scholarly journals Development of forecast information for institutional decision-makers: landslides in India and cyclones in Mozambique

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirianna Budimir ◽  
Alison Sneddon ◽  
Issy Nelder ◽  
Sarah Brown ◽  
Amy Donovan ◽  
...  

Abstract. There remains a gap between the production of scientifically robust forecasts, and the translation of these forecasts into useful information such as daily "bulletins" for decision-makers in early warning systems. There is significant published literature on best practice to communicate risk information, but very little to guide and provide advice on the process of how these bulletins have been, or should be, developed. This paper reviews two case studies where bulletins were developed for national and district-level government agencies and humanitarian responders: daily reports in response to Cyclones Idai and Kenneth in Mozambique, and prototype landslide forecast bulletins in Nilgiris and Darjeeling Districts of India. Primary data was collected from producers and intermediaries of the bulletins via interview, and secondary data analysed on: iterative changes in the bulletin development; minutes from internal discussions; and feedback from users to extract learning on both the content and process of developing the bulletins. There were significant similarities in the type of content included in the bulletins, such as the layout, choice of words, and use of visualisation that was consistent with published best practices. Both case studies experienced challenges dealing with uncertainty, complexity, and whether to include advice. There were also similarities in the processes and approaches taken to develop the bulletins. Both case studies took an iterative approach, developed feedback mechanisms, benefitted from experienced multi-disciplinary teams, emphasised the need for strong inter-relationships, and the importance and value of preparedness and protocols. A major challenge was the difficulty of balancing science capabilities with user needs, which did not become significantly easier to deal with given more time availability. The findings indicate that whilst more research is needed into existing or best practice processes to develop content for forecast bulletins, there is an existing body of experiential and intuitive knowledge and learning that already exists but is not yet captured in an appropriate format that could be of significant interest and value to those developing forecast information. This paper goes some way to capturing some of the learning from translating scientific forecasts into useful information, in particular on both the content and the process of developing forecast bulletins for decision-making.

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (10) ◽  
pp. 5159-5173 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md Ruknul Ferdous ◽  
Anna Wesselink ◽  
Luigia Brandimarte ◽  
Kymo Slager ◽  
Margreet Zwarteveen ◽  
...  

Abstract. Socio-hydrology aims to understand the dynamics and co-evolution of coupled human–water systems, with research consisting of generic models as well as specific case studies. In this paper, we propose a concept to help bridge the gap between these two types of socio-hydrological studies: socio-hydrological spaces (SHSs). A socio-hydrological space is a geographical area in a landscape. Its particular combination of hydrological and social features gives rise to the emergence of distinct interactions and dynamics (patterns) between society and water. Socio-hydrological research on human–flood interactions has found two generic responses, “fight” or “adapt”. Distilling the patterns resulting from these responses in case studies provides a promising way to relate contextual specificities to the generic patterns described by conceptual models. Through the use of SHSs, different cases can be compared globally without aspiring to capturing them in a formal model. We illustrate the use of SHS for the Jamuna floodplain, Bangladesh. We use narratives and experiences of local experts and inhabitants to empirically describe and delimit SHS. We corroborated the resulting classification through the statistical analysis of primary data collected for the purpose (household surveys and focus group discussions) and secondary data (statistics, maps etc.). Our example of the use of SHSs shows that the concept draws attention to how historical patterns in the co-evolution of social behaviour, natural processes and technological interventions give rise to different landscapes, different styles of living and different ways of organising livelihoods. This provides a texture to the more generic patterns generated by socio-hydrological models, promising to make the resulting analysis more directly useful for decision makers. We propose that the usefulness of this concept in other floodplains, and for other socio-hydrological systems than floodplains, should be explored.


2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (2) ◽  
pp. 28-41
Author(s):  
Nina Baković

AbstractAn approach to sustainable tourism through clusters is considered an appropriate strategy in less-developed rural areas of tourist-oriented countries, such as Croatia. This paper clarifies the key challenges of the development of tourism clusters in the region of Gorska Hrvatska and provides new data for an approach to sustainable rural tourism development. Using available secondary data from governmental bodies, non-governmental organizations, protected areas of Gorska Hrvatska, and primary data of the Lika Destination Cluster, the paper explores the key challenges of developing a cluster of tourism and selective forms of tourism. Most tourism clusters in Croatia have remained in the first phase of development for years, even though this approach has failed to to achieve significant results. The key benefits of networking and branding in rural areas are identified and defined, but these potentials are still largely underutilized. The objective of this study is to provide practical recommendations to the Croatian tourism industry on how to learn from the suggested best practices and how to implement them effectively. For that purpose, the case of sustainable tourism located in the Gorska Hrvatska region, called the Lika Destination Cluster is analyzed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 9274
Author(s):  
Kieran Bennett ◽  
Mohammad Mayouf

