scholarly journals Impact of meteorological factors on number of new COVID-19 cases in Pune

Author(s):  
Saurabh Mahajan ◽  
Ravi Devarakonda ◽  
Gautam Mukherjee ◽  
Nisha Verma ◽  
Kumar Pushkar

Background: Coronaviruses are a family of viruses that can result in different types of illnesses, most commonly, as Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). Researches have shown that the atmospheric variables and the density of population have affected the transmission of the disease. Meteorological variables like temperature, humidity among others have found to affect the rise of pandemic in positive or negative ways.  Respiratory virus illnesses have shown seasonal variability since the time they have been discovered and managed. This study investigated the relationship between the meteorological variables of temperature, humidity and precipitation in the spread of COVID-19 disease in the city of Pune.Methods: This record based descriptive study is conducted after secondary data analysis of number of new cases of COVID-19 per day from the period 01 May to 24 December 2020 in Pune. Meteorological data of maximum (Tmax), minimum (Tmin) and daily average temperature (Tavg), humidity and precipitation were daily noted from Indian meteorological department website. Trend was identified plotting the daily number of clinically diagnosed cases over time period. Pearson’s correlation was used to estimate association between meteorological variables and daily detected fresh cases of COVID-19 disease.  Results: Analysis revealed significant negative correlation (r=-0.3563, p<0.005) between daily detected number of cases and maximum daily temperature. A strong positive correlation was seen between humidity and daily number of cases (r=0.5541, p<0.005).Conclusions: The findings of this study will aid in forecasting epidemics and in preparing for the impact of climate change on the COVID epidemiology through the implementation of public health preventive measures.

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Zhao ◽  
Kuo-Nan Liou ◽  
Yu Gu ◽  
Jonathan H. Jiang ◽  
Qinbin Li ◽  
...  

Abstract. The interactions between aerosols and ice clouds represent one of the largest uncertainties in global radiative forcing from pre-industrial time to the present. In particular, the impact of aerosols on ice crystal effective radius (Rei), which is a key parameter determining ice clouds' net radiative effect, is highly uncertain due to limited and conflicting observational evidence. Here we investigate the effects of aerosols on Rei under different meteorological conditions using 9-year satellite observations. We find that the responses of Rei to aerosol loadings are modulated by water vapor amount in conjunction with several other meteorological parameters. While there is a significant negative correlation between Rei and aerosol loading in moist conditions, consistent with the Twomey effect for liquid clouds, a strong positive correlation between the two occurs in dry conditions. Simulations based on a cloud parcel model suggest that water vapor modulates the relative importance of different ice nucleation modes, leading to the opposite aerosol impacts between moist and dry conditions. When ice clouds are decomposed into those generated from deep convection and formed in-situ, the water vapor modulation remains in effect for both ice cloud types, although the sensitivities of Rei to aerosols differ noticeably between them due to distinct formation mechanisms. The water vapor modulation can largely explain the difference in the responses of Rei to aerosol loadings in various seasons. A proper representation of the water vapor modulation is essential for an accurate estimate of aerosol-cloud radiative forcing produced by ice clouds.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sri Rum Giyarsih

Global warming is the increase in the average temperature of the Earth’s surface. According to the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) average temperature of the Earth’s surface was global warming is the increase in the average temperature of the 0.74 ± 0.18 0C (1.33 ± 0.32 F) over the last hundred years. The impact of rising temperatures is the climate change effect on agricultural production. If the community does not craft made adaptation to global warming will have an impact on food security. This research aims to know the society’s adaptation to food security as a result of global warming and to know the influence of global warming on food security. The research was carried out based on survey methods. The influence of global warming on food security is identified with a share of household food expenditure and the identification of rainfall. Sampling was done by random sampling. The Data used are the primary and secondary data. Primary Data obtained through structured interviews and depth interview using a questionnaire while the secondary data retrieved from publication data of the Central Bureau Statistics B(BPS), Department of Agriculture and Climatology Meteorology and Geophysics (BMKG). The expected results of the study is to know variations of food security due to global warming in Kulon Progo Regency. Comprehensive knowledge through community participation and related Government increased food security that is used as the basis for drafting the model society’s adaptation to the impacts of global warming.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
Ahsan Samad ◽  
Erdiansyah Erdiansyah ◽  
Rina Wulandari

