scholarly journals NO INCREASE IN RELATIVE MORTALITY RATES FOR THOSE WITHOUT A COLLEGE DEGREE DURING COVID-19: AN ANOMALY

Author(s):  
Anne Case ◽  
Angus Deaton

American mortality rates have diverged in recent years between those with and without a four-year college degree, and there are many reasons to expect the education-mortality gradient to have steepened during the pandemic. Those without a BA are more likely to work in frontline occupations, to rely on public transportation, and to live in crowded quarters, all of which are associated with an increase in infection risk, a risk that was zero prior to the pandemic. We use publicly available data from the National Center for Health Statistics on deaths by age, sex, education and race/ethnicity to assess the protective effect of a BA in 2020 compared to 2019. While the BA was strongly protective during 2020, the ratio of mortality rates between those with and without a degree was little changed relative to pre-pandemic years. Among 60 groups (gender by race/ethnicity by age) that are available in the data, the relative risk reduction associated with a BA fell for more than half the groups between 2019 and 2020, and increased by more than 5 percentage points for only five groups. Our main finding is not that the BA was protective against death in 2020, which has long been the case, but that the protective effect was little different than in 2019 and earlier years, in spite of the change in the pattern of risk by occupation and income. The virus maintained the mortality-education gradient that existed pre-pandemic, at least through the end of 2020. Our results suggest that changes in the risk of infection were less important in structuring mortality than changes in the risk of death conditional on infection.

2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 198.2-199
Author(s):  
L. Pupim ◽  
T. S. Wang ◽  
K. Hudock ◽  
J. Denson ◽  
N. Fourie ◽  
...  

Background:Granulocyte/macrophage-colony stimulating factor (GM-CSF) is a cytokine both vital to lung homeostasis and important in regulating inflammation and autoimmunity1,2,3 that has been implicated in the pathogenesis of respiratory failure and death in patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia and systemic hyperinflammation.4-6 Mavrilimumab is a human anti GM-CSF receptor α monoclonal antibody capable of blocking GM-CSF signaling and downregulating the inflammatory process.Objectives:To evaluate the effect of mavrilimumab on clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized with severe COVID-19 pneumonia and systemic hyperinflammation.Methods:This on-going, global, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled seamless transition Phase 2/3 trial was designed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of mavrilimumab in adults hospitalized with severe COVID-19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation. The Phase 2 portion comprised two groups: Cohort 1 patients requiring supplemental oxygen therapy without mechanical ventilation (to maintain SpO2 ≥92%) and Cohort 2 patients requiring mechanical ventilation, initiated ≤48 hours before randomization. Here, we report results for Phase 2, Cohort 1: 116 patients with severe COVID- 19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation from USA, Brazil, Chile, Peru, and South Africa; randomized 1:1:1 to receive a single intravenous administration of mavrilimumab (10 or 6 mg/kg) or placebo. The primary efficacy endpoint was proportion of patients alive and free of mechanical ventilation at Day 29. Secondary endpoints included [1] time to 2-point clinical improvement (National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases COVID-19 ordinal scale), [2] time to return to room air, and [3] mortality, all measured through Day 29. The prespecified evidentiary standard was a 2-sided α of 0.2 (not adjusted for multiplicity).Results:Baseline demographics were balanced among the intervention groups; patients were racially diverse (43% non-white), had a mean age of 57 years, and 49% were obese (BMI ≥ 30). All patients received the local standard of care: 96% received corticosteroids (including dexamethasone) and 29% received remdesivir. No differences in outcomes were observed between the 10 mg/kg and 6 mg/kg mavrilimumab arms. Results for these groups are presented together. Mavrilimumab recipients had a reduced requirement for mechanical ventilation and improved survival: at day 29, the proportion of patients alive and free of mechanical ventilation was 12.3 percentage points higher with mavrilimumab (86.7% of patients) than placebo (74.4% of patients) (Primary endpoint; p=0.1224). Mavrilimumab recipients experienced a 65% reduction in the risk of mechanical ventilation or death through Day 29 (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 0.35; p=0.0175). Day 29 mortality was 12.5 percentage points lower in mavrilimumab recipients (8%) compared to placebo (20.5%) (p=0.0718). Mavrilimumab recipients had a 61% reduction in the risk of death through Day 29 (HR= 0.39; p=0.0726). Adverse events occurred less frequently in mavrilimumab recipients compared to placebo, including secondary infections and thrombotic events (known complications of COVID-19). Thrombotic events occurred only in the placebo arm (5/40 [12.5%]).Conclusion:In a global, diverse population of patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation receiving supplemental oxygen therapy, corticosteroids, and remdesivir, a single infusion of mavrilimumab reduced progression to mechanical ventilation and improved survival. Results indicate mavrilimumab, a potent inhibitor of GM-CSF signaling, may have added clinical benefit on top of the current standard therapy for COVID-19. Of potential importance is that this treatment strategy is mechanistically independent of the specific virus or viral variant.References:[1]Trapnell, Nat Rev Dis Pri, 2019[2]Wicks, Nat Rev Immunology, 2015[3]Hamilton, Exp Rev Clin Immunol, 2015[4]De Luca, Lancet Rheumatol, 2020[5]Cremer, Lancet Rheumatol, 2021[6]Zhou, Nature, 2020Disclosure of Interests:Lara Pupim Employee of: Kiniksa, Shareholder of: Kiniksa, Tisha S. Wang Consultant of: Partner Therapeutics; steering committee for Kinevant BREATHE clinical trial, Kristin Hudock: None declared, Joshua Denson: None declared, Nyda Fourie: None declared, Luis Hercilla Vasquez: None declared, Kleber Luz: None declared, Mohammad Madjid Grant/research support from: Kiniksa, Kirsten McHarry: None declared, José Francisco Saraiva: None declared, Eduardo Tobar: None declared, Teresa Zhou Employee of: Kiniksa, Shareholder of: Kiniksa, Manoj Samant Employee of: Kiniksa, Shareholder of: Kiniksa, Joseph Pirrello Employee of: Kiniksa, Shareholder of: Kiniksa, Fang Fang Employee of: Kiniksa, Shareholder of: Kiniksa, John F. Paolini Employee of: Kiniksa, Shareholder of: Kiniksa, Arian Pano Employee of: Kiniksa, Shareholder of: Kiniksa, Bruce C. Trapnell: None declared


BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. e040233
Author(s):  
Paola Gilsanz ◽  
Elizabeth Rose Mayeda ◽  
Chloe W Eng ◽  
Oanh L Meyer ◽  
M Maria Glymour ◽  
...  

ObjectiveThe role of spousal education on dementia risk and how it may differ by gender or race/ethnicity is unknown. This study examines the association between one’s own education separate from and in conjunction with spousal education and risk of dementia.DesignCohort.SettingKaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), an integrated health care delivery system.Participants8835 members of KPNC who were aged 40–55, married and reported own and spousal education in 1964–1973.Primary outcome measureDementia cases were identified through medical records from 1 January 1996 to 30 September 2017.MethodsOwn and spousal education was self-reported in 1964–1973 and each was classified as four indicator variables (≤high school, trade school/some college, college degree and postgraduate) and as ≥college degree versus <college degree. Age as timescale weighted Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for demographics and health indicators evaluated associations between participant education, spousal education and dementia risk overall and by gender and race/ethnicity.ResultsThe cohort was 37% non-white, 46% men and 30% were diagnosed with dementia during follow-up from 1996 to 2017 (mean follow-up=12.7 years). Greater participant education was associated with lower dementia risk independent of spousal education, demographics and health indicators. Greater spousal education was associated with lower dementia adjusting for demographics but became non-significant after further adjustment for participant education. The same pattern was seen for spousal education ≥college degree (not adjusting for participant education HRspousal education≥college degree=0.83 (95% CI: 0.76 to 0.90); adjusting for participant education HRspousal education≥college degree=0.92 (95% CI: 0.83 to 1.01)). These associations did not vary by gender or race/ethnicity.ConclusionIn a large diverse cohort, we found that higher levels of participant’s own education were associated with lower dementia risk regardless of spousal education. An inverse association between spousal education and dementia risk was also present, however, the effects became non-significant after adjusting for participant education.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
James E. Galvin ◽  
Stephanie Chrisphonte ◽  
Lun-Ching Chang