Value management (VM) and its integration in the whole life cycle (WLC) have become huge concepts for construction projects to provide additional value of an asset for the end user or client. However, the role of VM and its integration as part of the WLC in a construction project remain reactive, and highly impacted by nature of the project, and this has become more challenging with the epidemic impact of COVID-19. This research aims to investigate the mechanisms that delivers value management as part of the “re-invent” strategy proposed by the Construction Leadership Council in the UK government to improve WLC for buildings. In addition to existing secondary data from the literature, primary data were attained using a focus group with six quantity surveyors from different cost consultancies in the UK to gather qualitative evidence using their experiences, perceptions, and key challenges they face when integrating VM. Findings revealed that value management is primarily being used as a cost-cutting tool, the majority of quantity surveyors lack knowledge of what it encompasses, hence the industry needs a more proactive strategy towards it. Analysis revealed that value management is primarily implemented as a cost-cutting solution, key stakeholders (e.g., facility managers) need to be integrated, and there is no standardised process to incorporate value management in projects. The study proposes a four-dimensional (governance and policies, sustainability, industry’s best practice, and innovation and technology) strategy to facilitate more holistic considerations of value management post COVID-19. Future work looks into evaluating the strategy proposed while acknowledging different procurement routes.


Author(s):  
Arfah Sahabudin ◽  
Rusdin Rusdin ◽  
M. Sapari Dwi Hadian

The existence of the potential for heritage tourism in center of Kota Serang is now almost eliminated and forgotten, whereas if it is managed optimally, many benefits can be generated. The purpose of the research is to reveal the potential of heritage tourism in center of Kota Serang to be developed as a tourist destination. The research method used is a qualitative method. Primary data collection through observation techniques and in-depth interviews. Secondary data through library research. Data analysis uses an interactive model, through three activities namely data reduction, data presentation, and drawing conclusions. The results of the study indicate that there is no clear strategic policy and the lack of efforts in achieving optimal utilization of potential inheritance for tourism development. The synergy of all stakeholders and decision makers is needed to run in line with the vision and mission of development. The proposed development model is community-based heritage tourism. Keywords: heritage tourism, urban-community-based tourism, urban tourism


2011 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 521-532 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stella Mills

Human watch-keeping is necessary to prevent incidents at sea such as groundings and collisions. For many years, electronic aids to navigation have been utilised in watch-keeping but, with electronic marine systems becoming more sophisticated, the part they play in preventing collisions and groundings should become increasingly important. However, this article uses secondary data from the Safety Digest for 2008 compiled by the Marine Accident Investigation Bureau of the United Kingdom; eight case studies are used to show that electronic marine systems, whether integrated or not, are still playing a part in poor watch-keeping resulting in collisions, near misses and groundings. Primary data from fishing skippers of British based vessels have been used to confirm the findings from the secondary data that poor watch-keeping is often the cause of not keeping a proper lookout and that the watch-keeper has a too heavy reliance on the electronic aids. Brief suggestions are made as to how the electronic aids may be adapted to overcome these problems and thus to support the watch-keeper.


2017 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 457-483
Author(s):  
Erick T. Byrd ◽  
Joyendu Bhadury ◽  
Samuel P. Troy

Purpose Highway signage programs are important to the success of winery tourism industry. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the regulatory environment US wineries operate under in regards to highway signage programs. The goal then is to compare wine tourism-related highway signage programs in the USA and identify best practices for the programs. Design/methodology/approach Twenty-six programs from 13 US states are included in this study. Research collected both primary data (through interviews with 30 officials and representatives) and secondary data (from websites, government publications) to identify the costs, regulations and rules of each program. Findings A review of these programs shows that while there are many common elements in these programs, all are managed differently, have different operational and facility requirements for participation and vary in cost. Practical implications Highway signage programs related to winery tourism are best administered by a single state-wide governmental agency or foundations/trusts. Second, highway signage program should link with a separate certification program for the wineries which guarantees a certain minimum amount of local content. Winery owners and officials interviewed also emphasized the need for synergy among neighboring wineries to facilitate winery tourism. Originality/value Limited research has been conducted about the regulatory environment of signage programs that are specific to the wine industry in the USA. This study begins to address this gap in the literature by presenting an overview and best practices of 26 wine tourism-related highway signage programs from 13 different states across the USA.


2015 ◽  
Vol 39 (4) ◽  
pp. 248-259 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Aljoufie ◽  
Alok Tiwari

In the planning of the urban green infrastructure it is important how the decision makers and residents value their living environment. While the coverage of Green Infrastructure in the case of Jeddah appears negligible, the paper attempts to find out its causal factor. We primarily consider (1) what are the challenges of resident's well-being in Jeddah which Green Infrastructure can solve. (2) What are the constraints; obstructing the sustainable expansion and development of green infrastructure in Jeddah and (3) what are the policy interventions required as well as crucial issues to be considered while planning of green infrastructure in Jeddah. Primary data through satellite imagery and secondary data from extensive literature search incorporating internal and external linkages on the problems; could generate further discussion on the way by which green infrastructure planning could be successfully loomed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 81-100
Author(s):  
Riko Priyatmo Ramudin

