Recycling of moisture in Europe: contribution of evaporation to variability in very wet and dry years
Abstract. Evaporation is a key parameter in the regional atmospheric water cycle. Precipitation recycling is defined as the contribution of local evaporation in a region to the precipitation in the same region. In this work, we apply a dynamic precipitation recycling mode, which includes the moisture storage term, to calculate the warm season variability of the precipitation recycling over central Europe at a daily scale for 2003 (dry) and 2006 (wet). For the central part of Europe advection is the most important contributor to precipitation. In dry spells in both years 2003 and 2006, when moisture of advective origin diminishes, the local evaporation becomes an important contributor to precipitation (negative feedback). In two periods (June 2003 and July 2006) where there is enough moisture storage in the soil to continue the evaporation the recycling is enhanced. In August 2003 the evaporation is affecting the recycling due the lack of water availability caused by the dryness of the preceding spring and summer season. According to a multi variance analyses the evaporation in 2003 is the most important factor to explain the variance in the recycling ratio. In 2006, the precipitable water and the moisture fluxes are more dominant and the evaporation becomes less important, except for the dry period in July. Not only evaporation is important for recycling, but also a mechanism to trigger precipitation. In case studies we follow the path of an air column of days with one of the highest recycling. At the 2 days with enough moisture availability (28 May 2003 and 5 July 2006) we see long path length due to weak winds. Following the paths, the air is transported over land for a very long distance before it precipitates and has a lot of time to traverse the region and capture moisture of evaporative origin. However, we hypothesize that the precipitation falling at those days originates (partly) from oceanic sources, but the triggering of precipitation may itself be a result of enhanced instability induced by soils, which still have enough moisture storage. In this way, the evaporation is an important driver in the recycling ratio variability. For the case study of 10 August 2003, the atmosphere is too dry to generate precipitation with exception of the mountainous regions due orographical lifting. However, the impact of land-use change in future climate will have the most impact on the evaporation in dry spells dominated by persistent blocking systems.