scholarly journals International economic and social determinants of the state economic security: A causal analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 301-310
Author(s):  
Volodymyr Orlov ◽  
Alina Bukhtiarova ◽  
Marcin Marczuk ◽  
Mykhaylo Heyenko

The priority task for ensuring the economic security of a country, which is especially noticeable in the rapidly changing conditions of the contemporary global world, is to forecast challenges and threats. Economic security is one of the necessary conditions for state development, which provides guidelines for making major social and economic decisions. There are a few studies on the determinants of the economic security and no data about security determinants that are required to monitor it. The study aims to identify possible links between leading determinants of the economic security. For this purpose, on the example of Ukraine, causal links between the formation of real GDP (as the leading determinant that characterizes the economic security of the state), 11 determinants that indicate the level of international economic development, and 6 determinants of social development for the period 2014–2020 were determined. With a 5% level significance, the impact on the volume of real GDP of 14 determinants of state economic security was noted and specific time lags were defined. Besides, the bilateral causal effect and lack of causal connection between individual determinants were mentioned. Findings are helpful for effective public administration. In addition, active measures are needed to combat corruption, shadow and criminal economy, and state protection of domestic producers operating in the military, food, information, and energy security sectors. AcknowledgmentAlina Bukhtiarova gratefully acknowledges financial support from the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine (0120U100473).

Author(s):  
Igor Viktorovich Okhrimenko

This article is dedicated to examination of the impact of social factors upon the state of national economic security, which is a vital segment within the overall system of national security. Insurance of national economic security implies activities aimed at elimination of factors that negatively affect the development and independence of the national economy. Such factors, of internal or external origin, are views as threats to national economic security. The subject of this research is internal threats that emerged as a result of unfavorable socioeconomic policy of the state. The author describes the impact of Turkish socioeconomic policy upon the state of its economic security by means of establishing a causal connection between certain manifestations of the unfavorable socioeconomic policy of the country and the emergence of threats to national economic security. The scientific novelty consists in definition of socioeconomic policy of the state as a factor affecting both, economic and national security. This hypothesis is substantiated by the following conclusions: 1) Effectiveness of socioeconomic policy of the state depends on differentiation of the distribution of benefits in the course of its realization; serving the interests of particular population group results in destabilization of the society and risks of civil confrontation, which leads to negative consequences for the national economy and adversely affects the state of national economic security. 2) Excessive burden on state budget with social and economic expenditures may negatively affect the state of national economy in the conditions of upcoming macroeconomic cataclysms. This is what happened in Turkey, when a substantial part of state budget dragged national economy to the bottom in terms of the United States economic sanctions and subsequent crisis of 2018.


2019 ◽  
pp. 167-175
Author(s):  
Inna Shevchuk

The article is devoted to the actual issues of determining the role of national interests in ensuring the economic security of the state. Established in the field of economic security, the priority national interest is the development of the national economy and the growth of the welfare of citizens. The researchers' views on the definition of the concept of «national interests» are researched and generalized that national interests are a systemic, synergetic concept that reflects the vital values of the Ukrainian people as the bearer of sovereignty and the sole source of power in Ukraine, the defining needs of society and the state, the realization of which guarantees state sovereignty of Ukraine and its progressive development. It is noted that national interests are realized through state interests, where the population of the country acts as the subject of interests, and the state through the state institutions implements and protects these interests. The main components of national interests include the provision of military-political sovereignty, economic well-being and cultural needs of the population. The military-political, socio-economic situation in Ukraine and the impact of globalization processes have made it possible to formulate a number of national interests, including: protection of state sovereignty; ensuring economic stability through self-sufficiency, stability and competitiveness of the national economy; polyvectorality of the country's foreign policy and the establishment of Ukraine as a reliable international partner; creation of conditions for the development of the spirituality of the population, improvement of the physical health of the nation; preservation of intellectual and scientific potential of the country, regulation of the issue of youth mobility. It has been proved that democratization processes require the involvement of citizens and civil society institutions in this process in order to form national interests through the maximum coverage of all spheres of society's life for the protection of human rights and citizen and acceleration of socio-economic development and modernization of the national economy. The most acute threats to national interests in the field of national and economic security are formulated. It is summarized that in the field of economic security, national interests reflect the vector of economic development of the state, its aspirations for economic independence and the effective use of economic benefits.


