scholarly journals A Global Analysis of the Relationship Between Urbanization and Fatalities in Earthquake-Prone Areas

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunyang He ◽  
Qingxu Huang ◽  
Xuemei Bai ◽  
Derek T. Robinson ◽  
Peijun Shi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Global Analysis ◽  
Urban Land ◽  
Population Increase ◽  
Earthquake Risk ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Earthquake Fatalities

AbstractUrbanization can be a challenge and an opportunity for earthquake risk mitigation. However, little is known about the changes in exposure (for example, population and urban land) to earthquakes in the context of global urbanization, and their impacts on fatalities in earthquake-prone areas. We present a global analysis of the changes in population size and urban land area in earthquake-prone areas from 1990 to 2015, and their impacts on earthquake-related fatalities. We found that more than two thirds of population growth (or 70% of total population in 2015) and nearly three quarters of earthquake-related deaths (or 307,918 deaths) in global earthquake-prone areas occurred in developing countries with an urbanization ratio (percentage of urban population to total population) between 20 and 60%. Holding other factors constant, population size was significantly and positively associated with earthquake fatalities, while the area of urban land was negatively related. The results suggest that fatalities increase for areas where the urbanization ratio is low, but after a ratio between 40 and 50% occurs, earthquake fatalities decline. This finding suggests that the resistance of building and infrastructure is greater in countries with higher urbanization ratios and highlights the need for further investigation. Our quantitative analysis is extended into the future using Shared Socioeconomic Pathways to reveal that by 2050, more than 50% of the population increase in global earthquake-prone areas will take place in a few developing countries (Pakistan, India, Afghanistan, and Bangladesh) that are particularly vulnerable to earthquakes. To reduce earthquake-induced fatalities, enhanced resilience of buildings and urban infrastructure generally in these few countries should be a priority.

Population decline of the Japanese sardine, Sardinops melanostictus, in relation to sea surface temperature in the Kuroshio Extension

1999 ◽  
Vol 56 (6) ◽  
pp. 973-983 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masayuki Noto ◽  
Ichiro Yasuda
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Kuroshio Extension ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Population Increase ◽  
Japanese Sardine ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Kuroshio

The relationship between the population size of the Japanese sardine, Sardinops melanostictus, and sea surface temperature (SST) from 1979 to 1994 was studied. Significant positive correlations were found between the natural mortality coefficient during the period from the postlarval stage to age 1 and winter-spring SST in the Kuroshio Extension and its southern recirculation area (30-35°N, 145-180°E). That is, higher (lower) SST over the possible migration route corresponded to higher (lower) mortality rate. This result is consistent with the high mortality and low population size for the high-SST period of the 1950's and 1960's and the population increase during the low-SST period of the 1970's and 1980's due to a decrease in mortality. The population decline after 1988 possibly occurred as a result of the abrupt increase in SST since 1988 in the Kuroshio Extension region and suggests a close relationship between interdecadal climate-ocean variability and sardine population size. This may also explain the relationship between biomass size and distribution area.

The last mile: earthquake risk mitigation assistance in developing countries

2006 ◽  
Vol 364 (1845) ◽  
pp. 2183-2189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haresh C Shah
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Risk Reduction ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Earthquake Risk ◽  
The Past ◽  
Raising Awareness ◽  
Last Mile ◽  
The Right ◽  
Earthquake Risk Mitigation

Over the past few decades, we have seen many joint programmes between developed countries and developing countries to help the latter in managing their earthquake risks. These programmes span the whole spectrum of disciplines from seismology and geology to engineering, social science and economics. Many of these programmes have been effective in raising awareness, in urging governments to work towards risk reduction and in spawning an ‘industry’ of disaster management in many of the developing countries. However, even as these efforts proceed, we have seen death and destruction due to earthquake after earthquake in developing countries, strongly suggesting that the problems for which those assistance programmes were developed are not so effective. Therefore, it is natural to ask why this is happening. Are the assistance programmes reaching the right people? Maybe we are reaching the right people and doing the right type of things in these countries, but we have not allowed enough time for our actions to take effect. Maybe we are reaching the right people and doing the right actions for most of the miles we need to cover in helping communities mitigate their earthquake risks. However, the issue could be whether we are reaching people who represent the ‘last mile’ on this pathway. Here, I explore whether the work that many organizations and countries have done towards earthquake risk reduction over the past few decades in developing countries is appropriate or not. Why do we keep seeing the catastrophes of Sumatra, Chi Chi, Bhuj, Turkey, Algeria and on and on? I will articulate what I think is the problem. My contribution is intended to generate discussions, self-analysis of our approaches, what we are doing right and what we are not doing right. Hopefully such discussions will result in a better connection between the last mile and programmes around the world which are working towards earthquake risk mitigation.

scholarly journals Spatial Econometric Analysis of the Relationship between Urban Land and Regional Economic Development in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Coordinated Development Region

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (20) ◽  
pp. 8451 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhanzhong Tang ◽  
Zengxiang Zhang ◽  
Lijun Zuo ◽  
Xiao Wang ◽  
Shunguang Hu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Urban Land ◽  
County Level ◽  
Tertiary Sector ◽  
Coordinated Development ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Urbanization Rate ◽  
The Relationship

