Economic potential of Ukraine: assessment and forecasting
Based on the results of the open statistical data analysis, the paper justifies indicators for an integral assessment of the economic potential of Ukraine by types of economic activity of business entities. Since the potential is implemented in the future, the paper uses trend analysis to determine the prospective values of previously selected indicators. At the same time, some relative indicators were decomposed into absolute elements (as each of the absolute indicators has its own dynamics of changes). Stepwise, logarithmic, exponential, and other dependencies are used to predict indicators. In addition, the prospective values of indicators were normalized in order to get the correct calculation of the integral indicator in the paper. The integral indicator of the economic potential of Ukraine for each type of economic activity of business entities for the year 2022 is calculated as a result of generalizing the normalized values of prospective indicators. The calculation results can be used to distribute budget funds that are planned to be used for ensuring the long-term development of the Ukrainian economy sectors.