scholarly journals Serum Biomarkers of Iron Stores Are Associated with Increased Risk of All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Events in Nondialysis CKD Patients, with or without Anemia

2021 ◽  
pp. ASN.2020101531
Author(s):  
Murilo Guedes ◽  
Daniel G. Muenz ◽  
Jarcy Zee ◽  
Brian Bieber ◽  
Benedicte Stengel ◽  
...  

BackgroundApproximately 30%–45% of patients with nondialysis CKD have iron deficiency. Iron therapy in CKD has focused primarily on supporting erythropoiesis. In patients with or without anemia, there has not been a comprehensive approach to estimating the association between serum biomarkers of iron stores, and mortality and cardiovascular event risks.MethodsThe study included 5145 patients from Brazil, France, the United States, and Germany enrolled in the Chronic Kidney Disease Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study, with first available transferrin saturation (TSAT) and ferritin levels as exposure variables. We used Cox models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), with progressive adjustment for potentially confounding variables. We also used linear spline models to further evaluate functional forms of the exposure-outcome associations.ResultsCompared with patients with a TSAT of 26%–35%, those with a TSAT ≤15% had the highest adjusted risks for all-cause mortality and MACE. Spline analysis found the lowest risk at TSAT 40% for all-cause mortality and MACE. Risk of all-cause mortality, but not MACE, was also elevated at TSAT ≥46%. Effect estimates were similar after adjustment for hemoglobin. For ferritin, no directional associations were apparent, except for elevated all-cause mortality at ferritin ≥300 ng/ml.ConclusionsIron deficiency, as captured by TSAT, is associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality and MACE in patients with nondialysis CKD, with or without anemia. Interventional studies evaluating the effect on clinical outcomes of iron supplementation and therapies for alternative targets are needed to better inform strategies for administering exogenous iron.

2020 ◽  
Vol 105 (7) ◽  
pp. 2371-2380 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mikael Croyal ◽  
Pierre-Jean Saulnier ◽  
Audrey Aguesse ◽  
Elise Gand ◽  
Stéphanie Ragot ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective Even though trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) has been demonstrated to interfere with atherosclerosis and diabetes pathophysiology, the association between TMAO and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has not been specifically established in type 2 diabetes (T2D). Research Design and Methods We examined the association of plasma TMAO concentrations with MACE and all-cause mortality in a single-center prospective cohort of consecutively recruited patients with T2D. Results The study population consisted in 1463 SURDIENE participants (58% men), aged 65 ± 10 years. TMAO concentrations were significantly associated with diabetes duration, renal function, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1) concentrations (R2 = 0.27) and were significantly higher in patients on metformin, even after adjustment for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR): 6.7 (8.5) vs 8.5 (13.6) µmol/L, respectively (PeGFR-adjusted = 0.0207). During follow-up (median duration [interquartile range], 85 [75] months), 403 MACE and 538 deaths were registered. MACE-free survival and all-cause mortality were significantly associated with the quartile distribution of TMAO concentrations, patients with the highest TMAO levels displaying the greatest risk of outcomes (P < 0.0001). In multivariate Cox models, compared with patients from the first 3 quartiles, those from the fourth quartile of TMAO concentration had an independently increased risk for MACE: adjusted hazard ratio (adjHR) 1.32 (1.02-1.70); P = 0.0325. Similarly, TMAO was significantly associated with mortality in multivariate analysis: adjHR 1.75 (1.17-2.09); P = 0.0124, but not when sTNFR1 and angiopoietin like 2 were considered: adjHR 1.16 (0.95-1.42); P = 0.1514. Conclusions We revealed an association between higher TMAO concentrations and increased risk of MACE and all-cause mortality, thereby opening some avenues on the role of dysbiosis in cardiovascular risk, in T2D patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yimo Zhou ◽  
Weiqi Chen ◽  
Meng Lu ◽  
Yongjun Wang

