Comparison of Midregional Pro–A-Type Natriuretic Peptide and the N-Terminal Pro–B-Type Natriuretic Peptide for Predicting Mortality and Cardiovascular Events

Abstract BACKGROUND N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) provides prognostic information on mortality and future cardiovascular events for individuals from the general population. A novel immunoassay was recently developed that measures a midregional fragment of pro–A-type natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP). We compared the capabilities of MR-proANP and NT-proBNP for predicting mortality and cardiovascular events in a population-based study. METHODS A total of 7819 patients participated in the population-based Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study, a prospective observational study. Three clinical end points were studied: all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cardiovascular events. After a median follow-up of 10.5 years, we used a Cox proportional hazards model to investigate the relationship between the 2 natriuretic peptides and the clinical end points. The Harrell C statistic and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to compare MR-proANP and NT-proBNP. RESULTS Increased plasma concentrations of both natriuretic peptides were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events, after adjustment for age, sex, and other cardiovascular risk factors. According to the Harrell C statistic analysis, the models with MR-proANP and NT-proBNP were comparable in predicting all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cardiovascular events. In contrast to NT-proBNP, MR-proANP was not independently related to cardiovascular mortality. In all models, the IDI was higher for NT-proBNP than for MR-proANP. CONCLUSIONS MR-proANP was as efficient as NT-proBNP in predicting all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cardiovascular events; however, its association with cardiovascular mortality was not independent from other confounders.

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Acute cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in patients with hyperthyroidism: a population-based cohort study

Acta Endocrinologica ◽

10.1530/eje-16-0576 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 176 (1) ◽

pp. 1-9 ◽

Cited By ~ 19

Author(s):

Olaf M Dekkers ◽

Erzsébet Horváth-Puhó ◽

Suzanne C Cannegieter ◽

Jan P Vandenbroucke ◽

Henrik Toft Sørensen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Population Based ◽

Arterial Embolism ◽

Registration System ◽

Increased Risk ◽

All Cause Mortality

Objective Several studies have shown an increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in hyperthyroidism, but most studies have been too small to address the effect of hyperthyroidism on individual cardiovascular endpoints. Our main aim was to assess the association among hyperthyroidism, acute cardiovascular events and mortality. Design It is a nationwide population-based cohort study. Data were obtained from the Danish Civil Registration System and the Danish National Patient Registry, which covers all Danish hospitals. We compared the rate of all-cause mortality as well as venous thromboembolism (VTE), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), ischemic and non-ischemic stroke, arterial embolism, atrial fibrillation (AF) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the two cohorts. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated. Results The study included 85 856 hyperthyroid patients and 847 057 matched population-based controls. Mean follow-up time was 9.2 years. The HR for mortality was highest in the first 3 months after diagnosis of hyperthyroidism: 4.62, 95% CI: 4.40–4.85, and remained elevated during long-term follow-up (>3 years) (HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.33–1.37). The risk for all examined cardiovascular events was increased, with the highest risk in the first 3 months after hyperthyroidism diagnosis. The 3-month post-diagnosis risk was highest for atrial fibrillation (HR: 7.32, 95% CI: 6.58–8.14) and arterial embolism (HR: 6.08, 95% CI: 4.30–8.61), but the risks of VTE, AMI, ischemic and non-ischemic stroke and PCI were increased also 2- to 3-fold. Conclusions We found an increased risk for all-cause mortality and acute cardiovascular events in patients with hyperthyroidism.

