scholarly journals Statistical Characteristics of Long-Lived Large-Scale Disturbances in the Northern Hemisphere 500hPa Height Fields

1987 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 221-236 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shooichi Taguchi ◽  
Tomio Asai
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Statistical Characteristics ◽  
Height Fields

Large-Scale Rossby Normal Modes during Some Recent Northern Hemisphere Winters

2012 ◽  
Vol 69 (3) ◽  
pp. 820-839 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Sassi ◽  
R. R. Garcia ◽  
K. W. Hoppel
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Normal Modes ◽  
Background Spectrum ◽  
Zonal Wavenumber ◽  
Free Mode ◽  
Real Atmosphere ◽  
Height Fields ◽  
The Waves ◽  
Spectral Location

Abstract Large-scale Rossby normal modes are studied for the Northern Hemisphere winters of 2005, 2006, 2008, and 2009 using global observational meteorological analyses spanning the 0–92-km altitude range. Spectral analysis of geopotential height fields shows pronounced peaks at westward-propagating zonal wavenumber 1 near the theoretical locations of the free Rossby waves at 25, 16, 10, and 5 days that, in some cases, have amplitudes significantly larger than the estimated background spectrum. Evidence is also found for a wavenumber-2 free mode near 4 days. A coherence analysis is used to extract the amplitude and phase of the waves, and to isolate those regions of the latitude/altitude plane where the signals are statistically significant. Although the spectral location, temporal evolution, and vertical structure of several of these waves are suggestive of the presence of Rossby normal modes, this study shows that in the real atmosphere the waves only occasionally have the global properties of classical normal modes. Moreover, no evidence is found that the amplitudes of these modes are enhanced during stratospheric sudden warmings.

scholarly journals Risk Assessment of Large-Scale Infrastructure Projects—Assumptions and Context

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 109
Author(s):  
Jana Korytárová ◽  
Vít Hromádka
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Economic Efficiency ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Statistical Characteristics ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Dependent Variables ◽  
Research Findings ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Individual Risk Factors

This article deals with the partial outputs of large-scale infrastructure project risk assessment, specifically in the field of road and motorway construction. The Department of Transport spends a large amount of funds on project preparation and implementation, which however, must be allocated effectively, and with knowledge of the risks that may accompany them. Therefore, documentation for decision-making on project financing also includes their analysis. This article monitors the frequency of occurrence of individual risk factors within the qualitative risk analysis, with the support of the national risk register, and identifies dependent variables that represent part of the economic cash flows for determining project economic efficiency. At the same time, it compares these dependent variables identified by sensitivity analysis with critical variables, followed by testing the interaction of the critical variables’ effect on the project efficiency using the Monte Carlo method. A partial section of the research was focused on the analysis of the probability distribution of input variables, especially “the investment costs” and “time savings of infrastructure users” variables. The research findings conclude that it is necessary to pay attention to the setting of statistical characteristics of variables entering the economic efficiency indicator calculations, as the decision of whether or not to accept projects for funding is based on them.

scholarly journals Sustainable Large-Scale Aquaculture of the Northern Hemisphere Sea Lettuce, Ulva fenestrata, in an Off-Shore Seafarm

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 615
Author(s):  
Sophie Steinhagen ◽  
Swantje Enge ◽  
Karin Larsson ◽  
Joakim Olsson ◽  
Göran M. Nylund ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fatty Acid ◽  
Low Temperature ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Biochemical Composition ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Biomass Yield ◽  
Phenolic Content ◽  
Seedling Density ◽  
Ulva Fenestrata ◽  
High Nutrient

