scholarly journals Predictors of suicidal thoughts and behavior in children: results from penalized logistic regression analyses in the ABCD study

Author(s):  
Laura S. van Velzen ◽  
Yara J. Toenders ◽  
Aina Avila-Parcet ◽  
Richard Dinga ◽  
Jill A. Rabinowitz ◽  
...  

AbstractDespite numerous efforts to predict suicide risk in children, the ability to reliably identify youth that will engage in suicide thoughts or behaviors (STB) has remained remarkably unsuccessful. To further knowledge in this area, we apply a novel machine learning approach and examine whether children with STB could be differentiated from children without STB based on a combination of sociodemographic, physical health, social environmental, clinical psychiatric, cognitive, biological and genetic characteristics. The study sample included 5,885 unrelated children (50% female, 67% white) between 9 and 11 years old from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) study. Both parents and youth reported on children’s STB and based on these reports, we divided children into three subgroups: 1. children with current or past STB, 2. children with psychiatric disorder but no STB (clinical controls) and 3. healthy control children. We performed binomial penalized logistic regression analysis to distinguish between groups. The analyses were performed separately for child-reported STB and parent-reported STB. Results showed that we were able to distinguish the STB group from healthy controls and clinical controls (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) range: 0.79-0.81 and 0.70-0.78 respectively). However, we could not distinguish children with suicidal ideation from those who attempted suicide (AUROC range 0.49-0.59). Factors that differentiated the STB group from the clinical control group included family conflict, prodromal psychosis symptoms, impulsivity, depression severity and a history of mental health treatment. Future research is needed to determine if these variables prospectively predict subsequent suicidal behavior.

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (9) ◽  
pp. 657-662 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Celik ◽  
Alper Şen ◽  
İsmail Koyuncu ◽  
Ataman Gönel

Aim and Objective:: To determine the mechanisms present in the etiopathogenesis of nasal polyposis. It is not clear whether amino acids contribute in a causal way to the development of the disease. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine the plasma-free amino acid profile in patients with nasal polyposis and to compare the results with a healthy control group. Materials and Methods:: This was a prospective controlled study that took place in the Otolaryngology Department at the Harran University Faculty of Medicine between April 2017 and April 2018. Plasmafree amino acid profile levels were studied in serum samples taken from a patient group and a healthy control group. Patients who were diagnosed with bilateral diffuse nasal polyposis and were scheduled for surgical interventions were included in this study. Individuals whose age, gender, and body mass index values were compatible with that of the patient group and who did not have any health problems were included in the control group. All the participants whose levels of plasma-free amino acid were thought to be affected by one or more of the following factors were excluded from the study: smoking and alcohol use, allergic rhinitis presence, the presence of acute or chronic sinusitis, a history of endoscopic sinus surgery, unilateral nasal masses, a history of chronic drug use, systemic or topical steroid use in the last three months for any reason, and liver, kidney, hematological, cardiovascular, metabolic, neurological, or psychiatric disorders or malignancies. Results: In patients with nasal polyposis, 3-methyl histidine (3-MHIS: nasal polyposis group (ng) = 3.22 (1.92 – 6.07); control group (cg) = 1.21 (0.77 – 1.68); p = 0.001); arginine (arg: ng = 98.95 (70.81 – 117.75); cg = 75.10 (54.49 – 79.88); p = 0.005); asparagine (asn: ng = 79.84 (57.50 – 101.44); cg = 60.66 (46.39 – 74.62); p = 0.021); citrulline (cit: ng = 51.83 (43.81 – 59.78); cg = 38.33 (27.81 – 53.73); p = 0.038); cystine (cys: ng = 4.29 (2.43 – 6.66); cg = 2.41 (1.51 – 4.16); p = 0.019); glutamic acid (glu: ng = 234.86 (128.75 – 286.66); cg = 152.37 (122.51 – 188.34); p = 0.045); histidine (his: ng = 94.19 (79.34 – 113.99); cg = 74.80 (62.76 – 98.91); p = 0.018); lysine (lys: ng = 297.22 (206.55 – 371.25); cg = 179.50 (151.58 – 238.02); p = 0.001); ornithine (ng = 160.62 (128.36 – 189.32); cg = 115.91 (97.03 – 159.91); p = 0.019); serine (ser: ng = 195.15 (151.58 – 253.07); cg = 83.07 (67.44 – 92.44); p = 0.001); taurine (tau: ng = 74.69 (47.00 – 112.13); cg = 53.14 (33.57 – 67.31); p = 0.006); tryptophan (trp: ng = 52.31 (33.81 – 80.11); cg = 34.44 (25.94 – 43.07); p = 0.005), homocitrulline (ng = 1.75 (1.27 – 2.59); cg = 0.00 (0.00 – 0.53); p = 0.001); norvaline (ng = 6.90 (5.61 – 9.18); cg = 4.93 (3.74 – 7.13); p = 0.021); argininosuccinic acid (ng = 14.33 (10.06 – 25.65); cg = 12.22 (5.77 – 16.87) p = 0.046); and plasma concentrations were significantly higher than in the healthy control group (p <0.05). However, the gamma-aminobutyric acid (gaba: ng = 0.16 (0.10 – 0.24); cg = 0.21 (0.19 – 0.29); p = 0.010) plasma concentration was significantly lower in the nasal polyposis group than in the healthy control group. Conclusion: In this study, plasma levels of 15 free amino acids were significantly higher in the nasal polyposis group than in the healthy control group. A plasma level of 1 free amino acid was found to be significantly lower in the nasal polyposis group compared to the healthy control group. Therefore, it is important to determine the possibility of using the information obtained to prevent the recurrence of the condition and to develop effective treatment strategies. This study may be a milestone for studies of this subject. However, this study needs to be confirmed by further studies conducted in a larger series.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jae Hwa Kim ◽  
Go-Tak Kim ◽  
Siyeoung Yoon ◽  
Hyun Il Lee ◽  
Kyung Rae Ko ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Vitamin B12 (Vit B12) deficiency results in elevated homocysteine levels and interference with collagen cross-linking, which may affect tendon integrity. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether serum Vit B12 levels were correlated with degenerative rotator cuff (RC) tear. Methods Eighty-seven consecutive patients with or without degenerative RC tear were enrolled as study participants. Possible risk factors (age, sex, medical history, bone mineral density, and serum chemistries including glucose, magnesium, calcium, phosphorus, zinc, homocysteine, Vitamin D, Vit B12, homocysteine, and folate) were assessed. Significant variables were selected based on the results of univariate analyses, and a logistic regression model (backward elimination) was constructed to predict the presence of degenerative RC tear. Results In the univariate analysis, the group of patients with degenerative RC tear had a mean concentration of 528.4 pg/mL Vit B12, which was significantly lower than the healthy control group (627.1 pg/mL). Logistic regression analysis using Vit B12 as an independent variable revealed that Vit B12 concentrations were significantly correlated with degenerative RC tear (p = 0.044). However, Vit B12 levels were not associated with tear size. Conclusion Low serum levels of Vit B12 were independently related to degenerative RC tear. Further investigations are warranted to determine if Vit B12 supplementation can decrease the risk of this condition.


