scholarly journals Quantification of uncertainty in rapid estimation of earthquake fatalities based on scenario analysis

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoxue Zhang ◽  
Hanping Zhao ◽  
Fangping Wang ◽  
Zezheng Yan ◽  
Sida Cai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Emergency Response ◽  
Preliminary Analysis ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Earthquake Parameters ◽  
Rapid Estimation ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
The Core ◽  
Comparison Results ◽  
Emergency Scenarios ◽  
Earthquake Fatalities

Abstract. The rapid estimation of earthquake fatalities using earthquake parameters is the core basis for emergency response. However, there are numerous factors affecting earthquake fatalities, and it is impossible to obtain an accurate estimation result. The key to solve this problem is quantifying the uncertainty. In this paper, we proposed a new method to estimate earthquake fatalities and quantify the uncertainty based on basic earthquake emergency scenarios. The accuracy of the model is verified by earthquake that occurred during recent year. The preliminary analysis and comparison results show that the model is more effective and reasonable and can also provide a theoretical basis for post-earthquake emergency response.

THE PROFILE OF A LEADER AND HIS LEDERSHIP

2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 345-350
Author(s):  
Ali Hajro
Keyword(s):  
Leadership Skills ◽  
Real Power ◽  
Governmental Organization ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Core ◽  
Behavior Code ◽  
The People ◽  
Study Case ◽  
Personal Skills

The Current and future leaders live in a turbulent and chaotic environment, where the real power of acting derives from the recognition of the concept of change and looking for options. In this type of environment a lot of competence is necessary for the leaders to survive. The aim of this study case was to explore i.e. gain a clearer picture of the position of the leader, their characteristics, functions, levels, the core and the factors affecting the leader and their leadership. To see what type of leader the people want simply to draw conclusions about the characteristics, qualities and techniques of a leader and their leadership. So that in the end, to have empirical proof of the leader. The set goal in this study case is today’s leaders in everyday process, starting from the very beginning of their work, to serve as an example in developing inter-personal skills at the same time as treating people with dignity and respect. In other words, they have to possess leadership skills, characteristics and the necessary actions. This research aims at finding out the real attributes that is the profile of a leader and their leadership running an organization regardless if it is economic, political, and military or some other non-governmental organization. The values are more than a set of rules, they are not only behavior code, and they say what a leader should be every day in every action that they take. The values shade the leaders’ identity and the organization that they run.

Analysis of Advanced PWR Loading Schemes for Transuranic Incineration in Thorium

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin A. Lindley ◽  
N. Zara Zainuddin ◽  
Fausto Franceschini ◽  
Geoffrey T. Parks
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Coefficient ◽  
Preliminary Analysis ◽  
Detrimental Effect ◽  
Spatial Separation ◽  
Trade Off ◽  
The Core ◽  
Positive Reactivity ◽  
Fuel Pin ◽  
Control Rods

It is difficult to perform multiple recycle of transuranic (TRU) isotopes in PWRs as the moderator temperature coefficient (MTC) tends to become positive after a few recycles and the core may have positive reactivity when fully voided. Due to the favorable impact on the MTC and void coefficient fostered by use of thorium (Th), the possibility of performing Th-TRU multiple-recycle in reduced-moderation PWRs (RMPWRs) is under consideration. The simplest way to reduce the moderation in a PWR is to increase the fuel pin diameter. This configuration improves the trade-off between achievable burn-up and MTC, but is ultimately limited by thermal-hydraulic constraints. Heterogeneous recycle with the bred uranium (U3) and the TRU are arranged in separate pins was found to be neutronically preferable to a homogeneous configuration. Spatial separation also enables the U3 and TRU to be refueled on different batch schemes. These techniques allow satisfactory discharge burn-up while ensuring negative MTC and fully voided reactivity, with the pin diameter of a standard PWR increased from 9.5 mm to 11 mm. Reactivity control is a key challenge due to the reduced worth of neutron absorbers and their detrimental effect on the void coefficients, especially when diluted, as is the case for soluble boron. It seems necessary to control the core using control rods to keep the fully voided reactivity negative. A preliminary analysis indicates that this is feasible.

scholarly journals Exploring Factors Affecting the Emergency Specialists’ Decision-Making in Case of Emergencies in Patients

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbasali Ebrahimian ◽  
Seyed-Hossein Hashemi-Amrei ◽  
Mohammadreza Monesan
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Emergency Department ◽  
Qualitative Content Analysis ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Emergency Situations ◽  
The Core ◽  
Semistructured Interviews ◽  
Emergency Decision