Author(s):  
Yuliia Romanovska ◽  
Lily Strapachuk

The article considers the approaches to the interpretation of the category "shadow economy", which causes a variety of approaches to assessing the impact of the shadow economy on the socio-economic development of Ukraine. The spread of the pandemic and the complication of economic conditions, formed as a result of the introduction of forced restrictive measures, have led to the growth of the shadow economy in Ukraine. The index of shadowing of the economic sphere in relation to the inflation index and the level of the state budget deficit has been studied. The factors that led to the shadowing of the economy and caused the growth of the share of the shadow sector in the economy of Ukraine are highlighted. The main components of shadow employment are identified. Business entities operating in the shadow sector have significantly more competitive advantages and much higher efficiency than legally operating businesses. As a result, such enterprises are an obstacle to the flow of funds to the budgets of all levels of the country, and as a consequence, have a negative impact on socio-economic development in general. In recent years, state budget expenditures have been growing too slowly, which indicates a high level of shadowing of the economy in conditions of high inflation and, consequently, negatively affects the socio-economic security of society. Budget expenditures are closely linked to public policy, which allows the state to curb the level of economic shadowing through measures to reform relevant areas. It is investigated that the State budget expenditures grow too slowly, which indicates a high level of shadowing of the economy in conditions of high inflation. The paper substantiates the reasons for the growth of the shadow economy and identifies the main measures to reduce shadow employment, the manifestations of which are the deformation of social and economic institutions of the state. The de-shadowing of the economy provides citizens with the right to social protection, in the form of social guarantees in case of unemployment, temporary incapacity for work, accidents or occupational diseases during official work, pensions, etc.


Author(s):  
Vera Shumilina ◽  
Darya Pilyuk

The article considers the concept of economic security, the relationship between economic security and households, the role of households in the development of economic security in Russia, the impact of households on the economic security of regions and the state as a whole.


Author(s):  
Olga G. Chirva ◽  
Maksym.V. Boyko

The aim of the study. The purpose of the article is to analyze the current state and trends in the marketing activities of enterprises of the agro-industrial complex of Ukraine. Methodology. In the study of the state and trends of marketing activities of agricultural enterprises of Ukraine used a graphical method and systematic analysis; in the study of the impact of threats on the state of marketing activities of agricultural enterprises in Ukraine - the causal method and the method of scientific generalization - in forming the conclusions of the study. Results. Theoretical aspects of the conditions for the formation of marketing policy of agricultural enterprises are analyzed, we consider it appropriate to summarize the results in accordance with the constituent elements of marketing product policy. It is established that such components of marketing product policy are the development of a new product or economically justified improvement of existing ones; maintenance of goods (transportation, service, storage); withdrawal of goods from production, diversification, elimination. According to the results of the research, the tendencies of development of marketing approaches in production management of agricultural enterprises are analyzed. In the context of marketing policy analysis, a preliminary definition of the content of specific categories that are closely related to agricultural policy is identified.  The practical significance of the study is that the main conclusions and suggestions can be used by domestic enterprises to form an effective management system for marketing activities of agricultural enterprises. Prospects for further research. It is determined that in the long run for agricultural enterprises in developing marketing policy as a tool for economic security and for making sound management decisions and in the interests of consumers of agricultural products in the region it is necessary to form strategic and tactical goals based on the proposed tools.


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 126-149
Author(s):  
Tat'yana D. MALYUTINA

Subject. The article is an attempt to evaluate how the COVID-19 pandemic influences the economic development in Russia, illustrating the case of the tube rolling industry. Objectives. I examine and evaluate how adverse crisis implications of the COVID-19 pandemic could possibly be eliminated in the tube rolling industry, ensuring the economic security of Russia. Methods. The study involves methods of empirical and theoretical research, such as systems and empirical analysis, formal characterization, abstraction, observation, generalization, assessment, and partial methods of economic and statistical analysis. Results. I generally describe the economic situation during the COVID-19 pandemic, evaluate the impact of ties between the oil and tube rolling industries on the economic sovereignty and security of Russia, role of the tube rolling industry in the economic security of the State. I analyzed the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the goods circulation in the tube rolling industry and found probable implications of economic destruction for Russia due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and proposed possible solutions for the tube rolling industry. Conclusions and Relevance. The economic security of the tube rolling industry during the current pandemic is exposed to the destruction of foreign trade between countries exporting tube rolling products, price drop and a reduction in the consumption of energy resources worldwide, capital flight, a decrease in labor resources, slowing business activity and restricted transportation tube rolling products, growing uncertainty on the consumption of tube rolling products. The menacing threats can be eliminated given the State intervenes and regulates the Russian tube rolling industry so as to create favorable conditions for the beneficial economic operations.


2021 ◽  
Vol 298 (5 Part 1) ◽  
pp. 280-286
Author(s):  
Olga GARAFONOVA ◽  
◽  
Liydmyla POLISHCHUK ◽  
Liudmyla DYKHNYCH ◽  
Inna YASHCHENKO ◽  
...  

