scholarly journals Prediction of penetration rate in drilling operations: a comparative study of three neural network forecast methods

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 805-818
Author(s):  
Ehsan Brenjkar ◽  
Ebrahim Biniaz Delijani ◽  
Kasra Karroubi

AbstractOptimizing purposes of the drilling process include reduction in time, saving costs, and increasing efficiency, which requires optimization of controllable variables and variables affecting the drilling process. Drilling optimization is directly related to maximizing the rate of penetration (ROP). However, estimation of ROP is difficult due to the complexity of the relationship between the variables affecting the drilling process. The main goal of this study is to develop three computational intelligence (CI)-based models including multilayer perceptron neural network optimized by backpropagation algorithm (BP-MLPNN), cascade-forward neural network optimized by backpropagation algorithm, and radial basis function neural network optimized by biogeography-based optimization algorithm (BBO-RBFNN) to estimate ROP. Also, in order to broaden the comparisons, some conventional ROP models from the literature were employed. The required data were collected from the well log unit and the final drilling reports of four drilled wells in two different oil fields in southwestern Iran. Firstly, all data were preprocessed to remove outliers; then the overall noises of the data were reduced by implementing Savitzky–Golay smoothing filter. In the next stage, nine input variables were selected during a feature selection step by combining the BP-MLPNN and NSGA-II algorithm. The results of this study showed that developed CI-based models more accurate than conventional ROP models. Also, a survey of statistical indices and graphical error tools proved that BBO-RBFNN model has the highest performance to predict ROP with values of APRE, AAPRE, RMSE and R2 equal to  − 0.603, 5.531, 0.490 and 0.948, respectively.

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 155892501990083
Author(s):  
Xintong Li ◽  
Honglian Cong ◽  
Zhe Gao ◽  
Zhijia Dong

In this article, thermal resistance test and water vapor resistance test were experimented to obtain data of heat and humidity performance. Canonical correlation analysis was used on determining influence of basic fabric parameters on heat and humidity performance. Thermal resistance model and water vapor resistance model were established with a three-layered feedforward-type neural network. For the generalization of the network and the difficulty of determining the optimal network structure, trainbr was chosen as training algorithm to find the relationship between input factors and output data. After training and verification, the number of hidden layer neurons in the thermal resistance model was 12, and the error reached 10−3. In the water vapor resistance model, the number of hidden layer neurons was 10, and the error reached 10−3.


2001 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. M. Fichera ◽  
R. L. Mahajan ◽  
T. W. Horst

Abstract Accurate air temperature measurements made by surface meteorological stations are demanded by climate research programs for various uses. Heating of the temperature sensor due to inadequate coupling with the environment can lead to significant errors. Therefore, accurate in-situ temperature measurements require shielding the sensor from exposure to direct and reflected solar radiation, while also allowing the sensor to be brought into contact with atmospheric air at the ambient temperature. The difficulty in designing a radiation shield for such a temperature sensor lies in satisfying these two conditions simultaneously. In this paper, we perform a computational fluid dynamics analysis of mechanically aspirated radiation shields (MARS) to study the effect of geometry, wind speed, and interplay of multiple heat transfer processes. Finally, an artificial neural network model is developed to learn the relationship between the temperature error and specified input variables. The model is then used to perform a sensitivity analysis and design optimization.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernhard Schmid

<p>The work reported here builds upon a previous pilot study by the author on ANN-enhanced flow rating (Schmid, 2020), which explored the use of electrical conductivity (EC) in addition to stage to obtain ‘better’, i.e. more accurate and robust, estimates of streamflow. The inclusion of EC has an advantage, when the relationship of EC versus flow rate is not chemostatic in character. In the majority of cases, EC is, indeed, not chemostatic, but tends to decrease with increasing discharge (so-called dilution behaviour), as reported by e.g. Moatar et al. (2017), Weijs et al. (2013) and Tunqui Neira et al.(2020). This is also in line with this author’s experience.</p><p>The research presented here takes the neural network based approach one major step further and incorporates the temporal rate of change in stage and the direction of change in EC among the input variables (which, thus, comprise stage, EC, change in stage and direction of change in EC). Consequently, there are now 4 input variables in total employed as predictors of flow rate. Information on the temporal changes in both flow rate and EC helps the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) characterize hysteretic behaviour, with EC assuming different values for falling and rising flow rate, respectively, as described, for instance, by Singley et al. (2017).</p><p>The ANN employed is of the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) type, with stage, EC, change in stage and direction of change in EC of the Mödling data set (Schmid, 2020) as input variables. Summarising the stream characteristics, the Mödling brook can be described as a small Austrian stream with a catchment of fairly mixed composition (forests, agricultural and urbanized areas). The relationship of EC versus flow reflects dilution behaviour. Neural network configuration 4-5-1 (the 4 input variables mentioned above, 5 hidden nodes and discharge as the single output) with learning rate 0.05 and momentum 0.15 was found to perform best, with testing average RMSE (root mean square error) of the scaled output after 100,000 epochs amounting to 0.0138 as compared to 0.0216 for the (best performing) 2-5-1 MLP with stage and EC as inputs only.    </p><p> </p><p>References</p><p>Moatar, F., Abbott, B.W., Minaudo, C., Curie, F. and Pinay, G.: Elemental properties, hydrology, and biology interact to shape concentration-discharge curves for carbon, nutrients, sediment and major ions. Water Resources Res., 53, 1270-1287, 2017.</p><p>Schmid, B.H.: Enhanced flow rating using neural networks with water stage and electrical conductivity as predictors. EGU2020-1804, EGU General Assembly 2020.</p><p>Singley, J.G., Wlostowski, A.N., Bergstrom, A.J., Sokol, E.R., Torrens, C.L., Jaros, C., Wilson, C.,E., Hendrickson, P.J. and Gooseff, M.N.: Characterizing hyporheic exchange processes using high-frequency electrical conductivity-discharge relationships on subhourly to interannual timescales. Water Resources Res. 53, 4124-4141, 2017.</p><p>Tunqui Neira, J.M., Andréassian, V., Tallec, G. and Mouchel, J.-M.: A two-sided affine power scaling relationship to represent the concentration-discharge relationship. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 24, 1823-1830, 2020.</p><p>Weijs, S.V., Mutzner, R. and Parlange, M.B.: Could electrical conductivity replace water level in rating curves for alpine streams? Water Resources Research 49, 343-351, 2013.</p>


