scholarly journals The Impact of the Revised Sunspot Record on Solar Irradiance Reconstructions

Solar Physics ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 291 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 2951-2965 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Kopp ◽  
N. Krivova ◽  
C. J. Wu ◽  
J. Lean
2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda C. Maycock ◽  
Katja Matthes ◽  
Susann Tegtmeier ◽  
Hauke Schmidt ◽  
Rémi Thiéblemont ◽  
...  

Abstract. The impact of changes in incoming solar irradiance on stratospheric ozone abundances should be included in climate model simulations to fully capture the atmospheric response to solar variability. This study presents the first systematic comparison of the solar-ozone response (SOR) during the 11 year solar cycle amongst different chemistry-climate models (CCMs) and ozone databases specified in climate models that do not include chemistry. We analyse the SOR in eight CCMs from the WCRP/SPARC Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative (CCMI-1) and compare these with three ozone databases: the Bodeker Scientific database, the SPARC/AC&C database for CMIP5, and the SPARC/CCMI database for CMIP6. The results reveal substantial differences in the representation of the SOR between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 ozone databases. The peak amplitude of theSOR in the upper stratosphere (1–5 hPa) decreases from 5 % to 2 % between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 databases. This difference is because the CMIP5 database was constructed from a regression model fit to satellite observations, whereas the CMIP6 database is constructed from CCM simulations, which use a spectral solar irradiance (SSI) dataset with relatively weak UV forcing. The SOR in the CMIP6 ozone database is therefore implicitly more similar to the SOR in the CCMI-1 models than to the CMIP5 ozone database, which shows a greater resemblance in amplitude and structure to the SOR in the Bodeker database. The latitudinal structure of the annual mean SOR in the CMIP6 ozone database and CCMI-1 models is considerably smoother than in the CMIP5 database, which shows strong gradients in the SOR across the midlatitudes owing to the paucity of observations at high latitudes. The SORs in the CMIP6 ozone database and in the CCMI-1 models show a strong seasonal dependence, including large meridional gradients at mid to high latitudes during winter; such seasonal variations in the SOR are not included in the CMIP5 ozone database. Sensitivity experiments with a global atmospheric model without chemistry (ECHAM6.3) are performed to assess the impact of changes in the representation of the SOR and SSI forcing between CMIP5 and CMIP6. The experiments show that the smaller amplitude of the SOR in the CMIP6 ozone database compared to CMIP5 causes a decrease in the modelled tropical stratospheric temperature response over the solar cycle of up to 0.6 K, or around 50 % of the total amplitude. The changes in the SOR explain most of the difference in the amplitude of the tropical stratospheric temperature response in the case with combined changes in SOR and SSI between CMIP5 and CMIP6. The results emphasise the importance of adequately representing the SOR in climate models to capture the impact of solar variability on the atmosphere. Since a number of limitations in the representation of the SOR in the CMIP5 ozone database have been identified, CMIP6 models without chemistry are encouraged to use the CMIP6 ozone database to capture the climate impacts of solar variability.


Author(s):  
Yuvraj Praveen Soni ◽  
Eugene Fernandez

Solar PV systems can be used for powering small microgrids in rural area of developing countries. Generally, a solar power microgrid consists of a PV array, an MPPT, a dc-dc converter and an inverter, particularly as the general loads are A.C in nature. In a PV system, reactive current, unbalancing in currents, and harmonics are generated due to the power electronics-based converters as well as nonlinear loads (computers induction motors etc). Thus, estimation of the harmonics levels measured by the Total Harmonic Distortion (THD) is an essential aspect of performance assessment of a solar powered microgrid. A major issue that needs to be examined is the impact of PV system control parameters on the THD. In this paper, we take up this assessment for a small PV based rural microgrid with varying levels of solar irradiance. A Simulink model has been developed for the study from which the THD at equilibrium conditions is estimated. This data is in turn used to design a generalized Linear Regression Model, which can be used to observe the sensitivity of three control variables on the magnitude of the THD. These variables are: Solar Irradiance levels, Power Factor (PF) of connected load magnitude of the connected load (in kVA) The results obtained show that the greatest sensitivity is obtained for load kVA variation.


2017 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 579-602
Author(s):  
Sharon Poczter

While access to reliable electricity can significantly constrain industrial production, little is known as to how unreliability impacts firm level productivity. This is a particularly salient issue for firms in developing countries, where electricity provision is still unreliable and self-generation is costly. This paper analyzes the impact of electricity provision on productivity, instrumenting for electricity demand with district level solar irradiance. Results indicate that firms exhibit decreasing productivity in the initial stages of electricity adoption that decreases over time. Furthermore, I find that unreliability negatively impacts productivity initially and over time, and this effect is larger for smaller firms.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 1647-1656 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Schittekatte ◽  
Michael Stadler ◽  
Goncalo Cardoso ◽  
Salman Mashayekh ◽  
Narayanan Sankar

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 6179-6220 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. G. Anet ◽  
S. Muthers ◽  
E. V. Rozanov ◽  
C. C. Raible ◽  
A. Stenke ◽  
...  

