scholarly journals Solar cycles or random processes? Evaluating solar variability in Holocene climate records

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Edward Turner ◽  
Graeme T. Swindles ◽  
Dan J. Charman ◽  
Peter G. Langdon ◽  
Paul J. Morris ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Solar Variability ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Critical Approach ◽  
Solar Forcing ◽  
Holocene Climate ◽  
Proxy Records ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Solar Type

Abstract Many studies have reported evidence for solar-forcing of Holocene climate change across a range of archives. These studies have compared proxy-climate data with records of solar variability (e.g. 14C or 10Be), or have used time series analysis to test for the presence of solar-type cycles. This has led to some climate sceptics misrepresenting this literature to argue strongly that solar variability drove the rapid global temperature increase of the twentieth century. As proxy records underpin our understanding of the long-term processes governing climate, they need to be evaluated thoroughly. The peatland archive has become a prominent line of evidence for solar forcing of climate. Here we examine high-resolution peatland proxy climate data to determine whether solar signals are present. We find a wide range of significant periodicities similar to those in records of solar variability: periods between 40–100 years, and 120–140 years are particularly common. However, periodicities similar to those in the data are commonly found in random-walk simulations. Our results demonstrate that solar-type signals can be the product of random variations alone, and that a more critical approach is required for their robust interpretation.

Solar-type periodicities in the climate variability of Northern Fennoscandia during the last three centuries: Real influence of solar activity or natural instability in the climate system

The Holocene ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 095968362110604
Author(s):  
Maxim Ogurtsov ◽  
Samuli Helama ◽  
Risto Jalkanen ◽  
Högne Jungner ◽  
Markus Lindholm ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Western Siberia ◽  
Climate System ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Activity Data ◽  
The Past ◽  
Proxy Records ◽  
Northern Fennoscandia ◽  
Solar Type

Fifteen proxy records of summer temperature in Fennoscandia, Northern Europe and in Yamal and Taymir Peninsulas (Western Siberia) were analyzed for the AD 1700–2000 period. Century-long (70–100 year) and quasi bi-decadal periodicities were found from proxy records representing different parts of Fennoscandia. Decadal variation was revealed in a smaller number of records. Statistically significant correlations were revealed between the timescale-dependent components of temperature variability and solar cycles of Schwabe (~11 year), Hale (~22 year), and Gleissberg (сentury-long) as recorded in solar activity data. Combining the results from our correlation analysis with the evidence of solar-climatic linkages over the Northern Fennoscandia obtained over the past 20 years suggest that there are two possible explanations for the obtained solar-proxy relations: (a) the Sun’s activity actually influences the climate variability in Northern Fennoscandia and in some regions of the Northern Hemisphere albeit the mechanism of such solar-climatic linkages are yet to be detailed; (b) the revealed solar-type periodicities result from natural instability of climate system and, in such a case, the correlations may appear purely by chance. Multiple lines of evidence support the first assumption but we note that the second one cannot be yet rejected. Guidelines for further research to elucidate this question are proposed including the Fisher’s combined probability test in the presence of solar signal in multiple proxy records.

scholarly journals Erratum: Corrigendum: Solar cycles or random processes? Evaluating solar variability in Holocene climate records

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Edward Turner ◽  
Graeme T. Swindles ◽  
Dan J. Charman ◽  
Peter G. Langdon ◽  
Paul J. Morris ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Random Processes ◽  
Solar Variability ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Holocene Climate ◽  
Climate Records

scholarly journals Response of the Middle Atmosphere to Solar Variability — Model Simulations

1994 ◽  
Vol 143 ◽  
pp. 315-329
Author(s):  
Theresa Y. W. Huang ◽  
Guy P. Brasseur
Keyword(s):  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Temperature Response ◽  
Solar Variability ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Heating Rates ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Indirect Feedback

