Changes in Arrest Rate as a Function of Probation and Participant Criminal History Risk: Does Probation Work Best With Lower Risk Probationers?

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 748-764 ◽  
Author(s):  
Glenn D. Walters

The purpose of this study was to determine whether criminal history risk moderates the effect of probation on future reoffending. A sample of 327 participants from the 1997 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY97) who had been on probation were compared with 327 propensity score matched members of the NLSY97 who had been arrested but not placed on probation. Probation and arrest data analyzed between 1999 and 2008 failed to support the presence of an overall effect for probation. When the sample was divided into higher criminal history risk (one or more prior arrests) and lower criminal history risk (no prior arrests), however, probation was found to reduce recidivism in the lower criminal history risk group but not in the higher criminal history risk group. Accordingly, probation appeared to have a small but significant ameliorative effect on future offending in lower criminal history risk offenders.

Author(s):  
Anita Minh ◽  
Ute Bültmann ◽  
Sijmen A. Reijneveld ◽  
Sander K. R. van Zon ◽  
Christopher B. McLeod

Adolescent depressive symptoms are risk factors for lower education and unemployment in early adulthood. This study examines how the course of symptoms from ages 16–25 influences early adult education and employment in Canada and the USA. Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth (n = 2348) and the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 79 Child/Young Adult (n = 3961), four trajectories (low-stable; increasing; decreasing; and increasing then decreasing, i.e., mid-peak) were linked to five outcomes (working with a post-secondary degree; a high school degree; no degree; in school; and NEET, i.e., not in employment, education, or training). In both countries, increasing, decreasing, and mid-peak trajectories were associated with higher odds of working with low educational credentials, and/or NEET relative to low-stable trajectories. In Canada, however, all trajectories had a higher predicted probability of either being in school or working with a post-secondary degree than the other outcomes; in the USA, all trajectory groups were most likely to be working with a high school degree. Higher depressive symptom levels at various points between adolescent and adulthood are associated with working with low education and NEET in Canada and the USA, but Canadians are more likely to have better education and employment outcomes.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 751-751
Author(s):  
Jianyun Wang ◽  
Renyao Zhong ◽  
Yaolin Pei ◽  
Bei Wu

Abstract This study aimed to examine the trajectory of depressive symptoms among Chinese older adults with disabilities and the role of adult children’s support in predicting trajectory classes of depressive symptoms. Data were drawn from three waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2011-2015). The sample included 1420 disabled older adults age 60+ at the baseline and completed all three waves of the data. Growth mixture model shows two-class depressive symptoms trajectories: the higher risk group (25.49%) and the lower risk group (74.51%). Logistic regression results showed that respondents who received a longer term of adult children’s instrumental support were more likely to be classified in a higher risk group after controlling the covariates (OR=1.184, p<0.05), while financial support and the frequency of contacts were not associated with the increased level of depressive symptoms. The policy implications were also discussed in this study.


ILR Review ◽  
1992 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 435-448 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles A. Register ◽  
Donald R. Williams

Using data on marijuana and cocaine use from the 1984 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, the authors examine the hypothesis that drug use reduces labor market productivity, as measured by wages. From an analysis that controls for the probability of employment and the endogeneity of drug use, they find that although long-term and on-the-job use of marijuana negatively affected wages, the net productivity effect for all marijuana users (both those who engaged in long-term or on-the-job use and those who did not) was positive. No statistically significant association was found between cocaine use and productivity.


2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 264-268
Author(s):  
Tom Perks

Building upon prior theoretical and empirical work, this study explores the sport participation trajectories of children across different socio-economic status (SES) categories to assess the possibility of changes in the SES-sport participation relationship as children age. Using representative panel data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth, a multilevel analysis of 4,858 children aged 6 to 9 suggests that as children age the SES effect on sport participation persists over time. However, the SES effect on sport participation appears to have relatively small predictive import compared to other factors.


ILR Review ◽  
1994 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 454-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Kaestner

Using the 1984 and 1988 waves of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, this study provides an update of several previous cross-sectional estimates of the effect of illicit drug use on wages, as well as the first longitudinal estimates of that effect. The cross-sectional results, which are generally consistent with the surprising findings of previous research, suggest that illicit drug use has a large, positive effect on wages. The longitudinal estimates, which control for unobserved heterogeneity in the sample, are mixed: among men, the estimated wage effects of both marijuana and cocaine use are negative, but among women, the effect of cocaine use remains positive and large. Because the longitudinal model is imprecisely estimated, however, those results are inconclusive.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sharen Lee ◽  
Jiandong Zhou ◽  
Carlin Chang ◽  
Tong Liu ◽  
Dong Chang ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundSGLT2I and DPP4I are medications prescribed for type 2 diabetes mellitus patients. However, there are few population-based studies comparing their effects on incident atrial fibrillation or ischemic stroke.MethodsThis was a territory-wide cohort study of type 2 diabetes mellitus patients prescribed SGLT2I or DPP4I between January 1st, 2015 to December 31st, 2019 in Hong Kong. Patients with both DPP4I and SGLT2I use and patients with drug discontinuation were excluded. Patients with prior AF or stroke were excluded for the respective analysis. 1:2 propensity-score matching was conducted for demographics, past comorbidities and medications using nearest-neighbor matching method. Cox models were used to identify significant predictors for new onset heart failure (HF) or myocardial infarction (MI), cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.ResultsThe AF-free cohort included 49108 patients (mean age: 66.48 years old [SD: 12.89], 55.32% males) and the stroke-free cohort included 49563 patients (27244 males [54.96%], mean baseline age: 66.7 years old [SD: 12.97, max: 104.6 years old]). After propensity score matching, SGLT2i use was associated with a lower risk of new onset AF (HR: 0.43[0.28, 0.66]), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.79[0.58, 1.09]) and all-cause mortality (HR: 0.69[0.60, 0.79]) in the AF-free cohort. It was also associated with a lower risk of new onset stroke (0.46[0.33, 0.64]), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.74[0.55, 1.00]) and all-cause mortality (HR: 0.64[0.56, 0.74]) in the stroke-free cohort.ConclusionsThe novelty of our work si that SGLT2 inhibitors are protective against atrial fibrillation and stroke development for the first time. These findings should be validated in other cohorts.


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