The growing world population demands an increase in sustainable resources for biorefining. The opening of new farm grounds and the cultivation of extractive species, such as marine seaweeds, increases worldwide, aiming to provide renewable biomass for food and non-food applications. The potential for European large-scale open ocean farming of the commercial green seaweed crop Ulva is not yet fully realized. Here we conducted manipulative cultivation experiments in order to investigate the effects of hatchery temperature (10 and 15 °C), nutrient addition (PES and 3xPES) and swarmer density (500 and 10,000 swarmers ml−1) on the biomass yield and biochemical composition (fatty acid, protein, carbohydrate, pigment and phenolic content) of off-shore cultivated Ulva fenestrata in a Swedish seafarm. High seedling densities were optimal for the growth of this northern hemisphere crop strain and significantly increased the mean biomass yield by ~84% compared to low seedling densities. Variations of nutrients or changes in temperature levels during the hatchery phase were not necessary to increase the subsequent growth in an open-water seafarm, however effects of the factors on the thallus habitus (thallus length/width) were observed. We found no significant effect of the environmental factors applied in the hatchery on the total fatty acid or crude protein content in the off-shore cultivated Ulva. However, low seedling density and low temperature increased the total carbohydrate content and furthermore, high temperature in combination with high nutrient levels decreased the pigment content (chlorophyll a, b, carotenoids). Low temperature in combination with high nutrient levels increased the phenolic content. Our study confirms the successful and sustainable potential for large-scale off-shore cultivation of the Scandinavian crop U. fenestrata. We conclude that high seedling density in the hatchery is most important for increasing the total biomass yield of sea-farmed U. fenestrata, and that changing temperature or addition of nutrients overall does not have a large effect on the biochemical composition. To summarize, our study contributes novel insights into the large-scale off-shore cultivation potential of northern hemisphere U. fenestrata and underpins suitable pre-treatments during the hatchery phase of seedlings to facilitate a successful and cost-efficient large-scale rope cultivation.

Statistical Characteristics and Correlation Analysis for Control Index of Soil-Aggregate Mixture

2013 ◽  
Vol 718-720 ◽  
pp. 1872-1877 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xu Xi Chang ◽  
Xie Jian Ming ◽  
Jiang Ling Fa ◽  
Chen Shan Xiong
Keyword(s):  
Grain Size ◽  
Correlation Analysis ◽  
Normal Distribution ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Soil Aggregate ◽  
Site Preparation ◽  
Statistical Characteristics ◽  
Coarse Grain ◽  
Systematic Research ◽  
Large Variability

Currently, the soil-aggregate mixture has been widely used in some large-scale site preparation projects, compaction characteristics has been pay more attention by many engineers and researchers. However, systematic research is insufficient on how to choose the filler. Moreover, some industry regulations are different on the requirements about filler. This paper relies on a certain big site preparation projects, discussing statistical characteristics and correlation on the maximal grain size, contents of the coarse grain, gradation and other parameters of soil-aggregate mixture. The results show that the maximal and the median grain size have small discreteness and normal distribution, indicating site filler is easy to reach the requirement; The coefficient of curvature, coefficient of nonuniformity and the coarse grain content have large discreteness, and dont obey normal distribution, indicating the filler has large variability. The median grain size is highly relevant to the coarse grain content; the maximal grain size isnt relevant to the coefficient of nonuniformity, the coefficient of curvature and the coarse grain content. According to the results of correlation analysis, we suggest that the importance order follow by coarse grain content, the maximum grain size and gradation for the control parameters of filler. This research may be significant to other similar projects.

Six-fold increase in historical Northern Hemisphere concurrent large heatwaves driven by warming and changing atmospheric circulations

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-39
Author(s):  
Cassandra D.W. Rogers ◽  
Kai Kornhuber ◽  
Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick ◽  
Paul C. Loikith ◽  
Deepti Singh
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Fold Increase ◽  
Circulation Pattern ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Climate Risks ◽  
Circulation Patterns ◽  
Multiple Regions ◽  
Barents And Kara Seas

