The link between Economic Growth, Exports and Imports in Ethiopia: A Vector Auto Regressive Analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tigist Zelalem Asmare ◽  
MK Jayamohan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Policy Decision ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Shed Light ◽  
Integration Analysis ◽  
Regressive Analysis

Abstract The relationship between exports, imports andeconomic growth of Ethiopia has been investigated in this paper for the period 1981-2018 by using annual data from World Bank. For the analysis,Vector Auto Regressive Model, Johansen co-integration analysis and the GrangerCausality tests were implemented. The outcome of the analysis reveals that there is no cointegration relation between exports, imports and economic growth inEthiopia. Conversely, we found that there is a strong evidence of bidirectional causality between exports andeconomic growth and a unidirectional causality from export to import. There is also a causality running from import to exports at a 10% significance level that witnessed weak bidirectional causality between imports and exports. This shed light on the importance of giving more emphasis on export-led growth by Ethiopian policy decision makers.

scholarly journals Investigation of Causal Correlations Between Higher Education Development and Economic Growth in Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Nguyen Duc Hanh ◽  
Bui Manh Dung
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Education Development ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Relationship

This work investigated the dynamic relationship between higher education and economic growth in Vietnam using annual data collected ten years from 2010 to 2019. The auto-regressive distributive lag framework was used along with the error correction term to investigate the long-run relationship between real gross domestic product, enrollment in higher education, gross capital formation, and labor. The study used the Granger causality test to assess the relationship between higher education and economic expansion. Follow as the test results, a unidirectional causality running from higher education to economic growth have observed. The necessary diagnostic tests have applied to check the reliability and acceptability of model outputs, and they have been found suitable.

scholarly journals Impacts of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Australian Economy

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viral Pandya ◽  
Sommala Sisombat
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Policy Decision ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Australian Economy ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Poor Relationship

This paper examines foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and its impact on economic growth in Australia. FDI inflows are considered to be a vital source of economic growth or development for any economy and it plays big role in growth in gross domestic product (GDP), improvement in infrastructure, employment creation, export and trade performance. This paper examines the relationship between FDI and economic growth of Australia through regression analysis between FDI and different measures of economic growth. The multiple regressions is used to derive conclusion on importance of FDI. The results highlight that FDI inflows contribute to the Australian economy including a growth in GDP, export performance and employment. Mining and quarrying has been identified as an attractive sector in which it has contributed to 7% of GDP, a large amount of capital has been invested and employed intensive labor. The result reflects absence of relationship between FDI and economic growth of Australia as two out three variables shows poor relationship with FDI. The findings provide critical information to Australian policy decision makers to make an informed decision with regard to attractive investment sectors and policies in encouraging foreign investors to invest in the country.

scholarly journals FDI and Economic Growth in EU13 Countries: Cointegration and Causality Tests

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 47-63
Author(s):  
Vlatka Bilas ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
European Union ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Relationship

Foreign direct investments are seen as a prerequisite for gaining and maintaining competitiveness. The research objective of this study is to examine the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in “new” European Union member countries using various unit root, cointegration, as well as causality tests. The paper employs annual data for FDI and gross domestic product (GDP) from 2002 to 2018 for the 13 most recent members of European Union (EU13): Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. An estimated panel ARDL (PMG) model found evidence that there is a long-run equilibrium between the LogGDP, LogFDI and LogFDIP series, with the rate of adjustment back to equilibrium between 3.27% and 20.67%. In the case of the LogFDI series, long-run coefficients are highly statistically significant in all four models, varying between 0.0828 and 0.3019. These coefficients indicate that a 1% increase in LogFDI increases LogGDP between 0.0828% and 0.3019%. Results of a Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test indicated that a relationship between the GDP growth rate and FDI growth rate is only indirect. Finally, only weak evidence was shown that FDI had a statistically significant impact on GDP in the EU13 countries over the period 2002-2018. This report of findings contributes to the literature concerning FDI and economic growth, namely regarding the current understanding of the relationship between these two factors.

scholarly journals Role of Zakat as Social Finance Catalyst to Islamic Banking and Economic Growth

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ai Nur Bayinah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
West Java ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Integration Analysis

This paper is aimed to assess the contribution of Zakat in boosting Islamic banks’ financing and economic growth for the period 2011-2015, in 10 district/city of West Java Province, Indonesia. Through Vector Autoregressive (VAR) panel co-integration analysis, variance decompositions (VD) and impulse response functions (IRF), this study investigates Zakat, Islamic Banking, and economic growth nexus. Findings in this research highlight that Zakat has a significant impact on Islamic banking, so this institution would contribute to economic growth both in the short and the long run, with fluctuation in variance from the first year. The results lend support to the view that Zakat not only leads to social benefits but also has a positive impact on the economy through increasing Islamic banks’ financing. Therefore, this research will serve as a motivation for the industry players and regulators to continuously promote Zakat as a strategic policy. The originality of this research is to assess Zakat-led growth and finance by analyzing the impact of Zakat on the Islamic banking and regional economic outcome. Another novel aspect of this study is in the methodology as it employs VAR panel co-integration analysis, VDs and IRFs on the set of annual data. Keywords: Zakat, Islamic Banking Financing, Economic Growth, West Java

scholarly journals Modeling the Impact of Inflation Uncertainty on Food Sector Growth

