scholarly journals A Predictive Model Implemented in KNIME Based on Learning Analytics for Timely Decision Making in Virtual Learning Environments

2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-99
Author(s):  
Maraza-Quispe Benjamín ◽  
◽  
Enrique Damián Valderrama-Chauca ◽  
Lenin Henry Cari-Mogrovejo ◽  
Jorge Milton Apaza-Huanca ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Academic Performance ◽  
Predictive Model ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Simple Random Sampling ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Analysis Data ◽  
Problem Analysis ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Behavioral Indicators ◽  
The Mean

The present research aims to implement a predictive model in the KNIME platform to analyze and compare the prediction of academic performance using data from a Learning Management System (LMS), identifying students at academic risk in order to generate timely and timely interventions. The CRISP-DM methodology was used, structured in six phases: Problem analysis, data analysis, data understanding, data preparation, modeling, evaluation and implementation. Based on the analysis of online learning behavior through 22 behavioral indicators observed in the LMS of the Faculty of Educational Sciences of the National University of San Agustin. These indicators are distributed in five dimensions: Academic Performance, Access, Homework, Social Aspects and Quizzes. The model has been implemented in the KNIME platform using the Simple Regression Tree Learner training algorithm. The total population consists of 30,000 student records from which a sample of 1,000 records has been taken by simple random sampling. The accuracy of the model for early prediction of students' academic performance is evaluated, the 22 observed behavioral indicators are compared with the means of academic performance in three courses. The prediction results of the implemented model are satisfactory where the mean absolute error compared to the mean of the first course was 3. 813 and with an accuracy of 89.7%, the mean absolute error compared to the mean of the second course was 2.809 with an accuracy of 94.2% and the mean absolute error compared to the mean of the third course was 2.779 with an accuracy of 93.8%. These results demonstrate that the proposed model can be used to predict students' future academic performance from an LMS data set.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Based Target Transformation using Regressor Classification for Heart Disease Envisage

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 1526-1531
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Heart Disease ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Economic Status ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Background Information ◽  
World Population ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Technological Growth ◽  
The Mean

In the modern scenario of technological growth, the life style of an individual varies with the economic status. The world population is prone towards chronic deadly diseases due to the variety of food habits. The usages of electronic equipments have raised the population to waste their quality time towards exercise. The lack of physical activity has symptoms towards bad quality of life. With this background information, this paper concentrates on predicting the type of heart disease by applying target transformation using various machine learning regression models. This paper uses the Heart disease data set extracted from UCI Machine Learning Repository. The anaconda Navigator IDE along with Spyder is used for implementing the Python code. Our contribution is folded is folded in three ways. First, the data segregation is done and it is preprocessed to extract the relationship and dependency of each parameters. Second, the dataset is subjected to process to identify the target distribution of classes in the dependent variable. Third, the dataset is fitted to the Ridge regressor, Huber regressor, SGD regressor and PerceptronCV regressor by applying with and without target transformation. Fourth, dataset is feature scaled and then fitted to the Ridge regressor, Huber regressor, SGD regressor and PerceptronCV regressor by applying with and without target transformation. Fifth, the performance analysis is done by analyzing the Mean Absolute Error and R2 Score. Experimental results show that, the Perceptron regressor CV has the effectiveness with the mean absolute error of 1.00 and R2 score of 0.04 for the heart disease prediction.

Explanation Plus Prediction—The Logical Focus of Project Management Research

2021 ◽  
pp. 875697282199994
Author(s):  
Joseph F. Hair ◽  
Marko Sarstedt
Keyword(s):  
Project Management ◽  
Statistical Models ◽  
Predictive Power ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Management Research ◽  
The Mean

Most project management research focuses almost exclusively on explanatory analyses. Evaluation of the explanatory power of statistical models is generally based on F-type statistics and the R 2 metric, followed by an assessment of the model parameters (e.g., beta coefficients) in terms of their significance, size, and direction. However, these measures are not indicative of a model’s predictive power, which is central for deriving managerial recommendations. We recommend that project management researchers routinely use additional metrics, such as the mean absolute error or the root mean square error, to accurately quantify their statistical models’ predictive power.

