Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) Based on Leak Detection Criteria (LDC) Design for a Subsea Oil Export Pipeline

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohd Fauzi Badaruddin ◽  
Fangyuan Zhang ◽  
Yong Bai
Keyword(s):  
Oil Spill ◽  
Leak Detection ◽  
Quantitative Risk Assessment ◽  
Marine Park ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
Response Team ◽  
Volume Response ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Near Future

A QRA based LDC design for a proposed sub-sea oil export pipeline is presented in this paper as an example to reveal how to perform the QRA/LDC study in practical projects. The authors are now dedicated to a pipeline QRA/RBI program development, which will be issued in the near future. The object of QRA/LDC study is to determine if the current leak detection philosophy excluding the use of statistical leak detection is sufficient, based on QRA results; if not, an appropriate LDC will be established. The QRA assessment will determine the frequency of leaks, leak volume, response time and Shoreline/Marine Park infected oil quantity. All of the risk assessments in this paper have been done for the comparison of two scenarios: with LDS and without LDS, in order to find out the benefits of statistical LDS installation. And the result has revealed that the use of statistical LDS can largely reduce the oil spill volume. Thus, a suitable LDS is recommended to be installed to reduce the impact of oil spill consequences. A sound LDC has been defined based on QRA study results and comments form various LDS vendors in this paper to assist the Emergency Response Team (ERT) to quickly identify, locate and employ a mitigation measure to contain the damage in case a leak incident occurs.

scholarly journals The effect of climate change and emission scenarios on ozone concentrations over Belgium: a high-resolution model study for policy support

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 5893-5904 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Lauwaet ◽  
P. Viaene ◽  
E. Brisson ◽  
N.P.M. van Lipzig ◽  
T. van Noije ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Emission Scenario ◽  
Emission Scenarios ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Near Future ◽  
Surface O3

Abstract. Belgium is one of the areas within Europe experiencing the highest levels of air pollution. A high-resolution (3 km) modelling experiment is employed to provide guidance to policymakers about expected air quality changes in the near future (2026–2035). The regional air quality model AURORA (Air quality modelling in Urban Regions using an Optimal Resolution Approach), driven by output from a regional climate model, is used to simulate several 10-year time slices to investigate the impact of climatic changes and different emission scenarios on near-surface O3 concentrations, one of the key indices for air quality. Evaluation of the model against measurements from 34 observation stations shows that the AURORA model is capable of reproducing 10-year mean concentrations, daily cycles and spatial patterns. The results for the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP)4.5 emission scenario indicate that the mean surface O3 concentrations are expected to increase significantly in the near future due to less O3 titration by reduced NOx emissions. Applying an alternative emission scenario for Europe is found to have only a minor impact on the overall concentrations, which are dominated by the background changes. Climate change alone has a much smaller effect on the near-surface O3 concentrations over Belgium than the projected emission changes. The very high horizontal resolution that is used in this study results in much improved spatial correlations and simulated peak concentrations compared to a standard 25 km simulation. An analysis of the number of peak episodes during summer revealed that the emission reductions in RCP4.5 result in a 25% decrease of these peak episodes.

scholarly journals Aggregated Risk Assessment and Survey for Risk Reduction in Oil Terminals

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (21) ◽  
pp. 12169
Author(s):  
Robertas Alzbutas ◽  
Mindaugas Vaisnoras ◽  
Inga Saruniene ◽  
Ricardas Krikstolaitis ◽  
Mindaugas Valincius ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Reduction ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Quantitative Risk Assessment ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Risk Aggregation ◽  
Risk Reduction Measures ◽  
The Impact

One of the goals of any oil terminal is to make a business while avoiding hazardous events and harmful effects for both humans and the environment. This can be achieved by creating a safe working place as well as by performing safe and acceptable activities regarding the impact on surrounding objects, including residential and industrial areas. The aim of the hazard analysis of the oil terminal is to assess the risks related to hazardous events or phenomena and to evaluate whether the assessed risks are acceptable. The hazard analysis and assessment of risk are also used for risk reduction while examining and limiting hazardous scenarios that, for instance, involve the loss-of-containment of flammable or combustible material. In this paper, the authors aim to contribute to risk research by providing a comprehensive methodology of risk assessment for oil terminals with case study results and discussion on features of the methodology, risk aggregation, its applicability for risk reduction, and industrial interests. The performed study considered the “Klaipedos Nafta AB” (an operator of the Klaipeda Oil Terminal, Lithuania) case study regarding hazardous materials that might be released from various tanks, devices, and associated pipelines. The performed quantitative risk assessment has enabled the determination of the probability regarding whether releases would ignite and, for instance, cause explosion. In the case study, the estimate of probability, i.e., the frequency, and the possible consequences of the hazardous events were evaluated, and both mitigation and risk reduction measures were also considered.