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P4625On women with ST-elevation myocardial infarction: raised concentrations of pro-C-type natriuretic peptide predict increased one-year mortality

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehz745.1007 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

P Mark ◽

M Frydland ◽

O K Moeller-Helgested ◽

L Holmvang ◽

J E Moeller ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Myocardial Infarction ◽

Mortality Rate ◽

Natriuretic Peptide ◽

Plasma Concentrations ◽

St Elevation Myocardial Infarction ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Increased Risk ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

St Elevation ◽

One Year

Abstract Introduction Endothelial C-type natriuretic peptide (CNP) contributes to the local regulation of vascular homeostasis including a vasodilatory function in the microcirculation when studied in animal models. Clinical investigations have shown that high concentrations of C-type natriuretic peptides in plasma are associated with adverse clinical outcome in subgroups of patients with cardiac disease. Purpose To determine the prognostic potential of pro-C-type natriuretic peptide (proCNP) measurement in plasma sampled on admission of patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Methods In 1760 patients (470 women, 1290 men) with confirmed STEMI, we measured proCNP concentration in plasma obtained on hospital admission before coronary angiography. We divided patients into groups of low, normal or raised proCNP concentrations based on lower and upper cut-off values of sex- and age-specific 95% reference intervals from a reference population (688 individuals). We estimated differences in baseline characteristics including medical history and determined the prognostic value of proCNP measurement by Kaplan-Meier plots including log-rank tests and Cox regression survival analyses (expressed as hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval). Results Raised proCNP concentrations in plasma were associated with a higher prevalence of hypertension (P<0.001), diabetes mellitus (P=0.009), and peripheral artery disease (P=0.023), and a higher one-year all-cause mortality rate compared with normal proCNP concentrations (Plog-rank = 0.009, HR: 1.6 (1.1–2.4)). However, when adjusted for sex, an interaction between sex and groups of normal vs. raised proCNP was found (P=0.030). In sex-stratified analyses only women with raised proCNP concentrations showed an increased one-year all-cause mortality rate (women: Plog-rank <0.001, HR: 2.6 (1.5–4.6), men: Plog-rank= 0.66, HR: 1.1 (0.6–1.9)). Furthermore, in women, stepwise increases of proCNP concentration in the upper range (proCNP concentration > median) were independently associated with increased risk of death within one year after adjusting for age, plasma concentrations of creatinine and proANP, and quartiles of plasma troponins (HR: 1.02 (1.00–1.05) per 1 pmol/L increase of proCNP, P=0.047). One-year all-cause mortality rates Conclusion In patients with STEMI, a raised concentration of proCNP from plasma sampled on admission was associated with a higher risk of death within one year. However, only women displayed this difference of mortality rate in sex-specific estimates. Moreover, stepwise increases of proCNP concentration in the upper range independently predicted a higher risk of one-year death in women following STEMI after adjusting for potential confounders.

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High homocysteine and low folate plasma concentrations are associated with cardiovascular events but not bleeding during warfarin treatment

Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) ◽

10.1515/cclm-2016-0092 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 54 (12) ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Marcus Lind ◽

Jan-Håkan Jansson ◽

Torbjörn K. Nilsson ◽

Lars Johansson

Keyword(s):

Major Bleeding ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Plasma Concentrations ◽

Plasma Homocysteine ◽

C Reactive Protein ◽

Reactive Protein ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Warfarin Treatment ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Total Homocysteine

AbstractBackground:Previous studies have shown that homocysteine and folate levels in plasma are associated with risk for cardiovascular events and mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate if plasma concentrations of total homocysteine and folate can predict major bleeding, cardiovascular events, and all-cause mortality in patients being treated with warfarin.Methods:In a longitudinal cohort study, 719 patients who were taking warfarin were followed for 3001 treatment years. The following were recorded and classified: major bleeding; cardiovascular events including stroke, arterial emboli, and myocardial infarction (MI); and mortality. Blood samples collected at baseline were analysed for plasma homocysteine and folate levels.Results:After adjustment for age, C-reactive protein, and creatinine, high homocysteine levels were associated with cardiovascular events [hazard ratio (HR) 1.23 per standard deviation (SD); 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03–1.47], MI (HR 1.38 per SD; 95% CI: 1.03–1.85), and all-cause mortality (HR 1.41 per SD; 95% CI: 1.19–1.68). The highest tertile of folate compared to the lowest tertile was associated with decreased risk for both cardiovascular events (HR 0.64; 95% CI: 0.43–0.91) and MI (HR 0.45; 95% CI: 0.21–0.97). There was no association between major bleeding and homocysteine or folate levels.Conclusions:In patients receiving warfarin treatment, high homocysteine and low folate plasma concentrations are associated with increased risk for cardiovascular events but not major bleeding. For homocysteine levels, there is also an association with all-cause mortality.