Background: Socioeconomic status (SES), race, ethnicity, and medical comorbidities may contribute to Alzheimer’s disease and related disorders (ADRD) health disparities. Objective: Analyze effects of social and medical determinants on cognition in 374 multicultural older adults participating in a community-based dementia screening program. Methods: We used the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) and AD8 as measures of cognition, and a 3-way race/ethnicity variable (White, African American, Hispanic) and SES (Hollingshead index) as predictors. Potential contributors to health disparities included: age, sex, education, total medical comorbidities, health self-ratings, and depression. We applied K-means cluster analyses to study medical and social dimension effects on cognitive outcomes. Results: African Americans and Hispanics had lower SES status and cognitive performance compared with similarly aged Whites. We defined three clusters based on age and SES. Cluster #1 and #3 differed by SES but not age, while cluster #2 was younger with midlevel. Cluster #1 experienced the worse health outcomes while cluster #3 had the best health outcomes. Within each cluster, White participants had higher SES and better health outcomes, African Americans had the worst physical performance, and Hispanics had the most depressive symptoms. In cross-cluster comparisons, higher SES led to better health outcomes for all participants. Conclusion: SES may contribute to disparities in access to healthcare services, while race and ethnicity may contribute to disparities in the quality and extent of services received. Our study highlights the need to critically address potential interactions between race, ethnicity, and SES which may better explain disparities in ADRD health outcomes.


Author(s):  
Verónica Alonso-Ferreira ◽  
Germán Sánchez-Díaz ◽  
Ana Villaverde-Hueso ◽  
Manuel Posada de la Paz ◽  
Eva Bermejo-Sánchez

This study aimed to analyse population-based mortality attributed to rare congenital anomalies (CAs) and assess the associated time trends and geographical differences in Spain. Data on CA-related deaths were sourced from annual mortality databases kept by the National Statistics Institute of Spain (1999–2013). Based on the ICD-10, only CAs corresponding to rare diseases definition were included in this study. Annual age-adjusted mortality rates were calculated and time trends were evaluated by joinpoint regression analysis. Geographical differences were assessed using standardised mortality ratios and cluster detection. A total of 13,660 rare-CA-related deaths (53.4% males) were identified in the study period. Annual age-adjusted mortality rates decreased by an average of −5.2% (−5.5% males, −4.8% females, p < 0.001). Geographical analysis showed a higher risk of rare-CA-related mortality in regions largely located in the south of the country. Despite their limitations, mortality statistics are essential and useful tools for enhancing knowledge of rare disease epidemiology and, by extension, for designing and targeting public health actions. Monitoring rare-CA-related mortality in Spain has shown a 15-year decline and geographical differences in the risk of death, all of which might well be taken into account by the health authorities in order to ensure equality and equity, and to adopt appropriate preventive measures.


2017 ◽  
Vol 77 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marie Holmqvist ◽  
Lotta Ljung ◽  
Johan Askling

ObjectiveTo investigate if, and when, patients diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in recent years are at increased risk of death.MethodsUsing an extensive register linkage, we designed a population-based nationwide cohort study in Sweden. Patients with new-onset RA from the Swedish Rheumatology Quality Register, and individually matched comparators from the general population were followed with respect to death, as captured by the total population register.Results17 512 patients with new-onset RA between 1 January 1997 and 31 December 2014, and 78 847 matched general population comparator subjects were followed from RA diagnosis until death, emigration or 31 December 2015. There was a steady decrease in absolute mortality rates over calendar time, both in the RA cohort and in the general population. Although the relative risk of death in the RA cohort was not increased (HR=1.01, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.06), an excess mortality in the RA cohort was present 5 years after RA diagnosis (HR after 10 years since RA diagnosis=1.43 (95% CI 1.28 to 1.59)), across all calendar periods of RA diagnosis. Taking RA disease duration into account, there was no clear trend towards lower excess mortality for patients diagnosed more recently.ConclusionsDespite decreasing mortality rates, RA continues to be linked to an increased risk of death. Thus, despite advancements in RA management during recent years, increased efforts to prevent disease progression and comorbidity, from disease onset, are needed.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
NÁDIA CRISTINA PINHEIRO RODRIGUES ◽  
Gisele O’Dwyer ◽  
Mônica Kramer de Noronha Andrade ◽  
Denise Leite Maia Monteiro ◽  
Inês Reis Nascimento Reis ◽  
...  

