scholarly journals Factors influencing recurrence after complete remission in children with hepatoblastoma: A 14-year retrospective study in China

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (11) ◽  
pp. e0259503
Author(s):  
Fan Li ◽  
Weiling Zhang ◽  
Huimin Hu ◽  
Xia Zhu ◽  
Yi Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Retrospective Study ◽  
Complete Remission ◽  
Metastatic Disease ◽  
Tumor Recurrence ◽  
Surgical Margin ◽  
Margin Status ◽  
Vascular Involvement ◽  
Pathological Type ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Objective After a complete remission to treatment for hepatoblastoma, some children still have recurrence. We identified and explored the factors that influence recurrence after complete remission in a retrospective study. Methods Of 197 children with hepatoblastoma, 140 (71.1%) achieved initial complete remission and were enrolled in factor analysis. Variables consisted of age, sex, PRE-Treatment EXTent of tumor (PRETEXT) stage, pathologic type, metastatic disease, serum alpha-fetoprotein level, vascular involvement, and surgical margin status. We employed univariate and multivariate analyses to assess the relationship between each factor and tumor recurrence. Results Of 140 children who achieved initial complete remission, 42 (30%) had recurrent hepatoblastoma. The 5-year overall survival rates for the non-recurrence and recurrence group were 99.0% and 78.6%, respectively. The overall 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were 77.8%, 69.8%, and 69.8%, respectively. All recurrences occurred within 2 years from complete remission. The RFS rate was significantly higher in children younger than 3 years and in those with mixed pathological type, PRETEXT II and III, without metastatic disease, without vascular involvement, and microscopic negative margin than in that of children older than 3 years, with epithelial pathological type, PRETEXT IV, metastatic disease, vascular involvement, and macroscopic positive margin (P < 0.001, = 0.020, < 0.001, = 0.004, = 0.002, and < 0.001, respectively). The independent risk factors for recurrence after complete remission were age ≥3 years, PRETEXT IV, and metastatic disease (P < 0.05). Conclusion Age, PRETEXT stage, metastatic disease, vascular involvement, pathologic type, and surgical margin status might be associated with recurrent hepatoblastoma after complete remission; meanwhile, age ≥3 years, PRETEXT IV, and metastatic disease are independent risk factors of recurrence. Further research is needed on the causes of tumor recurrence, which may improve the long-term outcomes of children with hepatoblastoma.

scholarly journals Pathological features of lymph nodes around inferior mesenteric artery in rectal cancer: a retrospective study

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunhui Jiang ◽  
Ye Liu ◽  
Chunjie Xu ◽  
Yanying Shen ◽  
Qing Xu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Rectal Cancer ◽  
Lymph Nodes ◽  
Mesenteric Artery ◽  
Inferior Mesenteric Artery ◽  
Anal Verge ◽  
T Stage ◽  
Pathological Type ◽  
Nerve Invasion ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Abstract Objective This study aimed to explore the pathological characteristics of lymph nodes around inferior mesenteric artery in rectal cancer and its risk factors and its impact on tumor staging. Methods 485 rectal cancer patients underwent proctectomy surgery were collected in this study. Clinical features of patients, including gender, age, BMI, tumor size, pathological type, differentiation, nerve invasion, lymph nodes, tumor marker, and pathological examinations, were analyzed. Results A total of 485 cases were included in this study. There were 29 cases with IMA-LN metastasis; the metastasis rate was 5.98% (29/485). Positive IMA-LNs were associated with distance from anal verge, CEA, pathological type, differentiation, nerve invasion, T stage, and N stage. Multivariate analysis showed that distance from anal verge, CEA level, differentiation, and T stage were independent risk factors for positive IMA-LNs. Conclusion Distance from anal verge, CEA level, differentiation, and T stage were independent risk factors for positive IMA-LNs. No skip metastasis occurred in IMA-LNs. We should choose the appropriate surgical methods to achieve better oncological results and reduce the incidence of postoperative complications.

