scholarly journals Analysis of threats spread of Ukraine financial security in a pandemic

Author(s):  
Svitlana Onyshchenko ◽  
Oleksandra Maslii ◽  
Yevhenii Kalenichenko ◽  
Marіna Kotelevets

Theoretical principles of financial security and its place in the general system of the national economy were covered. It is noted that from the standpoint of the protective approach the key category of financial security is the threat, the source of which is the uncertainty caused by the properties of social phenomena and processes. The economic essence of threats was revealed and their impact on the financial security of business was characterized. The main destructive factors of the shadow economy and corruption on financial security were studied and the reasons for their spread in Ukraine were highlighted. Trends in the level of financial security in the context of comparing it with regulatory values were analyzed. It is proved that the global challenge to financial security of business and the state as a whole is the COVID-19 pandemic, which is a catalyst for real and potential threats with the maximum level of impact on the financial condition and financial results of business entities in modern conditions. Corruption and the shadow economy were considered according to different methodological approaches, as well as on the basis of correlation-regression analysis. The relationship between the impact of corruption and the shadow economy on the level of financial security of Ukraine has been determined. A high direct linear relationship between the levels of financial security of Ukraine and the shadow economy and corruption was detected. The impact of threats on the financial security of business in Ukraine in a pandemic was analyzed and assessed. It is proved that development of business and ensuring its target parameters of financial security in a crisis would minimize the negative impact of modern threats associated with quarantine restrictions. The priority directions of minimization of threats to financial security of business in the conditions of epidemic danger were defined. It is proved that adaptive management in the face of real threats can minimize financial risks for business and create a foundation for further business development in the post-crisis period, when the impact of the threat would be reduced.

2021 ◽  
Vol 126 ◽  
pp. 08002
Author(s):  
Yana Derbenova ◽  
Ganna Kashyna ◽  
Serhii Leontovych ◽  
Olena Ablova ◽  
Oksana Dmitrieva ◽  
...  

The article analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business activities in Ukraine and the world and its financial security. The analysis showed that the economy of Ukraine and most countries of the world suffered significant losses from the introduction of anti-epidemic restrictions on business activity, which turned out to be in the fall of GDP, index of industrial production investment activity. Because of temporary or complete shutdown of business the unemployment rate increased significantly. The pandemic crisis also negatively impacted the financial results of enterprises, which decreased significantly in all kinds of economic activities, especially in industry, transport, temporary accommodation and catering, where the share of unprofitable enterprises reaches 73%. Thus, the problem of ensuring the financial security of business becomes relevant. The aim of the work is to develop methodological approaches to assessing the impact of the pandemic crisis on the financial security of business and to identify effective ways of ensuring such security. In the process of research methods of scientific abstraction, comparative and system analysis and synthesis, systematization and logical generalization were used. It was determined that the pandemic affected small and medium businesses most of all, where a strong negative impact was experienced by more than 60% of entrepreneurs. Large businesses were less affected, but they also suffered significant losses due to the decline in business activity and demand in the domestic and foreign markets. Agriculture was least affected by the pandemic, which suffered the least losses, primarily due to the insignificant impact of restrictions affecting the activities of this business. The paper systematized the risks arising from the factors of the pandemic crisis, identifying their manifestations and financial implications for business. As shown by the research, such consequences are manifested in the form of full or partial loss of profits, problems with debt repayment, reduction of financial stability, liquidity, increase in accounts receivable, increased costs for anti-epidemic measures, etc. Thus, the procedure for assessing the business’s financial security is to take into account all factors that shape the financial situation of business entities during a pandemic crisis in a comprehensive manner.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 157-163
Author(s):  
A. Poltorak ◽  
◽  
M. Kazemyrchyk ◽  
A. Polishchuk ◽  
◽  
...  