Abstract. The aim of this work is to elucidate the impact of changes in solar irradiance and energetic particles vs. volcanic eruptions on tropospheric global climate during the Dalton Minimum (DM, 1780–1840 AD). Separate variations in the (i) solar irradiance in the UV-C with wavelengths λ < 250 nm, (ii) irradiance at wavelengths λ > 250 nm, (iii) in energetic particle spectrum, and (iv) volcanic aerosol forcing were analyzed separately, and (v) in combination, by means of small ensemble calculations using a coupled atmosphere-ocean chemistry-climate-model. Global and hemispheric mean surface temperatures show a significant dependence on solar irradiance at λ > 250 nm. Also, powerful volcanic eruptions in 1809, 1815, 1831 and 1835 significantly decrease global mean temperature by up to 0.5 K for 2–3 yr after the eruption. However, while the volcanic effect is clearly discernible in the southern hemispheric mean temperature, it is less significant in the Northern Hemisphere, partly because the two largest volcanic eruptions occurred in the SH tropics and during seasons when the aerosols were mainly transported southward, partly because of the higher northern internal variability. In the simulation including all forcings, temperatures are in reasonable agreement with the tree-ring-based temperature anomalies of the Northern Hemisphere. Interestingly, the model suggests that solar irradiance changes at λ < 250 nm and in energetic particle spectra have only insignificant impact on the climate during the Dalton Minimum. This downscales the importance of top-down processes (stemming from changes at λ < 250 nm) relative to bottom-up processes (from λ > 250 nm). Reduction of irradiance at λ > 250 nm leads to a significant (up to 2%) decrease of the ocean heat content (OHC) between the 0 and 300 m of depth, whereas the changes in irradiance at λ < 250 nm or in energetic particle have virtually no effect. Also, volcanic aerosol yields a very strong response, reducing the OHC of the upper ocean by up to 1.5%. In the simulation with all forcings, the OHC of the uppermost levels recovers after 8–15 yr after volcanic eruption, while the solar signal and the different volcanic eruptions dominate the OHC changes in the deeper ocean and prevent its recovery during the DM. Finally, the simulations suggest that the volcanic eruptions during the DM had a significant impact on the precipitation patterns caused by a widening of the Hadley cell and a shift of the intertropical convergence zone.


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-82
Author(s):  
J. R. KULKARNI ◽  
M. MUJUMDAR ◽  
S. P. GHARGE ◽  
V. SATYAN ◽  
G. B. PANT

Earlier investigations into the epochal behavior of fluctuations in All India Summer Monsoon Rainfall (AISMR) have indicated the existence of a Low Frequency Mode (LFM) in the 60-70 years range. One of the probable sources of this variability may be due to changes in solar irradiance. To investigate this, time series of 128-year solar irradiance data from 1871-1998 has been examined. The Wavelet Transform (WT) method is applied to extract the LFM from these time series, which show a very good correspondence. A case study has been carried out to test the sensitivity of AISMR to solar irradiance. The General Circulation Model (GCM) of the Center of Ocean-Land-Atmosphere (COLA) has been integrated in the control run (using the climatological value of solar constant i.e., 1365 Wm-2) and in the enhanced solar constant condition (enhanced by 10 Wm-2) for summer monsoon season of 1986. The study shows that the large scale atmospheric circulation over the Indian region, in the enhanced solar constant scenario is favorable to good monsoon activity. A conceptual model for the impact of solar irradiance on the AISMR at LFM is also suggested.


Author(s):  
Shutang You

Due to the high solar irradiance or energy price, certain regions in the U.S. may reach 100% PV penetration and experience degradation of frequency response greater than the interconnection as a whole. Therefore, in this section, the 100% PV penetration region in each interconnection is simulated to study the local high PV penetration effects. The study was performed by quantifying RoCoF, frequency nadir, and settling frequency at different regional PV penetration levels. The impact of high regional PV penetration on the compliance of grid code on frequency response is also studied.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Chabrillat ◽  
Vincent Huijnen ◽  
Quentin Errera ◽  
Jonas Debosscher ◽  
Idir Bouarar ◽  
...  