Visualizing the Variance of a Random Variable

2011 ◽  
Vol 18 (01) ◽  
pp. 71-85
Author(s):  
Fabrizio Cacciafesta
Keyword(s):  
Stochastic Dominance ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Second Order ◽  
Taylor Formula ◽  
Order Stochastic Dominance ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Second Order Stochastic Dominance ◽  
Options Theory

We provide a simple way to visualize the variance and the mean absolute error of a random variable with finite mean. Some application to options theory and to second order stochastic dominance is given: we show, among other, that the "call-put parity" may be seen as a Taylor formula.

scholarly journals Direct Calculation of Thermodynamic Wet-Bulb Temperature as a Function of Pressure and Elevation

2013 ◽  
Vol 30 (8) ◽  
pp. 1757-1765 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sayed-Hossein Sadeghi ◽  
Troy R. Peters ◽  
Douglas R. Cobos ◽  
Henry W. Loescher ◽  
Colin S. Campbell
Keyword(s):  
Air Temperature ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Direct Calculation ◽  
Ambient Air ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Air Temperatures ◽  
Order Polynomial ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Very High

Abstract A simple analytical method was developed for directly calculating the thermodynamic wet-bulb temperature from air temperature and the vapor pressure (or relative humidity) at elevations up to 4500 m above MSL was developed. This methodology was based on the fact that the wet-bulb temperature can be closely approximated by a second-order polynomial in both the positive and negative ranges in ambient air temperature. The method in this study builds upon this understanding and provides results for the negative range of air temperatures (−17° to 0°C), so that the maximum observed error in this area is equal to or smaller than −0.17°C. For temperatures ≥0°C, wet-bulb temperature accuracy was ±0.65°C, and larger errors corresponded to very high temperatures (Ta ≥ 39°C) and/or very high or low relative humidities (5% < RH < 10% or RH > 98%). The mean absolute error and the root-mean-square error were 0.15° and 0.2°C, respectively.

scholarly journals A Novel Neural Network Model for Blood Pressure Estimation Using Photoplethesmography without Electrocardiogram

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ludi Wang ◽  
Wei Zhou ◽  
Ying Xing ◽  
Xiaoguang Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Wearable Sensors ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Noninvasive Estimation ◽  
Treatment Of Hypertension ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Blood Pressure Estimation

The prevention, evaluation, and treatment of hypertension have attracted increasing attention in recent years. As photoplethysmography (PPG) technology has been widely applied to wearable sensors, the noninvasive estimation of blood pressure (BP) using the PPG method has received considerable interest. In this paper, a method for estimating systolic and diastolic BP based only on a PPG signal is developed. The multitaper method (MTM) is used for feature extraction, and an artificial neural network (ANN) is used for estimation. Compared with previous approaches, the proposed method obtains better accuracy; the mean absolute error is 4.02 ± 2.79 mmHg for systolic BP and 2.27 ± 1.82 mmHg for diastolic BP.

Validating the usefulness of sectorwise regression of visual field in the central 10°

2021 ◽  
pp. bjophthalmol-2020-317391
Author(s):  
Takashi Omoto ◽  
Hiroshi Murata ◽  
Yuri Fujino ◽  
Masato Matsuura ◽  
Takehiro Yamashita ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Visual Field ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Open Angle Glaucoma ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Open Angle ◽  
Clustering Method ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Test Points