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Reza Eslami ◽  
Ali Akbar Baghestany
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Policy Decision ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Inflation Uncertainty ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Agricultural Growth ◽  
Growth Variability ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Background: One of the most fundamental objectives of the macroeconomic policies is to realize the relationship between economic growth and inflation. According to some monetary policy advisors, inflation reflects erosion in consumer’s purchasing power. Inflation as an important economic variable, affect the economic growth and its impact on economic growth has been proposed in various theories. Agriculture plays an important role in providing the food security in Iran. Methods: A Bivariate GARCH model was employed to investigate the relationship between inflation uncertainty and agricultural growth. Results: The Augmented Dickey Fuller and Phillips Perron tests indicated all variables were stationary. Estimated models were utilized to generate the conditional variances of inflation and agriculture growth as proxies of inflation and growth variability. During the entire period 1990-2012, Bivariate Granger Causality test indicated that inflation uncertainty was the cause of growth in agriculture. This finding was in line with the hypothesis presented by (Logue and Sweeney, 1981). Conclusion: Due to the causality relation of inflation uncertainty and growth in agriculture, macro policy decision-makers are recommended to consider the price policies for improving agricultural production.

scholarly journals The Relationship Between Public Expenditures, Total Factor Productivity and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Remzi Can Yılmaz ◽  
Ahmet Rutkay Ardoğan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Total Factor Productivity ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Public Expenditures ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Factor Productivity ◽  
The Relationship

According to the economics literature, there are two main sources of economic growth. While the first of the resources is the accumulation of production factors, the other is the part of the output that cannot be explained by the amount of input used in production, in other words, the total factor productivity. The level of total factor productivity is measured according to how efficiently the inputs are used in the production process. In this study, the hypothesis that public spending affects real economic growth through total productivity is investigated. In the first stage, whether the changes in public expenditures affect the total factor productivity or not; if it does, to what extent and in what direction it has been tried to be revealed. In the second stage, the effect of total factor productivity on economic growth was examined and the statistical significance, direction and extent of the relationship between variables were investigated. Annual data were used in the study and the year range is 2000-2017. The sampling economies were selected according to data availability, and there are a total of 20 developed and developing economies. Research was conducted using multiple panel regression analysis. According to the findings, the relationship between public expenditures and total factor productivity is statistically significant. An increase in public expenditures reduces the total factor productivity. The relationship between total factor productivity and economic growth is statistically significant, and an increase in total factor productivity also increases economic growth. An increase in public expenditures affects economic growth negatively by reducing the total factor productivity.

ANALISIS HUBUNGAN ANTARA PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK DAN EKONOMI KASUS EKONOMI DI ASEAN-5, 1980-2013.

2016 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Abdulrahman Taresh Abdullah A.
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Resources ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Economies Of Scale ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Labor Costs ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Quantity Of Children

This study empirically examines the causal relationship between population growth and economic growth, aswell as to analyze the influence of capital, labor, population growth and human resources on economic growth,using the annual data of ASEAN-5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand), over theperiod of 1980-2013. The method used in this study is the Granger Causality and Vector Error CorrectionModel (VECM). VECM is used because the data is stationary at first difference and there is cointegrationbetween variables.From the results estimation which is conducted, it is concluded that, overall, the relationship betweenpopulation growth and economic growth in ASEAN-5 is strong and negative flow from economic growth topopulation growth. This study supports the opinion of theoretical and empirical claims; as income increases,households value quality over quantity of children. Concurrently, population can be a stimulus for economicgrowth through the realization of favorable economies of scale induced by low labor costs, enhancingaggregate demand for goods and services and promoting human capital, and improved efficiency.

Financial Development and Economic Growth

2015 ◽  
pp. 233-245
Author(s):  
Filiz Eryılmaz ◽  
Hasan Bakır ◽  
Mehmet Mercan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
New Zealand ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between financial development and economic growth has been the subject of considerable debate in development and growth literature. Therefore this chapter provides evidence on the role of financial development in accounting for economic growth in 23 OECD countries (Italy, Japan, Luxemburg, Holland, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, England, USA, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, Turkey, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland) via panel data analysis using the annual data for the period 1980-2012. The authors find a positive relationship between financial development and economic growth for all countries. Also this result means that financial development leads economic growth in these countries. So the results may help policymakers formulate effective financial sector policies as a tool to promote economic growth.

Tourism and destination competitiveness an exploratory analysis applying the forgotten effects theory

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Miriam Edith Pérez-Romero ◽  
Martha Beatriz Flores-Romero ◽  
Víctor G. Alfaro-García
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Indirect Effect ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
The Past ◽  
Destination Competitiveness ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
Shed Light ◽  
Initial Measurement

In the past two decades, research on tourism or destination competitiveness has incremented exponentially. The concept of improving the performance of a destination to deliver goods and services considered significant for tourists is highly appealing for policy and decision-makers. Therefore, analyzing the relation between some identified causes of destination competitiveness exert in touristic variables of a specific territory results relevant. The present work applies the theory of forgotten effects to identify the direct, moreover the indirect cause-effect relationship of the identified variables. Results show that the highest indirect effect is given by the variables hospitality and sustainable development, some other interesting results are those found in causes, destination management, and accessibility; in effects, economic growth, and profitability. This work tries to shed light in the identification and initial measurement of the relevance that competitive variables has on a touristic destination.

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