Abstract. Introduction. The shadow economy is one of the main threats to the financial security of the state. Strengthening Ukraine’s economy is impossible without reducing the level of shadowing. Official data show that at the beginning of 2020 more than a quarter of GDP is in the shadows, but the real level of shadowing, in our opinion, is much higher. Purpose. The aim of the article is to deepen the theoretical and methodological foundations of substantiation of priority threats to financial security in the conditions of transformation processes in the modern economy, clarification of the optimal method of calculating the shadow economy in Ukraine and monitoring the impact of the shadow sector on financial security of Ukraine. Results. It was found that the system of threats to the financial security of Ukraine includes trends, phenomena and factors that actually or potentially complicate or make it impossible to preserve national values ​​in the financial sphere and the realization of national interests of Ukraine. Threats to security conditions are considered as certain factors or factors that create a danger, namely the existing and objective probability of negative impact on a complex system. Our own view on the classification of factors influencing the level of financial security is presented. It is noted that most often the factors influencing the level of financial security are interrelated, causing cyclical poverty and a permanently low level of financial security. It is analyzed that today the level of the shadow economy is 25-50%. To create the necessary conditions for reducing the level of the shadow sector of Ukraine’s economy, it is necessary to carry out a number of tax reforms, transformations in the banking system (to increase non-cash transactions, create an open database of NBU and MFIs), anti-corruption measures and more. Systematizing the methodological approaches to the assessment of the shadow sector, it was found that the main methods of assessing the level of the shadow sector are: public expenditure – retail trade; electric; unprofitable enterprises; monetary; method of minimal shadow economy. Conclusions. It is proved that the level of financial security of the state decreases with increasing level of shadow economy. This is due to the reduction of the tax base and, consequently, to the reduction of tax revenues to the budgets of all levels. Keywords: financial security; financial security of the state; financial security of households; transformational economy; shadow economy.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuliia Peniak ◽  
◽  
Nataliia Horokhovatska ◽  

The main purpose of any enterprise in the market economy is to obtain high financial results. One of the main conditions for the effective functioning of the enterprise is ability to generate profit in the amount that will create the financial basis for further development and expansion of the enterprise, comply with social and material needs, ensure competitiveness in the market of goods and services. The need for accounting and analytical management of financial results stems from needs of owners, the state and employees in information that will enable them to identify patterns and trends in financial results, identify and assess the main factors influencing the process of their creation, distribution and usage, identify reserves and thus increase the level of profitability. Despite the significant scientific contribution in the field of research of financial results of the enterprises, the issue of improvement aims to the accounting and analytical maintenance of management of financial results of the enterprise remains actual. That is why the purpose of the study is to substantiate the theoretical and practical aspects and develop approaches to improving the mechanism of formation of accounting and analytical support for the management of financial results of the enterprise. Accounting and analytical management of financial results of the enterprise is a set of interconnected elements of production and management system, activities carried out by the subject of management, creation of a certain structure, as well as collection, accumulation, storage and analysis of information necessary for effective operation of the enterprise. The main components of the study of accounting and analytical support of financial performance management are the formation of methods of analysis, control and forecasting of financial results, which requires specification of the components of the analytical and controlled process within the organizational and information model. Namely, the formation of reliable information about the financial condition of the enterprise, the analysis of economic indicators of the enterprise is of great importance in the system of general evaluation of business entities. Their research makes it possible to assess the dynamics of the structure of income and expenses, to determine the impact of factors on the company's profit from various activities, as well as to find reserves to increase the net profit of enterprises. Thus, the improvement of accounting and analytical support of enterprise management is based on the use of modern forms, methods and principles that place new demands on the formation of unbiased, complete, timely, clear and useful accounting and analytical information about the enterprise and its financial results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (523) ◽  
pp. 140-150
Author(s):  
O. T. Zamaslo ◽  
◽  
D. A. Kozak ◽  

The article is aimed at examining the problem of laundering black money in the offshore jurisdictions. Attention is paid to the key factors that attract economic entities regarding business registration in offshore zones. The impact of the tax burden on the process of moving profits to offshore jurisdictions is considered. The volumes of losses of the State Budget of Ukraine related to tax evasion of the funds placed on the accounts of offshore companies have been studied. The most typical schemes of laundering black money in offshore zones are presented, as well as a number of stages that form the process of laundering are highlighted. Emphasis is placed on round tripping investment as a key mechanism for returning foreign funds to a resident in the form of foreign direct investment, the main factors in the use of round trip transactions by Ukrainian business entities are allocated. Attention is drawn to the percentage of countries, which are the largest investors in Ukraine. It is determined that the use of offshore schemes by Ukrainian businesses contributes to the growth of the shadowing of the national economy and causes a direct negative impact on Ukrainian financial security, which is confirmed by the results of the National Risk Assessment 2019. Emphasis is placed on the OECD / G20 Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) initiative to prevent money laundering offshore, and Ukraine’s key measures to implement relevant international standards are specified. Prospects for further research in this direction are to identify measures directed towards deoffshorization of the national economy, including through the implementation of the BEPS 2.0 Action Plan.