AbstractSimultaneous heatwaves affecting multiple regions (referred to as concurrent heatwaves), pose compounding threats to various natural and societal systems, including global food chains, emergency response systems, and reinsurance industries. While anthropogenic climate change is increasing heatwave risks across most regions, the interactions between warming and circulation changes that yield concurrent heatwaves remain understudied. Here, we quantify historical (1979-2019) trends in concurrent heatwaves during the warm-season (May-September, MJJAS) across the Northern Hemisphere mid- to high-latitudes. We find a significant increase of ~46% in the mean spatial extent of concurrent heatwaves, ~17% increase in their maximum intensity, and ~6-fold increase in their frequency. Using Self-Organising Maps, we identify large-scale circulation patterns (300 hPa) associated with specific concurrent heatwave configurations across Northern Hemisphere regions. We show that observed changes in the frequency of specific circulation patterns preferentially increase the risk of concurrent heatwaves across particular regions. Patterns linking concurrent heatwaves across eastern North America, eastern and northern Europe, parts of Asia, and the Barents and Kara Seas, show the largest increases in frequency (~5.9 additional days per decade). We also quantify the relative contributions of circulation pattern changes and warming to overall observed concurrent heatwave day frequency trends. While warming has a predominant and positive influence on increasing concurrent heatwaves, circulation pattern changes have a varying influence and account for up to 0.8 additional concurrent heatwave days per decade. Identifying regions with an elevated risk of concurrent heatwaves and understanding their drivers is indispensable for evaluating projected climate risks on interconnected societal systems and fostering regional preparedness in a changing climate.

scholarly journals Changes to the chemical state of the northern hemisphere atmosphere during the second half of the twentieth century

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mike J. Newland ◽  
Patricia Martinerie ◽  
Emmanuel Witrant ◽  
Detlev Helmig ◽  
David R. Worton ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Major Influence ◽  
Secondary Products ◽  
Alkyl Nitrates ◽  
Mixing Ratios ◽  
Wide Range

Abstract. The NOX (NO and NO2) and HOX (OH and HO2) budgets of the atmosphere exert a major influence on atmospheric composition, controlling removal of primary pollutants and formation of a wide range of secondary products, including ozone, that can influence human health and climate. However, there remain large uncertainties in the changes to these budgets over recent decades. Due to their short atmospheric lifetimes, NOX and HOX are highly variable in space and time, and so the measurements of these species are of very limited value for examining long term, large scale changes to their budgets. Here, we take an alternative approach by examining long-term atmospheric trends of alkyl nitrates, the formation of which is dependent on the atmospheric NO / HO2 ratio. We derive long term trends in the alkyl nitrates from measurements in firn air from the NEEM site, Greenland. Their mixing ratios increased by a factor of 4–5 between the 1970s and 1990s. This was followed by a steep decline to the sampling date of 2008. Moreover, we examine how the trends in the alkyl nitrates compare to similarly derived trends in their parent alkanes (i.e. the alkanes which, when oxidised in the presence of NOX, lead to the formation of the alkyl nitrates). The ratios of the alkyl nitrates to their parent alkanes increase from around 1970 to the late 1990's consistent with large changes to the [NO] / [HO2] ratio in the northern hemisphere atmosphere during this period. These could represent historic changes to NOX sources and sinks. Alternatively, they could represent changes to concentrations of the hydroxyl radical, OH, or to the transport time of the air masses from source regions to the Arctic.

scholarly journals Meridional energy transport extremes and the general circulation of NH mid-latitudes: dominant weather regimes and preferred zonal wavenumbers

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valerio Lembo ◽  
Federico Fabiano ◽  
Vera Melinda Galfi ◽  
Rune Graversen ◽  
Valerio Lucarini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Energy Transport ◽  
Multiple Scales ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Synoptic Scale ◽  
Weather Regimes ◽  
Height Fields ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation Anomalies

