STAGES OF THE PERSONNEL PLANNING PROCESS OF A MEDICAL ORGANIZATION. METHODS FOR FORECASTING PERSONNEL NEEDS

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
N.D. Kobzeva ◽  
◽  
R.S. Durov ◽  
E.V. Varnakova ◽  
K.O. Kobzev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Planning Process ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Medical Organization ◽  
Personnel Planning ◽  
Forecasting Methods ◽  
Characteristic Features ◽  
Personnel Needs

The article deals with the stages of personnel planning, as well as forecasting methods. The characteristic features of forecasting methods and their types are analyzed. Considerable attention is paid to the stages of personnel planning. Based on the analysis, the author comes to the conclusion that personnel planning and forecasting is an integral part for any successful organization. It is worth noting that mathematical methods of planning will become more relevant than methods based on judgments.

scholarly journals Building lifecycle management based on 4D modelling as the main workspace for building risk assessment

2020 ◽  
Vol 224 ◽  
pp. 02023
Author(s):  
R Kazaryan ◽  
N Galaeva ◽  
R Avetisyan ◽  
Sh Aliev
Keyword(s):  
Information Technology ◽  
Life Cycle ◽  
System Analysis ◽  
Planning Process ◽  
Block Diagram ◽  
Labour Productivity ◽  
Development Trend ◽  
Basic Block ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Element Base

The use of information technology in the management of construction projects has become a decisive factor for the successful completion of projects, taking into account time, quality and financial costs. There are challenges in visualizing the planning process and integrating information between stakeholders. The paper considers some aspects of the development trend of information technology in construction. The element base, including the risks arising during the design and construction, associated with the direct use of computer and mathematical models of the object in the design is considered. The generated information models will provide basic information for the participants in the design process, which ultimately will be the basis of the element base of an effective tool for ensuring project life cycle management. The following methods were used: system analysis, logical-mathematical modelling, systems theory, economic-visual modelling, research methods of operations, economic and mathematical methods. A basic block diagram of 4D modelling is presented to minimize the occurrence of risks during design. The model allows considering the possibility of assessing the duration of the project, the level of labour productivity, as well as visualizing the construction process. The presented analysis indicates the importance of using 4D modelling in relation to the life cycle of the object in order to prevent the possibility of construction risks.

A COMPARISON OF FORECASTING THE RESULTS OF ROAD TRANSPORTATION NEEDS

Transport ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bogna Mrówczyńska ◽  
Karolina Łachacz ◽  
Tomasz Haniszewski ◽  
Aleksander Sładkowski
Keyword(s):  
Harmonic Analysis ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Road Transportation ◽  
Artificial Immune ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Average Percentage ◽  
The Past ◽  
Forecasting Methods ◽  
Average Percentage Error

Determining the size and quality of transport needs would not be possible without adequate forecasting based on the sales volume or demand for this service from the past periods. Traditional forecasting methods use econometric models that may be subject to serious errors. The use of the methods taking into account the variability of the studied phenomena or more advanced mathematical methods enables to minimize the error. Various methods of artificial intelligence such as a neural network, fuzzy sets, genetic algorithms, etc., have been recently successfully applied. The aim of this paper is to compare three forecasting methods that can be used for predicting the volume of road freight. The article deals with the effectiveness of three prediction methods, namely Winter's method for seasonal problems – a multiplicative version, harmonic analysis and harmonic analysis aided by the artificial immune system. The effectiveness of prediction was counted using MAPE errors (main average percentage error). The results of calculations were compared and the best example was presented.

scholarly journals Mathematical methods for forecasting the company's financial results

2013 ◽  
pp. 83-95
Author(s):  
Judita Urbonaitė ◽  
Milda Kvekšienė
Keyword(s):  
Linear Trend ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Theory Analysis ◽  
Sales Revenue ◽  
Forecasting Methods ◽  
Trend Forecasting ◽  
Financial Forecast

Forecasting is essential for the company activities, as it helps to predict company's future results. Forecasting methods theory analysis has showed that the application of mathematical methods are very wide. After the forecasting of sales revenue and profits of „Klaipėda vanduo“ LC. for 2013–2014 has been done, it is possible to claim that forecasting according to parabolic trend is appropriate for forecasting indicators, one the grounds that MAPE index for sales revenue and gross profit indicators has turned out to be very accurate, and for financial forecast - accurate. Linear trend forecasting is also suitable for the sales revenues forecasting due to the similarity of received calculated errors. The results achieved have depicted that according to the linear trend the sales revenues average will be 41,48 million litas in 2013. The average of the sales revenues according to parabolic trend will be 41,56 million litas. In 2014 according to linear trend the sales revenues will reach 41,70 million litas and according to parabolic trend they will reach 41,87 million litas. Gross profit in 2013 is forecasted to be 8,21 million litas and in 2014 – 5,4 million litas. 2013 and 2014 forecasting showed, that company will suffer net losses.  

scholarly journals Personnel planning in military organizational structures and assessment of its effectiveness

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hrygorii Tikhonov ◽  
Yevhenii Kirilkin ◽  
Dmytro Malitskyi
Keyword(s):  
Organizational Structure ◽  
Military Personnel ◽  
Organizational Structures ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Personnel Policy ◽  
Personnel Planning ◽  
The Military ◽  
Modern Analytical

The article deals with the modern staffing process of the military organizational structure, which is impossible without a long-term, future-oriented military personnel policy using modern analytical and mathematical methods of personnel planning. The article provides recommendations on the practical issues of personnel planning in the military organizational structure.