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Methodological considerations for identifying multiple plasma proteins associated with all-cause mortality in a population-based prospective cohort

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-85991-z ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Isabel Drake ◽

George Hindy ◽

Peter Almgren ◽

Gunnar Engström ◽

Jan Nilsson ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Plasma Proteins ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Population Based ◽

Total Study Population ◽

C Statistic ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Wide Range ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Study Population

AbstractNovel methods to characterize the plasma proteome has made it possible to examine a wide range of proteins in large longitudinal cohort studies, but the complexity of the human proteome makes it difficult to identify robust protein-disease associations. Nevertheless, identification of individuals at high risk of early mortality is a central issue in clinical decision making and novel biomarkers may be useful to improve risk stratification. With adjustment for established risk factors, we examined the associations between 138 plasma proteins measured using two proximity extension assays and long-term risk of all-cause mortality in 3,918 participants of the population-based Malmö Diet and Cancer Study. To examine the reproducibility of protein-mortality associations we used a two-step random-split approach to simulate a discovery and replication cohort and conducted analyses using four different methods: Cox regression, stepwise Cox regression, Lasso-Cox regression, and random survival forest (RSF). In the total study population, we identified eight proteins that associated with all-cause mortality after adjustment for established risk factors and with Bonferroni correction for multiple testing. In the two-step analyses, the number of proteins selected for model inclusion in both random samples ranged from 6 to 21 depending on the method used. However, only three proteins were consistently included in both samples across all four methods (growth/differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and epididymal secretory protein E4). Using the total study population, the C-statistic for a model including established risk factors was 0.7222 and increased to 0.7284 with inclusion of the most predictive protein (GDF-15; P < 0.0001). All multiple protein models showed additional improvement in the C-statistic compared to the single protein model (all P < 0.0001). We identified several plasma proteins associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality independently of established risk factors. Further investigation into the putatively causal role of these proteins for longevity is needed. In addition, the examined methods for identifying multiple proteins showed tendencies for overfitting by including several putatively false positive findings. Thus, the reproducibility of findings using such approaches may be limited.

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Prognostic Assessment of Elderly Patients with Symptoms of Heart Failure by Combining High-Sensitivity Troponin T and N-Terminal Pro–B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Measurements

Clinical Chemistry ◽

10.1373/clinchem.2009.141341 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 56 (11) ◽

pp. 1718-1724 ◽

Cited By ~ 22

Author(s):