Abstract. The extratropical meridional energy transport in the atmosphere is fundamentally intermittent in nature, having extremes large enough to affect the net seasonal transport. Here, we investigate how these extreme transports are associated with the dynamics of the atmosphere at multiple scales, from planetary to synoptic. We use ERA5 reanalysis data to perform a wavenumber decomposition of meridional energy transport in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes during winter and summer. We then relate extreme transport events to atmospheric circulation anomalies and dominant weather regimes, identified by clustering 500 hPa geopotential height fields. In general, planetary-scale waves determine the strength and meridional position of the synoptic-scale baroclinic activity with their phase and amplitude, but important differences emerge between seasons. During winter, large wavenumbers (k = 2 − 3) are key drivers of the meridional energy transport extremes, and planetary and synoptic-scale transport extremes virtually never co-occur. In summer, extremes are associated with higher wavenumbers (k = 4 − 6), identified as synoptic-scale motions. We link these waves and the transport extremes to recent results on exceptionally strong and persistent co-occurring summertime heat waves across the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. We show that these events are typical, in terms of dominant regime patterns associated with extremely strong meridional energy transports.

A complex network analysis of extreme cyclones in the Arctic

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dörthe Handorf ◽  
Ozan Sahin ◽  
Annette Rinke ◽  
Jürgen Kurths
Keyword(s):  
Complex Network ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Geopotential Height ◽  
Winter Season ◽  
Climate Extremes ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Weather And Climate ◽  
Class 1 ◽  
Height Fields

<p>Under the rapid and amplified warming of the Arctic, changes in the occurrence of Arctic weather and climate extremes are evident which have substantial cryospheric and biophysical impacts like floods, droughts, coastal erosion or wildfires. Furthermore, these changes in weather and climate extremes have the potential to further amplify Arctic warming. <br>Here we study extreme cyclone events in the Arctic, which often occur during winter and are associated with extreme warming events that are caused by cyclone-related heat and moisture transport into the Arctic. In that way Arctic extreme cyclones have the potential to retard sea-ice growth in autumn and winter or to initiate an earlier melt-season onset. <br>To get a better understanding of these extreme cyclones and their occurrences in the Arctic, it is important to reveal the related atmospheric teleconnection patterns and understand their underlying mechanisms. In this study, the methodology of complex networks is used to identify teleconnections associated with extreme cyclones events (ECE) over Spitzbergen. We have chosen Spitzbergen, representative for the Arctic North Atlantic region which is a hot spot of Arctic climate change showing also significant recent changes in the occurrence of extreme cyclone events. <br>Complex climate networks have been successfully applied in the analysis of climate teleconnections during the last decade. To analyze time series of unevenly distributed extreme events, event synchronization (ES) networks are appropriate. Using this framework, we analyze the spatial patterns of significant synchronization between extreme cyclone events over the Spitzbergen area and extreme events in sea-level pressure (SLP) in the rest of the Northern hemisphere for the extended winter season from November to March. Based on the SLP fields from the newest atmospheric reanalysis ERA5, we constructed the ES networks over the time period 1979-2019.<br>The spatial features of the complex network topology like Eigenvector centrality, betweenness centrality and network divergence are determined and their general relation to storm tracks, jet streams and waveguides position is discussed. Link bundles in the maps of statistically significant links of ECEs over Spitzbergen with the rest of the Northern Hemisphere have revealed two classes of teleconnections: Class 1 comprises links from various regions of the Northern hemisphere to Spitzbergen, class 2 comprises links from Spitzbergen to various regions of the Northern hemisphere. For each class three specific teleconnections have been determined. By means of composite analysis, the corresponding atmospheric conditions are characterized.<br>As representative of class 1, the teleconnection between extreme events in SLP over the subtropical West Pacific and delayed ECEs at Spitzbergen is investigated. The corresponding lead-lag analysis of atmospheric fields of SLP, geopotential height fields and meridional wind fields suggests that the class 1 teleconnections are caused by tropical forcing of poleward emanating Rossby wave trains. As representative of class 2, the teleconnection between ECEs at Spitzbergen and delayed extreme events in SLP over Northwest Russia is analyzed. The corresponding lead-lag analysis of atmospheric fields of SLP and geopotential height fields from the troposphere to the stratosphere suggests that the class 2 teleconnections are caused by troposphere-stratosphere coupling processes.</p>

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document