Author(s):  
Yuliia Romanovska ◽  
Lily Strapachuk

The article considers the approaches to the interpretation of the category "shadow economy", which causes a variety of approaches to assessing the impact of the shadow economy on the socio-economic development of Ukraine. The spread of the pandemic and the complication of economic conditions, formed as a result of the introduction of forced restrictive measures, have led to the growth of the shadow economy in Ukraine. The index of shadowing of the economic sphere in relation to the inflation index and the level of the state budget deficit has been studied. The factors that led to the shadowing of the economy and caused the growth of the share of the shadow sector in the economy of Ukraine are highlighted. The main components of shadow employment are identified. Business entities operating in the shadow sector have significantly more competitive advantages and much higher efficiency than legally operating businesses. As a result, such enterprises are an obstacle to the flow of funds to the budgets of all levels of the country, and as a consequence, have a negative impact on socio-economic development in general. In recent years, state budget expenditures have been growing too slowly, which indicates a high level of shadowing of the economy in conditions of high inflation and, consequently, negatively affects the socio-economic security of society. Budget expenditures are closely linked to public policy, which allows the state to curb the level of economic shadowing through measures to reform relevant areas. It is investigated that the State budget expenditures grow too slowly, which indicates a high level of shadowing of the economy in conditions of high inflation. The paper substantiates the reasons for the growth of the shadow economy and identifies the main measures to reduce shadow employment, the manifestations of which are the deformation of social and economic institutions of the state. The de-shadowing of the economy provides citizens with the right to social protection, in the form of social guarantees in case of unemployment, temporary incapacity for work, accidents or occupational diseases during official work, pensions, etc.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 9395
Author(s):  
Egle Jakunskiene

Being one of the open social innovations of business entities, social responsibility is taking an important role in our society. It not only contributes to the improvement of the financial indicators of business entities, but also has a significant impact on the economic development of countries and the creation of well-being of the society members. The business contribution to environmental and social initiatives influences various economic processes and, at the same time, affects the level of poverty in countries. The purpose of this thesis is to review the concept of social responsibility and its content after the analysis of the scientific literature, and to assess the impact of social responsibility on poverty indicators after an empirical study. The assessment was performed by using the methods of analysis of the scientific literature, mathematical–statistical analysis, comparative analysis, correlation analysis, as well as by studying the presented statistical data at the level of the three Baltic States — Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. The conducted research manifested a significant impact of the business units operating in the production sector on the employed people who are at the brink of poverty, by categorizing them by sex, age, and education. The research revealed the negative impact of the business social responsibility that is directed towards the environment field on the poverty rates of older age (65+) residents, due to the installation of new equipment and technologies. Additionally, business investments mostly affect people with secondary, and lower than secondary, education. The influence of the actual pollution amount in the production sector, to ensure the financial stability of the society, was observed. The research results are significant not only to the Baltic region, but to other economies that are seeking to reduce the poverty level in the country, by integrating the business social responsibility as well.


2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 586-594
Author(s):  
G.E. Brikach

Subject. The article addresses the identification of the law of diminishing returns in the market activities of the organization. Objectives. The aim is to show that in today's economy, in order to effectively manage the enterprise and strategic planning, it is necessary to take into account the impact of the law of diminishing returns on the market activities of the organization. The paper uses the reported data on input-output for recent years. The key task is the financial analysis of the dairy cattle breeding in the Republic of Belarus in conditions of increasing milk production, and assessing the impact of the law of diminishing returns on the financial condition of the industry. Methods. The study employs the simulation method. Results. I revealed the manifestation of the law of diminishing returns in milk production in conditions of increasing production. The paper identifies measures to reduce the negative impact of the law on milk production. Conclusions. Through the use of simulation, it is possible to identify areas of financial condition of the dairy cattle industry of the Republic of Belarus, in which the milk production will be cost-effective.


