of storms). With 23% of storms, spring is in second position. In terms of monthly distribution, the month of January has the most storms, followed by February and December. Storms decrease in intensity as they move from the south to the north, and from the west to the east of the region. The central region of Iraq ranks first in terms of storm origin, accounting for 25% of all storms. If dust storms originating in western Iraq are added to this number, about 35% of storms in west Asia originate in western and central Iraq. Regarding the pattern of large-scale atmospheric circulation prevailing in the middle layer of the atmosphere in this region, most of these dust storms in the west-east direction, after passing through the center and south of Iraq, enter Iran. The study also shows that storms in Syria، Jordan or northwestern Saudi Arabia, are very thick. These storms cover the middle layer of the troposphere and then affect high stations such as Shahrekord and Yasuj with an altitude of more than 2000 meters.

scholarly journals Higher Ocean Surface Wind Speeds During Marine Cold Air Outbreaks

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik W. Kolstad
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Ocean Surface ◽  
Strong Wind ◽  
Cold Air ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Ocean Surface Wind ◽  
Cold Air Outbreaks

Marine cold air outbreaks (MCAOs) are large-scale phenomena in which cold air masses are advected over open ocean. It is well-known that these events are linked to the formation of polar lows and other mesoscale phenomena associated with high wind speeds, and that they therefore in some cases represent a hazard to maritime activities. However, it is still unknown whether MCAOs are generally conducive to higher wind speeds than normal. Here this is investigated by comparing the behaviour of ocean surface wind speeds during MCAOs in three atmospheric reanalysis products with different horizontal grid spacings, along with case studies using a convection-permitting numerical weather prediction model. The study regions are the Labrador Sea and the Greenland–Iceland–Norwegian (GIN) Seas, where MCAOs have been shown to be important for air–sea interaction and deep water formation. The main findings are: 1) Wind speeds during the most extreme MCAO events are stronger than normal and higher than wind speeds during less severe events; 2) The peak times of MCAO usually occur when baroclinic waves pass over the regions; and 3) Reanalyses with grid spacings of more than 50 km appear to underestimate winds driven by the large ocean–atmosphere energy fluxes during MCAOs. It is also shown that while the strong wind episodes during MCAOs generally last for just a few days, MCAOs can persist for up to 50 days. These findings demonstrate that it would be worthwhile to forecast MCAOs, and that it might be possible to do this beyond the standard weather forecasting range of up to 10 days.

scholarly journals Numerical Study of the Local Downslope Wind “Hirodo-Kaze” in Japan

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hironori Fudeyasu ◽  
Tsuneo Kuwagata ◽  
Yukitaka Ohashi ◽  
Shin-ichi Suzuki ◽  
Yasutomo Kiyohara ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Conditions ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Numerical Study ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Transitional Flow ◽  
Strong Wind ◽  
Mountain Waves ◽  
Kii Peninsula ◽  
Downslope Winds ◽  
Downslope Wind

Abstract The “Hirodo-kaze,” a local strong wind accompanying the downslope winds in Japan, is examined using a mesoscale numerical model. The model successfully reproduces the major features of the observed Hirodo-kaze that occurred in association with Typhoon Pabuk. During the Hirodo-kaze, the severe downslope winds in the transitional flow develop in the lower troposphere below the mean-state critical layer. The Hirodo-kaze is closely linked to the strong wind region accompanying the severe downslope winds. After the cessation of the Hirodo-kaze, distinct mountain waves dominate in the lower troposphere where the Scorer parameter l2 decreases with height. The region of strong wind retreats windward as the Hirodo-kaze ceases. Temporal changes in the characteristics of mountain waves in the lee of Mt. Nagi are primarily attributed to the changes in the large-scale environmental winds due to the movement of the intense cyclone. Environmental conditions favorable for the occurrence of the Hirodo-kaze include strong northerlies in the lower troposphere overlain by southerlies in the middle troposphere. The intense cyclone that moves over the sea southwest of the Kii peninsula creates favorable environmental conditions that support the occurrence of the Hirodo-kaze.

Composite Life Cycle of Maritime Tropical Mesoscale Convective Systems in Scatterometer and Microwave Satellite Observations

2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (1) ◽  
pp. 199-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Mapes ◽  
Ralph Milliff ◽  
Jan Morzel
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
The Common ◽  
Cloud Tops

Abstract This study examines scatterometer-observed surface wind divergence and vorticity, along with precipitable water (PW), across the life cycle of tropical maritime mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) as resolved in 0.5° data. Simple composites were constructed around first appearances of cold (<210 K) cloud tops in infrared (IR) data at 3-hourly resolution. Many thousands of such events from the tropical Indo-Pacific in 2000 were used. Composites of subpopulations were also constructed by subdividing the dataset according to IR event size and duration, as well as by prevailing values of PW and vorticity at a 5° scale. The composite MCS life cycle here spans about a day and covers a few hundred kilometers, with a remarkable sameness across subpopulations. Surface wind convergence and PW buildup lead cold cloud appearance by many hours. Afterward there are many hours of divergence, indicative of downdrafts. Contrary to motivating hypotheses, the strength of this divergence relative to convergence is scarcely different in humid and dry subpopulation composites. Normalized time series of composite vorticity show an evolution that seems consistent with vortex stretching by this convergence–divergence cycle, with peak vorticity near the end of the period of convergence (3 h prior to cold cloud appearance). In rotating conditions, the common 1-day MCS life cycle is superposed on large-scale mean vorticity and convergence, approximately in proportion, which appear to be well scale-separated (covering the whole of the 48-h and 5°–10° averages) and are as strong as or stronger than the MCS signature.

Methods for the Quantification of Salivary Cortisol and of a-amylase in Biosensors and Portable Devices

2018 ◽  
Vol 68 (12) ◽  
pp. 2857-2859
Author(s):  
Cristina Mihaela Ghiciuc ◽  
Andreea Silvana Szalontay ◽  
Luminita Radulescu ◽  
Sebastian Cozma ◽  
Catalina Elena Lupusoru ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Medical Practice ◽  
Salivary Cortisol ◽  
Clinical Studies ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Psychological Research ◽  
Portable Devices ◽  
Salivary Amylase ◽  
Specificity And Sensitivity

There is an increasing interest in the analysis of salivary biomarkers for medical practice. The objective of this article was to identify the specificity and sensitivity of quantification methods used in biosensors or portable devices for the determination of salivary cortisol and salivary a-amylase. There are no biosensors and portable devices for salivary amylase and cortisol that are used on a large scale in clinical studies. These devices would be useful in assessing more real-time psychological research in the future.

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