The article focuses on the relevance of identification and typology of modern risks and threats to the economic security of Ukraine. According to the nature of modern risks and threats, they are classified as hybrid. The hybrid nature of modern threats to Ukraine’s economic security necessitates the application of new approaches to the formation and implementation of state policy to ensure the economic security of Ukraine’s national economy. It is shown that the economic security of the state is a complex dynamic system that requires constant monitoring and management of resilience to internal and external threats in order to ensure a positive impact on socio-economic development, improve macroeconomic development, ensure quality and necessary structural changes and institutional reforms. formation of the system of competitiveness of the national economy. Under such conditions, the general goal of state policy should be to improve Ukraine’s economic security system, ensure a higher level of its resistance to the impact of hybrid risks and threats, factors and conditions of globalization and the world order. The elements of the state policy of economic security of Ukraine are determined, namely – the initial conditions, the purpose of state policy, goals and principles of policy, directions of formation of the system of counteraction to security threats, financial-resource and organizational-managerial support. The practical significance of the research results is that the immaturity of the integral system of economic security of the state is identified, which is due to the imperfection of the institutional environment, the imbalance of its structure, the predominance of the role of informal institutions over formal ones. The scientific novelty of the study is to substantiate the conceptual provisions of state policy to ensure the economic security of the state in the face of non-standard hybrid risks and threats.


2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 43-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Смирнов ◽  
Evgeny Smirnov ◽  
Юсим ◽  
Vyacheslav Yusim ◽  
Блинкова ◽  
...  

The article analyzes the influence on the state economic security policies implemented by the clustering of industry. In this work it was evaluated the efficiency of clusters. The evaluation was conducted in terms of economic, social and technological efficiency. Proposed and evaluated the effectiveness of development of subjects of the Russian Federation from positions of the theory of economic-technological systems. The proposed criterion allows to link the technological capacity of territories with the level of gross regional product and economic security of the region and ensures the consistent development of longand short-term period of the state, business structures and people. The use of this criterion will allow us to move to a managed economy


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Zatonatska ◽  
O. Anisimova ◽  
D. Zatonatskiy

With the development of globalization processes and sufficient free movement of labor, and skilled personnel, the problem of legal and illegal migration has gradually become part of public policy for many countries. The aim of the article is to determine the priorities of the state migration policy for legal, illegal migrants and refugees and to form recommendations for the development of clear and transparent rules of the state migration policy taking into account the international legal field and in the context of economic security. An analysis of the main trends in the migration processes was conducted and it was found that over the past 30 years there has been a rapid increase in the number of international migrants and refugees, which puts pressure on the economies of host countries. It has been proven that migration affects the main components of national security, and the impact on the country's economic security is particularly pronounced. As a result, national security requirements must be taken into account when formulating state migration policy. The main components of the state migration policy were identified, the analysis of the main theories and approaches to the migration policy in relation to legal migration was carried out. The main problems of the state policy on illegal migration and refugees have been identified. The state migration policy is analyzed on the example of the EU countries and their overcoming of the migration crisis and the refugee crisis. The state determines the main priorities of migration policy based on national and economic security requirements. There are two main aspects of state migration policy: targeted attraction of immigrants and policy on illegal migration and refugees. There are three main approaches to attracting immigrants - encouraging all types of immigration, creating maximum barriers to immigration, and encouraging specific target groups of immigrants. With regard to illegal immigration, the state can take a tough stance or allow it to replenish the workforce. State policy on refugees is determined by the norms of international law. It has been argued that national migration policies need to be adapted to the current world economy, and that the main priorities include transparency, long-term forecasting of labor market needs, clear criteria for migrant admission and combating illegal migration, which is part of international crime.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 68-75
Author(s):  
E. M. Aminova

Introduction. The article discusses the impact of financial risks on the financial and economic security of the state. In modern economies, the financial sector dominates the economy. Moreover, the development of financial markets has been seen in the past two decades as an independent driver of economic growth. At the same time, “negative processes that occur in a small number of financial market players in one country can cause crisis events throughout the world economy.” Among the main strategic risks and threats to national security in the economic sphere are the low stability and security of the national financial system.Materials and methods. The work uses the following general scientific and special methods of cognition: the method of system-structural analysis, synthesis, induction, deduction, comparative-legal and formal-legal method.Results. As the experience of the last decade shows, the financial and economic security of the Russian state is more influenced by the environmental factors (general economic crisis, geopolitical situation, inflation, payment crisis, climate and biological (epidemiological) risks, etc. The state governance  of ensuring financial and economic security should be a permanent, integrated part of the forming process of state economic policy and legal regulation of russian economy. In order to achieve financial and economic security it is necessary to establish an effective financial and legal mechanism capable to resist emerging risks.Discussion and conclusion. The article revealed the impact of external financial risks that have a significant impact on the financial and economic security of the state. The need to establish an effective state mechanism to ensure the financial security of the Russian Federation is justified. The proposed measures are directed to improve the legal provision of financial and economic security of the Russian Federation. 


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