Urban Alehagen ◽

Ulf Dahlström ◽

Jens F Rehfeld ◽

Jens P Goetze

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Elderly Patients ◽

Natriuretic Peptide ◽

Cardiovascular Mortality ◽

Cardiac Troponin ◽

Troponin T ◽

Plasma Concentrations ◽

High Sensitivity ◽

Primary Care Center ◽

Increased Risk

BACKGROUND N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a useful biomarker in heart failure assessment, whereas measurement of cardiac troponin is central in the diagnosis of patients with acute coronary syndromes. This report examined the prognostic use of combining high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and NT-proBNP measurements in elderly patients presenting to a primary care center with symptoms associated with heart failure. METHODS A total of 470 elderly patients (age range 65–86 years) presenting with symptoms of heart failure were recruited from primary healthcare. In addition to clinical examination and echocardiography, hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP plasma concentrations were measured. All patients were followed for 10 years, and cardiovascular mortality was registered. RESULTS By use of the hs-cTnT assay, 80.4% of the population had plasma concentrations above the lower detection limit of the assay. Of those displaying a plasma concentration of hs-cTnT >99th percentile of a healthy population, 43% also had an NT-proBNP concentration in the fourth quartile (>507 ng/L). In the multivariate analysis, we observed a 2.5-fold increased risk for cardiovascular mortality in individuals with a plasma NT-proBNP concentration >507 ng/L (P < 0.0001). Conversely, patients with hs-cTnT >99th percentile displayed an approximately 2-fold increased risk for cardiovascular mortality (P = 0.0002). Combining the 2 biomarkers, NT-proBNP concentrations >507 ng/L with hs-cTnT >99th percentile increased the risk 3-fold, even after adjustment for clinical variables such as age, sex, impaired estimated glomerular filtration rate, and anemia (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP measurements combined provide better prognostic information than using either biomarker separately in elderly patients with symptoms associated with heart failure.

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Isolated Diastolic Hypertension and Risk of Cardiovascular Events: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies With 489,814 Participants

Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine ◽

10.3389/fcvm.2021.810105 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 8 ◽

Author(s):

Mingyan Huang ◽

Linzi Long ◽

Ling Tan ◽

Aling Shen ◽

Mi Deng ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cohort Studies ◽

Cardiovascular Mortality ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

The Elderly ◽

Cochrane Library ◽

Random Effects Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Diastolic Hypertension ◽

All Cause Mortality

Background: The association between isolated diastolic hypertension (IDH) and cardiovascular events has been inconsistently reported. This meta-analysis of cohort studies was designed to investigate the effect of the 2018 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) definition of IDH on the risk of composite cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, and all strokes including ischemic stroke (IS) and hemorrhagic stroke (HS).Methods: PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were searched from inception to July 6, 2021. Cohort studies that investigated the association between IDH and cardiovascular events risk, compared to normotension, were included. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were calculated using a random-effects models and heterogeneity was evaluated using Q-test and I2 statistic. The robustness of the associations was identified using sensitivity analysis. The methodological quality of the studies was assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa scale. Publication bias was assessed using funnel plot, trim-and-fill method, Begg's test, and Egger's test.Results: A total of 15 cohort studies (13 articles) including 489,814 participants were included in this meta-analysis. The follow-up period ranged from 4.3 to 29 years. IDH was significantly associated with an increased risk of composite cardiovascular events (HR 1.28, 95% CI: 1.07–1.52, p = 0.006), cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.45, 95% CI: 1.07–1.95, p = 0.015), all strokes (HR 1.44, 95% CI: 1.04–2.01, p = 0.03), and HS (HR 1.64, 95% CI: 1.18–2.29, p = 0.164), but not associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.20, 95% CI: 0.97–1.47, p = 0.087) and IS (HR 1.56, 95% CI: 0.87–2.81, p = 0.137). Subgroup analysis further indicated that IDH in the younger patients (mean age ≤ 55 years) and from Asia were significantly associated with an increased risk of composite cardiovascular events, while the elderly patients (mean age ≥ 55 years), Americans, and Europeans were not significantly associated with an increased risk of composite cardiovascular events.Conclusion: This meta-analysis provides evidence that IDH defined using the 2018 ESC criterion is significantly associated with an increased risk of composite cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality, all strokes and HS, but not significantly associated with all-cause death and IS. These findings also emphasize the importance for patients with IDH to have their blood pressure within normal, especially in the young adults and Asians.Trial Registration: PROSPERO, Identifier: CRD42021254108.