Biology ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 88
Author(s):  
Anna Baran ◽  
Paulina Kiluk ◽  
Julia Nowowiejska ◽  
Tomasz W. Kaminski ◽  
Magdalena Maciaszek ◽  
...  

Galectin-3 (gal-3) is a multifunctional regulator of various biological processes and diseases, which are common comorbidities in psoriasis. Data regarding potential diagnostic role of gal-3 in psoriasis are insufficient. Serum gal-3 levels were evaluated before and after twelve weeks of treatment with acitretin or methotrexate in 31 patients with plaque-type psoriasis and compared to 11 healthy control group. The mean serum galectin-3 level in patients with psoriasis was significantly higher compared to the control group (p < 0.01). In patients with obesity and long-lasting psoriasis (>20 years) positive relations of gal-3 and PASI were noted. In psoriatics with low gal-3 levels, positive correlations between the gal-3 and BMI, glucose level, and with the latter in short-lasting psoriasis (<20 years) were noted. In the long history of psoriasis, gal-3 was negatively correlated with lipids levels. The Gal-3 level might be a multifaceted modulator of the course of psoriasis and predictive factor of cardiometabolic comorbidities’ development, especially in patients with a long history of the disease or obesity. Patients with low serum gal-3 and short history of psoriasis are presumably at greater risk of diabetes. In patients with long-lasting psoriasis and concomitant obesity, gal-3 may exert a protective role against dyslipidemia or perhaps further CMD development.


2013 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 262-268
Author(s):  
R Lakhan

Background   Cerebral palsy (CP) is a global public health problem affecting 2.12 to 2.45 per 1000 live birth across the world. Cerebral palsy is an upper motor neuron, non-progressive disorder commonly associated with intellectual disability. The presence of cerebral palsy effects person’s overall life. Objectives This study primarily sought predictive capacity of social, environmental and biological determinants of CP in ID. Materials and Methods This is a cross-sectional study design. A total of 262 children, aged 3 to 18 years, with ID were assessed for cerebral palsy and diagnosed on basis of clinical examination in a community based rehabilitation project in Barwani, India. Information was collected by parent interviews, on social, environmental and biological determinants. A logistic regression model has been applied between determinants and CP.  Results Logistic regression demonstrated that likelihood of CP in ID children can be predicted on bases of their age (odd ratio = 0.856, CI 95% - 0.76-0.95), intelligence quotients (IQ) (odd ratio = 0.782, CI 95% - 0.73-0.83) and family history of intellectual disabilities (odd ratio = 0.051, CI 95% - 2.36 -0.99) and epilepsy (odd ratio = 0.008, CI 95% - 2.58-1.28). Comorbid conditions of downs syndrome and epilepsy also predicts likelihood of CP in ID. Conclusion Likelihood of CP in ID children can be predicted by their age, IQ, family history of intellectual disability, epilepsy and comorbid conditions of downs syndrome and epilepsy. Gender, socio-economic status and population (tribal versus non-tribal) determinants have no predictive relation with CP in the group. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/nje.v3i3.9187 Nepal Journal of Epidemiology 2013;3(3): 262-268