scholarly journals Clinical Significance of CYFRA21-1, AFP, CA-153, CEA, and CA-199 in the Diagnosis of Lung Cancer Ocular Metastasis in Hypertension Population

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Tang ◽  
Qian-Min Ge ◽  
Rong Huang ◽  
Hui-Ye Shu ◽  
Ting Su ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Lung Cancer ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Sensitivity And Specificity ◽  
Cancer Metastasis ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Diagnostic Value ◽  
Ca 125 ◽  
Pathological Type ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Purpose: To detect lung metastases, we conducted a retrospective study to improve patient prognosis.Methods: Hypertension patients with ocular metastases (OM group; n = 58) and without metastases (NM group; n = 1,217) were selected from individuals with lung cancer admitted to our hospital from April 2005 to October 2019. The clinical characteristics were compared by Student's t-test and chi-square test. Independent risk factors were identified by binary logistic regression, and their diagnostic value evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.Results: Age and sex did not differ significantly between OM and NM groups; There were significant differences in pathological type and treatment. Adenocarcinoma was the main pathological type in the OM group (67.24%), while squamous cell carcinoma was the largest proportion (46.43%) in the NM group, followed by adenocarcinoma (34.10%). The OM group were treated with chemotherapy (55.17%), while the NM group received both chemotherapy (39.93%) and surgical treatment (37.06%). Significant differences were detected in the concentrations of cancer antigen (CA)−125, CA-199, CA-153, alpha fetoprotein (AFP), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cytokeratin fraction 21-1 (CYFRA21-1), total prostate-specific antigen, alkaline phosphatase, and hemoglobin (Student's t-test). Binary logistic regression analysis indicated that CA-199, CA-153, AFP, CEA, and CYRFA21-1 were independent risk factors for lung cancer metastasis. AFP (98.3%) and CEA (89.3%) exhibited the highest sensitivity and specificity, respectively, while CYRFA21-1 had the highest area under the ROC curve value (0.875), with sensitivity and specificity values of 77.6 and 87.0%, respectively. Hence, CYFRA21-1 had the best diagnostic value.

scholarly journals Age-Related Risk Factors and Complications of Patients With COVID-19: A Population-Based Retrospective Study

2022 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han Zhang ◽  
Yingying Wu ◽  
Yuqing He ◽  
Xingyuan Liu ◽  
Mingqian Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Retrospective Study ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Clinical Manifestations ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Male Gender ◽  
Poor Correlation ◽  
Age Related ◽  
Related Risk ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Objective: To study the differences in clinical characteristics, risk factors, and complications across age-groups among the inpatients with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).Methods: In this population-based retrospective study, we included all the positive hospitalized patients with COVID-19 at Wuhan City from December 29, 2019 to April 15, 2020, during the first pandemic wave. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to explore the risk factors for death from COVID-19. Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) was performed to study the associations between comorbidities and complications.Results: There are 36,358 patients in the final cohort, of whom 2,492 (6.85%) died. Greater age (odds ration [OR] = 1.061 [95% CI 1.057–1.065], p &lt; 0.001), male gender (OR = 1.726 [95% CI 1.582–1.885], p &lt; 0.001), alcohol consumption (OR = 1.558 [95% CI 1.355–1.786], p &lt; 0.001), smoking (OR = 1.326 [95% CI 1.055–1.652], p = 0.014), hypertension (OR = 1.175 [95% CI 1.067–1.293], p = 0.001), diabetes (OR = 1.258 [95% CI 1.118–1.413], p &lt; 0.001), cancer (OR = 1.86 [95% CI 1.507–2.279], p &lt; 0.001), chronic kidney disease (CKD) (OR = 1.745 [95% CI 1.427–2.12], p &lt; 0.001), and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) (OR = 1.96 [95% CI 1.323–2.846], p = 0.001) were independent risk factors for death from COVID-19. Patients aged 40–80 years make up the majority of the whole patients, and them had similar risk factors with the whole patients. For patients aged &lt;40 years, only cancer (OR = 17.112 [95% CI 6.264–39.73], p &lt; 0.001) and ICH (OR = 31.538 [95% CI 5.213–158.787], p &lt; 0.001) were significantly associated with higher odds of death. For patients aged &gt;80 years, only age (OR = 1.033 [95% CI 1.008–1.059], p = 0.01) and male gender (OR = 1.585 [95% CI 1.301–1.933], p &lt; 0.001) were associated with higher odds of death. The incidence of most complications increases with age, but arrhythmias, gastrointestinal bleeding, and sepsis were more common in younger deceased patients with COVID-19, with only arrhythmia reaching statistical difference (p = 0.039). We found a relatively poor correlation between preexisting risk factors and complications.Conclusions: Coronavirus disease 2019 are disproportionally affected by age for its clinical manifestations, risk factors, complications, and outcomes. Prior complications have little effect on the incidence of extrapulmonary complications.