Solar flux variations could affect the middle atmosphere through modulating the photolysis of chemical series and solar heating rates. Indirect feedback effects from chemical, radiative, and dynamical interactions could provide additional sources for perturbations in the middle atmosphere. In this paper, recent developments in modeling the effect of solar variability on the middle atmosphere is described. For the 27-day solar rotational cycle, the temperature and ozone response in the stratosphere predicted by one- and two-dimensional models compares well with data analyses. For the 11-year solar cycle, model simulations suggest a non-negligible ozone/temperature response compared to changes produced by anthropogenic perturbations in the stratosphere. There is no sufficient long-term atmospheric dataset to establish a statistically significant correlation with the 11-year solar cycle. But in general, agreement between the observational analysis (for periods of one to two solar cycles) and model simulations of the long-term solar variability effect is unsatisfactory.

scholarly journals Modulation of the Cosmic Radiation and its Manifestation in Cosmogenic Isotopes

1995 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 313-316
Author(s):  
J. Beer
Keyword(s):  
Solar Irradiance ◽  
Solar Physics ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Solar Variability ◽  
The Sun ◽  
Direct Observations ◽  
Solar Type ◽  
Near Future ◽  
Underlying Processes

An issue of increasing importance in solar physics and climatology is solar variability (Sofia and Fox, 1994). It seems that most solar type stars show some magnetic variability at the surface (Baliunas and Jastrow, 1990). To understand the underlying processes and to model them is a big challengein solar physics.When satellites began to observe the sun outside the disturbing atmosphere it soon became clear that the solar irradiance is also variable and seems to be related to the 11- year Schwabe cycle (Willson, et al., 1986), (Foukal, this volume). This result is of great importance because the sun is the engine which drives the climate system on earth. Although the variations are small (0.1-0.2%) there is clear evidence from observational data of solar type stars (Baliunas and Jastrow, 1990) and from theoretical considerations as well that much larger fluctuations over longer time scales potentially could occur.This raises the question what role the sun plays in today’s climate change and possibly in the near future. There are basically two approaches to address this question. 1. The solar irradiance and the climate have to be monitored continuously with high precision in order to detect changes and to understand how they are caused. 2. Since there are reasons to believe that the sun also exhibits long-term changes which cannot be detected during short periods of direct observations, one has to investigate the past by looking for connections between climate and solar variability.To reconstruct past climate changes is comparatively simple. There is a large amount of climatic observations available for the last 2-3 centuries. The climatic conditions of earlier times can be reconstructed quite reliably based on isotopic ratios, pollen assemblages, and many other parameters measured in natural archives.

scholarly journals Runoff and focused groundwater-recharge response to flooding rains in the arid zone of Australia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Ian Acworth ◽  
Gabriel C. Rau ◽  
Mark O. Cuthbert ◽  
Keith Leggett ◽  
Martin S. Andersen
Keyword(s):  
Groundwater Recharge ◽  
Arid Zone ◽  
Groundwater Age ◽  
Field Investigation ◽  
Geological Mapping ◽  
Shallow Aquifer ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Run Off ◽  
Wide Range

AbstractA groundwater recharge investigation in the arid zone of Australia is presented. The investigation used a wide range of hydrogeological techniques including geological mapping, surface and borehole geophysics, groundwater hydraulics, streambed temperature and pressure monitoring, and hydrogeochemical and environmental tracer sampling, and it was complemented by analysis of rainfall intensity from 18 tipping-bucked rain gauges, climate data and stream runoff measurements. Run-off and recharge from a 200-mm rainfall event in January 2015, the largest daily rainfall in the local 50-year record, were investigated in detail. While this major storm provided substantial run-off as a potential source for focused, indirect recharge, it only produced enough actual recharge to the shallow aquifer to temporarily halt a long-term groundwater recession. A series of smaller rainfall-runoff events in 2016 produced a similar recharge response. The results suggest that the total magnitude of a flood event is not the main control on indirect groundwater recharge at this location. A deeper aquifer shows no hydraulic response to surface-water flow events and is isolated from the shallow system, consistent with its Pleistocene groundwater age. This supports a growing body of evidence indicating that attributing or predicting generalised changes in recharge to changes in climate in dryland environments should not be attempted without first unravelling the dynamic processes governing groundwater recharge in the locality of interest. The results should prompt more detailed and long-term field investigation in other arid zone locations to further understand the episodic and nonlinear nature of recharge in such environments.