2010 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 910-920 ◽  
Author(s):  
MICHAEL M. EHRENSPERGER ◽  
MANFRED BERRES ◽  
KIRSTEN I. TAYLOR ◽  
ANDREAS U. MONSCH

AbstractThe goal of the present study was to evaluate the diagnostic discriminability of three different global scores for the German version of the Consortium to Establish a Registry on Alzheimer’s Disease-Neuropsychological Assessment Battery (CERAD-NAB). The CERAD-NAB was administered to 1100 healthy control participants [NC; Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) mean = 28.9] and 352 patients with very mild Alzheimer’s disease (AD; MMSE mean = 26.1) at baseline and subsets of participants at follow-up an average of 2.4 (NC) and 1.2 (AD) years later. We calculated the following global scores: Chandler et al.’s (2005) score (summed raw scores), logistic regression on principal components analysis scores (PCA-LR), and logistic regression on demographically corrected CERAD-NAB variables (LR). Correct classification rates (CCR) were compared with areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUC). The CCR of the LR score (AUC = .976) exceeded that of the PCA-LR, while the PCA-LR (AUC = .968) and Chandler (AUC = .968) scores performed comparably. Retest data improved the CCR of the PCA-LR and Chandler (trend) scores. Thus, for the German CERAD-NAB, Chandler et al.’s total score provided an effective global measure of cognitive functioning, whereby the inclusion of retest data tended to improve correct classification of individual cases. (JINS, 2010, 16, 910–920.)


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 179-185
Author(s):  
Andrezza Cristina Cancian Hortolani ◽  
Sarah Cristina Sato Vaz Tanaka ◽  
Marina Carvalho Paschoini ◽  
Marly Aparecida Spadotto Balarin

Abstract Objectives: to verify the contribution of polymorphisms rs1800469 and rs1800468 of the TGF-β1 gene and the risk factors for the pre-eclampsia development. Methods: this is a case-control study with 257 women from the Uberaba region of Minas Gerais were selected, 88 of them were in the pre-eclampsia group and 169 in the control group. Genotyping was performed by allelic discrimination using the real-time PCR technique. The odds ratio and the 95% confidence interval were used to evaluate the probability of the polymorphisms studied contributing for the pre-eclampsia development. The logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the relation among family recurrence, smoking, primiparity and the presence of polymorphic alleles and susceptibility of preeclampsia. Results: no association was found between polymorphisms rs1800469 and rs1800468 of the TGF-β1 gene and pre-eclampsia. The logistic regression analysis was statistically significant for family recurrence, showing that women with a family history of pre-eclampsia and primiparity are at an increased risk of developing the disease. Conclusions: no association was found between polymorphisms rs1800469 and rs1800468 of the TGF-β1 and pre-eclampsia gene. Factors such as family history and primiparity were associated to the risk of developing pre-eclampsia.


2012 ◽  
Vol 18 (5) ◽  
pp. 799-808 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deborah Arguedas ◽  
Robyn Langdon ◽  
Richard Stevenson

AbstractOlfactory hallucinations (OHs) are present in a significant minority of people with schizophrenia, yet these symptoms are under-researched and poorly understood. This study aimed to identify the neuropsychological impairments that associate with OHs in schizophrenia. Patients with schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder were classified into an OH group and a group with auditory-verbal hallucinations (AVHs) and no lifetime history of OHs. Patients were age- and gender-matched to a healthy control group. All participants were assessed using: a test of odor identification; decision-making and socio-emotional tests of orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) and amygdala function; and a battery of standardized executive tests. Patients, as a whole, performed more poorly than controls on the tests of odor identification, emotion processing and executive function, consistent with previous research. Only two tests of OFC functioning: the Object Alternation Task, taken from Oscar-Berman and Zola-Morgan's (1980a, 1980b) Comparative Neuropsychological Tasks, and a test of “faux pas” understanding discriminated between the OH and AVH patients. Findings provide the first preliminary support for OH-specific neuropsychological impairments associated with OFC dysfunction in schizophrenia. (JINS, 2012, 18, 1–10)


Author(s):  
Özer Akgül ◽  
Ömer Faruk Demirel ◽  
Cana Poyraz Aksoy ◽  
Ezgi Tanrıöver Aydın ◽  
Nuray Uysal ◽  
...  