Author(s):  
О. Zakharkin ◽  
L. Zakharkina ◽  
Yu. Bilous ◽  
V. Holovata

The article analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business activities in Ukraine and the world and its financial security. The analysis showed that the economy of Ukraine, like most countries in the world, has suffered significant losses from the introduction of anti-epidemic restrictions on business activities, which manifested itself in falling GDP, industrial production index, investment activity. Due to the temporary or complete cessation of business, the unemployment rate has increased significantly. The pandemic crisis also harmed enterprises' financial results, which declined significantly in all economic activities, especially in industry, transport, temporary accommodation, and catering, where the share of unprofitable enterprises reaches 73%. Thus, the problem of ensuring the financial security of business becomes relevant. The work aims to develop methodological approaches to assessing the impact of the pandemic crisis on businesses' financial security and to identify effective ways to ensure such security. The research used scientific abstraction, comparative and systematic analysis and synthesis, systematization, and logical generalization. It was determined that small and medium-sized businesses were most affected by the pandemic, where more than 60% of entrepreneurs had a strong negative impact. Large businesses suffered less, but they also suffered significant losses due to declining business activity and demand in domestic and foreign markets. The pandemic had the least impact on agriculture, which suffered the least losses, primarily due to the slight impact of restrictions on this business's activities. The paper systematized the risks arising from the pandemic crisis factors and identified their manifestations and financial consequences for the business. Studies have shown that such effects manifest themselves in the form of total or partial loss of profits, problems with debt repayment, reduced financial stability, liquidity, increased receivables, increased costs of anti-epidemic measures, and so on. Thus, the procedure for assessing the business's financial security is to take into account all the factors that shape the financial position of businesses during a pandemic crisis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 284 ◽  
pp. 07005
Author(s):  
Oleg Meleshko ◽  
Nataliia Prokopenko ◽  
Olena Gudz

The article is devoted to determining the features of the shadow economy's impact on financial security. For this purpose the following are carried out: generalization of calculation indicators in the shadow economy; influence assessment level of the shadow economy on the volume of gross domestic product (further-GDP); based matrix paired correlation coefficients integral indicator of financial security and factors of shadow economy by various methods; conducted surveillance on the dynamics of the integral index of financial security and the level of the shadow economy, calculated using monetary means and integral measure of financial security of cash in UAH and the dollar; investigated the interconnection statistical indicators and indicators of financial security dynamics of cash in the economy; evaluated the safety performance of non-banking financial market and the volume of cash in dollar terms in dynamics; Then a matrix construction paired correlation coefficients tax rate component of financial security and the coefficients of the shadow economy, estimated by different methodological approaches; monitored security tax rate and share of loss-making enterprises and statistical significance is estimated regression equation pair of security and tax number of unprofitable enterprises.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-116
Author(s):  
Halyna PARTYN ◽  
◽  
Anatoliy ZAGORODNY ◽  
Liubomyr PYLYPENKO ◽  
◽  
...  

The peculiarities of the digital economy enterprises are analyzed, their main advantages and risks are established. Factors and problems of value formation of such enterprises are determined. The criteria for evaluating the efficiency of digital economy enterprises are substantiated, as well as the methods and indicators that should be used for this purpose. The peculiarities of the relations of these enterprises with stakeholders and the need to take them into account when evaluating the results of activities are revealed. A feature of the modern economy is the introduction of digital technologies in all business processes of economic entities, as well as the separation of the entire sector of the economy associated with the creation of products and services using these technologies – enterprises of the digital economy. Resource support for the operation of such enterprises covers mainly intangible factors of production, products have a virtual (digital) nature with a rapid rate of aging, and the activity itself –global dissemination. These and other factors necessitate the development of new or improvement of existing tools for assessing the financial position and performance of enterprises of the digital economy. The purpose of the article is to identify the consequences of digitalization of business processes for businesses, highlight the features of the digital economy, identify problems in assessing the effectiveness of their activities and financial condition, as well as substantiate proposals for their solution based on financial and non-financial indicators. Taking into account the listed features and factors of functioning of enterprises of digital economy the basic criteria of the estimation of a condition and results of their activity are formulated, directions of adaptation of methods of the strategic and marketing analysis are proved and indicators which should be used in the course of realization of these methods are offered. It is established that when identifying and determining the results of the digital economy the impact of the relationship with stakeholders should be taken into account.. Indicators of evaluation of innovative activity and innovative potential of these enterprises are offered, the peculiarities of conducting a financial analysis of their activities taking into account the factors of generating economic benefits are revealed.


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