Evolution of Large-Scale Coronal Structures

1994 ◽  
Vol 144 ◽  
pp. 29-33
Author(s):  
P. Ambrož
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Field ◽  
Field Line ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Coronal Magnetic Field ◽  
Source Surface ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Characteristic Relationship ◽  
The Magnetic Field ◽  
Coronal Structures

AbstractThe large-scale coronal structures observed during the sporadically visible solar eclipses were compared with the numerically extrapolated field-line structures of coronal magnetic field. A characteristic relationship between the observed structures of coronal plasma and the magnetic field line configurations was determined. The long-term evolution of large scale coronal structures inferred from photospheric magnetic observations in the course of 11- and 22-year solar cycles is described.Some known parameters, such as the source surface radius, or coronal rotation rate are discussed and actually interpreted. A relation between the large-scale photospheric magnetic field evolution and the coronal structure rearrangement is demonstrated.

Long-term Cyclic Variations of Prominences, Green and Red Coronae over Solar Cycles

2000 ◽  
Vol 179 ◽  
pp. 201-204
Author(s):  
Vojtech Rušin ◽  
Milan Minarovjech ◽  
Milan Rybanský
Keyword(s):  
Emission Lines ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Green Line ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
The South ◽  
Coronal Emission ◽  
Local Maxima ◽  
The North ◽  
Cyclic Variations

AbstractLong-term cyclic variations in the distribution of prominences and intensities of green (530.3 nm) and red (637.4 nm) coronal emission lines over solar cycles 18–23 are presented. Polar prominence branches will reach the poles at different epochs in cycle 23: the north branch at the beginning in 2002 and the south branch a year later (2003), respectively. The local maxima of intensities in the green line show both poleward- and equatorward-migrating branches. The poleward branches will reach the poles around cycle maxima like prominences, while the equatorward branches show a duration of 18 years and will end in cycle minima (2007). The red corona shows mostly equatorward branches. The possibility that these branches begin to develop at high latitudes in the preceding cycles cannot be excluded.

Modern prevention and active longevity programs on the basis of disruptive domestic technologies: positive experience and prospects for application

2020 ◽  
pp. 66-73
Author(s):  
A. Simonova ◽  
S. Chudakov ◽  
R. Gorenkov ◽  
V. Egorov ◽  
A. Gostry ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Personalized Medicine ◽  
Early Detection ◽  
Laboratory Diagnostics ◽  
Positive Experience ◽  
Practical Application ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Integrated Program ◽  
Long Term Experience ◽  
Early Detection And Prevention

The article summarizes the long-term experience of practical application of domestic breakthrough technologies of preventive personalized medicine for laboratory diagnostics of a wide range of socially significant non-infectious diseases. Conceptual approaches to the formation of an integrated program for early detection and prevention of civilization diseases based on these technologies are given. A vision of the prospects for the development of this area in domestic and foreign medicine has been formed.

To the 70th anniversary of World Meteorological Organization. Scientific and technical cooperation of Hydrometeorological Center of the USSR/Russia in the Programs of World Meteorological Organization

2020 ◽  
pp. 117-138
Author(s):  
S.V. Borshch ◽  
◽  
R.M. Vil’fand ◽  
D.B. Kiktev ◽  
V.M. Khan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Monitoring ◽  
High Efficiency ◽  
World Meteorological Organization ◽  
70Th Anniversary ◽  
Technical Level ◽  
Technical Cooperation ◽  
Wide Range

The paper presents the summary and results of long-term and multi-faceted experience of international scientific and technical cooperation of Hydrometeorological Center of Russia in the field of hydrometeorology and environmental monitoring within the framework of WMO programs, which indicates its high efficiency in performing a wide range of works at a high scientific and technical level. Keywords: World Meteorological Organization, major WMO programs, representatives of Hydrometeorological Center of Russia in WMO

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document