The purpose of this study is to identify and describe the impact and behavior of the community on post-disaster economic conditions in the city of Palu and to know the local government's public policies in handling these cases. Using qualitative methods with a case study approach, literature study, and secondary data processing from various social elements. In addition, data collection was carried out by interviewing informants who felt the direct impact of the earthquake, tsunami and liquefaction in Palu, Sigi and Donggala. The results showed that the post-disaster impact felt by the people of Palu City was generally in the "severe" classification. The socio-economic conditions of the people of Palu include several aspects, ranging from the geographical conditions that are in disaster-prone zones, to the extremely poor health conditions after the disaster. The conclusion of this research shows that the escalation of natural disasters in the city of Palu is considered quite large because it consists of three types of disasters, namely the Earthquake, Tsunami and Liquifation in the same time period. Palu City is the capital of the Province as well as the economic and administrative center of Central Sulawesi Province. Damage to warehousing infrastructure coupled with massive looting from unscrupulous people in logistics supply warehouses resulted in goods that were supposed to be distributed both to the city and the district finally unable to be implemented.Tujuan penelitian ini yaitu mengidentifikasi dan mendeskripsikan evaluasi dampak dan perilaku masyarakat terhadap kondisi perekonomian pasca bencana di kota Palu dan mengetahui kebijakan publik pemerintah setempat dalam menangani kasus tersebut. Menggunakan metode kualitatif dengan pendekatan  studi kasus, studi literature, dan pengolahan data sekunder dari berbagai elemen sosial. Selain itu pengambilan data dilakukan dengan cara wawacara kepada narasumber yang merasakan dampak langsung dari bencana gempa,tsunami dan likuifaksi di Palu,Sigi dan Donggala. Hasil penelitian memperlihatkan bahwa dampak pasca bencana yang dirasakan oleh masyarakat Kota Palu secara umum berada pada klasifikasi “berat”. Kondisi sosial ekonomi masyarakat kota Palu meliputi beberapa aspek, mulai dari kondisi geografis yang berada pada zona rawan bencana, kondisi kesehatan sangat memprihatinkan pasca bencana. Kesimpulan penelitain ini menujukkan bahwa eskalasi bencana alam kota Palu dinilai cukup besar karena terdiri dari tiga macam bencana yaitu Gempa Bumi, Tsunami dan Liquifasi dalam kurun waktu sama. Kota Palu merupakan ibukota Provinsi sekaligus sebagai pusat ekonomi dan pemerintahan Provinsi Sulawesi Tengah. Rusaknya infrakstruktur pergudangan ditambah dengan adanya penjarahan yang massiv dari oknum masyarakat pada gudang-gudang suplai logistik mengakibatkan barang yang semestinya didistribusikan baik ke kota ataupun ke kabupaten akhirnya tidak dapat dilaksanakan.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-234
Author(s):  
Luthvi Febryka Nola

Article 31 paragraph (1) and paragraph (2) of the Indonesian Bankruptcy Law stipulate that all seizures that have been determined on the debtor's assets are null and void since the bankruptcy verdict is pronounced and since then the only validity is general seizure. However, in its practice various seizures are still stipulated on bankrupt assets ranging from civil, criminal and tax seizures. This paper discusses the forms of seizure in the bankruptcy process, the position of general seizure of other seizures in bankruptcy and the impact of the position of general seizure on debt payments to creditors. The research method used is normative legal research using secondary data collected through library studies and document studies. The various data were then analyzed descriptively and qualitatively. This writing found that there are rules in other laws such as Article 39 paragraph (2) KUHAP and Article 6 paragraph (1) Law No. 19 of 2000 that have ruled out the position of general seizure. The experts in each field of science also have different views regarding the position of general seizure. This condition has resulted in the emergence of friction between law enforcement, inconsistency of judges’ decisions, length of bankruptcy proceedings, injustice, unclear data on bankruptcy assets and reduced bankruptcy assets. Therefore, the understanding of law enforcement regarding legal principles, especially the principle of lex specialis derogate legi generalis, needs to be improved. The use of prejudgment seizure in the bankruptcy process must be socialized to maximize control over bankrupt assets. To avoid prolonged process of bankruptcy, the bankruptcy law should limit the time period for the settlement of assets to the curator.AbstrakPasal 31 ayat (1) dan ayat (2) UU Kepailitan mengatur bahwa segala sita yang telah ditetapkan atas harta kekayaan debitor menjadi hapus semenjak putusan pailit diucapkan dan semenjak itu satu-satunya yang berlaku adalah sita umum. Akan tetapi pada praktiknya berbagai sita tetap ditetapkan atas harta pailit mulai dari sita perdata, pidana dan pajak.  Tulisan ini membahas tentang bentuk-bentuk sita dalam proses kepailitan, kedudukan sita umum terhadap sita lainnya dalam kepailitan dan dampak dari kedudukan sita umum terhadap pembayaran utang kepada para kreditor. Adapun metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah penelitian hukum normatif dengan menggunakan data sekunder yang dikumpulkan melalui kegiatan studi perpustakaan maupun studi dokumen. Berbagai data tersebut kemudian dianalisis secara deskriptif-kualitatif. Penulisan ini menemukan bahwa adanya aturan dalam UU lain seperti Pasal 39 ayat (2) KUHAP dan Pasal 6 ayat (1) UU No. 19 Tahun 2000 telah mengesampingkan kedudukan sita umum. Ahli masing-masing bidang ilmu juga memiliki pandangan yang berbeda terkait kedudukan sita umum.  Kondisi ini berdampak pada munculnya pergesekan antara penegak hukum, inkonsistensi putusan hakim, lamanya proses kepailitan, terjadi ketidakadilan, ketidakjelasan data harta pailit, berkurang bahkan hilangnya harta pailit. Oleh sebab itu, pemahaman penegak hukum tentang asas hukum terutama asas lex specialis derogate legi generalis perlu ditingkatkan. Penggunaan lembaga sita jaminan dalam proses kepailitan harus disosialisasikan untuk memaksimalkan penguasaan terhadap harta pailit. Supaya proses kepailitan tidak berlarut-larut, UU kepailitan harusnya membatasi jangka waktu penyelesaian aset kepada kurator.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Romy Nocera ◽  
Philip Petrucelli ◽  
Johnathan Park ◽  
Eric Stander

