Developing the approaches to monitoring of risks of failure to achieve the national development objective ‘Digital Transformation’ in the strategic planning system of the Russian Federation

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 2379-2396
Author(s):  
Lyubov’ A. BELYAEVSKAYA-PLOTNIK ◽  
Natal’ya Yu. SOROKINA

Subject. The article investigates identification of risks that prevent the achievement of national development objectives and implementation of national projects, as the methodological approach to their assessment is still in the process of formation. Objectives. The purpose is to develop conceptual and methodological approaches to monitoring of risks of missing the national development targets in the strategic planning system of the Russian Federation. Methods. The research methodology rests on the theoretical basis of indicative analysis. In its logic, the risks of failure to achieve the targets of national development of the Russian Federation can be tracked through monitoring the achieved and predicted values of target indicators within their valid values. Results. The paper specifies factors that have a significant impact on the achievement of the national target ‘Digital Transformation’, defines quantifiable values of the target indicator ‘The Share of Households with Broadband Internet Access’ and limits of its permissible values. We presented a forecast, showing the most likely behavior of the analyzed indicator in the strategic perspective until 2030, revealed that the target value of the indicator, defined at the level of 97%, significantly exceeds the results of trend forecasting, which is indicative of a high risk of non-achievement of target by the key date. Conclusions. Determination of risks of failure to achieve the digital transformation of national development objectives should become an essential stage in the procedure for monitoring the implementation of strategic planning documents in Russia.

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 404-418
Author(s):  
Sergei F. VIKULOV ◽  
Evgenii V. GORGOLA ◽  
Sambu R. TSYRENDORZHIEV

Subject. The article deals with the management of resource supply and economic support to the military construction in terms of the national socio-economic development. Objectives. We evaluate whether it is possible to establish the uniform, structurally coherent system for industrial, S&T, budgetary, social and spatial planning of the military provisioning in the Russian Federation, considering the coercive growth of the national economy and the protection of the social stability and security. Methods. The study is based on the methodological approach that accounts for limited governmental resources and specific resources that could be allocated for key development activities of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. Results. We discovered that a set of military construction activities is determined by carrying out the comparative analysis of the current and desired views of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, generating possible organizational and technological actions to switch from the current state to the required one, making the preliminary estimation of costs and time of such options and choosing the most appropriate one. The multivariate systems approach to evaluating the current state of the military complex and future development should be the basis for choosing the necessary volume of military production to ensure the promising future of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, since such an approach provides for comprehensive research into material production. Conclusions and Relevance. During the preparation of program documentation on the technological base, the military complex gets a real opportunity to agree the technological parameters both with developers and manufacturers and the economic block of the government, thus raising the quality of strategic planning and ensure its implementation as much as possible.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 80-97
Author(s):  
Andrei Sakharov ◽  

The purpose of this article is to check Russia’s strategic planning system and anti-crisis measures against the United Nations 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development by monitoring the documents for policy objectives directly or indirectly corresponding to the targets of the sustainable development goals (SDG); comparing the indicators present in the Russian documents with those in the 2030 Agenda; assessing the impact of anti-crisis measures on the sustainable development outlook in the country; and tracing the changes present in the latest socio-economic development initiatives of the Russian government. The scope of the study in terms of the number of documents analyzed was determined in accordance with the provisions of Article 11 of the Federal Law No. 172-FZ On Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation, and includes a vast array of federal strategies, sectoral strategic planning documents, national and federal projects, state programmes, the 2020 Presidential Decree No. 474 On the National Development Goals of the Russian Federation for the Period Until 2030 and its auxiliary documents, as well as other ad hoc anti-crisis planning instruments, such as the 2020 Nationwide Action Plan. The results of the analysis make it possible to trace the paradigm shift in Russia’s decision-making toward incorporating more elements of the sustainability discourse characteristic of the 2030 Agenda and other multilateral arrangements, particularly in regard to climate change and environment, taking place in 2020–21.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 502-529 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. M. Pisareva