Planning the organization's personnel needs as the initial stage of the HR policy and HR planning process

2021 ◽  
pp. 303-315
Author(s):  
Leonid Petrovich Lychkan
Keyword(s):  
Public Relations ◽  
Planning Process ◽  
Training And Development ◽  
Management Program ◽  
Planning Period ◽  
Internal Motivation ◽  
Modern Economy ◽  
Initial Stage ◽  
Personnel Needs ◽  
Specific Capital

In the context of modern economy and digital transformation of the system of public relations, reconsidering the role and place of a person in an organization, the attitude to a person as an individual has changed dramatically. The processes of successful planning of the organization's personnel requirements are connected and involve obtaining answers to certain questions, including: how many employees will be required; employees of what qualifications will be required; when and where employees will be required; how and in what way to attract the necessary employees; how to better use employees in accordance with their knowledge, skills, abilities and their internal motivation; how and in what way to organize and provide conditions for the training and development of employees; how to implement the processes of using and laying off redundant employees; what costs or expenses will be necessary for the implementation of planned activities related to personnel requirements, and many other questions. Recently, any modern organization has increasingly linked its activities and its development with a specific capital – human capital. The article deals with the provisions related to the planning of personnel (human resources) and certain aspects of such planning, in particular, planning the organization's need for personnel for a certain planning period for its development and implementation of the intended indicators and plans. The materials of the article can be used within the "Economics and Management" and "Management" program tracks.

scholarly journals Statistical Analysis of Nanofiber Mat AFM Images by Gray-Scale-Resolved Hurst Exponent Distributions

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 2436 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomasz Blachowicz ◽  
Krzysztof Domino ◽  
Michał Koruszowic ◽  
Jacek Grzybowski ◽  
Tobias Böhm ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Hurst Exponent ◽  
3D Structure ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Gray Scale ◽  
Force Microscopy ◽  
Atomic Force ◽  
Characteristic Features ◽  
Nanofiber Mats ◽  
Processing Steps

Two-dimensional structures, either periodic or random, can be classified by diverse mathematical methods. Quantitative descriptions of such surfaces, however, are scarce since bijective definitions must be found to measure unique dependency between described structures and the chosen quantitative parameters. To solve this problem, we use statistical analysis of periodic fibrous structures by Hurst exponent distributions. Although such a Hurst exponent approach was suggested some years ago, the quantitative analysis of atomic force microscopy (AFM) images of nanofiber mats in such a way was described only recently. In this paper, we discuss the influence of typical AFM image post-processing steps on the gray-scale-resolved Hurst exponent distribution. Examples of these steps are polynomial background subtraction, aligning rows, deleting horizontal errors and sharpening. Our results show that while characteristic features of these false-color images may be shifted in terms of gray-channel and Hurst exponent, they can still be used to identify AFM images and, in the next step, to quantitatively describe AFM images of nanofibrous surfaces. Such a gray-channel approach can be regarded as a simple way to include some information about the 3D structure of the image.

scholarly journals FEATURES OF THE INFLUENCE OF FORTIFICATIONS OF CASTLE STRUCTURES ON THE ARCHITECTURAL AND PLANNING STRUCTURE OF SMALL CITIES IF THE PODILLYA OFTHE XVI-XVII CENTURIES

2021 ◽  
pp. 177-188
Author(s):  
Nataliya Bzhezovska
Keyword(s):  
Planning Process ◽  
Small Towns ◽  
Town Planning ◽  
Historical Period ◽  
Small Cities ◽  
General Outline ◽  
Intensity Of Development ◽  
Characteristic Features ◽  
The City

