Quantitative analysis of causal relationships between indicators of informal employment and indicators characterizing the socio-economic development of the regions of the Russian Federation

Author(s):  
Э.И. Дубравская

Для принятия управленческих решений по регулированию рынка труда на региональном уровне необходима объективная статистическая оценка взаимосвязи неформальной занятости с показателями социально-экономического развития. В статье дана количественная оценка данной взаимосвязи с применением критерия Грейнджера. Managerial decisions on the regulation of the labor market at the regional level should be based on an objective statistical assessment of the relationship of informal employment with indicators of socio-economic development is required. The article provides a quantitative assessment of this relationship using the Grager criterion.

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (6) ◽  
pp. 31-43
Author(s):  
E. I. Dubravskaya

Purpose of the study. The possibilities for the implementation of national and regional strategic objectives depend on the compliance of the measures taken with the chosen development path. The set of measures includes managerial decisions in the field of labor market regulation and concerning the legalization of informal employment. To make managerial decisions on the regulation of the labor market at the regional level, an objective statistical assessment of the relationship between informal employment and indicators of socio-economic development is required.The information basis for the regulation of informal employment should be quantitatively assessed stable regularities of the relationship between the parameters of informal employment and the structural and dynamic characteristics of economic growth and development. To identify and evaluate these statistical patterns, based on data from the Federal State Statistics Service in a regional context, a system of statistical indicators has been developed and significant factors of informal employment and socio-economic development have been identified. Given the heterogeneity of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in terms of the scale and structure of informal employment, the distribution of regions into homogeneous groups is required. The article describes the approaches to the classification of Russian regions, taking into account the level of socio-economic development and the structure of informal employment.Materials and methods. The article examines an approach to the distribution of regions into homogeneous groups using the methods of cluster analysis based on a group of indicators characterizing those employed in the informal sector, which is based on the assumption that the indicators of informal employment are causally related to indicators of socio-economic development.Results. Five groups of regions are obtained, homogeneous in terms of the structural characteristics of informal employment and generalized factors of socio-economic development. For the purposes of further interpretation, the selected groups are assessed and ranked relative to the average Russian level of socio-economic development: low level (8 regions), below average (26 regions), average (41 regions), above average (8 regions), high level (2 regions) ...Conclusion. The resulting classification of Russian regions is a transitional stage to the construction of an econometric model of the relationship between informal employment and indicators of socio-economic development. Further analysis will allow us to assess which indicators have the greatest multiplier effect on the regional economy and to obtain a quantitative assessment of this impact on its growth.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 1266-1285
Author(s):  
Sn.P. Mongush

Subject. This article explores the various aspects of the concept of Spatial Development. Objectives. The article aims to develop a conceptual basis for the spatial socio-economic development of the collaborating regions. Methods. For the study, I used the methods of comparative and statistical analyses. Results. The article shows how cooperation between the subjects of the Russian Federation increases the potential of economically united regions. Conclusions. When preparing national strategic planning documents, it is necessary to take into account the specifics of regions, their capacity, available resources, and focus on the relationship between regions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 58 (2) ◽  
pp. 1166-1174
Author(s):  
Gairat Zuvaitovich Ubaydullaev

Theoretical substantiation and development of an organizational and economic mechanism for managing human capital in the development of the country. The purpose of the study is to study the theoretical and methodological foundations for the development of human capital and the digital economy in the economy of Uzbekistan.The purpose of this work is to identify the development of socio-economic relations that characterize the relationship of human capital as an innovative factor in socio-economic development. The study focuses on the concepts and strategies of the country’s socio-economic development, developed by the state, giving priority attention to the growth of human capital and the development of the digital economy, the formation of targeted problem-solving programs.Comparisons and similarities in the work of our historical scientists in the development of the education system are the main goal in the growth of human capital.


2020 ◽  
Vol 152 ◽  
pp. 20-31
Author(s):  
Andrey N. Burmistrov ◽  
Yuriy V. Il’in ◽  

Economic basis existing in the Russian Federation was formed in the 1990s, but it was developing and finally took shape in the early 2000s. It was the political struggle for its implementation that determined the form, structure and nature of the modern political superstructure. As shown by the experience of recent years, the formed basis and superstructure are not intended to carry out in-depth socio-economic reforms in Russia. At the same time, Western total Jesuit Russophobia, the growing power and the number of global challenges, as well as insufficient socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, necessitate fundamental changes. In this regard, the authors provide justification for the need and explore possible ways to modernize the existing political superstructure in the Russian Federation in order to create conditions that provide a powerful and effective Russia's response to the global challenges of the nearest future.