Profiling of the Risk Factors and Designing of a Model to Identify Ischemic Stroke in Patients with Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

2020 ◽  
Vol 83 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-48
Author(s):  
Yunfei Wei ◽  
Qingqing Yang ◽  
Qixiong Qin ◽  
Ya Chen ◽  
Xuemei Quan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Retrospective Study ◽  
Hodgkin Lymphoma ◽  
Multiple Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Elevated Serum ◽  
Non Hodgkin Lymphoma ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Identification Model ◽  
D Dimer

Background: The occurrence of ischemic stroke in patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) is not well understood. This study aimed to determine independent risk factors to identity ischemic stroke in non-Hodgkin lymphoma-associated ischemic stroke (NHLAIS) patients. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted on NHLAIS patients and age- and gender-matched NHL patients. We collected clinical data of patients in both groups and used multiple logistic regression analysis to identify independent risk factors for NHLAIS. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to establish an identification model based on potential risk factors of NHLAIS. Results: Sixty-three NHLAIS patients and 63 NHL patients were enrolled. Stage III/IV (58/63, 92.1%) and multiple arterial infarcts (44/63, 69.8%) were common among NHLAIS patients. Notably, NHLAIS patients had higher levels of serum fibrinogen (FIB), D-dimer, and ferritin (SF) and prolonged thromboplastin time and prothrombin time (PT) compared with NHL patients (all p < 0.05). Elevated FIB, D-dimer, and SF and prolonged PT were independent risk factors for NHLAIS. The area under the ROC curve of the identification model of NHLAIS patients was largest compared to that of other risk factors (0.838, 95% confidence interval: 0.759–0.899) (p < 0.05). Conclusion: This study reveals that elevated serum FIB, D-dimer, and SF and prolonged PT are potential independent risk factors of NHLAIS. The identification model established in this study may help monitor NHL patients who are at high risk of developing NHLAIS.

scholarly journals Analysis of factors related to recurrence of paediatric hepatoblastoma -A single centre retrospective study

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Yang ◽  
Yiwei Chen ◽  
Yijin Huang ◽  
Huanmin Wang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Retrospective Study ◽  
Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy ◽  
Tumor Recurrence ◽  
Tumour Size ◽  
Alpha Fetoprotein ◽  
Therapeutic Effects ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Prognostic Risk Factors