The Deepwater Horizon oil spill and factors associated with depressive symptoms among residents of the Mississippi Gulf Coast

2016 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 534-549 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joohee Lee ◽  
Tim Rehner ◽  
Hwanseok Choi ◽  
Alan Bougere ◽  
Tom Osowski
Keyword(s):  
Depressive Symptoms ◽  
Oil Spill ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Deepwater Horizon ◽  
Physical Symptoms ◽  
Psychological Effects ◽  
Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of the paper is to extend prior research on the psychological effects of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill disaster by developing and testing a conceptual model in which exposure to the oil spill through clean-up activity, physical symptoms, worry about the impact of the oil spill on health, and the disruption of the gulf/ocean-related lifestyle were hypothesized as predictors of depressive symptoms. Design/methodology/approach – The analysis included a randomly selected sample of 354 subjects from the three most Southern Mississippi counties. The Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale was used to measure depressive symptoms. Findings – Results indicated that physical symptoms since the oil spill were related to depressive symptoms directly and indirectly through worry about the impact of the oil spill on health and the disruption of the gulf/ocean-related lifestyle. Worry about the impact of the oil spill on health was related to depressive symptoms directly and indirectly through the disruption of the gulf/ocean-related lifestyle. Originality/value – Study results highlight that uncertainty and worry about the impact of the disaster played a critical role in understanding the psychological effects of the oil spill disaster, especially among coastal residents whose lifestyles were bound up with the gulf/ocean.

Analysis of Oil Spill Risk in DP Shuttle Tanker Direct Offloading Operations

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haibo Chen ◽  
Torgeir Moan ◽  
Arve Lerstad ◽  
Ka˚re Breivik
Keyword(s):  
Oil Spill ◽  
Weak Link ◽  
Base Case ◽  
Frequency Model ◽  
Offshore Installations ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Loading System ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
History Of ◽  
Risk Reduction Measures

DP shuttle tankers performing offloading directly from fixed or geostationary floating offshore installations is addressed in this paper. It is important to ensure that disconnection of offloading hose can be achieved in time given shuttle tanker DP failure and position loss. The accident scenario is the hose fail-to-disconnect while shuttle tanker has an excessive position excursion. The consequence can be oil spill combined with the damage the offloading system. The spill amount can be as much as the crude oil volume in the hose, or over 1000 m3 if isolation and shutdown of oil export pump on the installation are not achieved timely. Various barriers to prevent oil spill have been developed over the past 30 years’ history of shuttle tanker offshore loading. However, the direct offloading is a new operational context to the traditional offloading. A quantitative frequency model for oil spill initiated by DP shuttle tanker position loss in direct offloading is presented in this paper. Case study results show that in the base case where only traditional barriers are used, the frequency for large oil spill up to 1000 m3 or more may reach 2.48E−03 per year, given 20 hours offloading cargo transfer time and 52 times offloadings per year. This frequency is not negligible, and risk reduction measures are viewed necessary. Novel safety barriers, i.e. Automatic Shutdown and Release (ASDR), as well as the HPR (Hydroacoustic Position Reference) and BLS (Bow Loading System) weak link mode, are analyzed as sensitivity cases. Results show that the frequency of large oil spill can then be reduced to 3.81E−05 per year, i.e. 1.5% of the base case value, and this is well within 1.0E−04 per year level. Recommendations to minimize oil spill risk during DP shuttle tanker direct offloading operations are proposed in this paper.

Quantitative risk assessment & leak detection criteria for a subsea oil export pipeline

2009 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 168-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fang-yuan Zhang ◽  
Yong Bai ◽  
Mohd Fauzi Badaruddin ◽  
Suhartodjo Tuty
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Leak Detection ◽  
Quantitative Risk Assessment ◽  
Oil Export

scholarly journals An Empirical Study of Additional Stopover Behaviors of Car Tourists Affecting by Traffic Congestion Information Using Mobile Probe Data

2020 ◽  
pp. 6-11
Author(s):  
Yiping Le ◽  
◽  
Saizo Aoyagi ◽  
Kazuki Takahashi
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Leisure Activities ◽  
Trajectory Data ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Departure Time ◽  
Search Data ◽  
Tourism Information ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Near Future ◽  
Route Search

Car tourists may make some additional stopovers for sightseeing, meal, shopping, or leisure activities which is not originally planned, to avoid becoming involved in the traffic congestion occurring on the homeward route. The objective of this paper is to examine whether this induced stopover behavior exists and to empirically analyze the tendency of additional stopovers by departure time periods for homeward trip and level of traffic congestions. An analysis of route search data and GPS travel trajectory data collected by mobile car navigation application is conducted. The study results show car tourists tend to have additional stopovers when the departure time for homeward trip is early, and differences in the tendency of additional stopovers by congestion levels are observed, implying the impact of traffic congestion on additional stopover behaviors to some extent. The study results suggest the possibility of promoting additional stopovers in tourism areas for congestion avoidance by providing predicted near future traffic congestion and surrounding tourism information, which is beneficial to both tourism promotion and traffic congestion mitigation.

