Small Aneurysms With Low Rupture Risk Account for a Majority of Subarachnoid Hemorrhage
Abstract INTRODUCTION Small, unruptured cerebral aneurysms are frequently found incidentally, but management remains controversial because of their uncertain natural history. Based on prospective studies, the rupture rate for small aneurysms is minimal. As a result, in the absence of other high-risk factors, small aneurysms are generally observed. However, subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) from small aneurysms is commonly observed in practice. Patient- and aneurysm-related risk factors for rupture, including a risk score (PHASES), help guide clinical decision-making. To determine the usefulness of size and the PHASES risk score as predictors of rupture, we studied a consecutive series of ruptured aneurysms over a 10-yr period. METHODS We identified 629 patients with aneurysmal SAH at our hospital treated by the senior authors between 2008 and 2018. We collected patient data including population, hypertension, age, size of aneurysm, earlier SAH from another aneurysm, and site of aneurysm. A PHASES score was calculated in each case to estimate a predicted risk of rupture. RESULTS The mean aneurysm size was 6.1 mm (standard deviation 3.9). Almost 3 quarters of aneurysms were less than 7 mm. The mean PHASES score was 4.9 (standard deviation 2.6). CONCLUSION In our cohort, small aneurysms < 7 mm accounted for a majority of SAH cases. Furthermore, the mean PHASES score corresponded to a 5-yr risk of rupture of only 1.3%. Many, if not most, of our patients would have been conservatively managed. Natural history studies have selection bias and may underestimate the risk of rupture.