Abstract Purpose: This study was performed to identify risk factors associated with recurrence of hepatoblastoma. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on 56 patients with hepatoblastoma from 2012 to 2015 in Beijing Children’s Hospital. PRETEXT stage, serum alpha fetoprotein (AFP) value, change trend of tumors after treatment and some other clinical characteristics were collected and analyzed. The comparison of independent variables that were not distributed normally was performed with the log-rank test. Results: 28 patients with tumor recurrence and 28 non-recurrence patients were included in this study, the median age at presentation was 46.5 (26, 71.5) months. There was a significant difference in the 3-year recurrence free survival (RFS) probability between the patients over 54 months and those younger than 54 months (p=0.007). After neoadjuvant chemotherapy, the chance of recurrence in PR patients was shown to be significantly lower than that in SD patients (p=0.004). The 3-year RFS of patients with a decrease in AFP of more than 60% after neoadjuvant chemotherapy was significantly higher than that of patients with a decrease rate of less than 60% (p=0.005). Postoperative follow-up revealed that patients whose postoperative AFP fell to normal levels within six months of the start of treatment had a three-year RFS of 68.6%, which is higher than that of patients whose AFP fell below the normal range after six months (p=0.0005). Finally, multivariate analysis by Cox regression showed that AFP that decreased by less than 60% and tumour size that decreased by less than 50% after neoadjuvant chemotherapy were significant independent prognostic risk factors for 3-year RFS. Other clinical features were not significantly associated with tumor recurrence in this study. Conclusion: Through this study, we concluded that the prognosis of childhood HB is related to the age at presentation and the response of chemotherapy. The results of the multivariate analysis showed that AFP that decreased by less than 60% and tumour size that decreased by less than 50% after neoadjuvant chemotherapy were significant independent prognostic risk factors. These findings can be helpful to evaluate therapeutic effects and predict prognosis. Key words: hepatoblastoma; alpha fetoprotein; risk factor

scholarly journals The Role of Lymph Node Dissection in Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: A Multicenter Retrospective Study. 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanjie Hu ◽  
Gang Xu ◽  
Shunda Du ◽  
Zhiwen Luo ◽  
Hong Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Lymph Node ◽  
Lymph Nodes ◽  
Lymph Node Dissection ◽  
Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma ◽  
Surgical Margin ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Positive Surgical Margin ◽  
Node Dissection ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Abstract BackgroundLymph node dissection (LND) is of great significance in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). Although the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines recommend routine LND in ICC, the effects of LND remains controversial. This study aimed to explore the role and application of LND in ICC.MethodsPatients were identified in two Chinese academic centers. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to reduce bias. Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).ResultsOf 232 patients, 177 (76.3%) underwent LND, and 71 (40.1%) had metastatic lymph nodes. A minimum of 6 lymph nodes were dissected in 66 patients (37.3%). LND did not improve the prognosis of ICC. LNM >3 may have worse OS and DFS than LNM 1-3, especially in the LND >=6 group. For nLND patients, the adjuvant treatment group had better OS and DFS.ConclusionsCA 19-9, CEA, operative time, positive surgical margin, and T stage were independent risk factors for OS; CEA and differentiation were independent risk factors for DFS. LND has no definite predictive effect on prognosis. Patients with 4 or more LNMs may have a worse prognosis than patients with 1-3 LNMs. Adjuvant therapy may benefit patients of nLND.

scholarly journals ENDOSCOPIC PIECEMEAL RESECTION OF LARGE BENIGN COLORECTAL NEOPLASIA: RESULTS OF A RUSSIAN MULTICENTER STUDY

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-79
Author(s):  
D. V. Zavyalov ◽  
S. V. Kashin ◽  
E. R. Olevskaya ◽  
S. V. Molchanov ◽  
E. A. Fedorova ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Retrospective Study ◽  
Tumor Recurrence ◽  
Colorectal Neoplasia ◽  
Postoperative Bleeding ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Inverse Correlation ◽  
Male Gender ◽  
Intraoperative Bleeding ◽  
Piecemeal Resection