To elucidate relationships between meteorological variables and incidence of stroke, we studied patients diagnosed with stroke after presenting to the emergency department (May 1, 2010–August 8, 2011). Patient demographics and medical data were reviewed retrospectively with regional meteorological data. Across 467 days, 134 stroke events were recorded on 114 days. On stroke days, maximum temperature (max T) and atmospheric pressure (AP) combined were a significant predictor of stroke (max T odds ratio (OR) = 1.014, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.003–1.026, and P=0.04; AP: OR = 1.033, 95% CI = 0.997–1.071, and P=0.02). When the patient could identify the hour of the stroke, average temperature (avg T) was significantly higher than nonstroke hours (18.2°C versus 16.16°C, P=0.04). Daily fluctuations in AP and avg T also had significant effects on stroke incidence (AP: OR = 0.629, 95% CI = 0.512–0.773, and P=0.0001; avg T OR = 1.1399, 95% CI = 1.218–606, and P=0.0001). Patient age, stroke history, body mass index, ethnicity, and sex were further contributors to stroke risk. Temperature, atmospheric pressure, and certain physiological conditions likely play roles in weather-related stroke susceptibility. The mechanisms driving these associations are not fully understood.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vera Thiemig ◽  
Peter Salamon ◽  
Goncalo N. Gomes ◽  
Jon O. Skøien ◽  
Markus Ziese ◽  
...  

&lt;p&gt;We present EMO-5, a Pan-European high-resolution (5 km), (sub-)daily, multi-variable meteorological data set especially developed to the needs of an operational, pan-European hydrological service (EFAS; European Flood Awareness System). The data set is built on historic and real-time observations coming from 18,964 meteorological in-situ stations, collected from 24 data providers, and 10,632 virtual stations from four high-resolution regional observational grids (CombiPrecip, ZAMG - INCA, EURO4M-APGD and CarpatClim) as well as one global reanalysis product (ERA-Interim-land). This multi-variable data set covers precipitation, temperature (average, min and max), wind speed, solar radiation and vapor pressure; all at daily resolution and in addition 6-hourly resolution for precipitation and average temperature. The original observations were thoroughly quality controlled before we used the Spheremap interpolation method to estimate the variable values for each of the 5 x 5 km grid cells and their affiliated uncertainty. EMO-5 v1 grids covering the time period from 1990 till 2019 will be released as a free and open Copernicus product mid-2020 (with a near real-time release of the latest gridded observations in future). We would like to present the great potential EMO-5 holds for the hydrological modelling community.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;footnote: EMO = European Meteorological Observations&lt;/p&gt;


Agro Ekonomi ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 183 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanti Nurhayanti ◽  
Moko Nugroho

The occurrence of climate change disrupts the productivity of paddy in Indonesia. Disruption of the paddy’s production has an impact on the availability of foodstuffs, considering paddy as staple food Indonesia society. This study aims to analyze the impact of climate change on productivity of paddy in the central acreage of paddy in period 1974-2015 by using four different climate variables. The data used are secondary data collected from Agency of Central for Statistics (BPS), Ministry of Agriculture, and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Estimation method using data panels with Random Effect models (REM). The results showed the productivity of paddy in Indonesia are more sensitive to changes in rainfall and maximum temperature (Tmax) compared to the average temperature (Tave) and the minimum temperature (Tmin). Increased rainfall and Tmax positively impact the productivity of paddy until a specific turning point, then after that point will give the opposite impact. As for the turning point for the precipitation of 10,177 Inc./year, while Tmax on 31,35 °C. Simple simulation results demonstrate the increase in rainfall in the upper turning point of 1 % will reduce the productivity of paddy amounted 0,00796 % ceteris peribus. While the maximum temperature rise above the turning point of 1 % will reduce the productivity of paddy as much as 0,09039% ceteris peribus.