Abstract Background. In Brazil, cancer is the second most common cause of death, and the most incident types of cancer are prostate, breast, lung, colon and rectum. This study aimed to analyze the role of period, geographic and socio demographic factors in cancer-related mortality by prostate, breast, cervix, colon, lung and esophagus cancer in Brazilians capitals from 2000 to 2015. Methods. Data from 2005-2015 cancer mortality and resident population were collected from Information Technology Department of the Brazilian Unified Health System (DATASUS), the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) and the Brazilian Mortality Information (SIM). State capitals were the study’s analytic units. A multilevel Poisson model was used to estimate the adjusted risk of cancer mortality (prostate, breast, cervix, colon, lung and esophageal cancers). The adjusted models included the following variables as fixed effects: age, Gross Domestic Product, region, year squared and year of death. Results. A statistically significant difference was found between mortality rates by gender for colon, lung and esophageal cancers. The highest mortality rates were observed in the older age group, especially for prostate and lung cancers, which values were higher than 100 deaths per 100,000. Comparing with those aged 40-59 years, men older than 59 years showed 47 times higher mortality risk for prostate cancer, 8-9 times higher for lung or colon cancers and four times higher for esophageal cancer. Compared with those aged 40-59 years, women older than 59 years old showed 5-7 times higher mortality risk for esophageal, lung or colon cancers and 2-3 times higher for breast or cervix cancers. Conclusions. Colon cancer mortality rate increased from 2000 to 2015 for both genders, while breast and lung cancers mortality increased over the period only for women. In both genders, the highest mortality risk for lung and esophageal cancers was observed in Southern capitals. Northern capitals had a lower risk of death by prostate and breast cancer and a higher risk of death by cervix cancer.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 141 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
William Boyer ◽  
Michael R Richardson ◽  
James R Churilla ◽  
Lindsay Toth ◽  
Eugene Fitzhugh ◽  
...  

Introduction: Previous studies have revealed a significant, inverse dose-response relationship between total activity counts/day (TAC/d) and several cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRF). An ongoing line of research is the examination of the contributions of behavioral, environmental, and physiological factors to CMRF differences across race-ethnicity. However, it is unknown if these differences exist among the most physically active adults. Hypothesis: Among the most active U.S. adults, we hypothesize that CMRF measures will differ across race-ethnic groups. Methods: Study sample (n=1,059) included adult (20-79 years of age) participants from the 2003-2006 NHANES who wore an ActiGraph model 7164 accelerometer on the right hip. The top quartile of accelerometer-derived age- and gender-specific TAC/d was used as a cutpoint to define the “most active”. All participants were without T2D (fasting glucose <126 mg/dL, no medication, no self-reported diagnosis) and without CVD (self-report). CMRF included HOMA-IR, fasting insulin and glucose, systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), HDL, LDL, triglycerides, BMI, waist circumference (WC) and C-reactive protein (CRP). Multiple linear regression was used to examine CMRF differences between non-Hispanic white (NHW), non-Hispanic black (NHB) and Mexican American (MA) participants. Regression models were adjusted for age, sex, education, smoking, wear time, BMI (except BMI and WC models), objectively-measure MVPA (≥760 counts/min) and race-ethnicity. Results: No significant differences were found in mean TAC/d across race-ethnicity. When compared to NHW, NHB had significantly higher HOMA-IR, fasting insulin, SBP, WC, and BMI. Compared to NHW, MA had significantly higher HOMA-IR, fasting insulin, triglycerides, WC and BMI. When comparing NHB to MA, MA had significantly higher triglycerides and HDL and significantly lower SBP. Conclusions: It has been proposed that the race-ethnic differences in PA participation could be contributing to disparities in elevated CMRF, but even among U.S. adults in the 75th percentile for total activity volume (i.e. TAC/d), race-ethnic differences in CMRF still exist. It is probable that other social, environmental, and genetic factors are responsible for moderating the beneficial effects PA has on CMRF specifically among NHB and MA adults.