Purpose:the purpose of the study is to determine the main directions and conceptual approaches to modernizing analytical and computer support for the planning of strategic development of socio-economic systems on a national scale in the framework of improving the methodology of strategic planning in a digital transformation of the economy and management.Methods:the issues of improving the tools of strategic planning of socio-economic development are studied in the framework of a system approach to analyzing the construction and functioning of the state management mechanism in the context of active formation of the information society infrastructure and to evaluating of the impact of digital technologies on the content of management tasks in the process of co-evolution of objects and subjects of management in large-scale organizational systems.Results:the article deals with current problems and key tasks of modernization of scientific and methodological, informational and analytical support of state strategic management of socio-economic development. The trends of the evolution of objects and subjects of management in the conditions of the digital transformation of the information society are investigated. The institutional bases for the construction and operation of the strategic planning system of the Russian Federation are characterized. A block diagram of a complex of heterogeneous models of strategic planning of socio-economic development is given. Design solutions are proposed for building the architecture and developing a prototype of the computer support system for the scenario modeling technology when developing multi-level strategic decisions for planning socio-economic development in the emerging infrastructure of the digital economy is presented.Conclusions and Relevance:the study showed the importance and relevance of modernization of the methodological and analytical support of the strategic planning system of the Russian Federation, which takes into account the main consequences and requirements of the creation and distribution of digital technologies in various areas of society. The most important characteristics of innovative changes in the structure and content of strategic planning tasks, the solution of which is associated with the unification of the format of quantitative and qualitative assessments in the digital development management environment, are identified. Standardization of technologies for collecting, transmitting, storing and processing large amounts of data allows you to build computer software for the multi-level system of state strategic planning based on an open service-oriented architecture. The main direction of further research and development in the creation of an analytical platform to support strategic planning of socio-economic development can be the creation of a mathematical apparatus and software products for processing and analyzing large amounts of personalized information about the functioning of economic and social agents to identify and assess their potentials and priorities. This will allow to increase the degree of justification and consistency of planned decisions and regulatory measures developed by the state in the field of planning socio-economic development and ensuring the national security of the Russian Federation.


Author(s):  
A.V. Korchemnaya

Competitiveness of Russia economy under modern conditions demands systemacy of public administration. As a result of creation of national strategic planning system a number of govern-ment programs aimed at the economy development of the Russian Federation and perspective en-trance of the country to the world market is carried out. One of the main tasks of the economy de-velopment is creation of favorable investment climate in the country, investment activity, attraction of investments into the economy of the country’s regions.


Author(s):  
Svetlana Lipina ◽  
Natalya Sorokina ◽  
Lyubov Belyaevskaya-Plotnik ◽  
Lina Bocharova

The assessment of strategic planning documents at various levels of the system of state and municipal governance should allow not only to track the degree of achievement of planned results and the type of development of allocated resources but also to contribute to a fuller and completer understanding of the essence of processes and changes in the social and economic system of the territory (country, region, municipality). The methodological approach to the development of the system of indicators of government programs of a Russian region in relation with the indices from strategic documents of federal and regional levels is suggested. It is proved that the methodology of development of target indices of strategic papers of a region of the Russian Federation must be founded on a continuous system of coefficients and indices of strategic papers of various governance levels for the increase of assessment efficiency and obtaining the possibility of using the results for the assessment of their impact on the achievement of the goals set. Based on the analysis of the content of the federal legal documents (Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation of September 16, 2016 No. 582 and Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of August 2, 2010 No. 588), the main requirements for the indices (coefficients) for strategic papers of the regional level are specified. The specific measures and practical recommendations on the development of common approaches to the system of indices (coefficients) of government programs of regions of the Russian Federation in relation with indices (coefficients) of federal government programs and the indices (coefficients) developed by other regions are suggested.


Author(s):  
Volodina N.A. ◽  
Murzina I.A. ◽  
Retinskaya V.N.

