scholarly journals Strategic Planning of Regional Development as Instrument of Ensuring Stability and Economic Security of a Territory

2021 ◽  
Vol 295 ◽  
pp. 01019
Author(s):  
Elena Lobkova ◽  
Konstantin Lobkov ◽  
Natalia Mehta
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Risk Measure ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
State Management ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Normal Method ◽  
Systemic Development ◽  
Regional Product

Strategic planning of the region is an important and effective method of building a rational system of mechanisms for state management of regional development. The development of a regional strategy makes it possible to identify the reserves of the systemic development of territories, which contributes to the economic growth of the country. Within the framework of strategic planning for the development of the territory, the most acute problem is the forecasting of macroeconomic indicators on which the subsequent strategic plans and programs of the region are based. In this regard, the issues of forecasting indicators and assessing potential risks are highly relevant. The study is aimed to develop a tool for predicting the social-and-economic parameters of the regional system in order to build effective strategic plans for regional development within the framework of the concept of ensuring the sustainability and economic security of the territory. The authors propose an approach based on the delta-normal method for calculating a quantitative risk measure. The approach is adapted to solve the problem of probabilistic assessment of indicators of the state of the system and risks and allows to determine the ranges of changes in the predicted indicator of the gross regional product of the region, considering the probable increments of factor indicators. The results of applying the developed approach may be used as the basis for strategic planning of measures to manage sustainability, economic security and dynamics of the territory’s development.

scholarly journals 3.2. ISSUES OF CONSISTENCY OF FORECASTS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONS (ON THE EXAMPLE OF THE REPUBLIC OF BASHKORTOSTAN)

2021 ◽  
pp. 42-47
Author(s):  
М.М. Низамутдинов ◽  
В.В. Орешников ◽  
А.Р. Атнабаева
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Gross Regional Product ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Regional Product

Статья посвящена вопросам прогнозирования развития субъектов Российской Федерации. Рассмотрен прогноз динамики валового регионального продукта Республики Башкортостан на средне- и долгосрочную перспективы, а также ряд взаимосвязанных параметров. Проведен анализ показателей в текущих и сопоставимых ценах, их динамики и соотношения. Выявлен ряд противоречий, указывающих на наличие рассогласованности представленных значений. Раскрыты отдельные противоречия другим документам стратегического планирования. Результаты могут быть использованы для повышения эффективности управления региональным развитием. The article is devoted to the issues of forecasting the development of the subjects of the Russian Federation. The forecast of the dynamics of the gross regional product of the Republic of Bashkortostan for the medium - and long-term prospects, as well as a number of interrelated parameters, is considered. The analysis of indicators in current and comparable prices, their dynamics and correlation is carried out. A number of contradictions are revealed, indicating the presence of inconsistency of the presented values. Some contradictions with other strategic planning documents are revealed. The results can be used to improve the efficiency of regional development management.

scholarly journals A strategic approach to reducing inter-regional economic differentiation: China’s experience

2021 ◽  
pp. 122-132
Author(s):  
Yu. V. Vertakova ◽  
Ya. Liu
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Transition Process ◽  
Market Mechanism ◽  
Regional Differentiation ◽  
Regional Economic ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Strategic Approach

This article examines the transition process from a strategy of unbalanced regional development to a strategy of coordinated regional development in China. A number of national strategies and strategic plans for regional development aimed at reducing inter-regional differentiation have been analysed. The paper aims to provide a comprehensive case study of China’s experience in implementing strategic planning to reduce inter-regional economic differentiation. Using the methodology of systems and strategic analysis, the authors analysed the main directions of national strategic regional planning to reduce inter-regional economic differentiation in China. The advantages and disadvantages of approaches to reducing inter-regional economic differentiation have been identified and recommendations for their improvement have been developed. National strategic planning for regional development is an important tool of regional policy to reduce inter-regional economic differentiation. It is necessary to concentrate efforts on ensuring consistency between the central government and local authorities, coordinating different areas of planning and their consistency, and developing a market mechanism. 