Introduction. Appropriate decision-making is essential in emergency situations; however, little information is available on how emergency decision-makers decide on the emergency status of the patients shifted to the emergency department of the hospital. This study aimed at explaining the factors that influence the emergency specialists’ decision-making in case of emergency conditions in patients. Methods. This study was carried out with a qualitative content analysis approach. The participants were selected based on purposive sampling by the emergency specialists. The data were collected through semistructured interviews and were analyzed using the method proposed by Graneheim and Lundman. Results. The core theme of the study was “efforts to perceive the acute health threats of the patient.” This theme was derived from the main classes, including “the identification of the acute threats based on the patient’s condition” and “the identification of the acute threats based on peripheral conditions.” Conclusions. The conditions governing the decision-making process about patients in the emergency department differ from the conditions in other health-care departments at hospitals. Emergency specialists may have several approaches to decide about the patients’ emergency conditions. Therefore, notably, the emergency specialists’ working conditions and the others’ expectations from these specialists should be considered.

scholarly journals Exploring the Factors Affecting Greek People to Make Vacation in Greece: A preliminary Analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 ◽  
pp. 342-352 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lambros Tsourgiannis ◽  
Pavlos Delias ◽  
Persefoni Polychronidou ◽  
Anastasios Karasavvoglou ◽  
Stavros Valsamidis
Keyword(s):  
Preliminary Analysis ◽  
Factors Affecting

scholarly journals Contact Analysis of a Dry Friction Clutch System

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oday I. Abdullah ◽  
Josef Schlattmann
Keyword(s):  
Pressure Distribution ◽  
Contact Stiffness ◽  
Load Condition ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Clutch System ◽  
System Pressure ◽  
Friction Clutch ◽  
Contact Surfaces ◽  
Dry Friction Clutch

The numerical simulation of the friction clutch system (pressure plate, clutch disc, and flywheel) during the full engagement period (assuming no slipping between contact surfaces) is carried out using finite element method. Two types of load condition considered affect on the clutch elements during the full engagement period are the contact pressure of diaphragm spring and the centrifugal force. The study of the pressure distribution between the contact surfaces and the factors affecting it is one of the fundamentals in the process of designing the friction clutch to obtain accurate estimation of the temperature distribution during the slipping period and the contact stresses during the full engagement period. The investigation covers the effect of the contact stiffness factor FKN on the pressure distribution between contact surfaces, stresses, and penetration. The penalty and augmented Lagrange algorithms have been used to obtain the pressure distribution between contact surfaces. ANSYS13 software has been used to perform the numerical calculation in this paper.

scholarly journals Assessing the Safety Factors of Ship Berthing Operations

2014 ◽  
Vol 68 (3) ◽  
pp. 576-588 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen-Kai Kevin Hsu
Keyword(s):  
Emergency Response ◽  
Relevant Literature ◽  
Safety Index ◽  
Safety Factors ◽  
Mooring Lines ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Managerial Implications ◽  
Ship Berthing ◽  
Hierarchy Process

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the safety of ship berthing operations in port. Based on the features of ship's berthing operations and relevant literature, the Safety Factors (SFs) of ship berthing at docks are first investigated. A Safety Index (SI) with a Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) model is then proposed to assess those SFs from port marine pilots, by which port managers and ship carriers may make policies to improve ship berthing safety. To validate the model, berthing operations at Kaohsiung Port in Taiwan were empirically investigated. The results indicate the main safety factors affecting ship berthing at port docks are: working concentration, the condition of mooring lines, emergency response, port policy of improving business and berth length. Based on those results, the theoretical and managerial implications for ship berthing safety at dock are finally discussed.

scholarly journals Research on key influence factors of creativity development of applied undergraduates based on PCA

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiangmin Ren ◽  
Jingwei Yu
Keyword(s):  
Principal Component Analysis ◽  
Influence Factors ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Heilongjiang Province ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
The Core ◽  
Creativity Development ◽  
Teachers And Students ◽  
Core Characteristics

Abstract Creativity is one of the core characteristics of talent; for this reason, the creativity development of applied undergraduates should be one of the basic components of their education. This article gives an overview of the meaning of the creativity of applied undergraduates and makes a literature knowledge-mining and expert investigation on the factors affecting the creativity development. We obtained more than 100 influencing factors, filtered out the duplicative factors, and formed the remaining factors into a questionnaire. A survey was conducted among 1460 teachers and students of some applied undergraduates in Heilongjiang Province. By using principal component analysis (PCA) to analyse the questionnaire, the key factors that affect the creativity development of applied undergraduates are obtained, and the key factors are systematically analysed. According to the results of the analysis, the specific ways and methods of the creativity development of applied undergraduates are put forward.