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Body mass index and risk of all-cause mortality in normotensive and hypertensive adults: The Rural Chinese Cohort Study

Public Health Nutrition ◽

10.1017/s1368980021001592 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-25

Author(s):

Qionggui Zhou ◽

Xuejiao Liu ◽

Yang Zhao ◽

Pei Qin ◽

Yongcheng Ren ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cohort Study ◽

Population Based ◽

Normal Weight ◽

Sensitivity Analyses ◽

Hypertension Status ◽

Moderation Effect ◽

Increased Risk ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Chinese Cohort ◽

The Impact

Abstract Objective: The impact of baseline hypertension status on the BMI–mortality association is still unclear. We aimed to examine the moderation effect of hypertension on the BMI–mortality association using a rural Chinese cohort. Design: In this cohort study, we investigated the incident of mortality according to different BMI categories by hypertension status. Setting: Longitudinal population-based cohort Participants: 17,262 adults ≥18 years were recruited from July to August of 2013 and July to August of 2014 from a rural area in China. Results: During a median 6-year follow-up, we recorded 1109 deaths (610 with and 499 without hypertension). In adjusted models, as compared with BMI 22-24 kg/m2, with BMI ≤18, 18-20, 20-22, 24-26, 26-28, 28-30 and >30 kg/m2, the HRs (95% CI) for mortality in normotensive participants were 1.92 (1.23-3.00), 1.44 (1.01-2.05), 1.14 (0.82-1.58), 0.96 (0.70-1.31), 0.96 (0.65-1.43), 1.32 (0.81-2.14), and 1.32 (0.74-2.35) respectively, and in hypertensive participants were 1.85 (1.08-3.17), 1.67 (1.17-2.39), 1.29 (0.95-1.75), 1.20 (0.91-1.58), 1.10 (0.83-1.46), 1.10 (0.80-1.52), and 0.61 (0.40-0.94) respectively. The risk of mortality was lower in individuals with hypertension with overweight or obesity versus normal weight, especially in older hypertensives (≥60 years old). Sensitivity analyses gave consistent results for both normotensive and hypertensive participants. Conclusions: Low BMI was significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality regardless of hypertension status in rural Chinese adults, but high BMI decreased the mortality risk among individuals with hypertension, especially in older hypertensives.

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Low HbA1c levels and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality among people without diabetes: the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999–2015

International Journal of Epidemiology ◽

10.1093/ije/dyaa263 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Kosuke Inoue ◽

Roch Nianogo ◽

Donatello Telesca ◽

Atsushi Goto ◽

Vahe Khachadourian ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cardiovascular Mortality ◽

Regression Models ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Logistic Regression Models ◽

Health And Nutrition ◽

Increased Risk ◽

The Us ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Hba1c Levels

Abstract Objective It is unclear whether relatively low glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels are beneficial or harmful for the long-term health outcomes among people without diabetes. We aimed to investigate the association between low HbA1c levels and mortality among the US general population. Methods This study includes a nationally representative sample of 39 453 US adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 1999–2014, linked to mortality data through 2015. We employed the parametric g-formula with pooled logistic regression models and the ensemble machine learning algorithms to estimate the time-varying risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality by HbA1c categories (low, 4.0 to <5.0%; mid-level, 5.0 to <5.7%; prediabetes, 5.7 to <6.5%; and diabetes, ≥6.5% or taking antidiabetic medication), adjusting for 72 potential confounders including demographic characteristics, lifestyle, biomarkers, comorbidities and medications. Results Over a median follow-up of 7.5 years, 5118 (13%) all-cause deaths, and 1116 (3%) cardiovascular deaths were observed. Logistic regression models and machine learning algorithms showed nearly identical predictive performance of death and risk estimates. Compared with mid-level HbA1c, low HbA1c was associated with a 30% (95% CI, 16 to 48) and a 12% (95% CI, 3 to 22) increased risk of all-cause mortality at 5 years and 10 years of follow-up, respectively. We found no evidence that low HbA1c levels were associated with cardiovascular mortality risk. The diabetes group, but not the prediabetes group, also showed an increased risk of all-cause mortality. Conclusions Using the US national database and adjusting for an extensive set of potential confounders with flexible modelling, we found that adults with low HbA1c were at increased risk of all-cause mortality. Further evaluation and careful monitoring of low HbA1c levels need to be considered.

