An Enhanced Recurrent Convolutional Neural Network for Predicting the Status Stage of Patients with Chronic obstructive Pulmonary Diseases: Method Design (Preprint)
BACKGROUND Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is the third leading cause of death in China and has caused serious affect to health and life quality. However, the status stage of a patient is difficult to be accurately assessed because of dynamic changes in the condition and complex risk factors. A rapid and accurate methods to predict disease stage of COPD patients is of great significance. OBJECTIVE This study aims to explore an enhanced recurrent convolutional neural networks model for predicting correct staging of patients with COPD in China for assistant disease prevention and treatment. METHODS Data was collected from The First Affiliate Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, which had standardized disease registration and follow-up management for 5108 patients with COPD. Our enhanced recurrent convolutional neural network consists of a bidirectional LSTM layer, a convolutional layer, a max-pooling layer, and an output layer. RESULTS The model proposed was evaluated on the real-world clinical dataset of 5108 COPD patients to predict the state stage of the disease. The performance of the proposed model achieved 93.2% in terms of accuracy, outperforming a list of baseline models. CONCLUSIONS This paper proposes an enhanced recurrent convolutional neural network model which is experimented on a real-world clinical dataset containing around 5,000 patients with COPD. The proposed model achieves the best performance on all evaluation metrics indicating its feasibility in predicting the state stage of diseases.