Author(s):  
Vivek Gupta ◽  
Surinder Kumar ◽  
Saurabh Mahajan

Background: Chicken pox is an acute, common, and highly contagious disease caused by the varicella zoster virus (VZV). Chicken pox is predominantly a childhood disease characterized by pruritic vesicular exanthema with systemic symptoms such as fever, loss of appetite, and malaise. Primary infection tends to occur at a younger age and is usually benign in immunocompetent children but can be life-threatening in adults and immunocompromised individuals, with an attack rate approaching >85% after exposure. This study attempts to evaluate the trend of chickenpox cases in a residential hostel in Ramgarh.Methods: This was a record based descriptive study done using reported Chicken Pox cases in the OPDs during the period from January 2015 to December 2018. Monthly average for meteorological data (Min and Max temperature, Precipitation and Humidity) for Ramgarh was recorded for the study period. Seasonality and trend was identified for chicken pox cases during this period by plotting the monthly number of clinically diagnosed cases over time period to identify any repeated pattern. Poisson’s distribution was used to estimate association between meteorological variables and incidence of chickenpox cases.Results: Analysis revealed strong correlations (r=0.7553, p<0.0001) between humidity and precipitation. There was a significant correlation between Incidence of varicella and meteorological factors under study (all p<0.05).Conclusions: The findings of this study will aid in forecasting epidemics and in preparing for the impact of climate change on the varicella epidemiology through the implementation of public health preventive measures such as promoting good hygiene practices, temporary   closure of educational institutions, active vaccination and campaigns that include press releases and media events to encourage preventive activities.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lailatus Siami ◽  
Anindita Ramadhani

Climate change as certain phenomena has occurred globally and the impact feels by people especially for those who live on the island. Weather pattern shifting is one of the evidence of climate change impact, and many scientists are still trying to prove it. Weather affected by a combination of temperature, relativity humidity, etc. The fact that those parameters closely related to the need of health especially temperature and relative humidity and well-known thermal scale grouped in a range called discomfort index (DI). This study aims to analyze the outdoor condition in Bandar Lampung by figure out discomfort index. Weather parameter collected from secondary data of Teluk Betung weather station from 2007 – 2017 in three levels of high, average and low condition. In that period, temperature and humidity in Bandar Lampung relatively stable between 20-35∘C and 50-100%. In general, the city encountered with varies conditions by high temperature above 29∘C and high relative humidity more than 85%. Meanwhile, DI changes from year to year are not significantly occurred that indicates in high temperature, average and low weather are everyone feels severe stress, more than 50% of people feel discomfort, and comfortable condition. Nevertheless, every year it already shows an uncomfortable situation especially in high temperature and even at an average temperature. Furthermore, the study needs to compare with other weather stations in Bandar Lampung.


FLORESTA ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 113
Author(s):  
Gabriel Miranda Lima de Lima ◽  
Nei Sebastião Braga Gomes ◽  
Thiago Augusto da Cunha ◽  
Afonso Figueiredo Filho

This study compares the impact of five meteorological variables on the diametric growth of Pinus caribaea var. hondurensis Barrett & Golfari in Vilhena, Rondônia. One thousand nine hundred sixty-eight trees were evaluated and classified at different ages: 600 trees were one year old; 600 trees were two years old; 768 trees were 13 years. The diameter measurement at the soil level (SL) was conducted in young stands between one and two years old. In the stand with 13 years old, the diameter was measured at 1.3 m (DCH). Using a Pressler borer, 50 increment cores were removed at DCH to measure the tree rings in LINTAB™ 6. The diametric growth was evaluated through the Periodic Increment (PI) for young stands and Current Annual Increment (CAI) for adult stands. The following variables were considered: average temperature (°C), precipitation (mm), solar radiation (Kj m-²), real evapotranspiration (mm), and maximum relative humidity (%). The Pearson Correlation Coefficient (r) proposed by Callegari-Jacques and the coefficient of variation (CV%) were used to establish the relationship between growth and meteorological variables. For young stands, the variables with higher positive correlation were real evapotranspiration and maximum relative humidity. However, the variable with a higher positive correlation in adult stands was average temperature, demonstrating a strong correlation until the sixth year of the species. 


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