AimTo evaluate the usefulness of the application of the clustering method to the trend analysis (sectorwise regression) in comparison with the pointwise linear regression (PLR).MethodsThis study included 153 eyes of 101 patients with open-angle glaucoma. With PLR, the total deviation (TD) values of the 10th visual field (VF) were predicted using the shorter VF sequences (from first 3 to 9) by extrapolating TD values against time in a pointwise manner. Then, 68 test points were stratified into 29 sectors. In each sector, the mean of TD values was calculated and allocated to all test points belonging to the sector. Subsequently, the TD values of the 10th VF were predicted by extrapolating the allocated TD value against time in a pointwise manner. Similar analyses were conducted to predict the 11th–16th VFs using the first 10 VFs.ResultsWhen predicting the 10th VF using the shorter sequences, the mean absolute error (MAE) values were significantly smaller in the sectorwise regression than in PLR. When predicting from the 11th and 16th VFs using the first 10 VFs, the MAE values were significantly larger in the sectorwise regression than in PLR when predicting the 11th VF; however, no significant difference was observed with other VF predictions.ConclusionAccurate prediction was achieved using the sectorwise regression, in particular when a small number of VFs were used in the prediction. The accuracy of the sectorwise regression was not hampered in longer follow-up compared with PLR.

Accuracy Assessment of TanDEM-X 90 and CartoDEM Using ICESat-2 Datasets for Plain Regions of Ratlam City and Surroundings

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 59
Author(s):  
Unnati Yadav ◽  
Ashutosh Bhardwaj
Keyword(s):  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Accuracy Assessment ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Terrain Analysis ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Ice Cloud ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Cut And Fill ◽  
Statistical Results

The spaceborne LiDAR dataset from the Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite (ICESat-2) provides highly accurate measurements of heights for the Earth’s surface, which helps in terrain analysis, visualization, and decision making for many applications. TanDEM-X 90 (90 m) and CartoDEM V3R1 (30 m) elevation are among the high-quality openly accessible DEM datasets for the plain regions in India. These two DEMs are validated against the ICESat-2 elevation datasets for the relatively plain areas of Ratlam City and its surroundings. The mean error (ME), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE) of TanDEM-X 90 DEM are 1.35 m, 1.48 m, and 2.19 m, respectively. The computed ME, MAE, and RMSE for CartoDEM V3R1 are 3.05 m, 3.18 m, and 3.82 m, respectively. The statistical results reveal that TanDEM-X 90 performs better in plain areas than CartoDEMV3R1. The study further indicates that these DEMs and spaceborne LiDAR datasets can be useful for planning various works requiring height as an important parameter, such as the layout of pipelines or cut and fill calculations for various construction activities. The TanDEM-X 90 can assist planners in quick assessments of the terrain for infrastructural developments, which otherwise need time-consuming traditional surveys using theodolite or a total station.

Intraocular lenses optic power calculation with seven formulas in short eyes

2021 ◽  
pp. 57-61
Author(s):  
K.B. Pershin ◽  
◽  
N.F. Pashinova ◽  
I.A. Likh ◽  
А.Y. Tsygankov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Axial Length ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Optical Power ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Intraocular Lenses ◽  
Power Calculation ◽  
Retrospective Comparison ◽  
Monofocal Iol ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Axial Eye Length

Purpose. The choice of the optimal formula for calculating the IOL optical power in patients with an axial eye length of less than 20 mm. Material and methods. A total of 78 patients (118 eyes) were included in the prospective study. 1st group included 30 patients (52 eyes) with short eyes (average axial eye length of 19.60±0.42 (18.54–20.0) mm), 2nd group consisted of 48 patients (66 eyes) with a axial length 22.75±0.46 (22.0–23.77) mm. Various monofocal IOL models were used. The average follow-up period was 13 months. IOL optical power was calculated using the SRK/T formula, retrospective comparison – according to the formulas Hoffer-Q, Holladay II, Olsen, Haigis, Barrett Universal II and Kane. Results. In 1st group, the mean absolute error was determined for the formulas Haigis, Olsen, Barrett Universal II, Kane, SRK/T, Holladay II and Hoffer-Q (0.85, 0.78, 0.21, 0.17, 0.79, 0.73, 0.19 respectively). When comparing the formulas, significant differences were found for the formulas Hoffer-Q, Barrett Universal II and Kane in comparison with the formulas Haigis, Olsen, SRK/T and Holladay II (p<0.05) in all cases, respectively. In 2nd group, the mean absolute error was determined for the formulas Haigis, Olsen, Barrett Universal II, Kane, SRK/T, Holladay II and Hoffer-Q (0.15, 0.16, 0.23, 0.10, 0.19, 0.23, 0,29 respectively). In 2nd group, there were no significant differences between the studied formulas (p>0.05). Conclusion. This paper presents an analysis of data on the effectiveness of seven formulas for calculating the IOL optical power in short (less than 20 mm) eyes in comparison with the normal axial length. The advantage of the Hoffer-Q, Barrett Universal II and Kane formulas over Haigis, Holladay II, Olsen, and SRK/T is shown. Key words: cataract, hypermetropia, short eyes, calculation of the IOL optical power.