Background: Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9), a pivotal protein in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol metabolism, has been validated to be an established target for cardiovascular (CV) risk reduction. Nevertheless, prospective studies concerning the associations between circulating PCSK9 and the risk of CV events and mortality have yielded, so far, inconsistent results. Herein, we conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the association systemically.Methods: Pertinent studies were identified from PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library database through July 2020. Longitudinal studies investigating the value of circulating PCSK9 for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) or stroke or all-cause mortally with risk estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were included in the analyses. Dose-response meta-analysis was also applied to evaluate circulating PCSK9 and risk of MACEs in this study.Results: A total of 22 eligible cohorts comprising 28,319 participants from 20 eligible articles were finally included in the study. The pooled relative risk (RR) of MACEs for one standard deviation increase in baseline PCSK9 was 1.120 (95% CI, 1.056–1.189). When categorizing subjects into tertiles, the pooled RR for the highest tertile of baseline PCSK9 was 1.252 (95% CI, 1.104–1.420) compared with the lowest category. This positive association between PCSK9 level and risk of MACEs persisted in sensitivity and most of the subgroup analyses. Twelve studies were included in dose-response meta-analysis, and a linear association between PCSK9 concentration and risk of MACEs was observed (x2 test for non-linearity = 0.31, P non-linearity = 0.575). No significant correlation was found either on stroke or all-cause mortality.Conclusion: This meta-analysis added further evidence that high circulating PCSK9 concentration significantly associated with increased risk of MACEs, and a linear dose-response association was observed. However, available data did not suggest significant association either on stroke or all-cause mortality. Additional well-designed studies are warranted to further investigate the correlations between PCSK9 concentration and stroke and mortality.


2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (6) ◽  
pp. 413-422
Author(s):  
Alex Presciutti ◽  
Jonathan Shaffer ◽  
Jennifer A Sumner ◽  
Mitchell S V Elkind ◽  
David J Roh ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Key dimensions of cardiac arrest-induced posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms include reexperiencing, avoidance, numbing, and hyperarousal. It remains unknown which dimensions are most predictive of outcome. Purpose To determine which dimensions of cardiac arrest-induced PTSD are predictive of clinical outcome within 13 months posthospital discharge. Methods PTSD symptoms were assessed in survivors of cardiac arrest who were able to complete psychological screening measures at hospital discharge via the PTSD Checklist-Specific scale, which queries for 17 symptoms using five levels of severity. Responses on items for each symptom dimension of the four-factor numbing model (reexperiencing, avoidance, numbing, and hyperarousal) were converted to Z-scores and treated as continuous predictors. The combined primary endpoint was all-cause mortality (ACM) or major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; hospitalization for myocardial infarction, unstable angina, heart failure, emergency coronary revascularization, or urgent defibrillator/pacemaker placements) within 13 months postdischarge. Four bivariate Cox proportional hazards survival models evaluated associations between individual symptom dimensions and ACM/MACE. A multivariable model then evaluated whether significant bivariate predictors remained independent predictors of the primary outcome after adjusting for age, sex, comorbidities, premorbid psychiatric diagnoses, and initial cardiac rhythm. Results A total of 114 patients (59.6% men, 52.6% white, mean age: 54.6 ± 13 years) were included. In bivariate analyses, only hyperarousal was significantly associated with ACM/MACE. In a fully adjusted model, 1 standard deviation increase in hyperarousal symptoms corresponded to a two-times increased risk of experiencing ACM/MACE. Conclusions Greater level of hyperarousal symptoms was associated with a higher risk of ACM/MACE within 13 months postcardiac arrest. This initial evidence should be further investigated in a larger sample.