This study discusses about using archives in neighbourhood organization. Three sub-main issues discussed about public perception of archives, archive management and using archives for neighbourhood organizational activities. neighbourhood organization is a community customary institution under the sub-district or village. The act Repulic of Indonesia number 6 of 2014 concerning Villages states that the neighbourhood organization is in charge of assisting village governance and a partner in empowering village communities. This study uses a qualitative method because it is able to examine more deeply the subject matter and information. The data sources used are primary data and secondary data. The research focus was neighbourhood organization number 18/04, Legok Village, Legok District, Tangerang Regency. The results showed that the perception of the residents of RT 18/04 about archives was good, but it was not followed by the management of archives in the neighbourhood organization number 18/04 which was not optimal because of the lack of facilities and infrastructure, the capacity of human resources in managing archives and there is not standard of managing archives. The neighbourhood organization number 18/04 has archives of primary use value, it is administrative value, financial value , legal value and archives of secondary value. Using archives in the neighbourhood organization number 18/04 as a basis for decision making, accountability to the public, information on higher-level government policies, and straightening out hoax information.


2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 147-159
Author(s):  
Angela Winnie Kandandu ◽  
Edwin Beukes ◽  
Olumide Henrie Benedict

The aim of the underlying study to this paper is to evaluate the audit committees in the government ministries in Namibia; by assessing their composition, the function and regulations that govern committees. The study used a qualitative approach of inquiry. A purposive sampling method was used as the researcher selected ministries with audit committees. Thematic and content analysis was used in this study. Both primary and secondary and data were used. On primary data, interviews were conducted and recorded with a voice recorder. Secondary data was during the review of existing literature on the subject. The study found that from the 4 government ministries with audit committees, only one ministry consisted of independent members as well as an independent chairperson, while 3 ministries are chaired by members within their organisations. There was clear evidence of lack of accounting / financial /auditing competence among the committee members. This trend is contrary to the best practice which requires that the chairperson of the audit committees be independent of the ministry as well as the members of the audit committee. The finding indicates possibility of lack of capacity to carry out the functions of audit committees; weak internal control systems; chances of conflict of interest and complacency due to the lack of independence. There is avenue for further research as more ministries in Namibia are now establishing their audit committees, especially as the Namibian Code of Corporate Governance (the NamCode) gains more popularity among the public sector.


Author(s):  
Christine Atania ◽  
Parino Rahardjo ◽  
B.Irwan Wipranata

Apart from being a tourist attraction, museums also have a function as a place for us as a society to learn and get to know about history. So that the museum has an important role in society. Lack of museum management has made public interest in the museum lessened. People generally visit museums with the aim of being curious and wanting to get benefits. However, in reality the management of this museum cannot meet the needs of the community, and makes the museum unable to carry out its role as a public and social facility in providing services to the community. The purpose of this writing is to determine the performance of museum management, to determine the weaknesses of the museum, and to make a management strategy proposal for the Museum of Fine Arts and Ceramics to increase public interest. The author examines the existing literature in relation to management, promotion, and museums. The data used consisted of primary data (the existing condition of the museum, interviews, and questionnaires) and secondary data consisting of MSRK documentation, comparative museum documentation, and others. By using five analysis tools and five analysis methods. To find out how the management strategy can be applied, the writer uses analysis (location, physical condition of the museum, management performance, best practices, and perceptions and preferences). The results of the author's research are in the form of strategic proposals for the management and promotion of the Fine Arts and Ceramics Museum. Keywords:  Management; Museum of Fine Arts and Ceramics; PromotionAbstrakMuseum selain sebagai objek wisata juga memiliki fungsi sebagai tempat kita sebagai masyarakat belajar dan mengenal tentang sejarah. Sehingga museum memiliki peran penting dalam masyarakat. Kurangnya pengelolaan museum membuat ketertarikan masyarakat pada museum berkurang. Masyarakat pada umumnya berkunjung ke museum memiliki tujuan dari rasa keingintahuan dan ingin mendapatkan manfaat. Namun pada kenyataan pengelolaan museum ini tidak dapat memenuhi kebutuhan masyarakat, serta membuat museum tidak dapat melaksanakan peran sebagai fasilitas umum dan sosial dalam memberi pelayanan kepada masyarakat. Tujuan penulisan tersebut ialah mengetahui kinerja pengelolaan museum, mengetahui faktor kelemahan museum, dan membuat usulan strategi pengelolaan untuk Museum Seni Rupa dan Keramik guna meningkatkan minat masyarakat. Penulis mengkaji literatur yang ada berkolerasi dengan pengelolaan, promosi, dan museum. Data yang digunakan terdiri dari data primer (kondisi eksisting museum, wawancara, dan kuesioner) serta data sekunder yang terdiri dari dokumentasi MSRK, dokumentasi museum pembanding, dan lainnya. Dengan menggunakan lima alat analisis dan lima metode analisis. Untuk mengetahui bagaimana strategi pengelolaan dapat diterapkan penulis menggunakan analisis (lokasi, kondisi fisik museum, kinerja pengelolaan, best practices, serta persepsi dan preferensi). Hasil penelitian penulis yaitu berupa usulan strategi terhadap kegiatan pengelolaan dan promosi Museum Seni Rupa dan Keramik.


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