Author(s):  
Jeffrey Hall ◽  
Ramal Moonesinghe ◽  
Karen Bouye ◽  
Ana Penman-Aguilar

The value of disaggregating non-metropolitan and metropolitan area deaths in illustrating place-based health effects is evident. However, how place interacts with characteristics such as race/ethnicity has been less firmly established. This study compared socioeconomic characteristics and age-adjusted mortality rates by race/ethnicity in six rurality designations and assessed the contributions of mortality rate disparities between non-Hispanic blacks (NHBs) and non-Hispanic whites (NHWs) in each designation to national disparities. Compared to NHWs, age-adjusted mortality rates for: (1) NHBs were higher for all causes (combined), heart disease, malignant neoplasms, and cerebrovascular disease; (2) American Indian and Alaska Natives were significantly higher for all causes in rural areas; (3) Asian Pacific islanders and Hispanics were either lower or not significantly different in all areas for all causes combined and all leading causes of death examined. The largest contribution to the U.S. disparity in mortality rates between NHBs and NHWs originated from large central metropolitan areas. Place-based variations in mortality rates and disparities may reflect resource, and access inequities that are often greater and have greater health consequences for some racial/ethnic populations than others. Tailored, systems level actions may help eliminate mortality disparities existing at intersections between race/ethnicity and place.


1988 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 947-951 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. C. Patton

SynopsisCrude mortality rates and mortality rates standardized against a British reference population have been calculated for a group of 460 consecutive patients with eating disorders seen between 1971 and 1981 in a tertiary referral centre for eating disorders. Crude mortality rates were 3·3% and 3·1% in the anorexia nervosa and bulimia nervosa groups respectively. Standardized rates demonstrated a six-fold increase in mortality in the anorexia nervosa group. The most common cause of death in this group was found to be suicide, with the risk of death remaining high for at least eight years after initial assessment. Specific associations of increased mortality were: being in the lowest weight group at the time of presentation, and having recurrent hospital admissions for eating problems.


2018 ◽  
Vol 100 (3) ◽  
pp. 172-177 ◽  
Author(s):  
A Sudlow ◽  
H Tuffaha ◽  
AT Stearns ◽  
IA Shaikh

Introduction An increasing proportion of the population is living into their nineties and beyond. These high risk patients are now presenting more frequently to both elective and emergency surgical services. There is limited research looking at outcomes of general surgical procedures in nonagenarians and centenarians to guide surgeons assessing these cases. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted of all patients aged ≥90 years undergoing elective and emergency general surgical procedures at a tertiary care facility between 2009 and 2015. Vascular, breast and endocrine procedures were excluded. Patient demographics and characteristics were collated. Primary outcomes were 30-day and 90-day mortality rates. The impact of ASA (American Society of Anesthesiologists) grade, operation severity and emergency presentation was assessed using multivariate analysis. Results Overall, 161 patients (58 elective, 103 emergency) were identified for inclusion in the study. The mean patient age was 92.8 years (range: 90–106 years). The 90-day mortality rates were 5.2% and 19.4% for elective and emergency procedures respectively (p=0.013). The median survival was 29 and 19 months respectively (p=0.001). Emergency and major gastrointestinal operations were associated with a significant increase in mortality. Patients undergoing emergency major colonic or upper gastrointestinal surgery had a 90-day mortality rate of 53.8%. Conclusions The risk for patients aged over 90 years having an elective procedure differs significantly in the short term from those having emergency surgery. In selected cases, elective surgery carries an acceptable mortality risk. Emergency surgery is associated with a significantly increased risk of death, particularly after major gastrointestinal resections.


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