2013 ◽  
Vol 118 (4) ◽  
pp. 809-824 ◽  
Author(s):  
John F. Mooney ◽  
Isuru Ranasinghe ◽  
Clara K. Chow ◽  
Vlado Perkovic ◽  
Federica Barzi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Kidney dysfunction is a strong determinant of prognosis in many settings. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis was undertaken to explore the relationship between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and adverse outcomes after surgery. Cohort studies reporting the relationship between eGFR and major outcomes, including all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events, and acute kidney injury after cardiac or noncardiac surgery, were included. Results: Forty-six studies were included, of which 44 focused exclusively on cardiac and vascular surgery. Within 30 days of surgery, eGFR less than 60 ml·min·1.73 m−2 was associated with a threefold increased risk of death (multivariable adjusted relative risk [RR] 2.98; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.95–4.96) and acute kidney injury (adjusted RR 3.13; 95% CI 2.22–4.41). An eGFR less than 60 ml·min·1.73 m−2 was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted RR 1.61; 95% CI 1.38–1.87) and major adverse cardiovascular events (adjusted RR 1.49; 95% CI 1.32–1.67) during long-term follow-up. There was a nonlinear association between eGFR and the risk of early mortality such that, compared with patients having an eGFR more than 90 ml·min·1.73 m−2 the pooled RR for death at 30 days in those with an eGFR between 30 and 60 ml·min·1.73 m−2 was 1.62 (95% CI 1.43–1.80), rising to 2.85 (95% CI 2.49–3.27) in patients with an eGFR less than 30 ml·min·1.73 m−2 and 3.75 (95% CI 3.44–4.08) in those with an eGFR less than 15 ml·min·1.73 m−2. Conclusion: There is a powerful relationship between eGFR, and both short- and long-term prognosis after, predominantly cardiac and vascular, surgery.


mBio ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael G. Dieterle ◽  
Rosemary Putler ◽  
D. Alexander Perry ◽  
Anitha Menon ◽  
Lisa Abernathy-Close ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) can result in severe disease and death, with no accurate models that allow for early prediction of adverse outcomes. To address this need, we sought to develop serum-based biomarker models to predict CDI outcomes. We prospectively collected sera ≤48 h after diagnosis of CDI in two cohorts. Biomarkers were measured with a custom multiplex bead array assay. Patients were classified using IDSA severity criteria and the development of disease-related complications (DRCs), which were defined as ICU admission, colectomy, and/or death attributed to CDI. Unadjusted and adjusted models were built using logistic and elastic net modeling. The best model for severity included procalcitonin (PCT) and hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) with an area (AUC) under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.74 (95% confidence interval, 0.67 to 0.81). The best model for 30-day mortality included interleukin-8 (IL-8), PCT, CXCL-5, IP-10, and IL-2Rα with an AUC of 0.89 (0.84 to 0.95). The best model for DRCs included IL-8, procalcitonin, HGF, and IL-2Rα with an AUC of 0.84 (0.73 to 0.94). To validate our models, we employed experimental infection of mice with C. difficile. Antibiotic-treated mice were challenged with C. difficile and a similar panel of serum biomarkers was measured. Applying each model to the mouse cohort of severe and nonsevere CDI revealed AUCs of 0.59 (0.44 to 0.74), 0.96 (0.90 to 1.0), and 0.89 (0.81 to 0.97). In both human and murine CDI, models based on serum biomarkers predicted adverse CDI outcomes. Our results support the use of serum-based biomarker panels to inform Clostridioides difficile infection treatment. IMPORTANCE Each year in the United States, Clostridioides difficile causes nearly 500,000 gastrointestinal infections that range from mild diarrhea to severe colitis and death. The ability to identify patients at increased risk for severe disease or mortality at the time of diagnosis of C. difficile infection (CDI) would allow clinicians to effectively allocate disease modifying therapies. In this study, we developed models consisting of only a small number of serum biomarkers that are capable of predicting both 30-day all-cause mortality and adverse outcomes of patients at time of CDI diagnosis. We were able to validate these models through experimental mouse infection. This provides evidence that the biomarkers reflect the underlying pathophysiology and that our mouse model of CDI reflects the pathogenesis of human infection. Predictive models can not only assist clinicians in identifying patients at risk for severe CDI but also be utilized for targeted enrollment in clinical trials aimed at reduction of adverse outcomes from severe CDI.