The modern stage of the civilizational development of Russian statehood is characterized by the search for optimal and most effective management models. The article notes that, in the current difficult socio-economic conditions, it is the program-target planning method that is the most flexible tool, including in conditions of budgetary constraints. The normative and legal analysis of the documents showed that the evolution of target programs is the result of administrative and budgetary reforms implemented in the territory of the Russian Federation in a specific historical retrospective. The article emphasizes that to date, to ensure the synchronous development of the entire territory of the country, a single system of strategic goals and objectives has been formed. At the same time, a new approach to strategic development required the development of appropriate mechanisms for organizing project activities of the Government of the Russian Federation. That is why the national projects developed in accordance with the May 2018 Decree of the President of the Russian Federation occupy a special place in the country's strategic planning system and are the subject of close attention of public authorities. The analysis made it possible to systematize the problems and reveal the systemic contradictions of a legal and institutional nature that exist between state programs and national projects, which do not allow public authorities to effectively fulfill the targets set out in strategic planning documents. In conclusion, the authors conclude that it is necessary to legislatively consolidate the role and place of national projects in the general system of strategic planning, since at present the concept of a «national project» is absent in the federal law of the Russian Federation «On strategic planning in the Russian Federation».


Author(s):  
Sergey A. Starostin ◽  
◽  
Alexey G. Dobkin ◽  

The article deals with strategic planning, which is one of the main mechanisms for ensuring the purposeful and sustainable development of the state, economy and society. The adoption of the Federal Law No. 172-FZ of 28.06.2014 "On Strategic Planning in the Russian Federa-tion" in the Russian Federation marked a new stage in the formation of the state strategic planning system. The status of plans for the activities of federal executive bodies as one of the key elements of the system of strategic planning documents is considered. The practice of their preparation and implementation is analyzed, its shortcomings are studied, and possible directions for improving the current legislation in this area are proposed. The authors consider the status of plans for the activities of federal executive bodies as one of the key elements of the system of strategic planning documents. They analyze the prac-tice of their preparation and implementation, study its shortcomings, and propose all possible directions for improving the current legislation in this area. When writing the article, the authors studied the content of certain questions about strate-gic planning and the corresponding functions of the federal executive bodies of the Russian Federation. They revealed the problems of practical importance and proposed the methods and options for their solution. The authors used the following methods: system analysis, dialectical, logical, compara-tive-legal methods, analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction. As a result of the study, the following results were obtained: – it is necessary to ensure that not only activities and tasks of a general nature are included in the adopted plans, but also their detailing in terms of the expected stages of work; – the activity plans of the federal executive authorities, which are responsible executors of strategic goals and objectives, should give an unambiguous answer to how and when the strategic guidelines defined at the federal level within the entire array of strategic planning documents will be implemented; – the introduction of a systematic approach will allow to fix the risks of non-achieving certain strategic indicators and take the necessary measures in a timely manner; – at present, the role of plans for the activities of federal executive bodies in the system of strategic planning documents is unreasonably low; – the transfer of issues of preparation and control over the achievement of relevant strate-gic indicators to the level of the executive authorities themselves, in the conditions of insuffi-cient external control over this process, in fact, led to the loss of their managerial potential, depriving the state apparatus of an important mechanism for coordinating work in the field of strategic planning; - it is necessary for the entire system of strategic planning to revise quali-tatively the role of the plans of the federal executive bodies with the transfer of authority for their approval to a higher level with a simultaneous increase in responsibility for achieving the planned indicators.