Introduction: The opinion that latent T. gondii infection is having a broadly asymptomatic projection has now been interrogated, in specific due to the echoed association between the latent infection and an elevated incidence of schizophrenia or even suicide attempts. Notwithstanding conducted studies aimed to understand this feasible link are restricted. Methods: In the present case-control study, we focused to illuminate the relationship between the serological and molecular presence of T. gondii and schizophrenia with or without the suicide attempts by comparing it with healthy individuals. A total of 237 participants (117 in schizophrenia; 120 in healthy control) were included in this study. Results: Overall, latent T. gondii infections were found statistically higher in 63 (53.8%) of the 117 patients with schizophrenia and in 33 (27.5%) of the 120 controls (p < 0.001). In schizophrenia patients, seroprevalence T. gondii was again found to be statistically higher in suicide attempters (59.6%), compared to no history of suicide attempts (48.3%) (p < 0.05). The molecular positivity rate of T. gondii DNA was higher in the schizophrenia group, compared to the healthy control group (p < 0.05), whereas the history of suicide attempts was not statistically associated (p = 0.831) with T. gondii DNA positivity by PCR. Conclusion: This case-control study enlightens additional demonstration to the belief that T. gondii infection would be an underlying component for the pathophysiology of schizophrenia. Regardless of the clarity results of this study, this supposition warrants further endorsement.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lihua Yang ◽  
Guocheng Zhang ◽  
Chengxiu Wang ◽  
Yuanbin Shi ◽  
Xiaoling Ren ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: To investigate the impact of recombinant human interferon α1b (rhIFNα1b) treatment of infants hospitalized with lower respiratory tract infections on subsequent wheezing.Methods: The clinical data of infants in 19 hospitals with viral pneumonia, wheezy bronchitis, or bronchiolitis were retrospectively reviewed from June 2009 to June 2015 (age, gender, diagnosis, the use of rhIFNα1b when in hospital). Age at follow-up, birth weight, gestation age, childhood and family history of allergy, feeding history, family environment, and the number of wheezing episodes within the last year were obtained by telephone and questionnaires. Based on the use of rhIFNα1b in hospital, the subjects were divided into two groups: the rhIFNα1b treatment group (253 cases) and the control group (287 cases). A comparison was made between the two groups in terms of wheezing episodes within the last year. Based on the number of wheezing episodes within the last year, the subjects were divided into two groups, the wheezing group (95 cases) and the non-wheezing group (445 cases). Comparisons were made between the 2 groups in terms of age, diagnosis, the use of rhIFNα1b in hospital, gender, age at follow-up, birth weight, gestation age, childhood and family history of allergy, feeding history, and family environment. If the result of single factor comparison showed that P was <0.05, the indicators were analysed by binary logistic regression. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to evaluate the prediction ability of logistic regression models.Results: (1) Of a total of 813 cases for which follow-up data were available, 273 cases were excluded because of incomplete questionnaires, a dosage of rhIFN a1 b < 1 ug/kg.d or a treatment duration < 3 days, a date in hospital beyond the scope of the follow-up, or because the patient’s age when in hospital was > 3 years old. Finally, 540 patients were included in the analysis.(2) A total of 95 (17.6%) out of 540 cases had experienced wheezing episodes within the last year; 35 (13.8%) out of 253 cases that were treated with rhIFN a1 b and 60 cases (20.9%) out of 287 cases without rhIFN a1 b treatment had wheezing episodes within the last year. The difference in wheezing episodes within the last year between the rhIFNα1b treatment group and the control group was statistically significant (P=0.031). (3)The result of single factor regression indicated that the differences between the two groups of wheezing and non-wheezing in terms of age, the use of rhIFNα1b in hospital, a childhood and family history of allergy, housing situation, and feeding history were all statistically significant (all P<0.05). The result of binary logistic regression showed that a childhood history of allergy (OR=2.14, P=0.004), no use of rhIFNα1b therapy (OR=1.70, P=0.028) and living in a crowded house (OR=1.92, P=0.012) were risk factors of subsequent wheezing. Breastfeeding (OR=0.44, P=0.008) and an age of £1year old at the time of hospitalization (OR=0.58, P=0.024) were protective factors. The area under the ROC curve was 0.68, P=0.00, which indicated that the regression model had greater than medium diagnostic accuracy. Conclusions: Early use of rhIFNα1b treatment for infants hospitalized with lower respiratory tract infections and breastfeeding could prevent subsequent wheezing. An atopic constitution and living in a crowded house could promote subsequent wheezing.


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