Offshore Arctic Pipeline Oil Spill Risk Assessment

2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Dinovitzer ◽  
G. Comfort ◽  
R. Lazor ◽  
D. Hinnah
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Oil Spill ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Leak Detection ◽  
Hazard Identification ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Quantitative Risk Assessment ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Upheaval Buckling ◽  
Operational Failures

While offshore arctic pipelines have been under consideration for more than 25 years, few have been built. Renewed interest in offshore arctic oil and gas has necessitated the design of pipelines capable of both overcoming the technical challenges of the arctic offshore environment and minimizing the risk to it. This paper describes a quantitative risk assessment completed by BMT Fleet Technology Limited on the risk of an oil spill for several design alternatives of the proposed Liberty Pipeline that would be used to transport oil onshore from a production site in the Alaskan Beaufort Sea. For the purposes of the study, risk was defined as the volume of oil expected to be released over the planned pipeline 20-year life. The investigation considered the risks associated with ice gouging, strudel scour, permafrost thaw subsidence, operational failures, corrosion, third party activities and thermal loads leading to upheaval buckling. Event probabilities for these hazards were established through the development of event trees used to combine historic operational failure statistics and those estimated through engineering analysis. A pipeline leakage consequence model was developed to quantify the oil volume released during pipeline failure events associated with rupture, through-wall cracking and pinhole leaks. The model considered secondary containment and the expected performance of leak detection and monitoring systems. The time to leak detection, shut down, and line evacuation were used in estimating the total spill volumes. The paper provides an overview of primary elements of the risk assessment including the hazard identification, reliability analysis and consequence modeling, and describes the challenges involved in this comparative risk analysis completed for this unique environment.

Syrian Crisis and Migration

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 181-192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pinar Yazgan ◽  
Deniz Eroglu Utku ◽  
Ibrahim Sirkeci
Keyword(s):  
Human Mobility ◽  
Special Issue ◽  
Host Countries ◽  
Syrian Crisis ◽  
Mass Migration ◽  
Large Numbers ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Europe Today ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Near Future

With the growing insurrections in Syria in 2011, an exodus in large numbers have emerged. The turmoil and violence have caused mass migration to destinations both within the region and beyond. The current "refugee crisis" has escalated sharply and its impact is widening from neighbouring countries toward Europe. Today, the Syrian crisis is the major cause for an increase in displacement and the resultant dire humanitarian situation in the region. Since the conflict shows no signs of abating in the near future, there is a constant increase in the number of Syrians fleeing their homes. However, questions on the future impact of the Syrian crisis on the scope and scale of this human mobility are still to be answered. As the impact of the Syrian crisis on host countries increases, so does the demand for the analyses of the needs for development and protection in these countries. In this special issue, we aim to bring together a number of studies examining and discussing human mobility in relation to the Syrian crisis.

Income Diversification and Bank Efficiency in Vietnam

2017 ◽  
pp. 52-67
Author(s):  
Sang Nguyen Minh
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Operational Efficiency ◽  
Commercial Banking ◽  
Tobit Regression ◽  
Income Diversification ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Impact

This study uses the DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) method to estimate the technical efficiency index of 34 Vietnamese commercial banks in the period 2007-2015, and then it analyzes the impact of income diversification on the operational efficiency of Vietnamese commercial banks through a censored regression model - the Tobit regression model. Research results indicate that income diversification has positive effects on the operational efficiency of Vietnamese commercial banks in the research period. Based on study results, in this research some recommendations forpolicy are given to enhance the operational efficiency of Vietnam’s commercial banking system.

Some reflections on social structure: Theoretical and practical aspects

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 1063-1078
Author(s):  
T.N. Skorobogatova ◽  
I.Yu. Marakhovskaya
Keyword(s):  
Service Industry ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Social Infrastructure ◽  
Social Sphere ◽  
The Social ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Internal And External Factors ◽  
The Impact

Subject. This article discusses the role of social infrastructure in the national economy and analyzes the relationship between the notions of Infrastructure, Service Industry and Non-Productive Sphere. Objectives. The article aims to outline a methodology for development of the social infrastructure of Russia's regions. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of statistical and comparative analyses. The Republic of Crimea and Rostov Oblast's social infrastructure development was considered as a case study. Results. The article finds that the level of social infrastructure is determined by a number of internal and external factors. By analyzing and assessing such factors, it is possible to develop promising areas for the social sphere advancement. Conclusions. Assessment and analysis of internal factors largely determined by the region's characteristics, as well as a comprehensive consideration of the impact of external factors will help ensure the competitiveness of the region's economy.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document