Strategic planning in grassland farming: Principles andapplications

1997 ◽  
pp. 191-197
Author(s):  
W.J. Parker ◽  
N.M. Shadbolt ◽  
D.I. Gray
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Performance Indicators ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Key Performance Indicators ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Effective Manner ◽  
Farm Business ◽  
Pastoral Farming ◽  
Financial Environment

Three levels of planning can be distinguished in grassland farming: strategic, tactical and operational. The purpose of strategic planning is to achieve a sustainable long-term fit of the farm business with its physical, social and financial environment. In pastoral farming, this essentially means developing plans that maximise and best match pasture growth with animal demand, while generating sufficient income to maintain or enhance farm resources and improvements, and attain personal and financial goals. Strategic plans relate to the whole farm business and are focused on the means to achieve future needs. They should be routinely (at least annually) reviewed and monitored for effectiveness through key performance indicators (e.g., Economic Farm Surplus) that enable progress toward goals to be measured in a timely and cost-effective manner. Failure to link strategy with control is likely to result in unfulfilled plans. Keywords: management, performance

The Random Forest Method in Research of Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators of Regional Development on Informal Employment Rate

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
pp. 37-55
Author(s):  
E. V. Zarova ◽  
E. I. Dubravskaya
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
Informal Employment ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Random Forest Method ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Impact

The topic of quantitative research on informal employment has a consistently high relevance both in the Russian Federation and in other countries due to its high dependence on cyclicality and crisis stages in economic dynamics of countries with any level of economic development. Developing effective government policy measures to overcome the negative impact of informal employment requires special attention in theoretical and applied research to assessing the factors and conditions of informal employment in the Russian Federation including at the regional level. Such effects of informal employment as a shortfall in taxes, potential losses in production efficiency, and negative social consequences are a concern for the authorities of the federal and regional levels. Development of quantitative indicators to determine the level of informal employment in the regions, taking into account their specifics in the general spatial and economic system of Russia are necessary to overcome these negative effects. The article proposes and tests methods for solving the problem of assessing the impact of hierarchical relationships on macroeconomic factors at the regional level of informal employment in constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Majority of the works on the study of informal employment are based on basic statistical methods of spatial-dynamic analysis, as well as on the now «traditional» methods of cluster and correlation-regression analysis. Without diminishing the merits of these methods, it should be noted that they are somewhat limited in identifying hidden structural connections and interdependencies in such a complex multidimensional phenomenon as informal employment. In order to substantiate the possibility of overcoming these limitations, the article proposes indicators of regional statistics that directly and indirectly characterize informal employment and also presents the possibilities of using the «random forest» method to identify groups of constituent entities of the Russian Federation that have similar macroeconomic factors of informal employment. The novelty of this method in terms of research objectives is that it allows one to assess the impact of macroeconomic indicators of regional development on the level of informal employment, taking into account the implicit, not predetermined by the initial hypotheses, hierarchical relationships of factor indicators. Based on the generalization of the studies presented in the literature, as well as the authors’ statistical calculations using Rosstat data, the authors came to the conclusion about the high importance of macroeconomic parameters of regional development and systemic relationships of macroeconomic indicators in substantiating the differentiation of the informal level across the constituent entities of the Russian Federation.

Strategic planning in today's dynamic world

2005 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 53-62
Author(s):  
Terrance M. Brueck
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Cause And Effect ◽  
Security Issues ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Planning Framework ◽  
The Subject ◽  
New Framework

Utilities today must adapt quickly to complex changes in workforce, infrastructure, technology, and regulations, as well as outside factors of the economy, security issues, and societal trends. Linear, cause-and-effect strategic planning does not work well in today's world. Given these uncertainties, how can utilities develop meaningful and useful strategic plans? Faced with these challenges, a group of 18 leading international utilities, assisted through IWA, has developed new ways of strategic planning. This project, sponsored by AwwaRF and conducted by EMA, has created a dynamic and flexible strategic planning framework. A new framework, coupled with many of these utilities' experiences in strategic planning, is the subject of this paper.

Assessment of harvest blocks generated from operational polygons and forest-cover polygons in tactical and strategic planning

2001 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 682-693 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Nelson
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Landscape Structure ◽  
Forest Cover ◽  
Block Size ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Size Distributions ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Important Barrier ◽  
Interior Forest ◽  
Block Size Distribution

Manually designing harvest units for strategic planning is expensive. This paper compares blocking methods based on forest-cover polygons and manually designed harvest units. Routines are used to split and aggregate polygons into three block size distributions: (i) uniform 40-ha blocks; (ii) uniform 120-ha blocks; and (iii) by area, one-third 20 ha, one-third 60 ha, and one-third 150 ha. Three harvest rules that influence adjacency and the cutting of polygons within a block are applied to each block size distribution to compare forecasts generated by forest-cover and operational blocks. Generally, volume flows from the two methods deviate by less than 5%, and the highest deviations usually occur during the first 20 years. Projected landscape structure, as measured by interior forest area, is also similar under the two blocking methods. The results indicate that forest-cover data provide a reasonable alternative to manual blocking in tactical and strategic plans. This is significant because it removes an important barrier to timely and cost-effective planning, especially for large geographic problems where manual blocking is not an option.