Author(s):  
Miroslava G. Salko

The dynamic development of the introduction of digital technology in various industries requires searching and developing new methodological approaches to form innovative development programs of enterprises for their digital transformation. This article characterizes the main trends and problems in developing the digital transformation of fuel and energy complex enterprises, defining its worth and development vectors. The author highlights the features of implementing digital and information technology at industrial enterprises and describes the most popular information and digital technologies used in the fuel and energy complex enterprises. She provides the main obstacles to the implementation of digital transformation in the Russian Federation, including the use of domestic information products. Having defined the target benchmarks and indicators for the development of digital technologies in the industries of the fuel and energy complex of the Russian Federation, the author formulates the priority tasks for developing the innovative potential of IT in industrial enterprises. Determining the specifics of the methodological provisions for its evaluation has required defining the constituent elements of the innovative potential. A comparative characteristic of methodological tools for assessing the innovation potential and position of enterprises is provided with the description of the different necessary methods it requires. The author proposes the use of a comprehensive methodological approach to assessing the innovative potential of the digital transformation of the oil and gas enterprise. The system of evaluation indicators is presented following the recommended evaluation vectors: level of digitalization, level of development of the fuel and energy complex, and level of innovation. An assessment of the innovative potential of the digital transformation of the oil and gas enterprise is demonstrated and the main conclusions are formulated. The assessment resulted in developing a program of digital development of oil and gas enterprise with the allocation of the main innovative directions and targets for the implementation of activities. Further benchmarks of scientific research are defined and conclusions are formulated.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 219-234
Author(s):  
Анатолий Петров ◽  
Anatoliy Petrov ◽  
Наталья Прядилина ◽  
Natalya Pryadilina

Currently in Russia there is a need to create a strategic forest planning system : to meet the requirements of the Federal Law № 172-FZ "On the strategic planning in the Russian Federation", to ensure the achievement of specific objectives stated by the Russian government in the "Principles of State Policy in the field of , protection and reproduction of forests in the Russian Federation till 2030 ", based on the new forest law, which takes into account the advanced domestic and foreign experience of legal and normative support of forest relations. According to the authors, the main task of strategic forest planning at the federal level should be the establishment of sectoral and regional priorities. In addition, the distribution of forest resources on the territory of the country requires, along with an assessment of sectoral priorities, justification of the conditions for the effective allocation of industries to economic regions and subjects of the Russian Federation. At the level of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, the forest plan in the format of regional medium-term program for strategic development of the forest sector should be an effective tool that allows not only to achieve the goals and objectives of state policy in the sphere of forest use, reproduction, protection and protection, but also to positively influence the economy of the region and the country generally. It is necessary to form regional strategic planning document on a block (modular) basis in the same way as all plans for social and economic development of the industry at the federal and regional levels are formed. Each activity in it must be targeted, resource-efficient, and also be a subject of external monitoring and control.


Author(s):  
Lyubov Belyaevskaya-Plotnik ◽  
◽  
Lina Bocharova ◽  
Natalia Sorokina ◽  
◽  
...  

The article presents a methodological approach to constructing limits for monitoring the risks of nonachievement of national development goals of the country and its regions. The study’s relevance lies in the fact that the implementation of the suggested approach in public administration will contribute to the implementation of an adequate assessment of the achievement of these goals at the federal level and the level of constituent entities of the Russian Federation. The solution to the problem of building the limit values “corridors” for risk monitoring of non-achievement of the country’s national development goals and regions is carried out on the methodological basis of the scenario approach with the use of indicative analysis. This allows setting the limit values “corridors” as a calculated range of fluctuations of the target indicator within its upper and lower limits. Using the suggested methodological approach, the boundary of the limit values for the indicator of the poverty level, which serves as a target indicator for the assessment of the national development goal “Population preservation, health and well-being of people” achievement is constructed. Based on the calculations obtained, as well as on the estimates of the indicator made for Krasnodar Krai and Astrakhan region, it is shown that the poverty targets defined by the national development goals and the corresponding regional strategies differ significantly from those obtained on the basis of the forecast, which determines the high risk of non-achievement the target values. The methodological approach suggested in the article makes it possible to promptly inform the management agent about the appearance of unfavorable or critical changes in the country’s social and economic development and to develop measures for the elimination of negative tendencies and support of positive trends in the achievement of national development goals.


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