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Inflammatory markers and risk of cardiovascular mortality in relation to diabetes status in the HUNT study

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-94995-8 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Lena Løfblad ◽

Gunhild Garmo Hov ◽

Arne Åsberg ◽

Vibeke Videm

Keyword(s):

Cardiovascular Mortality ◽

Inflammatory Markers ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Population Based ◽

Control Group ◽

Bottom Quartile ◽

Diabetes Status ◽

Increased Risk ◽

General Populations ◽

Log Linear

AbstractInflammatory markers have been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular mortality in general populations. We assessed whether these associations differ by diabetes status. From a population-based cohort study (n = 62,237) we included all participants with diabetes (n = 1753) and a control group without diabetes (n = 1818). Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for possible associations with cardiovascular mortality of 4 different inflammatory markers; C-reactive protein (CRP), calprotectin, neopterin and lactoferrin. During a median follow-up of 13.9 years, 728 (20.4%) died from cardiovascular disease (CVD). After adjustment for age, sex and diabetes, the associations of all inflammatory markers with risk of cardiovascular mortality were log-linear (all P ≤ 0.017 for trend) and did not differ according to diabetes status (all P ≥ 0.53 for interaction). After further adjustments for established risk factors, only CRP remained independently associated with cardiovascular mortality. HRs were 1.22 (1.12–1.32) per standard deviation higher loge CRP concentration and 1.91 (1.50–2.43) when comparing individuals in the top versus bottom quartile. The associations of CRP, calprotectin, lactoferrin and neopterin with cardiovascular mortality did not differ by diabetes, suggesting that any potential prognostic value of these markers is independent of diabetes status.

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N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and sudden cardiac death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Heart ◽

10.1136/heartjnl-2020-317701 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. heartjnl-2020-317701

Author(s):

Guixin Wu ◽

Jie Liu ◽

Shuiyun Wang ◽

Shiqin Yu ◽

Ce Zhang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy ◽

Sudden Cardiac Death ◽

Brain Natriuretic Peptide ◽

Natriuretic Peptide ◽

Cardiac Death ◽

Cardiac Fibrosis ◽

Discrimination Performance ◽

Net Reclassification Improvement ◽

C Statistic ◽

Increased Risk

ObjectiveElevated levels of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are associated with heart failure-related death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), but the relationship between NT-proBNP level and sudden cardiac death (SCD) in HCM remains undefined.MethodsThe study prospectively enrolled 977 unrelated patients with HCM with available NT-proBNP results who were prospectively enrolled and followed for 3.0±2.1 years. The Harrell’s C-statistic under the receiver operating characteristic curve was calculated to evaluate discrimination performance. A combination model was constructed by adding NT-proBNP tertiles to the HCM Risk-SCD model. The correlation between log NT-proBNP level and cardiac fibrosis as measured by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) or Masson’s staining was analysed.ResultsDuring follow-up, 29 patients had SCD. Increased log NT-proBNP levels were associated with an increased risk of SCD events (adjusted HR 22.27, 95% CI 10.93 to 65.63, p<0.001). The C-statistic of NT-proBNP in predicting SCD events was 0.80 (p<0.001). The combined model significantly improved the predictive efficiency of the HCM Risk-SCD model from 0.72 to 0.81 (p<0.05), with a relative integrated discrimination improvement of 0.002 (p<0.001) and net reclassification improvement of 0.67 (p<0.001). Furthermore, log NT-proBNP levels were significantly correlated with cardiac fibrosis as detected either by LGE (r=0.257, p<0.001) or by Masson’s trichrome staining in the myocardium (r=0.198, p<0.05).ConclusionNT-proBNP is an independent predictor of SCD in patients with HCM and may help with risk stratification of this disease.

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