scholarly journals A proposed strategy for the optimal use of databases and statistical data collection tools to enhance the strategic plan of the Islamic University: استراتيجية مقترحة للاستخدام الأمثل لقواعد البيانات وأدوات جمع البيانات الإحصائية لتعزيز الخطة الاستراتيجية للجامعة الإسلامية

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tarek Mahmoud Emara, Ehab Ibrahim Mohamed Ibrahim
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Strategic Plan ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
University Employees ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
The University ◽  
Future Plans

The databases and data collection tools are a fundamental pillar of strategic planning, especially in the higher education sector. The Islamic University has been interested in achieving ambitious strategic plans and at the same time designing databases and data collection tools to support the decision- making process. So that, this study aimed at presenting a proposed strategy for the optimal use of databases and statistical data collection tools to enhance the strategic plan of the Islamic University. The importance of this strategy is that it plays an essential role in promoting the university's current strategic plan and at the same time it will be an appropriate tool for designing the future plans of the university. The study relied on the descriptive and analytical statistical approach as a framework for the applied and field study. where we designed a strategy supportive of the strategic plan of the Islamic University, and has developed a set of hypotheses associated with the vital role of databases to promote the basic plan the strategy of the Islamic University, the feasibility of the proposed strategy and its benefit, and the extent of satisfaction of the beneficiaries of this strategy, and that exists compatibility in rai of employees of the Islamic University and the views of employers on the proposed strategic plan. The result of study appeared that the average of the opinions of university employees and employers about the proposed strategy and its benefit. The study recommended the necessity of applying the proposed strategy while expanding the integration of databases and data collection tools within the strategic planning requirements of the university and there are need to develop existing databases or create new rules to meet the strategic planning requirements.

scholarly journals Areas of Regional Policy Implementation with Reference to Ensuring Economic Security

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (49) ◽  
pp. 73-81
Author(s):  
O. M. Dzhyhora ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Regional Development ◽  
Regional Policy ◽  
Spatial Organization ◽  
Life Quality ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
Regional Differentiation ◽  
Production Pattern ◽  
Strategic Goal

The article is aimed at identifying the main areas of regional policy with reference to ensuring economic security. It is proved that the state regional policy is an integral part of the state policy aimed at providing the spatial organization of a region, maintaining balance, eliminating regional differentiation. The mechanism of regional policy provision is considered. The powers of regional policy actors in Ukraine are apecified. The global and local goals of regional policy are characterized, the goal hierarchy is created with respect to ensuring regional economic security. Estimates of the local goals of regional policy on achieving the strategic goal of regional policy are defined. The main global goals of regional policy are highlighted, in particular: territorial integrity, socio-economic integration and spatial development, sustainable development of the region’s diversified competitive economy, development of rural territories and territories adjacent to cities, development of human capital and life quality, effective regional development management. It is determined that the following local goals are estimated highest for achieving the strategic goal of regional policy: protection of regional interests, territorial unity, prevention of deepening imbalances in regional development, rationalization of agricultural production pattern aimed at increasing its productivity, development of a competitive industrial sector.

scholarly journals Problems of managing process of ensuring economic security

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 108-113
Author(s):  
V. P. Shpaltakov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Management System ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Comprehensive Analysis ◽  
The State ◽  
State Management ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
State Apparatus

The main problems of the state of the Russian economy, which give rise to serious threats to economic security, are considered. The topic is relevant due to the growing risks and threats to our economy. The purpose of the article is to analyze the nature and methods of state management of conditions affecting the level of economic security in the country. The tasks of the analysis are to identify deficiencies in the management system and ways to eliminate them. The novelty of the article consists in a comprehensive analysis of the main reasons and factors of the growing danger for the intensification of stagnation and the economy lagging behind the advanced countries. The main weaknesses and shortcomings of state management of the process of ensuring economic security are revealed: the growth of bureaucracy, corruption, the preservation of a backward resource-export model of the economy. A number of necessary reforms of the state apparatus and diversification of economies are proposed

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