&lt;p&gt;Intercomparisons between Chemistry-Climate Models (CCMs) have highlighted shortcomings in our understanding and/or modeling of long-term ozone trends, and there is a growing interest in the impact of stratospheric ozone changes on tropospheric chemistry via both ozone fluxes (e.g. from the projected strengthening of the Brewer-Dobson circulation) and actinic fluxes. Advances in this area require a good understanding of the modelling uncertainties in the present-day distribution of stratospheric ozone, and a correct attribution of these uncertainties to the processes governing this distribution: photolysis, chemistry and transport. These processes depend primarily on solar irradiance, temperature and dynamics.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Here we estimate model uncertainties arising from different input datasets, and compare them with typical uncertainties arising from the transport and chemistry schemes. This study is based on four sets of tightly controlled sensititivity experiments which all use temperature and dynamics specified from reanalyses of meteorological observations. The first set of experiments uses one Chemistry-Transport Model (CTM) and evaluates the impact of using 3 different spectra of solar irradiance. In the second set, the CTM is run with 4 different input reanalyses: ERA-5, MERRA-2, ERA-I and JRA-55. The third set of experiments still relies on the same CTM, exploring the impact of the transport algorithm and its configuration. The fourth set is the most sophisticated as it is enabled by model developments for the Copernicus Atmopshere Monitoring Service, where the ECMWF model IFS is run with three different photochemistry modules named according to their parent CTM: IFS(CB05-BASCOE), IFS(MOCAGE) and IFS(MOZART).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;All modelling experiments start from the same initial conditions and last 2.5 years (2013-2015). The uncertainties arising from different input datasets or different model components are estimated from the spreads in each set of sensitivity experiments and also from the gross error between the corresponding model means and the BASCOE Reanalysis of Aura-MLS (BRAM2). The results are compared across the four sets of experiments, as a function of latitude and pressure, with a focus on two regions of the stratosphere: the polar lower stratosphere in winter and spring - in order to assess and understand the quality of our ozone hole forecasts - and the tropical middle and upper stratosphere - where noticeably large disagreements are found between the experiments.&lt;/p&gt;


2018 ◽  
Vol 191 ◽  
pp. 00013
Author(s):  
Zineb Yamlahi Alami ◽  
Moez Salem ◽  
Mounir Gaidi ◽  
Jamal El khamkhami

This work reported on solar cell ZnO/PS heterojunction fabricated from Zinc nitrate with molar concentrations 0.05M and 0.2M using spray pyrolysis technique, to study the effect of high and low molar concentration of Zn precursor on structural, optical and electrical properties. The structural analyse showed that the obtained thin films deposited on glass substrate were polycrystalline with a hexagonal wurtzite structure and preferentially oriented along the c-axis direction, while structural properties enhanced with higher morality 0.2M. Roughness surface of ZnO/PS HJ increased widely with higher morality. Through I-V characteristics, the enhancement of electrical properties with higher molarity has been achieved. Isc get augment from 23mA/cm2, to 27mA/cm2, and Voc from 551mV to 554mV when molarity has taken values 0.05M and 0.2M respectively. Ideality factor has influenced by molarity variance too. The impact of solar irradiance G and temperature T on solar cell fabricated from 0.2M molarity has been investigated. The current density increased from 13.53 mA/cm2 to 27mA/cm2, the voltage from 525mV to 546mV, and the efficiency from 5.2% to 10.9% when the solar irradiance have increased from 500 to 1000W/m2. The temperature also influences on the solar cell behaviours, especially the voltage is enhanced by temperature increasing.


2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 1100-1120 ◽  
Author(s):  
David H. Rind ◽  
Judith L. Lean ◽  
Jeffrey Jonas

Abstract Simulations of the preindustrial and doubled CO2 climates are made with the GISS Global Climate Middle Atmosphere Model 3 using two different estimates of the absolute solar irradiance value: a higher value measured by solar radiometers in the 1990s and a lower value measured recently by the Solar Radiation and Climate Experiment. Each of the model simulations is adjusted to achieve global energy balance; without this adjustment the difference in irradiance produces a global temperature change of 0.4°C, comparable to the cooling estimated for the Maunder Minimum. The results indicate that by altering cloud cover the model properly compensates for the different absolute solar irradiance values on a global level when simulating both preindustrial and doubled CO2 climates. On a regional level, the preindustrial climate simulations and the patterns of change with doubled CO2 concentrations are again remarkably similar, but there are some differences. Using a higher absolute solar irradiance value and the requisite cloud cover affects the model’s depictions of high-latitude surface air temperature, sea level pressure, and stratospheric ozone, as well as tropical precipitation. In the climate change experiments it leads to an underestimation of North Atlantic warming, reduced precipitation in the tropical western Pacific, and smaller total ozone growth at high northern latitudes. Although significant, these differences are typically modest compared with the magnitude of the regional changes expected for doubled greenhouse gas concentrations. Nevertheless, the model simulations demonstrate that achieving the highest possible fidelity when simulating regional climate change requires that climate models use as input the most accurate (lower) solar irradiance value.


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