The article examines the evolution of the castle fortifications, which for each region and historical period had their own characteristic features and their relationship with the planning structure of small towns in Podillya. The features of the formation of fortification systems, which influenced the architectural and planning structure of the cities of Podillya at the turn of the XVI-XVII centuries, are revealed. The castle`s fortification and fortification system of the cities of Berezhany, Zhovkva, Brody, Stanislav, Zbarazh, Medzhybozh and others are considered. Attention is paid to the peculiarities of changes in the fortification system of cities of the structural-typological level and the use of the modern bastion system, which supplanted the fortifications of the medieval type. The influence of these changes on the intensity of development of small cities in Podillya in the period of the XVI-XVII centuries is analyzed. Attention is focused on the formative influence of the fortifications of castle structures on the architectural and planning structure of cities, which was often decisive at the last stage of the formation of castles and their fortification.  The process of uniting the castle and the city is considered, which went through different stages of re-planning: from placing the castle separately, through the interaction of fortification and up to the stage of obtaining a general outline of the city fortifications. The role of castle fortifications in the system of fortifications of the small cities of Podillya is determined. The influence of the development of fortifications of castles and their merger with the defense structure of the city on the urban planning process of the cities of Podillya of XVI-XVII centuries is investigated. The formation of castle fortifications in the historical, architectural, town-planning aspects and their influence on the architectural and planning structure of the small cities of Podillya and significance of this influence for understanding the future development of small historical cities of Podillya are considered.

scholarly journals FEATURES OF THE ORGANIZATION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF PERSONNEL PLANNING IN SMALL BUSINESS ORGANIZATIONS

2021 ◽  
pp. 18-26
Author(s):  
Софья Викторовна Анисимова
Keyword(s):  
Small Business ◽  
Performance Indicators ◽  
Small Businesses ◽  
Systematic Approach ◽  
Company Performance ◽  
Business Organizations ◽  
Personnel Planning ◽  
Personnel Needs ◽  
Recruitment And Selection ◽  
Selection Of

В работе автор обращается к актуальным проблемам кадрового планирования в малом бизнесе. Проведён анализ проблем, даны авторские рекомендации по формированию комплексной системы кадрового планирования на предприятиях и организациях малого бизнеса. Они связаны с решением проблем, возникающих в процессе стратегического, оперативного планирования управления персоналом; отсутствием системного подхода к управлению процессами в организации и чёткой взаимосвязи между планированием и получаемыми результатами; отсутствием или минимальным применением инструментария бюджетирования и контроллинга; специфическим отношением к консультированию, привлечению специалистов извне; некорректным применением сбалансированной системы показателей деятельности предприятии и ключевых показателей эффективности персонала (BSC и KPI); планированием потребности в персонале; сложностями с набором и подбором персонала. Статья носит практикоориентированный характер. In this paper the author analyses the current problems of personnel planning in small businesses and makes recommendations on the formation of a comprehensive system of personnel planning at enterprises and small business organizations. They are associated with the solution of problems that arise in the process of strategic, operational planning of personnel management; the lack of a systematic approach to managing processes in the organization and a clear relationship between planning and the results obtained; with the lack or minimal use of budgeting and controlling tools; specific attitude to consulting, attracting specialists from outside; incorrect application of a balanced system of company performance indicators and key personnel performance indicators (BSC and KPI); planning of personnel needs; difficulties with recruitment and selection of personnel. The article is practice-oriented in nature.

scholarly journals Improving the Strategic Planning of Agricultural Development in the Region

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (3) ◽  
pp. 417-424
Author(s):  
Natalya Timofeeva
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Agricultural Development ◽  
Planning Process ◽  
Integrated Approach ◽  
Economic Research ◽  
Federal State ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Agricultural Producers ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
The Republic

Agricultural producers are currently experiencing difficulties in competitive production. As a result, strategic plans for agricultural development require constant adjustments. To improve the strategic planning in the local agriculture, the region needs an effective system that would ensure a continuous functioning process and competitive production. The research objective was to develop proposals in order to improve the strategic planning of regional agricultural development. The study was based on general scientific methods, i.e. synthesis, analysis, abstract-logical and economic-mathematical methods of economic research, etc. The author obtained materials from the Territorial Department of the Federal State Statistics Service and the Ministry of Agriculture and Food of the Republic of Buryatia for 2018. The article introduces an analysis of the current development of strategic planning in agriculture and socio-economic problems of agricultural development in the Republic of Buryatia. The author developed some recommendations on the process of strategic planning of agricultural development. Competitive agricultural development requires an integrated approach that could ensure effective development of strategic plans and agricultural producers. The proposed strategic planning process will allow farmers to develop effective strategic plans while producing competitive products.

FORECASTS ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE TITANIUM MARKET USING THE STATISTICAL-MATHEMATICAL FORECASTING METHODS

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dragos Marcu ◽  
Augustin Semenescu ◽  
Adrian Ioana ◽  
Dorel Stoica ◽  
Roxana Solea
Keyword(s):  
Suitable Method ◽  
Base Period ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Price Forecast ◽  
Forecasting Methods ◽  
Existing Data

This paper aims to achieve the titanium price forecast using specific mathematical methods and to evaluate the most suitable method for this estimation. Based on existing data, we will extrapolate through various methods to calculate the estimated values for the period 2019-2021. In order to evaluate the quality of the estimated values, we will compare the actual values from the base period with the values obtained by the different methods.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document