scholarly journals Non-contact physiological monitoring of preterm infants in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mauricio Villarroel ◽  
Sitthichok Chaichulee ◽  
João Jorge ◽  
Sara Davis ◽  
Gabrielle Green ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Intensive Care Unit ◽  
Heart Rate ◽  
Respiratory Rate ◽  
Preterm Infants ◽  
Neonatal Intensive Care ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Vital Signs ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Video Camera ◽  
The Mean

AbstractThe implementation of video-based non-contact technologies to monitor the vital signs of preterm infants in the hospital presents several challenges, such as the detection of the presence or the absence of a patient in the video frame, robustness to changes in lighting conditions, automated identification of suitable time periods and regions of interest from which vital signs can be estimated. We carried out a clinical study to evaluate the accuracy and the proportion of time that heart rate and respiratory rate can be estimated from preterm infants using only a video camera in a clinical environment, without interfering with regular patient care. A total of 426.6 h of video and reference vital signs were recorded for 90 sessions from 30 preterm infants in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) of the John Radcliffe Hospital in Oxford. Each preterm infant was recorded under regular ambient light during daytime for up to four consecutive days. We developed multi-task deep learning algorithms to automatically segment skin areas and to estimate vital signs only when the infant was present in the field of view of the video camera and no clinical interventions were undertaken. We propose signal quality assessment algorithms for both heart rate and respiratory rate to discriminate between clinically acceptable and noisy signals. The mean absolute error between the reference and camera-derived heart rates was 2.3 beats/min for over 76% of the time for which the reference and camera data were valid. The mean absolute error between the reference and camera-derived respiratory rate was 3.5 breaths/min for over 82% of the time. Accurate estimates of heart rate and respiratory rate could be derived for at least 90% of the time, if gaps of up to 30 seconds with no estimates were allowed.

scholarly journals Non-contact vital-sign monitoring of patients undergoing haemodialysis treatment

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mauricio Villarroel ◽  
João Jorge ◽  
David Meredith ◽  
Sheera Sutherland ◽  
Chris Pugh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Rate ◽  
Respiratory Rate ◽  
Reference Values ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Recording Time ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Haemodialysis Treatment

Abstract A clinical study was designed to record a wide range of physiological values from patients undergoing haemodialysis treatment in the Renal Unit of the Churchill Hospital in Oxford. Video was recorded for a total of 84 dialysis sessions from 40 patients during the course of 1 year, comprising an overall video recording time of approximately 304.1 h. Reference values were provided by two devices in regular clinical use. The mean absolute error between the heart rate estimates from the camera and the average from two reference pulse oximeters (positioned at the finger and earlobe) was 2.8 beats/min for over 65% of the time the patient was stable. The mean absolute error between the respiratory rate estimates from the camera and the reference values (computed from the Electrocardiogram and a thoracic expansion sensor—chest belt) was 2.1 breaths/min for over 69% of the time for which the reference signals were valid. To increase the robustness of the algorithms, novel methods were devised for cancelling out aliased frequency components caused by the artificial light sources in the hospital, using auto-regressive modelling and pole cancellation. Maps of the spatial distribution of heart rate and respiratory rate information were developed from the coefficients of the auto-regressive models. Most of the periods for which the camera could not produce a reliable heart rate estimate lasted under 3 min, thus opening the possibility to monitor heart rate continuously in a clinical environment.

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