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 828-856
Author(s):  
Lyudmila V. OVESHNIKOVA ◽  
Elena V. SIBIRSKAYA ◽  
Ol'ga O. KOMAREVTSEVA

Subject. This article deals with the issues of management of a municipal formation and implementation of national projects in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Objectives. The article aims to develop a spatial methodology to assess the improvement of the municipal formation management mechanism and test this methodology regarding the Orel Oblast municipalities as a case study. Methods. For the study, we used speculative and estimating methods. Results. The methods used to assess the modernization of the management system are focused on the study of the competitiveness and socio-economic development of municipalities and the region. The article proposes a methodology to evaluate the processes of modernization of the municipal formation management mechanism on the basis of the relationship with the areas of national projects implemented in the Orel Oblast. Conclusions. In terms of development level, most of the Orel Oblast municipalities do not meet the requirements stated in the national projects.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (200) ◽  
pp. 15-22
Author(s):  
V.N. Minat ◽  

The features of the spatial dynamics of the development of American healthcare in the long term are revealed. Based on the use of statistical and economic analysis undertaken within the framework of a combination of historical, geospatial and typological approaches, the dynamics of the average annual indicators of the development of US healthcare for 1951-2020 in the context of individual states is studied. Grouping of indicators allowed to identify the relationship between the growth of efficiency, quality, safety, accessibility and effectiveness of US healthcare at the regional level. On the basis of this dependence, a typology of states is carried out, which generally corresponds to the central-peripheral concept of the dynamics of socio-economic development of the United States.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
Alexander E. Chistyakov ◽  
Alexander V. Shustov

The article deals with the problem of the influence of the level of socio-economic development of Russian regions on demographic and migration processes. The relationship between economic indicators, the total population growth in the regions and its components-natural and migration growth during 2000-2017 are analyzed. The authors reveals the relationship between the dynamics of the gross regional product (GRP) and the population of the regions, as well as the factors that determine these processes. For the purposes of the study, a sample of “typical” regions was formed. In the process of its formation, national autonomies and remote territories with a more severe climate were excluded from the total number of subjects of the Russian Federation, where the development of demographic and migration processes may be determined by "atypical" factors for other regions of the Russian Federation (national-cultural, climatic, etc.). The article analyzes the causes of internal migration and features of socio-demographic development of subjects of the Russian Federation. The role of the Moscow region as an object of migration attraction is investigated, and the factors that deter and stimulate internal migration are considered. The official data of the Federal state statistics service for 2000-2017 were used as an information base for the study.


Author(s):  
Е.А Остапенко

В статье рассматривается утилитарное применение сценарного подхода в практике управления региональным развитием. Изучен опыт, обусловлена целесообразность разработки целевых сценариев социально-экономического развития региона. Рассмотрена взаимосвязь сценарного подхода с обеспечением устойчивого развития и вариантов решения проблемы модернизации экономики региона. The article discusses the utilitarian application of the scenario approach in the practice of managing regional development. The experience was studied, the expediency of developing targeted scenarios for the socio-economic development of the region was determined. The relationship of the scenario approach with ensuring sustainable development and options for solving the problems of modernization of the economy of the region is considered.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 30-36
Author(s):  
O.P. Lichichan ◽  
◽  
I.A. Arzumanov ◽  
F.S. Galenpol'skij ◽  
◽  
...  

A study of methodological problems related to the relationship of strategic planning documents of the federal level, developed within the framework of the target plan on sectoral and territorial principles, was carried out. The norms of the body of regulatory legal acts of the federal level adopted within the framework of the goal in the process of strategic planning of socio-economic development of territories, including the annual message of the President of the Russian Federation to the Federal Assembly of theRussian Federation, the strategy of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, the strategy of national security of the Russian Federation and the strategy of scientific and technological development of the Russian Federation, were considered. The specifics of the Messages of the President of the Russian Federation to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation as documents defining budget policy and requirements for it were revealed. The provisions of Federal Law No. 172 “On Strategic Planning” devoted to the “Strategy for the Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation” were analyzed. The consequences of the non-adoption of this document at the present stage have been analyzed. It is argued that methodological implications include the lack of a systematic link between strategic planning documents, the necessary statistical development of core resource indicators across the country and across regions, which affects the quality of strategic planning documents, and the effectiveness of their implementation. It is determined that spatial strategy, being an independent direction of strategic planning, should be “horizontally” consistent with strategic planning documents of an industry nature, and“vertically” with strategic spatial (territorial) planning documents formed at both the regional and municipal levels. A number of theoretical and methodological provisions have been identified and systematized, reflecting the systemic relationship of strategic planning documents adopted within the framework of the goal. It is argued that the factors influencing the formation and implementation of State policies for regional development and directly related to strategic planning include not only the characteristics of the federal structure, geopolitical, geodesic, socio-cultural factors, but also a significant difference in the levels of regional socio-economic development and territorial population.


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