Dynamic calculations of the core/shell structured Ising-type endohedral fullerenes: The effect of core and core/shell interaction

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (33) ◽  
pp. 1750307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ersin Kantar
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Properties ◽  
Magnetic Particles ◽  
Stochastic Dynamics ◽  
Mean Field Theory ◽  
Mean Field ◽  
Core Shell ◽  
Core Particle ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
The Core ◽  
First Order Phase

In this study, we examine by comparing the dynamic magnetic and hysteretic properties of Ising-type endohedral fullerene (EF) with various dopant magnetic particles confined within a spherical cage. The model of EF X@C[Formula: see text] with X = spin-1/2, spin-1 and spin-3/2 is proposed to study the effect of the nature of core particle on the magnetic properties. The results were obtained by mean-field theory as well as Glauber-type stochastic dynamics, and focused on the response of thermal and hysteretic behaviors of systems. The system exhibits second- and first-order phase transitions. In three different core cases, the system also exhibits type-II superconductivity behavior with a dynamic hysteresis curves of the core. All results display magnetic properties of the EF which strongly depend on the nature of core particle. Moreover, core particle and core/shell (C–S) interaction are proposed as the basic factors affecting the magnetic properties of EF system.

scholarly journals Stability of Engineered Micro or Nanobubbles for Biomedical Applications

Pharmaceutics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1089
Author(s):  
Beomjin Park ◽  
Semi Yoon ◽  
Yonghyun Choi ◽  
Jaehee Jang ◽  
Soomin Park ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Drug Delivery ◽  
Biomedical Applications ◽  
Ultrasonic Field ◽  
Nanometer Scale ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
The Core ◽  
Bubble Structure ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Relationship

A micro/nanobubble (MNB) refers to a bubble structure sized in a micrometer or nanometer scale, in which the core is separated from the external environment and is normally made of gas. Recently, it has been confirmed that MNBs can be widely used in angiography, drug delivery, and treatment. Thus, MNBs are attracting attention as they are capable of constructing a new contrast agent or drug delivery system. Additionally, in order to effectively use an MNB, the method of securing its stability is also being studied. This review highlights the factors affecting the stability of an MNB and the stability of the MNB within the ultrasonic field. It also discusses the relationship between the stability of the bubble and its applicability in vivo.

scholarly journals Comparison of satellite-based evapotranspiration estimates over the Tibetan Plateau

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (8) ◽  
pp. 3167-3182 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Peng ◽  
Alexander Loew ◽  
Xuelong Chen ◽  
Yaoming Ma ◽  
Zhongbo Su
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
North West ◽  
Comparison Results ◽  
Normalised Difference Vegetation Index

Abstract. The Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays a major role in regional and global climate. The understanding of latent heat (LE) flux can help to better describe the complex mechanisms and interactions between land and atmosphere. Despite its importance, accurate estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) over the TP remains challenging. Satellite observations allow for ET estimation at high temporal and spatial scales. The purpose of this paper is to provide a detailed cross-comparison of existing ET products over the TP. Six available ET products based on different approaches are included for comparison. Results show that all products capture the seasonal variability well with minimum ET in the winter and maximum ET in the summer. Regarding the spatial pattern, the High resOlution Land Atmosphere surface Parameters from Space (HOLAPS) ET demonstrator dataset is very similar to the LandFlux-EVAL dataset (a benchmark ET product from the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment), with decreasing ET from the south-east to north-west over the TP. Further comparison against the LandFlux-EVAL over different sub-regions that are decided by different intervals of normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI), precipitation, and elevation reveals that HOLAPS agrees best with LandFlux-EVAL having the highest correlation coefficient (R) and the lowest root mean square difference (RMSD). These results indicate the potential for the application of the HOLAPS demonstrator dataset in understanding the land–atmosphere–biosphere interactions over the TP. In order to provide more accurate ET over the TP, model calibration, high accuracy forcing dataset, appropriate in situ measurements as well as other hydrological data such as runoff measurements are still needed.

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