Medicina ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 57 (10) ◽  
pp. 1021
Author(s):  
Crischentian Brinza ◽  
Mariana Floria ◽  
Adrian Covic ◽  
Alexandru Burlacu

Ischemic heart disease represents the leading cause of death, emphasizing risk stratification and early therapeutic intervention. Heart rate variability (HRV), an indirect marker of autonomic nervous system activity, was investigated extensively as a risk factor for adverse cardiovascular events following acute myocardial infarction. Thus, we systematically reviewed the literature to investigate the association of HRV parameters with mortality and adverse cardiovascular events in patients presenting with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Following the search process in the MEDLINE (PubMed), Embase, and Cochrane databases, nine studies were included in the final analysis. Lower time-domain HRV parameters and a higher ratio between power in the low-frequency (LF) band and power in the high-frequency (HF) band (LF/HF) were associated with higher all-cause mortality during follow-up, even in patients treated mainly with percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI). Although most studies measured HRV on 24 h ECG recordings, short- and ultra-short-term measures (1 min and 10 s, respectively) were also associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality. Although data were discrepant, some studies found an association between HRV and cardiac mortality, reinfarction, and other major adverse cardiovascular events. In conclusion, HRV measurement in patients with STEMI could bring crucial prognostic information, as it was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality documented in clinical studies. More and larger clinical trials are required to validate these findings in contemporary patients with STEMI in the context of the new generation of drug-eluting stents and current antithrombotic and risk-modifying therapies.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer Ramsay ◽  
John McClure ◽  
Colin Berry

Introduction: The net clinical benefit of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) reflects the paradoxical effects of an increased risk of bleeding and a reduced risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). A time-constrained approach to DAPT has been recently investigated in five multicenter trials including GLOBAL LEADERS, STOP-DAPT2, SMART-CHOICE, TWIGHLIGHT and TICO. Methods: We undertook a pooled analysis of these trials to assess the overall associations between time-constrained P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy (“aspirin free regimen”) for bleeding events, MACE and all-cause mortality as compared to standard care with DAPT for at least 12 months post-PCI. We implemented a DerSimonian and Laird random effects meta-analysis using the metafor package in R. Results: 32,361 randomized trial participants, including 16,898 (52.2%) with a history of ACS, underwent PCI and had outcome data available. P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy from 1 - 3 months was associated with a reduced risk for bleeding (hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) 0.60 (0.45, 0.81); p=0.024), including in the ACS group in which the magnitude of risk reduction was greatest (HR (95% CI) 0.50 (0.41, 0.61). The estimates of the effect of P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy on the hazard were also favorable for MACE (0.88 (0.77, 1.02)) and all-cause mortality (95% CI 0.85 (0.71, 1.03)). Conclusions: Compared with DAPT for 12 months post-PCI, P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy from 1-3 months substantially reduces the risk of major and fatal bleeding and, in addition, potentially protective effects, for MACE and all-cause mortality. Considering patient safety, the results support a strategy of DAPT for 1-3 months followed by ‘aspirin free’ P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy.


Author(s):  
Marcela R. Entwistle ◽  
Donald Schweizer ◽  
Ricardo Cisneros

Abstract Purpose This study investigated the association between dietary patterns, total mortality, and cancer mortality in the United States. Methods We identified the four major dietary patterns at baseline from 13,466 participants of the NHANES III cohort using principal component analysis (PCA). Dietary patterns were categorized into ‘prudent’ (fruits and vegetables), ‘western’ (red meat, sweets, pastries, oils), ‘traditional’ (red meat, legumes, potatoes, bread), and ‘fish and alcohol’. We estimated hazard ratios for total mortality, and cancer mortality using Cox regression models. Results A total of 4,963 deaths were documented after a mean follow-up of 19.59 years. Higher adherence to the ‘prudent’ pattern was associated with the lowest risk of total mortality (5th vs. 1st quintile HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.82–0.98), with evidence that all-cause mortality decreased as consumption of the pattern increased. No evidence was found that the ‘prudent’ pattern reduced cancer mortality. The ‘western’ and the ‘traditional’ patterns were associated with up to 22% and 16% increased risk for total mortality (5th vs. 1st quintile HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.11–1.34; and 5th vs. 1st quintile HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.06–1.27, respectively), and up to 33% and 15% increased risk for cancer mortality (5th vs. 1st quintile HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.10–1.62; and 5th vs. 1st quintile HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06–1.24, respectively). The associations between adherence to the ‘fish and alcohol’ pattern and total mortality, and cancer mortality were not statistically significant. Conclusion Higher adherence to the ‘prudent’ diet decreased the risk of all-cause mortality but did not affect cancer mortality. Greater adherence to the ‘western’ and ‘traditional’ diet increased the risk of total mortality and mortality due to cancer.


BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. e038829
Author(s):  
Ross McQueenie ◽  
Barbara I Nicholl ◽  
Bhautesh D Jani ◽  
Jordan Canning ◽  
Sara Macdonald ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo investigate how the type and number of long-term conditions (LTCs) impact on all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in people with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).DesignPopulation-based longitudinal cohort study.SettingUK Biobank.ParticipantsUK Biobank participants (n=502 533) aged between 37 and 73 years old.Primary outcome measuresPrimary outcome measures were risk of all-cause mortality and MACE.MethodsWe examined the relationship between LTC count and individual comorbid LTCs (n=42) on adverse clinical outcomes in participants with self-reported RA (n=5658). Risk of all-cause mortality and MACE were compared using Cox’s proportional hazard models adjusted for lifestyle factors (smoking, alcohol intake, physical activity), demographic factors (sex, age, socioeconomic status) and rheumatoid factor.Results75.7% of participants with RA had multimorbidity and these individuals were at increased risk of all-cause mortality and MACE. RA and >4 LTCs showed a threefold increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 3.30, 95% CI 2.61 to 4.16), and MACE (HR 3.45, 95% CI 2.66 to 4.49) compared with those without LTCs. Of the comorbid LTCs studied, osteoporosis was most strongly associated with adverse outcomes in participants with RA compared with those without RA or LTCs: twofold increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 2.20, 95% CI 1.55 to 3.12) and threefold increased risk of MACE (HR 3.17, 95% CI 2.27 to 4.64). These findings remained in a subset (n=3683) with RA diagnosis validated from clinical records or medication reports.ConclusionThose with RA and other LTCs, particularly comorbid osteoporosis, are at increased risk of adverse outcomes, although the role of corticosteroids could not be evaluated in this study. These results are clinically relevant for the monitoring and management of RA across the healthcare system, and future clinical guidelines for RA should acknowledge the importance of multimorbidity.


2017 ◽  
Vol 176 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olaf M Dekkers ◽  
Erzsébet Horváth-Puhó ◽  
Suzanne C Cannegieter ◽  
Jan P Vandenbroucke ◽  
Henrik Toft Sørensen ◽  
...  

Objective Several studies have shown an increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in hyperthyroidism, but most studies have been too small to address the effect of hyperthyroidism on individual cardiovascular endpoints. Our main aim was to assess the association among hyperthyroidism, acute cardiovascular events and mortality. Design It is a nationwide population-based cohort study. Data were obtained from the Danish Civil Registration System and the Danish National Patient Registry, which covers all Danish hospitals. We compared the rate of all-cause mortality as well as venous thromboembolism (VTE), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), ischemic and non-ischemic stroke, arterial embolism, atrial fibrillation (AF) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the two cohorts. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated. Results The study included 85 856 hyperthyroid patients and 847 057 matched population-based controls. Mean follow-up time was 9.2 years. The HR for mortality was highest in the first 3 months after diagnosis of hyperthyroidism: 4.62, 95% CI: 4.40–4.85, and remained elevated during long-term follow-up (>3 years) (HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.33–1.37). The risk for all examined cardiovascular events was increased, with the highest risk in the first 3 months after hyperthyroidism diagnosis. The 3-month post-diagnosis risk was highest for atrial fibrillation (HR: 7.32, 95% CI: 6.58–8.14) and arterial embolism (HR: 6.08, 95% CI: 4.30–8.61), but the risks of VTE, AMI, ischemic and non-ischemic stroke and PCI were increased also 2- to 3-fold. Conclusions We found an increased risk for all-cause mortality and acute cardiovascular events in patients with hyperthyroidism.


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