AIM: to assess the safety of endoscopic piecemeal mucosal resection (EPMR) of large epithelial colorectal lesions and to identify risk factors for tumor recurrence.PATIENTS AND METHODS: results of EPMR were evaluated in retrospective study, which was carried out in five regional endoscopic centers. The criterion for inclusion in the study was benign colorectal lesion of 20 mm and larger.RESULTS: we found that complications of EPMR occurred in 13% of cases. In 9.2% it was intraoperative bleeding, which was stopped endoscopically. Postoperative bleeding was detected in 1.2% of patients, perforation – in 2.4%. Tumor recurrence developed in 12%. We have revealed a direct correlation between tumor recurrence and intraoperative bleeding (p=0.013) and a size of lesion >4 cm (p=0.012); the inverse correlation between the tumor recurrence and the fullness of the lifting during the removal (p=0.008) and the male gender of the patient (p=0.043).CONCLUSION: significant risk factors of tumor recurrence after endoscopic piecemeal resection of large benign colorectal neoplasia were identified before the procedure (gender and tumor size) and intraoperatively (completeness of lifting and the intraoperative bleeding).

scholarly journals A Machine Learning Model to Predict Intravenous Immunoglobulin-Resistant Kawasaki Disease Patients: A Retrospective Study Based on the Chongqing Population

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Liu ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Haodong Huang ◽  
Yunting Wang ◽  
Zuyue Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Retrospective Study ◽  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Ivig Resistance ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Objective: We explored the risk factors for intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in children with Kawasaki disease (KD) and constructed a prediction model based on machine learning algorithms.Methods: A retrospective study including 1,398 KD patients hospitalized in 7 affiliated hospitals of Chongqing Medical University from January 2015 to August 2020 was conducted. All patients were divided into IVIG-responsive and IVIG-resistant groups, which were randomly divided into training and validation sets. The independent risk factors were determined using logistic regression analysis. Logistic regression nomograms, support vector machine (SVM), XGBoost and LightGBM prediction models were constructed and compared with the previous models.Results: In total, 1,240 out of 1,398 patients were IVIG responders, while 158 were resistant to IVIG. According to the results of logistic regression analysis of the training set, four independent risk factors were identified, including total bilirubin (TBIL) (OR = 1.115, 95% CI 1.067–1.165), procalcitonin (PCT) (OR = 1.511, 95% CI 1.270–1.798), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (OR = 1.013, 95% CI 1.008–1.018) and platelet count (PLT) (OR = 0.998, 95% CI 0.996–1). Logistic regression nomogram, SVM, XGBoost, and LightGBM prediction models were constructed based on the above independent risk factors. The sensitivity was 0.617, 0.681, 0.638, and 0.702, the specificity was 0.712, 0.841, 0.967, and 0.903, and the area under curve (AUC) was 0.731, 0.814, 0.804, and 0.874, respectively. Among the prediction models, the LightGBM model displayed the best ability for comprehensive prediction, with an AUC of 0.874, which surpassed the previous classic models of Egami (AUC = 0.581), Kobayashi (AUC = 0.524), Sano (AUC = 0.519), Fu (AUC = 0.578), and Formosa (AUC = 0.575).Conclusion: The machine learning LightGBM prediction model for IVIG-resistant KD patients was superior to previous models. Our findings may help to accomplish early identification of the risk of IVIG resistance and improve their outcomes.

scholarly journals A retrospective study of sepsis-associated encephalopathy: epidemiology, clinical features and adverse outcomes

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiayi Chen ◽  
Xiaobei Shi ◽  
Mengyuan Diao ◽  
Guangyong Jin ◽  
Ying Zhu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Retrospective Study ◽  
Clinical Features ◽  
Sofa Score ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Gastrointestinal Infections ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Poor Outcomes