Against the background of coordinated development of the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region, it is of great significance to quantitatively reveal the contribution rate of the influencing factors of urban land for optimizing the layout of urban land across regions and innovating the inter-regional urban land supply linkage. However, the interaction effects and spatial effects decomposition have not been well investigated in the existing research studies on this topic. In this study, based on the cross-sectional data in 2015 and using the spatial lag model, spatial error model and spatial Durbin model, we analyzed the relationship between urban land and regional economic development at the county level in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region. The results show that: (1) there are endogenous interaction effects of urban land, and the growth of urban land in a county will drive the corresponding growth of urban land in neighboring counties; (2) the local population, average wages, highway mileage density, and actual utilization of foreign capital have positive effects on the scale of urban land in local and neighboring counties; local GDP in the secondary/tertiary sector and the urbanization rate have positive effects on local urban land scale, but negative effects on the urban land scale of neighboring counties; (3) the contribution degree of the direct effect is ranked as follows: GDP in the secondary/tertiary sector > total population > urbanization rate. The order of factors with a significant spatial spillover effect on the scale of urban land in neighboring counties is as follows: average wages > total population > highway mileage density. The GDP in secondary/tertiary sector, population, and urbanization rate are the main influencing factors for the scale of urban land at the county level in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region. It is an important finding that average wages are the most prominent among the spatial spillovers. We should attach importance to the spillover effect of geographic space and construct an urban spatial pattern coordinated with economic development.

A Forecasting Research on Population Size of Jilin Province Based on Grey GM (1,1) Model

2014 ◽  
Vol 667 ◽  
pp. 273-276
Author(s):  
Li Ying Wang
Keyword(s):  
Social Development ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Jilin Province ◽  
Population Increase ◽  
Statistical Software ◽  
Original Sequence ◽  
The Future ◽  
Size And Structure

The population size and structure is an important factor that affects economic and social development. In this thesis, MATLAB is used to build the relational graph between total population and year according to the total population in the statistical bulletin issued by Jilin Province Statistical Bureau; the grey GM (1,1) model is built with the population size between 2004 and 2013 as the original sequence; the statistical software SPSS18.0 is also used to solve grey GM(1,1) model and it is obtained that the total population in Jilin Province will grow slowly in the future ten years; finally, the rationalization proposal for controlling the population increase of Jilin Province is put forward.

The Nexus between Financial Development and Human Development: The Case of Developing Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 68
Author(s):  
Bilgehan Tekin
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Human Development ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Development Index ◽  
Development Levels ◽  
The Relationship

The purpose of this study to examine the relationship between financial development and human development in the health and welfare dimensions of developing countries. This study aims to determine whether the financial developments of the countries have an effect on the basic human development of the individuals and whether human development indicators have an impact on financial development. In this study, the relationship between financial development and human development has been tried to be revealed by using data obtained from developing countries. Financial development levels of the countries were measured with the developed financial development index. The index is calculated by using M3 / GDP, private sector loans / GDP and loans to banks from private sector / GDP ratios. The human development index is calculated by considering various health indicators and GNP per capita. The data includes annual data for the period 1970-2016. Pedroni and Kao cointegration analysis and Dumitrescu & Hurlin panel causality analysis were performed in the study. According to the results of the study, the cointegration relationship was determined between the two variables. There is also a two-way causality between the variables.

The Issue of Sustainability in Third World Food Production (The Distinguishedl Lecture)

1992 ◽  
Vol 31 (4I) ◽  
pp. 511-534
Author(s):  
Winfried Von Urff
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Food Production ◽  
Third World ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Absolute Number ◽  
Comprehensive Analysis ◽  
World Food ◽  
The Absolute ◽  
The Difference

In spite of the fact that food production in developing countries doubled over the last 25 years undernutrition is still widely spread. At the beginning of the eighties, according to FAO, 335 to 494 million people in developing countries suffered from serious undernutrition the difference being due to different concepts to determine undernutrition on which scientist were unable to find a consensus.) Unfortunately there is no recent comprehensive analysis of the food situation comparable to those of previous World Food Surveys but it can be taken for sure that the absolute number of undernourished has increased. According to unofficial FAO sources a figure of 870 million was estimated for 1990 (22 percent of the total population in developing countries) using the same concept that led to the figure of 494 million in 1979-81 (23 percent of the total population in developing countries) which means that most probably the number of undernourished increased at a rate slightly less than population growth.

Diversification propaganda work with foreign audiences

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (4(13)) ◽  
pp. 31-50
Author(s):  
Shiyu Zhang ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
International Relations ◽  
Strategic Partnership ◽  
The Past ◽  
Bilateral Relations ◽  
The Media ◽  
The Relationship

Over the past decade, bilateral relations between China and Russia have attracted the attention of the whole world. As neighbors and rapidly developing countries, China and Russia are becoming increasingly important in the international arena. The strategic partnership and interaction between China and Russia occupy a significant place in the politics of both countries. Cooperation is developing dynamically in various fields, primarily in politics. After 2012, a change of government took place in China and Russia, which brought new changes to international relations. Studying the involvement of the media in this process can clarify their impact on international relations, in particular, their role in the relationship between China and Russia.

Career Adaptability and Career Decision Self-Efficacy: Meta-Analysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 089484532110124
Author(s):  
Graham B. Stead ◽  
Lindsey M. LaVeck ◽  
Sandra M. Hurtado Rúa
Keyword(s):  
Self Efficacy ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Career Decision ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Career Adaptability ◽  
Efficacy Measures ◽  
Meta Analyses ◽  
Career Research ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between career adaptability and career decision self-efficacy was examined due to its importance for clients in the career development and career decision-making process. Multivariate meta-analyses using 18 studies with a total population of 6,339 participants were employed. Moderator variables important to this relationship were country of participants, mean age, and career adaptability measures. Estimated correlations between career adaptability subscales and career decision self-efficacy measures ranged from .36 to .44. Findings are discussed in relation to career research and counseling.

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