2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-112
Author(s):  
Adhi Kusnadi ◽  
Idul Putra

Stress will definitely be experienced by every human being and the level of stress experienced by each individual is different. Stress experienced by students certainly will disturb their study if it is not handled quickly and appropriately. Therefore we have created an expert system using a neural network backpropagation algorithm to help counselors to predict the stress level of students. The network structure of the experiment consists of 26 input nodes, 5 hidden nodes, and 2 the output nodes, learning rate of 0.1, momentum of 0.1, and epoch of 5000, with a 100% accuracy rate. Index Terms - Stress on study, expert system, neural network, Stress Prediction


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Gbenga Williams ◽  
Oluwapelumi O. Ojuri

AbstractAs a result of heterogeneity nature of soils and variation in its hydraulic conductivity over several orders of magnitude for various soil types from fine-grained to coarse-grained soils, predictive methods to estimate hydraulic conductivity of soils from properties considered more easily obtainable have now been given an appropriate consideration. This study evaluates the performance of artificial neural network (ANN) being one of the popular computational intelligence techniques in predicting hydraulic conductivity of wide range of soil types and compared with the traditional multiple linear regression (MLR). ANN and MLR models were developed using six input variables. Results revealed that only three input variables were statistically significant in MLR model development. Performance evaluations of the developed models using determination coefficient and mean square error show that the prediction capability of ANN is far better than MLR. In addition, comparative study with available existing models shows that the developed ANN and MLR in this study performed relatively better.


Author(s):  
Victor Ei-Wen Lo ◽  
Yi-Chen Chiu ◽  
Hsin-Hung Tu

Background: There are different types of hand motions in people’s daily lives and working environments. However, testing duration increases as the types of hand motions increase to build a normative database. Long testing duration decreases the motivation of study participants. The purpose of this study is to propose models to predict pinch and press strength using grip strength. Methods: One hundred ninety-eight healthy volunteers were recruited from the manufacturing industries in Central Taiwan. The five types of hand motions were grip, lateral pinch, palmar pinch, thumb press, and ball of thumb press. Stepwise multiple linear regression was used to explore the relationship between force type, gender, height, weight, age, and muscle strength. Results: The prediction models developed according to the variable of the strength of the opposite hand are good for explaining variance (76.9–93.1%). Gender is the key demographic variable in the predicting models. Grip strength is not a good predictor of palmar pinch (adjusted-R2: 0.572–0.609), nor of thumb press and ball of thumb (adjusted-R2: 0.279–0.443). Conclusions: We recommend measuring the palmar pinch and ball of thumb strength and using them to predict the other two hand motions for convenience and time saving.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 5092
Author(s):  
Bingyu Liu ◽  
Dingsen Zhang ◽  
Xianwen Gao

Ore blending is an essential part of daily work in the concentrator. Qualified ore dressing products can make the ore dressing more smoothly. The existing ore blending modeling usually only considers the quality of ore blending products and ignores the effect of ore blending on ore dressing. This research proposes an ore blending modeling method based on the quality of the beneficiation concentrate. The relationship between the properties of ore blending products and the total concentrate recovery is fitted by the ABC-BP neural network algorithm, taken as the optimization goal to guarantee the quality of ore dressing products at the source. The ore blending system was developed and operated stably on the production site. The industrial test and actual production results have proved the effectiveness and reliability of this method.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abolghasem Daeichian ◽  
Rana Shahramfar ◽  
Elham Heidari

Abstract Lime is a significant material in many industrial processes, including steelmaking by blast furnace. Lime production through rotary kilns is a standard method in industries, yet it has depreciation, high energy consumption, and environmental pollution. A model of the lime production process can help to not only increase our knowledge and awareness but also can help reduce its disadvantages. This paper presents a black-box model by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the lime production process considering pre-heater, rotary kiln, and cooler parameters. To this end, actual data are collected from Zobahan Isfahan Steel Company, Iran, which consists of 746 data obtained in a duration of one year. The proposed model considers 23 input variables, predicting the amount of produced lime as an output variable. The ANN parameters such as number of hidden layers, number of neurons in each layer, activation functions, and training algorithm are optimized. Then, the sensitivity of the optimum model to the input variables is investigated. Top-three input variables are selected on the basis of one-group sensitivity analysis and their interactions are studied. Finally, an ANN model is developed considering the top-three most effective input variables. The mean square error of the proposed models with 23 and 3 inputs are equal to 0.000693 and 0.004061, respectively, which shows a high prediction capability of the two proposed models.


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