Abstract Background Sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) is a common complication of sepsis that may result in worse outcomes. This study was designed to determine the epidemiology, clinical features, and risk factors of SAE. Methods This was a retrospective study of all patients with sepsis who were admitted to the Critical Care Medicine Department of Hangzhou First People’s Hospital Affiliated with Zhejiang University School of Medicine from January 2015 to December 2019. Results A total of 291 sepsis patients were screened, and 127 (43.6%) were diagnosed with SAE. There were significant differences in median age, proportion of underlying diseases such as hypertension, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, gastrointestinal infections, detection rate of Enterococcus, and 28-day mortality between the SAE and non-SAE groups. Both the SOFA score and APACHE II score were independent risk factors for SAE in patients with sepsis. All 127 SAE patients were divided into survival and non-survival groups. The age, SOFA score, and APACHE II score were independently associated with 28-day mortality in SAE patients. Conclusion In the present retrospective study, nearly half of patients with sepsis developed SAE, which was closely related to poor outcomes. Both the SOFA score and APACHE II score were independent risk factors for predicting the occurrence and adverse outcome of SAE.

Homocysteine: A novel prognostic biomarker in liver transplantation for alpha-fetoprotein- negative hepatocellular carcinoma

2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 197-206
Author(s):  
Modan Yang ◽  
Winyen Tan ◽  
Xinyu Yang ◽  
Jianyong Zhuo ◽  
Zuyuan Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Liver Transplantation ◽  
Tumor Recurrence ◽  
Prognostic Biomarker ◽  
Milan Criteria ◽  
Recurrence Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Hcc Recurrence

BACKGROUND: Precise recipient selection optimizes the prognosis of liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the most commonly used biomarker for diagnosis and prognosis of HCC in the clinical context. As a crucial molecule in methionine cycle, homocysteine (Hcy) level has been proved to be related to HCC progression and metastasis. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to explore the prognostic capacity of pre-transplant serum Hcy level in LT for HCC. METHODS: This study retrospectively enrolled 161 HCC patients who had underwent LT from donation after cardiac death (DCD) in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University from 2015.01.01 to 2018.09.01. Pre-transplant serum Hcy level was incorporated into statistical analysis together with other clinical parameters and pathological features. RESULTS: From an overall perspective, significant difference was observed in Hcy level between recurrence (n= 61) and non-recurrence group (n= 100) though subsequent analysis showed unsatisfactory predicting performance. In the whole cohort, multivariate analysis showed that lnAFP (p= 0.010) and Milan criteria (MC, p< 0.001) were independent risk factors of HCC recurrence after LT. MA score based on MC and lnAFP performed well in predicting post-LT tumor recurrence with the AUROC at 0.836 (p< 0.001) and 3-year recurrence-free survival rate at 96.8% (p< 0.001) in the low risk group (n= 69). According to the clinical practice, serum concentration lower than 20 μg/L is considered as normal range of AFP. Elevated pre-transplant serum AFP (> 20 μg/L) predicts high HCC recurrence after LT. We further divided the 161 recipients into AFP- group (n= 77, AFP ⩽ 20 μg/L) and AFP+ group (n= 84, AFP > 20 μg/L). MA score was still well presented in the AFP+ group and the AUROC for tumor recurrence was 0.823 (p< 0.001), whereas the predicting accuracy was reduced in AFP- group (AUROC: 0.754, P< 0.001). After subsequent analysis, we found that elevated pre-transplant Hcy level (> 12.75 μmol/L) predicted increased tumor recurrence risk in AFP- group. The 3-year recurrence-free survival rates were 92.0% and 53.7% (p< 0.001) in low Hcy subgroup (n= 40) and high Hcy subgroup (n= 37) respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that Hcy (p= 0.040) and Milan criteria (p= 0.003) were independent risk factors for post-transplant tumor recurrence in AFP- group. Further combination of Hcy level and Milan criteria identified a subgroup of AFP- recipients with acceptable outcomes even though beyond Milan criteria (3-year recurrence-free survival rate: 77.7%, p< 0.001). CONCLUSION: As a classic predictor in HCC prognosis, AFP performed well in our study cohort when combined with Milan criteria. Homocysteine was an effective prognostic biomarker in LT for AFP- hepatocellular carcinoma. In recipients exceeding Milan criteria, acceptable post-transplant outcome could be seen in those with low Hcy and AFP level.

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